Simulation Results: Kit Kat Group ProAm

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Albert Venter 0.05% 2000 751 92
Allister De Kock 0.01% 10000 1501 65
Altin Van Der Merwe 0.96% 104 51 75
Anthony Michael 0.19% 526 501 75
Austin Bautista 0.89% 112 56 31
Brandon Meads 0.27% 370 401 19
C.J. Du Plessis 0.61% 164 301 0.30% 79 -0.3 Skybet: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Callum Mowat 0.08% 1250 751 116
Christiaan Basson 0.15% 667 751 106
Christiaan Burke 0.72% 139 67 79
Christian Kriek 0.03% 3333 1001 88
Conner Mackenzie 0.15% 667 751 25
Danie Van Niekerk 0.40% 250 226 118
Dayne Moore 0.08% 1250 1501 63
Doug McGuigan 0.51% 196 251 0.10% 61 -0.1 Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Dylan Frittelli 5.24% 19 11 9
Dylan Mostert 0.91% 110 151 0.20% 44 -0.2 Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Dylan O'Leary 0.00% 10000 1001 120
Eric Wowor 0.02% 5000 1001 57
Estiaan Conradie 0.34% 294 301 7
Franklin Manchest 0.13% 769 751 79
Fredrik From 1.84% 54 41 25
George Coetzee 3.16% 32 15 68
Gerhard Pepler 1.14% 88 67 2
Graham Van Der Merwe 0.91% 110 101 15
Gregory Mckay 0.08% 1250 751 33
Heinrich Bruiners 1.94% 52 76 0.60% 57 -0.6 Spreadex: 75/1, 6pl, 1/5
Hennie O'Kennedy 1.29% 78 101 0.30% 57 -0.3 Spreadex: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Hennie Otto 0.93% 108 111 19
Herman Loubser 0.80% 125 111 25
J.C. Ritchie 5.39% 19 13 6
J.J. Senekal 2.07% 48 67 0.60% 22 -0.6 Spreadex: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jack Hawksby 0.45% 222 451 0.20% 52 -0.2 Spreadex: 450/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jaco Prinsloo 3.25% 31 29 9
Jaco Van Zyl 0.81% 123 151 0.10% 48 -0.1 Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jacques De Villiers 0.52% 192 276 0.20% 52 -0.2 Spreadex: 275/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jacquin Hess 0.02% 5000 1501 113
Jake Redman 0.27% 370 501 0.10% 33 -0.1 QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
James Mack 0.26% 385 251 33
Jason Roets 0.46% 217 301 0.10% 41 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jastice Mashego 0.01% 10000 2501 113
Jbe Kruger 1.20% 83 111 0.30% 46 -0.3 Spreadex: 110/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jean Hugo 4.08% 25 26 0.20% 33 -0.2 Bet365: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jean-Paul Strydom 0.57% 175 176 79
Joe Knox 0.08% 1250 226 68
Joe Long 0.41% 244 251 68
Jonathan Broomhead 3.63% 28 14 2
Jordan Burnand 0.10% 1000 151 19
Jordan Duminy 0.03% 3333 2001 41
Jovan Rebula 2.22% 45 29 9
Karabo Mokoena 0.06% 1667 1501 92
Kayle Wykes 0.00% 10000 2001 106
Keagan Thomas 0.08% 1250 451 52
Keegan Mclachlan 0.07% 1429 601 25
Keelan Africa 0.00% 10000 2501 68
Keenan Davidse 1.06% 94 101 0.10% 25 -0.1 Spreadex: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kieran Vincent 4.50% 22 13 7
Kyle Barker 2.44% 41 29 110
Kyle De Beer 1.55% 65 51 79
Kyle McClatchie 0.32% 313 276 92
Liam Grehan 0.08% 1250 1001 67
Louis Albertse 1.67% 60 46 92
Luca Filippi 0.05% 2000 201 61
Luis Carrera 1.01% 99 17 1
Luke Brown 1.63% 61 76 0.30% 68 -0.3 Spreadex: 75/1, 6pl, 1/5
Luke Jerling 1.03% 97 151 0.40% 33 -0.4 Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Luke Mayo 0.02% 5000 601 52
Lyle Rowe 1.29% 78 91 0.20% 33 -0.2 Spreadex: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
M.J. Viljoen 3.51% 28 26 79
Madalitso Muthiya 0.23% 435 751 0.10% 88 -0.1 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Malcolm Mitchell 2.97% 34 21 33
Mandla Dlamini 0.00% 10000 2501 102
Marcus Taylor 0.01% 10000 1001 75
Martin Rohwer 2.08% 48 51 0.10% 79 -0.1 Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Martin Vorster 2.58% 39 29 12
Matthew Spacey 0.21% 476 751 0.10% 102 -0.1 Spreadex: 750/1, 6pl, 1/5
Merrick Bremner 0.00% 10000 1501 116
Musiwalo Nethunzwi 0.05% 2000 751 63
Neil Schietekat 0.94% 106 131 0.20% 31 -0.2 Spreadex: 130/1, 6pl, 1/5
Nick Cunningham 0.01% 10000 601 113
Nikhil Rama 1.85% 54 41 22
Oliver Bekker 1.54% 65 61 2
Otto Van Buynder 0.27% 370 276 75
Paul Boshoff 0.04% 2500 351 92
Pierre Pellegrin 0.12% 833 751 79
Pierre Viallaneix 0.04% 2500 1001 88
Pieter Moolman 2.68% 37 26 68
Rhys Enoch 0.87% 115 151 0.20% 25 -0.2 QuinnBet: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Rhys West 0.61% 164 176 48
Ricky Hendler 1.08% 93 56 48
Robson Chinhoi 0.29% 345 176 106
Rourke Van Der Spuy 0.43% 233 226 13
Rowan Lester 0.04% 2500 351 33
Ruan Conradie 0.49% 204 376 0.20% 22 -0.2 Spreadex: 375/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ruan De Smidt 0.14% 714 601 44
Ruan Korb 0.70% 143 101 66
Rupert Kaminski 1.26% 79 81 52
Ryan Van Velzen 2.02% 50 36 15
Samuel Simpson 0.76% 132 81 46
Sean Cronje 0.04% 2500 1001 68
Sentanio Minnie 0.03% 3333 1501 105
Simon Du Plooy 0.45% 222 276 0.10% 60 -0.1 Spreadex: 275/1, 6pl, 1/5
Siyanda Mwandla 0.00% 10000 1501 92
Stals Swart 0.65% 154 126 41
Stefan Wears-Taylor 1.08% 93 67 13
Stephen Ferreira 0.10% 1000 601 48
Stuart Krog 0.48% 208 276 0.10% 92 -0.1 Spreadex: 275/1, 6pl, 1/5
Thabiso Ngcobo 0.01% 10000 2501 92
Thanda Mavundla 0.02% 5000 2501 110
Thomas Spreadborough 0.03% 3333 351 15
Toto Thimba 0.06% 1667 1001 92
Trevor Fisher, Jr. 1.04% 96 61 2
Trevor Mahoney 0.02% 5000 2001 79
Tristin Galant 0.00% 10000 2501 110
Tyran Snyders 0.65% 154 101 106
Tyrone Ryan 0.05% 2000 501 15
Umar Davids 0.00% 10000 2501 119
Warwick Purchase 0.23% 435 201 92
Werner Deyzel 0.16% 625 451 102
Wynand Dingle 0.59% 169 151 88

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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