Simulation Results: NTT Data Pro-Am

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adam Breen 0.01% 10000 2001 153
Adri Arnaus 1.88% 53 51 88
Alan Mclean 0.04% 2500 2501 145
Albert Boneta 0.50% 200 101 72
Albert Venter 0.02% 5000 4001 145
Anthony Michael 0.10% 1000 1501 72
Aron Zemmer 0.21% 476 351 50
Arron Edwards-Hill 0.01% 10000 1001 72
Ben Stow 0.31% 323 126 149
Benjamin Follett-Smith 1.20% 83 51 72
Borja Virto 0.74% 135 71 83
Bradley Bawden 0.19% 526 451 107
Brandon Meads 0.03% 3333 2001 24
Bryce Easton 1.28% 78 101 0.30% 15 -0.3 Skybet: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
C.J. Du Plessis 0.22% 455 601 0.10% 111 -0.1 Skybet: 600/1, 6pl, 1/5
Callan Barrow 0.07% 1429 501 61
Casey Jarvis 2.23% 45 21 32
Cedric Gugler 0.10% 1000 401 72
Chris Paisley 0.18% 556 601 58
Christiaan Burke 0.23% 435 301 32
Christofer Blomstrand 0.10% 1000 1501 122
Christofer Rahm 0.09% 1111 751 100
Christoffer Bring 0.33% 303 176 19
Clement Charmasson 0.05% 2000 501 100
Combrinck Smit 0.06% 1667 2501 111
Daan Huizing 0.47% 213 141 42
Dan Erickson 0.19% 526 351 88
Danie Van Niekerk 0.20% 500 601 111
Daniel Van Tonder 6.00% 17 15 9
Daniel Young 0.99% 101 91 9
David Law 2.42% 41 31 111
Deon Germishuys 1.55% 65 51 58
Dermot Mcelroy 0.09% 1111 451 67
Doug Mcguigan 0.06% 1667 1001 122
Dylan Mostert 0.12% 833 751 83
Dylan Naidoo 1.01% 99 81 32
Eddie Pepperell 1.79% 56 51 6
Ethan Smith 0.07% 1429 1001 88
Euan Walker 0.94% 106 81 50
Felix Mory 0.92% 109 67 32
Filippo Celli 0.65% 154 41 32
Frank Kennedy 0.18% 556 351 111
Franklin Manchest 0.03% 3333 2501 136
Freddy Schott 1.91% 52 41 72
George Bloor 0.66% 152 126 32
George Coetzee 1.05% 95 91 70
Gerhard Pepler 0.25% 400 226 15
Gregor Graham 0.11% 909 401 42
Gregorio De Leo 0.34% 294 126 12
Hayden Hopewell 0.38% 263 141 119
Haydn Barron 0.35% 286 161 83
Heinrich Bruiners 0.43% 233 226 100
Hennie O'Kennedy 0.46% 217 251 0.10% 12 -0.1 Skybet: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Hennie Otto 0.18% 556 751 88
Herman Loubser 0.16% 625 601 19
Ilirian Zalli 0.02% 5000 1001 119
J.C. Ritchie 3.22% 31 26 6
J.J. Senekal 0.92% 109 141 0.20% 122 -0.2 Spreadex: 140/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jaco Ahlers 1.84% 54 34 122
Jaco Van Zyl 0.35% 286 226 88
Jacques Blaauw 1.00% 100 91 3
Jacques De Villiers 0.10% 1000 751 72
Jacques Kruyswijk 2.33% 43 31 24
James Morrison 0.61% 164 126 107
Jamie Donaldson 0.65% 154 161 136
Jamie Rutherford 1.69% 59 46 6
Jason Roets 0.15% 667 501 111
Jean Hugo 1.42% 70 51 32
Jean-Paul Strydom 0.08% 1250 1001 2
Jens Fahrbring 1.33% 75 101 0.30% 88 -0.3 Spreadex: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jeremy Freiburghaus 0.24% 417 376 111
Joachim B. Hansen 0.04% 2500 751 136
John Axelsen 0.25% 400 226 24
Jonathan Broomhead 2.05% 49 41 42
Jonathan Caldwell 0.35% 286 201 42
Jordan Duminy 0.01% 10000 2001 122
Joseph Winslow 0.08% 1250 1501 88
Joshua Grenville-Wood 0.17% 588 226 148
Jovan Rebula 1.30% 77 41 24
Justin Walters 0.89% 112 71 131
Keegan Mclachlan 0.03% 3333 2001 149
Keelan Van Wyk 0.03% 3333 2501 122
Keenan Davidse 1.81% 55 61 0.20% 100 -0.2 Spreadex: 60/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kyle Barker 0.55% 182 226 0.10% 15 -0.1 Bet365: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kyle De Beer 0.26% 385 401 119
Lars Van Meijel 0.99% 101 81 19
Lee Slattery 0.38% 263 251 50
Louis Albertse 0.80% 125 176 0.20% 83 -0.2 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lucas Vacarisas 0.60% 167 141 42
Lukas Nemecz 0.83% 120 67 88
Luke Brown 0.50% 200 141 24
Luke Jerling 0.21% 476 451 50
Lyle Pedro 0.00% 10000 5001 149
Lyle Rowe 0.63% 159 126 50
M.J. Viljoen 0.57% 175 201 0.10% 32 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Makhetha Mazibuko 0.01% 10000 2501 136
Malcolm Mitchell 0.59% 169 126 64
Marc Warren 0.06% 1667 751 136
Martin Rohwer 0.20% 500 451 12
Martin Vorster 1.46% 68 34 19
Matt Oshrine 0.36% 278 226 72
Matthew Spacey 0.05% 2000 2001 71
Matthis Besard 0.80% 125 67 32
Max Kennedy 0.09% 1111 226 19
Maxence Giboudot 0.13% 769 601 111
Maximilian Steinlechner 1.01% 99 51 24
Michael Hollick 0.89% 112 111 42
Neil Schietekat 0.48% 208 251 0.10% 50 -0.1 Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Nicolai Kristensen 0.76% 132 101 100
Nikhil Rama 1.02% 98 71 67
Oihan Guillamoundeguy 0.41% 244 161 107
Oliver Bekker 0.75% 133 81 145
Oliver Wilson 0.41% 244 176 83
Palmer Jackson 0.06% 1667 276 88
Pedro Figueiredo 0.12% 833 276 72
Per Langfors 0.33% 303 201 3
Peter Karmis 0.09% 1111 1501 136
Pieter Moolman 2.10% 48 51 0.10% 50 -0.1 Skybet: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5
Quim Vidal 0.58% 172 101 30
Renato Paratore 0.49% 204 226 58
Rhys Enoch 0.36% 278 176 100
Ricky Hendler 0.21% 476 401 122
Robin Petersson 0.13% 769 751 64
Robin Sciot-Siegrist 0.55% 182 141 50
Robson Chinhoi 0.02% 5000 2001 156
Rourke Van Der Spuy 0.17% 588 1501 0.10% 42 -0.1 Skybet: 1500/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ruan Korb 0.11% 909 1501 131
Rupert Kaminski 0.51% 196 176 66
Ryan Lumsden 0.28% 357 251 9
Sam Hutsby 1.57% 64 71 0.20% 88 -0.2 Bet365: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sam Jones 1.30% 77 46 3
Sam Locke 0.06% 1667 501 67
Santiago Tarrio 0.68% 147 226 0.20% 15 -0.2 Spreadex: 225/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sebastian Friedrichsen 0.87% 115 101 100
Sebastian Garcia 0.28% 357 126 72
Sebastien Gros 0.43% 233 151 72
Sentanio Minnie 0.01% 10000 3001 136
Shaun Norris 6.03% 17 15 107
Soren Broholt Lind 0.16% 625 601 144
Stefan Wears-Taylor 0.13% 769 751 122
Stefano Mazzoli 2.42% 41 41 30
Tadeas Tetak 0.21% 476 161 131
Taylor Funk 0.02% 5000 1001 122
Tomas Gouveia 0.51% 196 151 61
Travis Ladner 0.01% 10000 2501 136
Trevor Fisher, Jr. 0.28% 357 301 155
Trevor Mahoney 0.02% 5000 2501 149
Tyran Snyders 0.25% 400 276 88
Umar Davids 0.00% 10000 5001 154
Victor Pastor 0.32% 313 376 0.10% 42 -0.1 Spreadex: 375/1, 6pl, 1/5
Werner Deyzel 0.12% 833 601 131
Wilco Nienaber 2.91% 34 19 1
Will Enefer 0.30% 333 226 61
Wynand Dingle 0.34% 294 351 0.10% 88 -0.1 Spreadex: 350/1, 6pl, 1/5
Yurav Premlall 1.81% 55 34 32
Zander Lombard 0.00% 10000 31 131

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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