Simulation Results: MyGolfLife Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adri Arnaus 3.13% 32 34 0.20% 108 -0.2 Bet365: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Albert Boneta 0.49% 204 81 13
Albert Venter 0.03% 3333 2501 154
Alexander Settemsdal 0.06% 1667 501 129
Altin Van Der Merwe 1.18% 85 101 0.20% 80 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Andreas Halvorsen 1.43% 70 46 19
Anthony Michael 0.12% 833 601 134
Aron Zemmer 0.26% 385 176 80
Bard Bjornevik Skogen 1.72% 58 71 0.30% 28 -0.3 Bet365: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Bastien Amat 0.11% 909 101 65
Ben Stow 0.24% 417 126 19
Benjamin Follett-Smith 1.26% 79 41 56
Borja Virto 0.47% 213 126 44
Bradley Bawden 0.13% 769 351 117
Bryce Easton 0.40% 250 151 28
C.J. Du Plessis 0.21% 476 401 65
Callan Barrow 0.12% 833 301 134
Calum Fyfe 0.24% 417 401 134
Chris Paisley 0.19% 526 501 129
Christiaan Burke 0.11% 909 501 44
Christofer Blomstrand 0.07% 1429 501 117
Christofer Rahm 0.06% 1667 451 108
Christoffer Bring 0.25% 400 151 117
Clement Sordet 2.56% 39 29 7
Colin Nel 0.09% 1111 1501 19
Combrinck Smit 0.07% 1429 1501 150
Craig Ross 0.20% 500 451 59
Daan Huizing 0.30% 333 151 108
Dan Erickson 0.17% 588 251 44
Danie Van Niekerk 0.22% 455 751 0.10% 154 -0.1 Skybet: 750/1, 6pl, 1/5
Daniel Van Tonder 4.44% 23 17 1
Daniel Young 0.61% 164 81 38
Danny List 0.09% 1111 501 3
David Law 3.86% 26 23 9
David Meyers 0.10% 1000 501 129
Davis Bryant 0.34% 294 126 94
Dayne Moore 0.04% 2500 3001 52
Dermot Mcelroy 0.16% 625 251 145
Dylan Mostert 0.19% 526 301 145
Dylan Naidoo 1.41% 71 41 134
Estiaan Conradie 0.03% 3333 1501 9
Euan Walker 0.55% 182 81 28
Felix Mory 0.63% 159 81 19
Filippo Celli 0.71% 141 51 108
Frank Kennedy 0.10% 1000 201 65
Freddy Schott 2.11% 47 29 94
Fredrik From 0.49% 204 251 0.10% 94 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
George Bloor 0.76% 132 151 0.10% 38 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Gerhard Pepler 0.28% 357 201 13
Hayden Hopewell 0.39% 256 201 28
Haydn Barron 0.80% 125 91 65
Heinrich Bruiners 0.68% 147 101 65
Hennie O'Kennedy 0.37% 270 301 19
Hennie Otto 0.13% 769 1001 94
Herman Loubser 0.28% 357 201 117
Hurly Long 0.84% 119 67 94
Ilirian Zalli 0.03% 3333 501 126
Irvin Mazibuko 0.00% 10000 4001 153
J.C. Ritchie 3.65% 27 23 134
J.J. Senekal 0.87% 115 81 129
Jabulane Mabilane 0.00% 10000 4001 117
Jack Hawksby 0.24% 417 601 0.10% 117 -0.1 Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jaco Van Zyl 0.42% 238 201 19
Jacques Blaauw 1.21% 83 56 80
Jacques De Villiers 0.17% 588 751 134
Jamie Rutherford 1.14% 88 71 65
Jason Roets 0.25% 400 301 38
Jastice Mashego 0.01% 10000 2501 65
Jean Bekirian 0.16% 625 201 13
Jean Hugo 1.17% 85 81 19
Jean-Paul Strydom 0.12% 833 501 65
Jens Fahrbring 1.55% 65 67 0.10% 35 -0.1 William Hill: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jeremy Freiburghaus 0.24% 417 151 80
Joe Long 0.17% 588 751 65
John Axelsen 0.27% 370 126 80
John Gough 0.06% 1667 351 56
Jonathan Broomhead 1.75% 57 34 52
Jonathan Caldwell 0.16% 625 401 38
Jordan Duminy 0.00% 10000 2001 145
Joshua Berry 0.42% 238 201 52
Jovan Rebula 0.84% 119 91 13
Justin Walters 0.98% 102 81 94
Keagan Thomas 0.08% 1250 1501 56
Keegan Mclachlan 0.08% 1250 1001 152
Keelan Van Wyk 0.03% 3333 2501 126
Keenan Davidse 1.95% 51 67 0.50% 108 -0.5 QuinnBet: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Keith Horne 0.26% 385 751 0.10% 129 -0.1 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kyle Barker 0.64% 156 201 0.10% 7 -0.1 QuinnBet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kyle De Beer 0.29% 345 301 28
Lars Van Meijel 0.95% 105 81 65
Lee Slattery 0.55% 182 151 80
Liam Nolan 1.72% 58 101 0.70% 4 6.65 10Bet: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Louis Albertse 0.85% 118 101 117
Lucas Vacarisas 0.61% 164 126 80
Lukas Nemecz 1.52% 66 46 80
Luke Brown 0.57% 175 111 28
Luke Jerling 0.29% 345 401 94
Lyle Rowe 0.41% 244 151 35
M.J. Viljoen 0.47% 213 201 19
Malcolm Mitchell 0.82% 122 101 65
Martin Rohwer 0.45% 222 201 94
Martin Vorster 1.09% 92 67 2
Matt Oshrine 0.09% 1111 301 117
Matthew Spacey 0.03% 3333 1001 148
Matthis Besard 0.81% 123 56 35
Max Kennedy 0.13% 769 151 65
Maxence Giboudot 0.17% 588 451 65
Maximilian Steinlechner 1.42% 70 29 94
Michael Feuerstein 0.03% 3333 1001 94
Michael Hollick 0.94% 106 251 0.50% 19 -0.5 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Nathan Legendre 0.09% 1111 401 44
Neil Schietekat 0.61% 164 201 0.10% 50 -0.1 Spreadex: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Nick Carlson 1.09% 92 201 0.60% 80 -0.6 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nikhil Rama 1.11% 90 81 4
Oihan Guillamoundeguy 0.33% 303 151 9
Oliver Bekker 1.78% 56 81 0.60% 143 -0.6 Ladbrokes: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Palmer Jackson 0.07% 1429 126 148
Per Langfors 0.41% 244 101 108
Peter Karmis 0.13% 769 751 59
Pieter Moolman 1.43% 70 51 80
Quim Vidal 0.45% 222 151 65
Renato Paratore 0.68% 147 126 94
Rhys Enoch 0.29% 345 401 64
Rhys West 0.19% 526 751 0.10% 80 -0.1 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ricky Hendler 0.23% 435 201 52
Robert Moran 0.02% 5000 501 150
Robin Petersson 0.15% 667 351 126
Robin Sciot-Siegrist 0.67% 149 101 62
Robson Chinhoi 0.08% 1250 1001 94
Rourke Van Der Spuy 0.17% 588 501 134
Ruan Korb 0.10% 1000 751 117
Rupert Kaminski 0.78% 128 126 65
Ryan Lumsden 0.32% 313 201 50
Ryan Van Der Klis 0.23% 435 201 143
Sam Jones 0.74% 135 126 13
Santiago Tarrio 0.91% 110 126 0.10% 134 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sean Cronje 0.01% 10000 2501 108
Sebastian Friedrichsen 0.40% 250 126 4
Sebastian Garcia 0.62% 161 81 108
Sebastien Gros 1.54% 65 126 0.80% 80 -0.8 Boyle Sports: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sentanio Minnie 0.01% 10000 2501 80
Shaun Norris 7.67% 13 13 9
Slade Pickering 0.02% 5000 501 94
Soren Broholt Lind 0.11% 909 451 44
Stefan Wears-Taylor 0.18% 556 401 62
Stuart Krog 0.10% 1000 601 108
Thabiso Ngcobo 0.00% 10000 3001 154
Therion Nel 0.01% 10000 2501 134
Tomas Gouveia 0.33% 303 126 13
Trevor Fisher, Jr. 0.57% 175 251 0.20% 38 -0.2 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Victor Pastor 0.30% 333 401 0.10% 44 -0.1 Skybet: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Vince Van Veen 0.32% 313 251 94
Werner Deyzel 0.11% 909 601 38
Wilco Nienaber 3.08% 32 19 80
Wynand Dingle 0.36% 278 151 59
Yurav Premlall 1.88% 53 34 28

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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