Simulation Results: Limpopo Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Albert Venter 0.11% 909 351 62
Allen John 1.01% 99 46 84
Allister De Kock 0.03% 3333 2001 114
Alphius Kelapile 0.00% 10000 2001 123
Altin Van Der Merwe 2.36% 42 26 2
Anthony Michael 0.66% 152 111 52
Ben Van Wyk 1.02% 98 101 9
Brandon Meads 0.11% 909 1251 118
C.J. Du Plessis 0.51% 196 201
Christiaan Burke 0.92% 109 51 11
Christian Kriek 0.06% 1667 751 52
Danie Van Niekerk 0.13% 769 401 91
Daniel Van Tonder 3.50% 29 9 11
Deon Germishuys 3.92% 26 46 1.80% 7 -1.8 PaddyPower: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Devon Valentine 0.00% 10000 301 110
Dian Kruger 0.01% 10000 176 41
Doug McGuigan 0.14% 714 401 62
Dylan Mostert 0.62% 161 176 0.10% 48 -0.1 Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Eric Wowor 0.05% 2000 2001 99
Ethan Smith 0.63% 159 201 0.10% 17 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Franklin Manchest 0.16% 625 501 99
Gerhard Pepler 2.09% 48 29 52
Graham Van Der Merwe 1.52% 66 76 0.20% 18 -0.2 Bet365: 75/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gregory Mckay 0.11% 909 601 84
Hayden Griffiths 0.13% 769 301 73
Haydn Porteous 1.00% 100 91 11
Heinrich Bruiners 1.22% 82 101 0.20% 73 -0.2 Spreadex: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Hennie O'Kennedy 0.72% 139 226 0.30% 41 -0.3 Spreadex: 225/1, 6pl, 1/5
Hennie Otto 0.80% 125 111 73
Herman Loubser 4.24% 24 17 36
Jack Hawksby 0.60% 167 176 25
Jaco Prinsloo 5.56% 18 13 52
Jacques Blaauw 2.39% 42 23 73
Jacques De Villiers 0.76% 132 161 0.10% 62 -0.1 Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jaden Deltel 0.10% 1000 301 91
Jake Redman 0.50% 200 176 99
James Mack 0.73% 137 71 6
James Pennington 0.09% 1111 401 110
Jason Broomhead 0.07% 1429 401 62
Jason Roets 1.29% 78 101 0.30% 11 -0.3 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jastice Mashego 0.02% 5000 1251 110
Jean Hugo 2.09% 48 61 0.50% 18 -0.5 PaddyPower: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jean-Paul Strydom 1.01% 99 71 62
Joe Knox 0.19% 526 301 52
Joe Long 0.88% 114 101 52
Joe Sullivan 0.97% 103 71 118
Jonathan Ackerman 0.00% 10000 62
Jordan Burnand 0.34% 294 201 31
Jordan Duminy 0.11% 909 401 123
Karabo Mokoena 0.06% 1667 2001 18
Keagan Thomas 0.36% 278 201 11
Keanu Pestana 0.01% 10000 2001 47
Keegan Mclachlan 0.20% 500 301 84
Keelan Van Wyk 0.23% 435 301 31
Keenan Davidse 2.13% 47 36 18
Kian Rose 1.52% 66 61 73
Kieron Van Wyk 1.11% 90 34 11
Kyle Barker 2.71% 37 23 62
Kyle De Beer 1.33% 75 61 2
Kyle McClatchie 0.58% 172 176 52
Leon Vorster 0.03% 3333 1001 45
Liam Grehan 0.16% 625 501 73
Luca Filippi 0.02% 5000 176 73
Luis Carrera 3.36% 30 23 9
Luke Brown 1.31% 76 71 62
Luke Mayo 0.06% 1667 1251 110
Lwazi Gqira 0.00% 10000 2001 99
Lyle Rowe 3.23% 31 26 73
M.J. Viljoen 1.77% 56 41 7
Makhetha Mazibuko 0.03% 3333 2001 91
Malcolm Mitchell 1.07% 93 36 120
Mandla Dlamini 0.00% 10000 2001 120
Marcel Steyn Scholtz 0.06% 1667 751 117
Marcus Taylor 0.13% 769 226 91
Martin Vorster 3.88% 26 29 0.40% 52 -0.4 Skybet: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
Matthew Spacey 0.15% 667 501 5
Mikkel Antonsen 0.42% 238 351 0.10% 99 -0.1 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Musiwalo Nethunzwi 0.11% 909 301 62
Neil Schietekat 1.04% 96 126 0.20% 91 -0.2 Spreadex: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Nick Cunningham 0.00% 10000 2001 99
Nikhil Rama 1.96% 51 101 1.00% 31 -1 Skybet: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nyasha Muyambo 0.01% 10000 1001 91
Otto Van Buynder 0.18% 556 401 62
Paul Boshoff 0.43% 233 151 18
Peter Karmis 0.41% 244 301 0.10% 25 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Pieter Moolman 6.19% 16 8.5 1
Quintin Wilsnach 0.24% 417 501 44
Rhys West 0.36% 278 251 25
Ricky Hendler 1.00% 100 81 52
Robson Chinhoi 0.29% 345 301 41
Ronald Rugumayo 0.04% 2500 401 36
Rourke Van Der Spuy 0.37% 270 301 91
Rowan Lester 0.70% 143 176 0.10% 25 -0.1 Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ruan Conradie 1.13% 88 91 36
Ruan De Smidt 0.22% 455 351 84
Ruan Groenewald 0.03% 3333 1251 51
Ruan Korb 0.58% 172 151 73
Rupert Kaminski 1.09% 92 126 0.30% 2 4.5375 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryan Van Der Klis 1.27% 79 86 0.10% 106 -0.1 Spreadex: 85/1, 6pl, 1/5
Samuel Simpson 1.26% 79 61 73
Simon Du Plooy 0.43% 233 501 0.20% 91 -0.2 Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Slade Pickering 0.07% 1429 2001 49
Slenda Sithebe 0.00% 10000 1501 50
Stals Swart 0.45% 222 301 0.10% 45 -0.1 PaddyPower: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stephen Ferreira 0.31% 323 401 0.10% 18 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stuart Krog 1.15% 87 91 0.10% 25 -0.1 Spreadex: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
Tafadzwa Nyamukondiwa 0.02% 5000 601 116
Thabiso Ngcobo 0.03% 3333 301 25
Thomas Spreadborough 0.06% 1667 2501 36
Tomas Gana 0.29% 345 351 84
Toto Thimba 0.13% 769 401 31
Travis Procter 0.05% 2000 301 31
Trevor Fisher, Jr. 1.03% 97 126 0.20% 62 -0.2 Spreadex: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Tristen Strydom 0.47% 213 251 0.10% 114 -0.1 Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Tumelo Molloyi 0.01% 10000 1001 106
Tyran Snyders 2.11% 47 51 0.20% 18 -0.2 Skybet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tyron Davidowitz 0.06% 1667 601 106
Tyrone Ryan 0.50% 200 151 99
Umar Davids 0.00% 10000 2501 120
Wade Jacobs 0.00% 10000 2501 84
Warwick Purchase 0.20% 500 251 84
Werner Deyzel 0.01% 10000 2001 106
Wynand Dingle 1.04% 96 81 73
Xander Basson 1.31% 76 126 0.50% 52 -0.5 Spreadex: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Zack Chegwidden 0.00% 10000 501 36

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates