Simulation Results: Hyundai Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Albert Venter 0.00% 10000 751 73
Allister De Kock 0.00% 10000 2501 134
Altin Van Der Merwe 1.86% 54 41 11
Anthony Michael 0.31% 323 91 34
Austin Bautista 1.02% 98 34 18
Ben Van Wyk 0.98% 102 67 34
Brandon Meads 0.00% 10000 2501 54
Bryce Easton 2.16% 46 23 36
C.J. Du Plessis 0.27% 370 151 24
C.J. Van Wyk 0.00% 10000 401 61
Casey Jarvis 8.24% 12 13 0.60% 1 4.5 William Hill: 12/1, 5pl, 1/4
Christiaan Burke 0.99% 101 41 18
Christian Kriek 0.00% 10000 2001 73
Combrinck Smit 0.00% 10000 1251 118
Conner Mackenzie 0.01% 10000 1501 61
Danie Van Niekerk 0.00% 10000 1251 54
Daniel Cronje 0.15% 667 126
Daniel Van Tonder 6.54% 15 10 11
David Amm 0.00% 10000 2001 50
Deon Germishuys 3.53% 28 36 0.80% 8 -0.8 Ladbrokes: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4
Eric Wowor 0.00% 10000 2001 108
Estiaan Conradie 0.20% 500 126 94
Ethan Smith 0.22% 455 151 83
Franklin Manchest 0.01% 10000 1001 94
Gerhard Pepler 0.50% 200 81 24
Graham Van Der Merwe 0.69% 145 81 88
Gregory Mckay 0.00% 10000 2501 36
Hayden Griffiths 0.01% 10000 351 73
Haydn Porteous 0.89% 112 67 11
Heinrich Bruiners 1.02% 98 67 129
Hennie O'Kennedy 0.14% 714 501 83
Hennie Otto 0.30% 333 111 36
Heo Minjun 0.00% 10000 301 108
Herman Loubser 2.40% 42 34 32
Hunter Epson 0.00% 10000 751 83
J.C. Ritchie 14.97% 6.7 8 2.80% 18 -2.8 Skybet: 7/1, 5pl, 1/4
J.J. Senekal 0.64% 156 126 36
Jaco Prinsloo 6.68% 15 29 3.30% 61 -3.3 Spreadex: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jacques Blaauw 0.65% 154 91 88
Jacques De Villiers 0.22% 455 1001 0.10% 15 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 1000/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jacquin Hess 0.01% 10000 2501 54
James Mack 0.79% 127 81 61
James Pennington 0.00% 10000 1251 108
Jason Broomhead 0.00% 10000 2501 61
Jason Roets 0.48% 208 126 43
Jastice Mashego 0.00% 10000 2501 10
Jean Hugo 2.08% 48 81 0.90% 24 -0.9 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jean-Paul Strydom 0.11% 909 251 73
Joe Knox 0.01% 10000 751 73
Joe Long 0.41% 244 126 61
Jonathan Ackerman 0.01% 10000 1501 83
Jonathan Broomhead 2.99% 33 23 36
Jordan Burnand 0.06% 1667 351 54
Jordan Duminy 0.00% 10000 1501 132
Karabo Mokoena 0.00% 10000 751 46
Keagan Thomas 0.09% 1111 251 15
Keanu Pestana 0.00% 10000 1001 108
Keegan Mclachlan 0.01% 10000 601 46
Keelan Africa 0.00% 10000 2501 118
Keelan Van Wyk 0.04% 2500 276 53
Keenan Davidse 1.35% 74 67 9
Khaya Jika 0.00% 10000 2501 130
Kieron Van Wyk 1.38% 72 41 24
Kyle Barker 1.84% 54 41 73
Kyle De Beer 1.11% 90 41 42
Kyle McClatchie 0.13% 769 276 118
Leon Vorster 0.00% 10000 1251 104
Liam Grehan 0.01% 10000 1501 54
Luca Filippi 0.00% 10000 501 61
Luis Carrera 4.84% 21 23 0.50% 4 0.3125 Skybet: 22/1, 5pl, 1/4
Luke Brown 0.32% 313 101 31
Luke Jerling 0.65% 154 81 18
Lyle Rowe 1.64% 61 51 54
M.J. Viljoen 3.00% 33 34 0.10% 4 0.185 BetMGM: 33/1, 6pl, 1/5
Makhetha Mazibuko 0.00% 10000 2501 128
Malcolm Mitchell 0.12% 833 126 43
Mandla Dlamini 0.00% 10000 2501 118
Marcel Steyn Scholtz 0.00% 10000 2501 61
Marcus Taylor 0.00% 10000 501 136
Matthew Spacey 0.04% 2500 351 73
Merrick Bremner 0.00% 10000 2501 108
Mikkel Antonsen 0.05% 2000 501 108
Musiwalo Nethunzwi 0.02% 5000 1251 88
Neil Schietekat 0.47% 213 126 118
Nick Cunningham 0.00% 10000 2501 126
Nikhil Rama 1.15% 87 111 0.30% 4 1.8375 Ladbrokes: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nyasha Muyambo 0.00% 10000 2001 108
Otto Van Buynder 0.00% 10000 751 108
Paul Boshoff 0.03% 3333 251 132
Peter Karmis 0.07% 1429 401 24
Pierre Pellegrin 0.00% 10000 1251 99
Pierre Viallaneix 0.15% 667 161 4
Pieter Moolman 10.59% 9.4 11 1.60% 9 -1.6 Ladbrokes: 10/1, 5pl, 1/4
Quintin Wilsnach 0.03% 3333 751 61
Rhys West 0.07% 1429 401 88
Ricky Hendler 0.21% 476 151 49
Robson Chinhoi 0.03% 3333 501 73
Ronald Rugumayo 0.00% 10000 501 126
Rourke Van Der Spuy 0.02% 5000 751 50
Rowan Lester 0.15% 667 151 15
Ruan Conradie 0.14% 714 201 36
Ruan De Smidt 0.02% 5000 1501 104
Ruan Groenewald 0.00% 10000 1501 88
Ruan Korb 0.06% 1667 251 24
Rupert Kaminski 0.72% 139 81 118
Ryan Van Der Klis 0.23% 435 151 46
Ryan Van Velzen 2.96% 34 26 2
Samuel Simpson 0.42% 238 101 18
Sentanio Minnie 0.00% 10000 1501 83
Simon Du Plooy 0.01% 10000 1251 104
Slade Pickering 0.00% 10000 1501 104
Stals Swart 0.12% 833 276 61
Stephen Ferreira 0.13% 769 201 108
Stuart Krog 0.16% 625 151 32
Tafadzwa Nyamukondiwa 0.00% 10000 2501 88
Thabiso Ngcobo 0.00% 10000 1001 118
Thanda Mavundla 0.00% 10000 2501 57
Therion Nel 0.00% 10000 751 13
Thomas Spreadborough 0.02% 5000 351 118
Tomas Gana 0.01% 10000 1001 61
Toto Thimba 0.01% 10000 751 99
Trevor Fisher, Jr. 0.36% 278 101 61
Trevor Mahoney 0.00% 10000 751 99
Tristen Strydom 0.01% 10000 401 18
Tristin Galant 0.00% 10000 2501 108
Tumelo Molloyi 0.00% 10000 2501 85
Tyran Snyders 0.95% 105 67 99
Tyron Davidowitz 0.00% 10000 1001 54
Tyrone Ryan 0.69% 145 67 73
Ulrich Van Den Berg 0.12% 833 251 43
Umar Davids 0.00% 10000 2501 80
Warwick Purchase 0.10% 1000 151 3
Werner Deyzel 0.00% 10000 1251 130
Wynand Dingle 0.42% 238 151 94
Xander Basson 0.20% 500 251 24
Zack Chegwidden 0.00% 10000 1251 99

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates