Simulation Results: Mitsubishi Electric Classic

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Alex Cejka 3.74% 27 21 21
Angel Cabrera 1.38% 72 41 4
Bernhard Langer 4.58% 22 26 0.80% 9 -0.8 Boyle Sports: 22/1, 6pl, 1/5
Billy Andrade 0.57% 175 101 44
Billy Mayfair 0.18% 556 401 36
Boo Weekley 0.26% 385 401 26
Brandt Jobe 0.07% 1429 1001 52
Brendan Jones 0.60% 167 251 0.20% 65 -0.2 Spreadex: 250/1, 5pl, 1/5
Brett Quigley 0.69% 145 101 10
Brian Gay 0.87% 115 251 0.50% 36 -0.5 Spreadex: 250/1, 5pl, 1/5
Cameron Percy 2.77% 36 51 0.80% 26 -0.8 Bet365: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chad Campbell 0.15% 667 401 71
Charlie Wi 0.80% 125 81 21
Chris DiMarco 0.06% 1667 751 68
Colin Montgomerie 0.74% 135 201 0.20% 26 -0.2 Spreadex: 200/1, 5pl, 1/5
Darren Clarke 2.93% 34 34 21
David Bransdon 0.46% 217 151 71
David Duval 0.08% 1250 401 31
David Mathis 0.01% 10000 401 44
Davis Love 0.00% 10000 1001 60
Dicky Pride 0.55% 182 151 44
Doug Barron 1.79% 56 51 26
Ernie Els 6.02% 17 13 2
Felipe Aguilar 0.28% 357 176 16
Freddie Jacobson 2.94% 34 31 31
Greg Chalmers 1.82% 55 51 36
Harrison Frazar 0.46% 217 301 0.10% 52 -0.1 Paddy Power: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hiroyuki Fujita 0.38% 263 251 57
Jason Caron 1.63% 61 41 57
Jay Haas 0.13% 769 601 60
Jeff Maggert 0.13% 769 751 13
Jerry Kelly 4.71% 21 29 1.30% 1 22.75 Paddy Power: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
Joe Durant 0.63% 159 81 52
John Senden 0.00% 10000 1001 44
Justin Leonard 0.87% 115 76 52
K.J. Choi 2.01% 50 29 60
Ken Duke 0.48% 208 201 31
Ken Tanigawa 1.16% 86 67 31
Kenny Perry 0.13% 769 401 65
Kevin Sutherland 0.91% 110 126 0.10% 44 -0.1 Spreadex: 125/1, 5pl, 1/5
Kirk Triplett 0.24% 417 301 76
Lee Janzen 0.13% 769 751 65
Mario Tiziani 0.36% 278 201 16
Mark Calcavecchia 0.01% 10000 4001 78
Mark Hensby 1.30% 77 81 0.10% 21 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mark Walker 0.21% 476 401 26
Mark Wilson 0.59% 169 301 0.30% 36 -0.3 Ladbrokes: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Matt Gogel 0.40% 250 126 60
Miguel Angel Jimenez 5.54% 18 15 6
Mike Weir 0.87% 115 201 0.40% 36 -0.4 Spreadex: 200/1, 5pl, 1/5
Olin Browne 0.00% 10000 2001 21
Padraig Harrington 6.24% 16 10.5 36
Paul Broadhurst 0.58% 172 126 16
Paul Goydos 0.61% 164 201 0.10% 11 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Paul Stankowski 1.34% 75 81 0.10% 60 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Retief Goosen 1.84% 54 29 36
Ricardo Gonzalez 0.55% 182 101 13
Richard Green 2.58% 39 26 36
Robert Karlsson 0.51% 196 126 68
Sam Arnold 0.00% 10000 1501 74
Scott Dunlap 0.11% 909 751 77
Scott McCarron 0.14% 714 401 16
Shane Bertsch 0.54% 185 201 73
Stephen Ames 2.29% 44 23 8
Steve Allan 0.73% 137 81 44
Steve Flesch 1.09% 92 91 44
Steven Alker 8.57% 12 9 3
Stewart Cink 6.03% 17 9 6
Stuart Appleby 0.47% 213 251 0.10% 31 -0.1 Spreadex: 250/1, 5pl, 1/5
Thomas Bjorn 2.15% 47 34 44
Thongchai Jaidee 1.18% 85 126 0.40% 52 -0.4 Spreadex: 125/1, 5pl, 1/5
Tim Herron 0.04% 2500 1001 74
Tim O'Neal 0.69% 145 56 16
Tim Petrovic 0.64% 156 101 13
Tom Pernice 0.04% 2500 2001 68
Vijay Singh 1.67% 60 67 0.20% 5 1.4 Paddy Power: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Woody Austin 0.07% 1429 1001 57
Y.E. Yang 1.73% 58 51 11

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates