Simulation Results: Hoag Classic

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	2.94%	34	26		8
Bernhard Langer	5.41%	18	15		68
Billy Andrade	1.08%	93	81		48
Billy Mayfair	0.11%	909	751		52
Bob Estes	0.77%	130	151	0.10%	25	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Boo Weekley	0.26%	385	501	0.10%	29	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brandt Jobe	0.05%	2000	751		52
Brendan Jones	0.28%	357	226		19
Brian Gay	0.75%	133	251	0.40%	33	-0.4	Paddy Power: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Cameron Percy	2.67%	37	71	1.30%	14	-1.3	Skybet: 70/1, 5pl, 1/5
Chad Campbell	0.10%	1000	401		40
Charlie Wi	0.71%	141	126		14
Chris DiMarco	0.07%	1429	1001		71
Colin Montgomerie	0.32%	313	161		33
Corey Pavin	0.01%	10000	2001		19
Darren Clarke	3.20%	31	29		19
David Bransdon	0.31%	323	176		33
David Duval	0.04%	2500	1001		10
David Frost	0.01%	10000	3001		74
David Mathis	0.00%	10000	1001		62
David Toms	0.92%	109	131	0.20%	25	-0.2	Paddy Power: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Dicky Pride	0.54%	185	151		56
Doug Barron	1.53%	65	61		40
Ernie Els	6.99%	14	13		5
Felipe Aguilar	0.95%	105	101		69
Fred Couples	3.33%	30	41	0.90%	8	-0.9	Paddy Power: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Fred Funk	0.01%	10000	2501		76
Freddie Jacobson	0.71%	141	126		2
Greg Chalmers	1.64%	61	51		14
Harrison Frazar	0.14%	714	151		48
Hiroyuki Fujita	0.62%	161	101		77
James Kingston	0.05%	2000	126		71
Jason Caron	2.00%	50	41		19
Jay Haas	0.06%	1667	751		19
Jeff Maggert	0.17%	588	601		40
Joe Durant	0.61%	164	91		56
John Daly	0.00%	10000	1001		56
Justin Leonard	1.12%	89	41		29
K.J. Choi	3.21%	31	21		14
Ken Duke	0.70%	143	151		56
Ken Tanigawa	1.07%	93	81		10
Kirk Triplett	0.43%	233	501	0.20%	40	-0.2	QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lee Janzen	0.09%	1111	1501		62
Mark Hensby	1.16%	86	91	0.10%	33	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mark Walker	0.30%	333	201		56
Mark Wilson	0.48%	208	301	0.10%	56	-0.1	Paddy Power: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Michael Allen	0.01%	10000	1501		5
Miguel Angel Jimenez	4.28%	23	23		1
Mike Weir	0.20%	500	201		33
Padraig Harrington	8.51%	12	8		12
Patrik Sjoland	0.01%	10000	301		40
Paul Broadhurst	1.09%	92	91		48
Paul Goydos	0.93%	108	151	0.30%	29	-0.3	QuinnBet: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Retief Goosen	1.30%	77	36		29
Ricardo Gonzalez	0.87%	115	56		48
Richard Green	2.24%	45	29		14
Rocco Mediate	0.48%	208	151		71
Rod Pampling	1.78%	56	67	0.30%	66	-0.3	Paddy Power: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Scott Dunlap	0.23%	435	751	0.10%	12	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Scott McCarron	0.31%	323	251		77
Scott Verplank	0.01%	10000	2501		40
Shane Bertsch	0.55%	182	176		33
Stephen Ames	2.41%	41	29		52
Steve Allan	0.86%	116	151	0.20%	25	-0.2	Paddy Power: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Steve Flesch	1.00%	100	101		40
Steve Holmes	0.38%	263	751	0.20%	62	-0.2	Skybet: 750/1, 5pl, 1/5
Steven Alker	8.72%	11	8		5
Stewart Cink	9.17%	11	8		2
Stuart Appleby	0.27%	370	301		40
Thomas Bjorn	1.76%	57	34		25
Thongchai Jaidee	0.67%	149	81		62
Tim O'Neal	0.59%	169	101		52
Tim Petrovic	0.58%	172	1501	0.50%	19	-0.5	QuinnBet: 1500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tom Lehman	0.05%	2000	2001		69
Tom Pernice	0.06%	1667	2001		66
Vijay Singh	0.65%	154	56		33
Woody Austin	0.19%	526	501		74
Y.E. Yang	1.97%	51	67	0.50%	4	3.05	Paddy Power: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	8.78%	11
Bernhard Langer	14.31%	7
Billy Andrade	3.64%	27
Billy Mayfair	0.54%	185
Bob Estes	2.86%	35
Boo Weekley	1.11%	90
Brandt Jobe	0.25%	400
Brendan Jones	1.27%	79
Brian Gay	2.89%	35
Cameron Percy	8.15%	12
Chad Campbell	0.46%	217
Charlie Wi	2.81%	36
Chris DiMarco	0.35%	286
Colin Montgomerie	1.24%	81
Corey Pavin	0.08%	1250
Darren Clarke	9.37%	11
David Bransdon	1.27%	79
David Duval	0.18%	556
David Frost	0.07%	1429
David Mathis	0.01%	10000
David Toms	3.28%	30
Dicky Pride	2.20%	45
Doug Barron	5.10%	20
Ernie Els	17.61%	5.7
Felipe Aguilar	3.27%	31
Fred Couples	9.60%	10
Fred Funk	0.05%	2000
Freddie Jacobson	2.63%	38
Greg Chalmers	5.42%	18
Harrison Frazar	0.58%	172
Hiroyuki Fujita	2.27%	44
James Kingston	0.30%	333
Jason Caron	6.36%	16
Jay Haas	0.27%	370
Jeff Maggert	0.70%	143
Joe Durant	2.31%	43
John Daly	0.01%	10000
Justin Leonard	3.83%	26
K.J. Choi	9.42%	11
Ken Duke	2.56%	39
Ken Tanigawa	3.77%	27
Kirk Triplett	1.68%	60
Lee Janzen	0.48%	208
Mark Hensby	3.96%	25
Mark Walker	1.24%	81
Mark Wilson	1.94%	52
Michael Allen	0.07%	1429
Miguel Angel Jimenez	11.96%	8.4
Mike Weir	0.92%	109
Padraig Harrington	20.55%	4.9
Patrik Sjoland	0.11%	909
Paul Broadhurst	3.90%	26
Paul Goydos	3.22%	31
Retief Goosen	4.39%	23
Ricardo Gonzalez	3.21%	31
Richard Green	7.10%	14
Rocco Mediate	1.98%	51
Rod Pampling	5.81%	17
Scott Dunlap	1.01%	99
Scott McCarron	1.36%	74
Scott Verplank	0.04%	2500
Shane Bertsch	2.06%	49
Stephen Ames	7.48%	13
Steve Allan	3.09%	32
Steve Flesch	3.53%	28
Steve Holmes	1.48%	68
Steven Alker	20.87%	4.8
Stewart Cink	21.66%	4.6
Stuart Appleby	1.13%	88
Thomas Bjorn	5.67%	18
Thongchai Jaidee	2.52%	40
Tim O'Neal	2.25%	44
Tim Petrovic	2.17%	46
Tom Lehman	0.23%	435
Tom Pernice	0.28%	357
Vijay Singh	2.45%	41
Woody Austin	0.83%	120
Y.E. Yang	6.24%	16

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	14.23%	7
Bernhard Langer	21.74%	4.6
Billy Andrade	6.58%	15
Billy Mayfair	1.19%	84
Bob Estes	5.32%	19
Boo Weekley	2.25%	44
Brandt Jobe	0.58%	172
Brendan Jones	2.60%	38
Brian Gay	5.31%	19
Cameron Percy	13.31%	7.5
Chad Campbell	1.01%	99
Charlie Wi	5.07%	20
Chris DiMarco	0.76%	132
Colin Montgomerie	2.49%	40
Corey Pavin	0.21%	476
Darren Clarke	15.40%	6.5
David Bransdon	2.52%	40
David Duval	0.41%	244
David Frost	0.20%	500
David Mathis	0.03%	3333
David Toms	5.97%	17
Dicky Pride	4.18%	24
Doug Barron	8.81%	11
Ernie Els	25.98%	3.8
Felipe Aguilar	5.98%	17
Fred Couples	15.30%	6.5
Fred Funk	0.14%	714
Freddie Jacobson	4.92%	20
Greg Chalmers	9.32%	11
Harrison Frazar	1.24%	81
Hiroyuki Fujita	4.33%	23
James Kingston	0.67%	149
Jason Caron	10.77%	9.3
Jay Haas	0.63%	159
Jeff Maggert	1.52%	66
Joe Durant	4.41%	23
John Daly	0.03%	3333
Justin Leonard	6.89%	15
K.J. Choi	15.15%	6.6
Ken Duke	4.91%	20
Ken Tanigawa	6.75%	15
Kirk Triplett	3.27%	31
Lee Janzen	1.04%	96
Mark Hensby	7.10%	14
Mark Walker	2.41%	41
Mark Wilson	3.70%	27
Michael Allen	0.17%	588
Miguel Angel Jimenez	18.73%	5.3
Mike Weir	1.86%	54
Padraig Harrington	29.75%	3.4
Patrik Sjoland	0.24%	417
Paul Broadhurst	6.86%	15
Paul Goydos	5.95%	17
Retief Goosen	7.69%	13
Ricardo Gonzalez	5.88%	17
Richard Green	11.94%	8.4
Rocco Mediate	3.81%	26
Rod Pampling	9.92%	10
Scott Dunlap	2.05%	49
Scott McCarron	2.68%	37
Scott Verplank	0.10%	1000
Shane Bertsch	3.93%	25
Stephen Ames	12.41%	8.1
Steve Allan	5.75%	17
Steve Flesch	6.45%	16
Steve Holmes	2.94%	34
Steven Alker	30.09%	3.3
Stewart Cink	30.94%	3.2
Stuart Appleby	2.36%	42
Thomas Bjorn	9.76%	10
Thongchai Jaidee	4.82%	21
Tim O'Neal	4.28%	23
Tim Petrovic	4.07%	25
Tom Lehman	0.53%	189
Tom Pernice	0.59%	169
Vijay Singh	4.62%	22
Woody Austin	1.72%	58
Y.E. Yang	10.52%	9.5

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	26.65%	3.8
Bernhard Langer	36.94%	2.7
Billy Andrade	14.52%	6.9
Billy Mayfair	3.57%	28
Bob Estes	12.07%	8.3
Boo Weekley	5.86%	17
Brandt Jobe	1.93%	52
Brendan Jones	6.54%	15
Brian Gay	12.20%	8.2
Cameron Percy	25.39%	3.9
Chad Campbell	3.08%	32
Charlie Wi	11.99%	8.3
Chris DiMarco	2.54%	39
Colin Montgomerie	6.53%	15
Corey Pavin	0.85%	118
Darren Clarke	28.43%	3.5
David Bransdon	6.54%	15
David Duval	1.36%	74
David Frost	0.70%	143
David Mathis	0.12%	833
David Toms	13.31%	7.5
Dicky Pride	10.03%	10
Doug Barron	18.45%	5.4
Ernie Els	42.20%	2.4
Felipe Aguilar	13.34%	7.5
Fred Couples	28.32%	3.5
Fred Funk	0.56%	179
Freddie Jacobson	11.59%	8.6
Greg Chalmers	19.19%	5.2
Harrison Frazar	3.55%	28
Hiroyuki Fujita	10.43%	9.6
James Kingston	2.23%	45
Jason Caron	21.64%	4.6
Jay Haas	1.95%	51
Jeff Maggert	4.34%	23
Joe Durant	10.28%	9.7
John Daly	0.14%	714
Justin Leonard	14.81%	6.8
K.J. Choi	27.88%	3.6
Ken Duke	11.44%	8.7
Ken Tanigawa	14.69%	6.8
Kirk Triplett	8.11%	12
Lee Janzen	3.08%	32
Mark Hensby	15.47%	6.5
Mark Walker	6.25%	16
Mark Wilson	9.00%	11
Michael Allen	0.65%	154
Miguel Angel Jimenez	33.00%	3
Mike Weir	5.06%	20
Padraig Harrington	46.32%	2.2
Patrik Sjoland	0.93%	108
Paul Broadhurst	14.94%	6.7
Paul Goydos	13.13%	7.6
Retief Goosen	16.57%	6
Ricardo Gonzalez	13.40%	7.5
Richard Green	23.18%	4.3
Rocco Mediate	9.43%	11
Rod Pampling	19.99%	5
Scott Dunlap	5.54%	18
Scott McCarron	6.95%	14
Scott Verplank	0.39%	256
Shane Bertsch	9.55%	10
Stephen Ames	24.01%	4.2
Steve Allan	13.07%	7.7
Steve Flesch	14.35%	7
Steve Holmes	7.41%	13
Steven Alker	46.85%	2.1
Stewart Cink	47.89%	2.1
Stuart Appleby	6.09%	16
Thomas Bjorn	19.81%	5
Thongchai Jaidee	11.20%	8.9
Tim O'Neal	10.21%	9.8
Tim Petrovic	9.65%	10
Tom Lehman	1.69%	59
Tom Pernice	1.95%	51
Vijay Singh	10.94%	9.1
Woody Austin	4.81%	21
Y.E. Yang	20.99%	4.8

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	47.37%	2.1
Bernhard Langer	58.59%	1.71
Billy Andrade	31.08%	3.2
Billy Mayfair	10.63%	9.4
Bob Estes	27.06%	3.7
Boo Weekley	15.97%	6.3
Brandt Jobe	6.78%	15
Brendan Jones	17.23%	5.8
Brian Gay	27.16%	3.7
Cameron Percy	45.91%	2.2
Chad Campbell	9.46%	11
Charlie Wi	26.93%	3.7
Chris DiMarco	8.28%	12
Colin Montgomerie	17.07%	5.9
Corey Pavin	3.38%	30
Darren Clarke	49.21%	2
David Bransdon	17.07%	5.9
David Duval	5.06%	20
David Frost	2.90%	34
David Mathis	0.61%	164
David Toms	29.07%	3.4
Dicky Pride	23.55%	4.2
Doug Barron	36.59%	2.7
Ernie Els	63.80%	1.57
Felipe Aguilar	29.43%	3.4
Fred Couples	49.40%	2
Fred Funk	2.55%	39
Freddie Jacobson	26.04%	3.8
Greg Chalmers	37.74%	2.6
Harrison Frazar	10.78%	9.3
Hiroyuki Fujita	24.25%	4.1
James Kingston	7.26%	14
Jason Caron	41.13%	2.4
Jay Haas	6.60%	15
Jeff Maggert	12.86%	7.8
Joe Durant	24.29%	4.1
John Daly	0.80%	125
Justin Leonard	31.32%	3.2
K.J. Choi	48.50%	2.1
Ken Duke	26.24%	3.8
Ken Tanigawa	31.27%	3.2
Kirk Triplett	20.01%	5
Lee Janzen	9.53%	10
Mark Hensby	32.68%	3.1
Mark Walker	16.50%	6.1
Mark Wilson	21.88%	4.6
Michael Allen	2.88%	35
Miguel Angel Jimenez	54.58%	1.83
Mike Weir	14.33%	7
Padraig Harrington	67.39%	1.48
Patrik Sjoland	3.63%	28
Paul Broadhurst	31.79%	3.1
Paul Goydos	29.02%	3.4
Retief Goosen	34.18%	2.9
Ricardo Gonzalez	29.05%	3.4
Richard Green	43.03%	2.3
Rocco Mediate	22.50%	4.4
Rod Pampling	38.72%	2.6
Scott Dunlap	15.17%	6.6
Scott McCarron	18.07%	5.5
Scott Verplank	1.88%	53
Shane Bertsch	23.01%	4.3
Stephen Ames	43.96%	2.3
Steve Allan	28.92%	3.5
Steve Flesch	30.64%	3.3
Steve Holmes	19.12%	5.2
Steven Alker	67.98%	1.47
Stewart Cink	68.92%	1.45
Stuart Appleby	16.29%	6.1
Thomas Bjorn	38.56%	2.6
Thongchai Jaidee	25.68%	3.9
Tim O'Neal	23.90%	4.2
Tim Petrovic	23.14%	4.3
Tom Lehman	6.05%	17
Tom Pernice	6.65%	15
Vijay Singh	25.30%	4
Woody Austin	13.73%	7.3
Y.E. Yang	40.18%	2.5

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	63.76%	1.57
Bernhard Langer	73.66%	1.36
Billy Andrade	47.16%	2.1
Billy Mayfair	20.54%	4.9
Bob Estes	42.59%	2.3
Boo Weekley	28.34%	3.5
Brandt Jobe	14.31%	7
Brendan Jones	30.30%	3.3
Brian Gay	42.80%	2.3
Cameron Percy	62.35%	1.6
Chad Campbell	18.68%	5.4
Charlie Wi	42.63%	2.3
Chris DiMarco	16.79%	6
Colin Montgomerie	30.17%	3.3
Corey Pavin	8.03%	12
Darren Clarke	65.29%	1.53
David Bransdon	30.15%	3.3
David Duval	11.59%	8.6
David Frost	7.18%	14
David Mathis	1.97%	51
David Toms	44.94%	2.2
Dicky Pride	38.40%	2.6
Doug Barron	53.23%	1.88
Ernie Els	77.73%	1.29
Felipe Aguilar	45.24%	2.2
Fred Couples	65.53%	1.53
Fred Funk	6.56%	15
Freddie Jacobson	41.36%	2.4
Greg Chalmers	54.43%	1.84
Harrison Frazar	20.75%	4.8
Hiroyuki Fujita	39.27%	2.5
James Kingston	15.09%	6.6
Jason Caron	57.93%	1.73
Jay Haas	14.09%	7.1
Jeff Maggert	23.84%	4.2
Joe Durant	39.25%	2.5
John Daly	2.49%	40
Justin Leonard	47.71%	2.1
K.J. Choi	64.96%	1.54
Ken Duke	41.56%	2.4
Ken Tanigawa	47.46%	2.1
Kirk Triplett	33.80%	3
Lee Janzen	18.73%	5.3
Mark Hensby	48.72%	2.1
Mark Walker	29.45%	3.4
Mark Wilson	36.01%	2.8
Michael Allen	7.00%	14
Miguel Angel Jimenez	70.26%	1.42
Mike Weir	26.08%	3.8
Padraig Harrington	80.57%	1.24
Patrik Sjoland	8.50%	12
Paul Broadhurst	48.00%	2.1
Paul Goydos	44.78%	2.2
Retief Goosen	50.55%	1.98
Ricardo Gonzalez	44.93%	2.2
Richard Green	59.64%	1.68
Rocco Mediate	36.90%	2.7
Rod Pampling	55.46%	1.8
Scott Dunlap	27.38%	3.7
Scott McCarron	31.45%	3.2
Scott Verplank	5.02%	20
Shane Bertsch	37.59%	2.7
Stephen Ames	60.60%	1.65
Steve Allan	44.66%	2.2
Steve Flesch	46.74%	2.1
Steve Holmes	32.76%	3.1
Steven Alker	81.06%	1.23
Stewart Cink	81.64%	1.22
Stuart Appleby	29.19%	3.4
Thomas Bjorn	55.19%	1.81
Thongchai Jaidee	40.94%	2.4
Tim O'Neal	38.73%	2.6
Tim Petrovic	37.85%	2.6
Tom Lehman	13.16%	7.6
Tom Pernice	14.09%	7.1
Vijay Singh	40.56%	2.5
Woody Austin	25.02%	4
Y.E. Yang	56.90%	1.76

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	76.92%	1.3
Bernhard Langer	84.41%	1.18
Billy Andrade	62.20%	1.61
Billy Mayfair	33.14%	3
Bob Estes	57.73%	1.73
Boo Weekley	42.62%	2.3
Brandt Jobe	24.90%	4
Brendan Jones	44.72%	2.2
Brian Gay	57.92%	1.73
Cameron Percy	75.58%	1.32
Chad Campbell	31.01%	3.2
Charlie Wi	58.00%	1.72
Chris DiMarco	28.55%	3.5
Colin Montgomerie	44.71%	2.2
Corey Pavin	15.61%	6.4
Darren Clarke	78.07%	1.28
David Bransdon	44.63%	2.2
David Duval	20.99%	4.8
David Frost	14.15%	7.1
David Mathis	4.73%	21
David Toms	60.17%	1.66
Dicky Pride	53.64%	1.86
Doug Barron	67.71%	1.48
Ernie Els	87.08%	1.15
Felipe Aguilar	60.51%	1.65
Fred Couples	78.17%	1.28
Fred Funk	13.26%	7.5
Freddie Jacobson	56.38%	1.77
Greg Chalmers	68.67%	1.46
Harrison Frazar	33.45%	3
Hiroyuki Fujita	54.57%	1.83
James Kingston	26.07%	3.8
Jason Caron	71.83%	1.39
Jay Haas	24.52%	4.1
Jeff Maggert	37.45%	2.7
Joe Durant	54.49%	1.84
John Daly	5.85%	17
Justin Leonard	62.68%	1.6
K.J. Choi	77.70%	1.29
Ken Duke	57.01%	1.75
Ken Tanigawa	62.52%	1.6
Kirk Triplett	48.75%	2.1
Lee Janzen	31.05%	3.2
Mark Hensby	63.47%	1.58
Mark Walker	43.77%	2.3
Mark Wilson	50.93%	1.96
Michael Allen	13.93%	7.2
Miguel Angel Jimenez	81.78%	1.22
Mike Weir	40.02%	2.5
Padraig Harrington	89.17%	1.12
Patrik Sjoland	16.37%	6.1
Paul Broadhurst	63.17%	1.58
Paul Goydos	59.82%	1.67
Retief Goosen	65.36%	1.53
Ricardo Gonzalez	60.11%	1.66
Richard Green	73.41%	1.36
Rocco Mediate	51.91%	1.93
Rod Pampling	69.71%	1.43
Scott Dunlap	41.37%	2.4
Scott McCarron	45.92%	2.2
Scott Verplank	10.67%	9.4
Shane Bertsch	52.74%	1.9
Stephen Ames	73.98%	1.35
Steve Allan	59.85%	1.67
Steve Flesch	61.95%	1.61
Steve Holmes	47.45%	2.1
Steven Alker	89.42%	1.12
Stewart Cink	89.80%	1.11
Stuart Appleby	43.45%	2.3
Thomas Bjorn	69.60%	1.44
Thongchai Jaidee	56.07%	1.78
Tim O'Neal	53.98%	1.85
Tim Petrovic	53.10%	1.88
Tom Lehman	23.26%	4.3
Tom Pernice	24.69%	4.1
Vijay Singh	55.80%	1.79
Woody Austin	38.78%	2.6
Y.E. Yang	71.09%	1.41

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	0.00%	10000
Bernhard Langer	0.00%	10000
Billy Andrade	0.00%	10000
Billy Mayfair	0.00%	10000
Bob Estes	0.00%	10000
Boo Weekley	0.00%	10000
Brandt Jobe	0.00%	10000
Brendan Jones	0.00%	10000
Brian Gay	0.00%	10000
Cameron Percy	0.00%	10000
Chad Campbell	0.00%	10000
Charlie Wi	0.00%	10000
Chris DiMarco	0.00%	10000
Colin Montgomerie	0.00%	10000
Corey Pavin	0.00%	10000
Darren Clarke	0.00%	10000
David Bransdon	0.00%	10000
David Duval	0.00%	10000
David Frost	0.00%	10000
David Mathis	0.00%	10000
David Toms	0.00%	10000
Dicky Pride	0.00%	10000
Doug Barron	0.00%	10000
Ernie Els	0.00%	10000
Felipe Aguilar	0.00%	10000
Fred Couples	0.00%	10000
Fred Funk	0.00%	10000
Freddie Jacobson	0.00%	10000
Greg Chalmers	0.00%	10000
Harrison Frazar	0.00%	10000
Hiroyuki Fujita	0.00%	10000
James Kingston	0.00%	10000
Jason Caron	0.00%	10000
Jay Haas	0.00%	10000
Jeff Maggert	0.00%	10000
Joe Durant	0.00%	10000
John Daly	0.00%	10000
Justin Leonard	0.00%	10000
K.J. Choi	0.00%	10000
Ken Duke	0.00%	10000
Ken Tanigawa	0.00%	10000
Kirk Triplett	0.00%	10000
Lee Janzen	0.00%	10000
Mark Hensby	0.00%	10000
Mark Walker	0.00%	10000
Mark Wilson	0.00%	10000
Michael Allen	0.00%	10000
Miguel Angel Jimenez	0.00%	10000
Mike Weir	0.00%	10000
Padraig Harrington	0.00%	10000
Patrik Sjoland	0.00%	10000
Paul Broadhurst	0.00%	10000
Paul Goydos	0.00%	10000
Retief Goosen	0.00%	10000
Ricardo Gonzalez	0.00%	10000
Richard Green	0.00%	10000
Rocco Mediate	0.00%	10000
Rod Pampling	0.00%	10000
Scott Dunlap	0.00%	10000
Scott McCarron	0.00%	10000
Scott Verplank	0.00%	10000
Shane Bertsch	0.00%	10000
Stephen Ames	0.00%	10000
Steve Allan	0.00%	10000
Steve Flesch	0.00%	10000
Steve Holmes	0.00%	10000
Steven Alker	0.00%	10000
Stewart Cink	0.00%	10000
Stuart Appleby	0.00%	10000
Thomas Bjorn	0.00%	10000
Thongchai Jaidee	0.00%	10000
Tim O'Neal	0.00%	10000
Tim Petrovic	0.00%	10000
Tom Lehman	0.00%	10000
Tom Pernice	0.00%	10000
Vijay Singh	0.00%	10000
Woody Austin	0.00%	10000
Y.E. Yang	0.00%	10000

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	2.38%	42	34		4
Bernhard Langer	3.26%	31	21		72
Billy Andrade	1.44%	69	61		54
Billy Mayfair	0.53%	189	251	0.10%	49	-0.1	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Bob Estes	1.27%	79	101	0.30%	15	-0.3	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Boo Weekley	0.78%	128	251	0.40%	63	-0.4	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brandt Jobe	0.39%	256	251		24
Brendan Jones	0.79%	127	101		1
Brian Gay	1.30%	77	126	0.50%	24	-0.5	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cameron Percy	2.39%	42	51	0.40%	7	-0.4	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chad Campbell	0.47%	213	181		49
Charlie Wi	1.19%	84	101	0.20%	7	-0.2	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chris DiMarco	0.43%	233	251		63
Colin Montgomerie	0.77%	130	101		36
Corey Pavin	0.23%	435	451		36
Darren Clarke	2.53%	40	34		24
David Bransdon	0.80%	125	101		36
David Duval	0.28%	357	351		36
David Frost	0.21%	476	701	0.10%	72	-0.1	Bet365: 700/1, 5pl, 1/4
David Mathis	0.08%	1250	201		72
David Toms	1.38%	72	91	0.30%	15	-0.3	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dicky Pride	1.11%	90	101	0.10%	36	-0.1	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Doug Barron	1.75%	57	51		24
Ernie Els	3.75%	27	19		4
Felipe Aguilar	1.31%	76	76		54
Fred Couples	2.52%	40	36		7
Fred Funk	0.18%	556	701		63
Freddie Jacobson	1.18%	85	76		2
Greg Chalmers	1.77%	56	41		24
Harrison Frazar	0.54%	185	101		36
Hiroyuki Fujita	1.11%	90	71		78
James Kingston	0.39%	256	81		63
Jason Caron	2.00%	50	41		24
Jay Haas	0.37%	270	251		36
Jeff Maggert	0.65%	154	251	0.30%	54	-0.3	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Joe Durant	1.10%	91	67		49
John Daly	0.08%	1250	401		49
Justin Leonard	1.36%	74	36		36
K.J. Choi	2.46%	41	34		7
Ken Duke	1.20%	83	101	0.20%	15	-0.2	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ken Tanigawa	1.41%	71	61		15
Kirk Triplett	0.88%	114	251	0.50%	24	-0.5	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lee Janzen	0.46%	217	351	0.20%	63	-0.2	Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mark Hensby	1.47%	68	67		54
Mark Walker	0.77%	130	101		54
Mark Wilson	1.06%	94	151	0.40%	54	-0.4	Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michael Allen	0.21%	476	351		2
Miguel Angel Jimenez	2.92%	34	29		7
Mike Weir	0.63%	159	101		24
Padraig Harrington	4.27%	23	13		24
Patrik Sjoland	0.26%	385	151		72
Paul Broadhurst	1.46%	68	61		7
Paul Goydos	1.36%	74	101	0.40%	49	-0.4	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Retief Goosen	1.56%	64	36		15
Ricardo Gonzalez	1.29%	78	51		54
Richard Green	2.06%	49	34		15
Rocco Mediate	0.98%	102	101		72
Rod Pampling	1.86%	54	41		24
Scott Dunlap	0.73%	137	251	0.30%	36	-0.3	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Scott McCarron	0.85%	118	126	0.10%	63	-0.1	Boyle Sports: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Scott Verplank	0.17%	588	751		36
Shane Bertsch	1.04%	96	101	0.10%	36	-0.1	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stephen Ames	2.10%	48	34		36
Steve Allan	1.29%	78	101	0.30%	4	2.3	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Steve Flesch	1.39%	72	71		15
Steve Holmes	0.89%	112	251	0.50%	15	-0.5	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Steven Alker	4.30%	23	13		7
Stewart Cink	4.44%	23	15		15
Stuart Appleby	0.72%	139	151	0.10%	54	-0.1	Boyle Sports: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Thomas Bjorn	1.87%	53	36		24
Thongchai Jaidee	1.18%	85	67		63
Tim O'Neal	1.10%	91	71		36
Tim Petrovic	1.05%	95	81		54
Tom Lehman	0.31%	323	701	0.20%	63	-0.2	Bet365: 700/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tom Pernice	0.33%	303	501	0.10%	72	-0.1	VBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Vijay Singh	1.15%	87	46		24
Woody Austin	0.63%	159	251	0.20%	63	-0.2	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Y.E. Yang	1.86%	54	46		7

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Cameron Percy	2.67%	37	71	1.30%	14	-2	Skybet: 70/1, 5pl, 1/5
WIN: Fred Couples	3.33%	30	41	0.90%	8	-2	Paddy Power: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
WIN: Y.E. Yang	1.97%	51	67	0.50%	4	12.2	Paddy Power: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL: Brian Gay	1.30%	77	126	0.50%	24	-2	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Kirk Triplett	0.88%	114	251	0.50%	24	-2	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Steve Holmes	0.89%	112	251	0.50%	15	-2	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.