Simulation Results: Trophy Hassan II

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva	0.81%	123	81		5
Angel Cabrera	0.71%	141	61		19
Billy Andrade	0.43%	233	176		14
Billy Mayfair	0.14%	714	1001		33
Boo Weekley	0.24%	417	301		55
Brandt Jobe	0.20%	500	501		47
Brett Quigley	0.94%	106	91		9
Brian Gay	1.63%	61	101	0.60%	47	-0.6	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cameron Percy	2.41%	41	51	0.50%	53	-0.5	Paddy Power: 45/1, 6pl, 1/5
Chad Campbell	0.34%	294	201		59
Chris DiMarco	0.10%	1000	501		47
Colin Montgomerie	0.65%	154	201	0.20%	25	-0.2	Spreadex: 200/1, 5pl, 1/5
David Duval	0.12%	833	401		39
Doug Barron	2.09%	48	51	0.10%	33	-0.1	Skybet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
Duffy Waldorf	0.05%	2000	1501		64
Ernie Els	8.09%	12	13	0.40%	3	0.35	Bet365: 11/1, 5pl, 1/4
Freddie Jacobson	3.23%	31	67	1.80%	28	-1.8	Paddy Power: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Gene Sauers	0.35%	286	301		14
Glen Day	0.23%	435	401		39
Greg Chalmers	1.52%	66	81	0.30%	14	-0.3	Spreadex: 80/1, 5pl, 1/5
Heath Slocum	0.29%	345	201		47
Hiroyuki Fujita	0.76%	132	101		19
Jason Bohn	0.01%	10000	1001		39
Jason Caron	0.95%	105	81		9
Jeev Milkha Singh	0.12%	833	251		28
Jeff Maggert	0.16%	625	751		66
Jesper Parnevik	0.04%	2500	601		63
Joe Durant	0.53%	189	201		28
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.04%	2500	1501		39
Justin Leonard	2.07%	48	41		19
K.J. Choi	1.94%	52	51		4
Ken Duke	1.35%	74	81	0.10%	46	-0.1	Spreadex: 80/1, 5pl, 1/5
Ken Tanigawa	1.73%	58	67	0.20%	36	-0.2	Skybet: 66/1, 5pl, 1/5
Kevin Sutherland	0.92%	109	126	0.10%	36	-0.1	Spreadex: 125/1, 5pl, 1/5
Kirk Triplett	0.27%	370	351		62
Mark Hensby	2.22%	45	61	0.60%	28	-0.6	888sport: 60/1, 5pl, 1/5
Mark Wilson	0.16%	625	301		25
Miguel Angel Jimenez	5.04%	20	15		1
Olin Browne	0.04%	2500	1501		64
Padraig Harrington	10.48%	9.5	6		6
Paul Broadhurst	1.47%	68	71	0.10%	9	-0.1	Boyle Sports: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Paul Goydos	0.72%	139	151	0.10%	9	-0.1	Spreadex: 150/1, 5pl, 1/5
Peter Baker	0.80%	125	67		28
Retief Goosen	1.91%	52	34		57
Ricardo Gonzalez	1.42%	70	34		14
Richard Green	2.16%	46	17		9
Rod Pampling	1.80%	56	61	0.20%	39	-0.2	Paddy Power: 60/1, 6pl, 1/5
Scott Hend	2.32%	43	56	0.50%	14	-0.5	Paddy Power: 55/1, 6pl, 1/5
Scott McCarron	0.14%	714	601		25
Scott Verplank	0.02%	5000	1501		59
Shane Bertsch	0.48%	208	101		47
Simon Griffiths	1.18%	85	81		36
Steve Flesch	1.21%	83	61		19
Steve Pate	0.02%	5000	1501		44
Steven Alker	10.42%	9.6	7		2
Stewart Cink	11.43%	8.7	7.5		6
Stuart Appleby	0.46%	217	161		47
Thomas Bjorn	1.43%	70	23		6
Thomas Levet	0.00%	10000	1501		33
Thongchai Jaidee	3.32%	30	51	1.40%	44	-1.4	Skybet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
Tim Herron	0.24%	417	401		55
Tim O'Neal	1.00%	100	81		19
Tim Petrovic	0.42%	238	126		53
Tom Pernice	0.10%	1000	1001		57
Woody Austin	0.23%	435	301		61
Y.E. Yang	1.91%	52	46		19

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva	3.14%	32
Angel Cabrera	2.76%	36
Billy Andrade	1.83%	55
Billy Mayfair	0.62%	161
Boo Weekley	1.12%	89
Brandt Jobe	0.90%	111
Brett Quigley	3.53%	28
Brian Gay	5.49%	18
Cameron Percy	7.84%	13
Chad Campbell	1.44%	69
Chris DiMarco	0.51%	196
Colin Montgomerie	2.61%	38
David Duval	0.58%	172
Doug Barron	6.88%	15
Duffy Waldorf	0.23%	435
Ernie Els	20.16%	5
Freddie Jacobson	9.88%	10
Gene Sauers	1.53%	65
Glen Day	1.10%	91
Greg Chalmers	5.38%	19
Heath Slocum	1.22%	82
Hiroyuki Fujita	2.85%	35
Jason Bohn	0.09%	1111
Jason Caron	3.50%	29
Jeev Milkha Singh	0.53%	189
Jeff Maggert	0.75%	133
Jesper Parnevik	0.21%	476
Joe Durant	2.19%	46
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.16%	625
Justin Leonard	6.74%	15
K.J. Choi	6.47%	15
Ken Duke	4.68%	21
Ken Tanigawa	5.83%	17
Kevin Sutherland	3.41%	29
Kirk Triplett	1.21%	83
Mark Hensby	7.18%	14
Mark Wilson	0.72%	139
Miguel Angel Jimenez	13.87%	7.2
Olin Browne	0.21%	476
Padraig Harrington	24.72%	4
Paul Broadhurst	5.20%	19
Paul Goydos	2.86%	35
Peter Baker	2.96%	34
Retief Goosen	6.24%	16
Ricardo Gonzalez	4.94%	20
Richard Green	6.90%	14
Rod Pampling	6.01%	17
Scott Hend	7.64%	13
Scott McCarron	0.73%	137
Scott Verplank	0.09%	1111
Shane Bertsch	1.91%	52
Simon Griffiths	4.33%	23
Steve Flesch	4.30%	23
Steve Pate	0.11%	909
Steven Alker	24.35%	4.1
Stewart Cink	26.15%	3.8
Stuart Appleby	1.92%	52
Thomas Bjorn	5.11%	20
Thomas Levet	0.02%	5000
Thongchai Jaidee	9.78%	10
Tim Herron	1.01%	99
Tim O'Neal	3.66%	27
Tim Petrovic	1.87%	53
Tom Pernice	0.48%	208
Woody Austin	1.01%	99
Y.E. Yang	6.39%	16

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva	5.81%	17
Angel Cabrera	5.20%	19
Billy Andrade	3.54%	28
Billy Mayfair	1.37%	73
Boo Weekley	2.32%	43
Brandt Jobe	1.97%	51
Brett Quigley	6.65%	15
Brian Gay	9.73%	10
Cameron Percy	13.19%	7.6
Chad Campbell	2.88%	35
Chris DiMarco	1.08%	93
Colin Montgomerie	4.98%	20
David Duval	1.29%	78
Doug Barron	11.87%	8.4
Duffy Waldorf	0.55%	182
Ernie Els	29.61%	3.4
Freddie Jacobson	15.97%	6.3
Gene Sauers	3.06%	33
Glen Day	2.25%	44
Greg Chalmers	9.48%	11
Heath Slocum	2.54%	39
Hiroyuki Fujita	5.32%	19
Jason Bohn	0.22%	455
Jason Caron	6.52%	15
Jeev Milkha Singh	1.21%	83
Jeff Maggert	1.60%	63
Jesper Parnevik	0.48%	208
Joe Durant	4.30%	23
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.36%	278
Justin Leonard	11.63%	8.6
K.J. Choi	11.12%	9
Ken Duke	8.49%	12
Ken Tanigawa	10.20%	9.8
Kevin Sutherland	6.38%	16
Kirk Triplett	2.52%	40
Mark Hensby	12.21%	8.2
Mark Wilson	1.58%	63
Miguel Angel Jimenez	21.79%	4.6
Olin Browne	0.50%	200
Padraig Harrington	35.17%	2.8
Paul Broadhurst	9.24%	11
Paul Goydos	5.31%	19
Peter Baker	5.55%	18
Retief Goosen	10.83%	9.2
Ricardo Gonzalez	8.83%	11
Richard Green	11.88%	8.4
Rod Pampling	10.45%	9.6
Scott Hend	12.77%	7.8
Scott McCarron	1.57%	64
Scott Verplank	0.26%	385
Shane Bertsch	3.75%	27
Simon Griffiths	7.96%	13
Steve Flesch	7.84%	13
Steve Pate	0.28%	357
Steven Alker	34.51%	2.9
Stewart Cink	36.63%	2.7
Stuart Appleby	3.80%	26
Thomas Bjorn	9.10%	11
Thomas Levet	0.06%	1667
Thongchai Jaidee	15.88%	6.3
Tim Herron	2.05%	49
Tim O'Neal	6.79%	15
Tim Petrovic	3.62%	28
Tom Pernice	1.06%	94
Woody Austin	2.09%	48
Y.E. Yang	10.97%	9.1

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva	13.42%	7.5
Angel Cabrera	12.50%	8
Billy Andrade	9.10%	11
Billy Mayfair	4.14%	24
Boo Weekley	6.32%	16
Brandt Jobe	5.62%	18
Brett Quigley	15.19%	6.6
Brian Gay	20.43%	4.9
Cameron Percy	25.77%	3.9
Chad Campbell	7.67%	13
Chris DiMarco	3.45%	29
Colin Montgomerie	12.02%	8.3
David Duval	3.96%	25
Doug Barron	23.88%	4.2
Duffy Waldorf	1.90%	53
Ernie Els	46.98%	2.1
Freddie Jacobson	30.06%	3.3
Gene Sauers	8.13%	12
Glen Day	6.11%	16
Greg Chalmers	19.88%	5
Heath Slocum	6.78%	15
Hiroyuki Fujita	12.66%	7.9
Jason Bohn	0.86%	116
Jason Caron	14.77%	6.8
Jeev Milkha Singh	3.66%	27
Jeff Maggert	4.75%	21
Jesper Parnevik	1.75%	57
Joe Durant	10.61%	9.4
Jose Maria Olazabal	1.44%	69
Justin Leonard	23.68%	4.2
K.J. Choi	22.69%	4.4
Ken Duke	18.30%	5.5
Ken Tanigawa	20.92%	4.8
Kevin Sutherland	14.49%	6.9
Kirk Triplett	6.93%	14
Mark Hensby	24.28%	4.1
Mark Wilson	4.69%	21
Miguel Angel Jimenez	37.88%	2.6
Olin Browne	1.79%	56
Padraig Harrington	53.25%	1.88
Paul Broadhurst	19.54%	5.1
Paul Goydos	12.86%	7.8
Peter Baker	13.02%	7.7
Retief Goosen	22.10%	4.5
Ricardo Gonzalez	18.86%	5.3
Richard Green	23.99%	4.2
Rod Pampling	21.81%	4.6
Scott Hend	25.28%	4
Scott McCarron	4.51%	22
Scott Verplank	1.10%	91
Shane Bertsch	9.56%	10
Simon Griffiths	17.58%	5.7
Steve Flesch	17.30%	5.8
Steve Pate	1.13%	88
Steven Alker	52.61%	1.9
Stewart Cink	54.83%	1.82
Stuart Appleby	9.65%	10
Thomas Bjorn	19.39%	5.2
Thomas Levet	0.26%	385
Thongchai Jaidee	29.96%	3.3
Tim Herron	5.60%	18
Tim O'Neal	15.30%	6.5
Tim Petrovic	9.40%	11
Tom Pernice	3.30%	30
Woody Austin	5.81%	17
Y.E. Yang	22.60%	4.4

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva	30.63%	3.3
Angel Cabrera	29.00%	3.4
Billy Andrade	23.22%	4.3
Billy Mayfair	13.09%	7.6
Boo Weekley	17.89%	5.6
Brandt Jobe	16.15%	6.2
Brett Quigley	33.29%	3
Brian Gay	40.70%	2.5
Cameron Percy	47.86%	2.1
Chad Campbell	20.26%	4.9
Chris DiMarco	11.24%	8.9
Colin Montgomerie	28.50%	3.5
David Duval	12.54%	8
Doug Barron	45.38%	2.2
Duffy Waldorf	7.10%	14
Ernie Els	69.65%	1.44
Freddie Jacobson	52.82%	1.89
Gene Sauers	21.02%	4.8
Glen Day	17.56%	5.7
Greg Chalmers	40.25%	2.5
Heath Slocum	18.84%	5.3
Hiroyuki Fujita	29.45%	3.4
Jason Bohn	3.88%	26
Jason Caron	32.48%	3.1
Jeev Milkha Singh	11.66%	8.6
Jeff Maggert	14.24%	7
Jesper Parnevik	6.42%	16
Joe Durant	25.76%	3.9
Jose Maria Olazabal	5.78%	17
Justin Leonard	45.14%	2.2
K.J. Choi	43.95%	2.3
Ken Duke	38.07%	2.6
Ken Tanigawa	41.48%	2.4
Kevin Sutherland	32.52%	3.1
Kirk Triplett	19.04%	5.3
Mark Hensby	45.84%	2.2
Mark Wilson	14.34%	7
Miguel Angel Jimenez	60.96%	1.64
Olin Browne	6.92%	14
Padraig Harrington	74.63%	1.34
Paul Broadhurst	39.64%	2.5
Paul Goydos	29.72%	3.4
Peter Baker	29.89%	3.3
Retief Goosen	43.18%	2.3
Ricardo Gonzalez	38.83%	2.6
Richard Green	45.47%	2.2
Rod Pampling	42.89%	2.3
Scott Hend	47.03%	2.1
Scott McCarron	13.75%	7.3
Scott Verplank	4.56%	22
Shane Bertsch	24.17%	4.1
Simon Griffiths	37.15%	2.7
Steve Flesch	36.48%	2.7
Steve Pate	4.75%	21
Steven Alker	74.31%	1.35
Stewart Cink	75.97%	1.32
Stuart Appleby	23.99%	4.2
Thomas Bjorn	39.73%	2.5
Thomas Levet	1.56%	64
Thongchai Jaidee	52.51%	1.9
Tim Herron	16.27%	6.1
Tim O'Neal	33.45%	3
Tim Petrovic	23.70%	4.2
Tom Pernice	10.88%	9.2
Woody Austin	16.67%	6
Y.E. Yang	43.92%	2.3

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva	48.65%	2.1
Angel Cabrera	46.58%	2.1
Billy Andrade	39.75%	2.5
Billy Mayfair	25.77%	3.9
Boo Weekley	32.98%	3
Brandt Jobe	30.16%	3.3
Brett Quigley	51.31%	1.95
Brian Gay	59.22%	1.69
Cameron Percy	65.83%	1.52
Chad Campbell	35.82%	2.8
Chris DiMarco	23.18%	4.3
Colin Montgomerie	45.88%	2.2
David Duval	24.94%	4
Doug Barron	63.79%	1.57
Duffy Waldorf	16.03%	6.2
Ernie Els	83.42%	1.2
Freddie Jacobson	70.23%	1.42
Gene Sauers	36.86%	2.7
Glen Day	32.13%	3.1
Greg Chalmers	58.47%	1.71
Heath Slocum	33.92%	2.9
Hiroyuki Fujita	47.39%	2.1
Jason Bohn	9.79%	10
Jason Caron	50.36%	1.99
Jeev Milkha Singh	23.58%	4.2
Jeff Maggert	27.60%	3.6
Jesper Parnevik	14.90%	6.7
Joe Durant	42.50%	2.4
Jose Maria Olazabal	13.60%	7.4
Justin Leonard	63.43%	1.58
K.J. Choi	62.29%	1.61
Ken Duke	56.56%	1.77
Ken Tanigawa	60.08%	1.66
Kevin Sutherland	50.52%	1.98
Kirk Triplett	34.16%	2.9
Mark Hensby	64.02%	1.56
Mark Wilson	27.83%	3.6
Miguel Angel Jimenez	76.95%	1.3
Olin Browne	15.60%	6.4
Padraig Harrington	86.71%	1.15
Paul Broadhurst	58.19%	1.72
Paul Goydos	47.39%	2.1
Peter Baker	47.67%	2.1
Retief Goosen	61.41%	1.63
Ricardo Gonzalez	57.38%	1.74
Richard Green	63.57%	1.57
Rod Pampling	60.87%	1.64
Scott Hend	65.19%	1.53
Scott McCarron	26.72%	3.7
Scott Verplank	10.97%	9.1
Shane Bertsch	40.78%	2.5
Simon Griffiths	55.51%	1.8
Steve Flesch	54.92%	1.82
Steve Pate	11.50%	8.7
Steven Alker	86.47%	1.16
Stewart Cink	87.61%	1.14
Stuart Appleby	40.72%	2.5
Thomas Bjorn	58.02%	1.72
Thomas Levet	4.60%	22
Thongchai Jaidee	69.94%	1.43
Tim Herron	30.36%	3.3
Tim O'Neal	51.73%	1.93
Tim Petrovic	40.23%	2.5
Tom Pernice	22.24%	4.5
Woody Austin	30.94%	3.2
Y.E. Yang	62.32%	1.6

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva	65.77%	1.52
Angel Cabrera	64.04%	1.56
Billy Andrade	57.59%	1.74
Billy Mayfair	41.89%	2.4
Boo Weekley	50.38%	1.98
Brandt Jobe	47.13%	2.1
Brett Quigley	68.47%	1.46
Brian Gay	74.94%	1.33
Cameron Percy	80.10%	1.25
Chad Campbell	53.37%	1.87
Chris DiMarco	38.92%	2.6
Colin Montgomerie	63.42%	1.58
David Duval	41.01%	2.4
Doug Barron	78.65%	1.27
Duffy Waldorf	29.44%	3.4
Ernie Els	91.89%	1.09
Freddie Jacobson	83.43%	1.2
Gene Sauers	54.55%	1.83
Glen Day	49.53%	2
Greg Chalmers	74.12%	1.35
Heath Slocum	51.28%	1.95
Hiroyuki Fujita	64.96%	1.54
Jason Bohn	20.05%	5
Jason Caron	67.58%	1.48
Jeev Milkha Singh	39.40%	2.5
Jeff Maggert	44.49%	2.2
Jesper Parnevik	27.84%	3.6
Joe Durant	60.28%	1.66
Jose Maria Olazabal	25.73%	3.9
Justin Leonard	78.45%	1.27
K.J. Choi	77.47%	1.29
Ken Duke	72.87%	1.37
Ken Tanigawa	75.68%	1.32
Kevin Sutherland	67.36%	1.48
Kirk Triplett	51.73%	1.93
Mark Hensby	78.85%	1.27
Mark Wilson	44.66%	2.2
Miguel Angel Jimenez	88.03%	1.14
Olin Browne	28.78%	3.5
Padraig Harrington	93.91%	1.06
Paul Broadhurst	74.21%	1.35
Paul Goydos	64.85%	1.54
Peter Baker	65.10%	1.54
Retief Goosen	76.88%	1.3
Ricardo Gonzalez	73.51%	1.36
Richard Green	78.48%	1.27
Rod Pampling	76.53%	1.31
Scott Hend	79.79%	1.25
Scott McCarron	43.28%	2.3
Scott Verplank	22.03%	4.5
Shane Bertsch	58.61%	1.71
Simon Griffiths	72.01%	1.39
Steve Flesch	71.51%	1.4
Steve Pate	22.82%	4.4
Steven Alker	93.75%	1.07
Stewart Cink	94.36%	1.06
Stuart Appleby	58.48%	1.71
Thomas Bjorn	73.87%	1.35
Thomas Levet	11.14%	9
Thongchai Jaidee	83.28%	1.2
Tim Herron	47.45%	2.1
Tim O'Neal	68.84%	1.45
Tim Petrovic	57.88%	1.73
Tom Pernice	37.81%	2.6
Woody Austin	48.06%	2.1
Y.E. Yang	77.46%	1.29

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva	0.00%	10000
Angel Cabrera	0.00%	10000
Billy Andrade	0.00%	10000
Billy Mayfair	0.00%	10000
Boo Weekley	0.00%	10000
Brandt Jobe	0.00%	10000
Brett Quigley	0.00%	10000
Brian Gay	0.00%	10000
Cameron Percy	0.00%	10000
Chad Campbell	0.00%	10000
Chris DiMarco	0.00%	10000
Colin Montgomerie	0.00%	10000
David Duval	0.00%	10000
Doug Barron	0.00%	10000
Duffy Waldorf	0.00%	10000
Ernie Els	0.00%	10000
Freddie Jacobson	0.00%	10000
Gene Sauers	0.00%	10000
Glen Day	0.00%	10000
Greg Chalmers	0.00%	10000
Heath Slocum	0.00%	10000
Hiroyuki Fujita	0.00%	10000
Jason Bohn	0.00%	10000
Jason Caron	0.00%	10000
Jeev Milkha Singh	0.00%	10000
Jeff Maggert	0.00%	10000
Jesper Parnevik	0.00%	10000
Joe Durant	0.00%	10000
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.00%	10000
Justin Leonard	0.00%	10000
K.J. Choi	0.00%	10000
Ken Duke	0.00%	10000
Ken Tanigawa	0.00%	10000
Kevin Sutherland	0.00%	10000
Kirk Triplett	0.00%	10000
Mark Hensby	0.00%	10000
Mark Wilson	0.00%	10000
Miguel Angel Jimenez	0.00%	10000
Olin Browne	0.00%	10000
Padraig Harrington	0.00%	10000
Paul Broadhurst	0.00%	10000
Paul Goydos	0.00%	10000
Peter Baker	0.00%	10000
Retief Goosen	0.00%	10000
Ricardo Gonzalez	0.00%	10000
Richard Green	0.00%	10000
Rod Pampling	0.00%	10000
Scott Hend	0.00%	10000
Scott McCarron	0.00%	10000
Scott Verplank	0.00%	10000
Shane Bertsch	0.00%	10000
Simon Griffiths	0.00%	10000
Steve Flesch	0.00%	10000
Steve Pate	0.00%	10000
Steven Alker	0.00%	10000
Stewart Cink	0.00%	10000
Stuart Appleby	0.00%	10000
Thomas Bjorn	0.00%	10000
Thomas Levet	0.00%	10000
Thongchai Jaidee	0.00%	10000
Tim Herron	0.00%	10000
Tim O'Neal	0.00%	10000
Tim Petrovic	0.00%	10000
Tom Pernice	0.00%	10000
Woody Austin	0.00%	10000
Y.E. Yang	0.00%	10000

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva	1.40%	71	51		3
Angel Cabrera	1.26%	79	46		40
Billy Andrade	1.01%	99	81		24
Billy Mayfair	0.60%	167	251	0.20%	45	-0.2	Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Boo Weekley	0.80%	125	101		24
Brandt Jobe	0.69%	145	176	0.10%	24	-0.1	Spreadex: 175/1, 5pl, 1/5
Brett Quigley	1.38%	72	67		3
Brian Gay	1.86%	54	67	0.40%	52	-0.4	Bet365: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cameron Percy	2.36%	42	36		54
Chad Campbell	0.92%	109	81		54
Chris DiMarco	0.56%	179	151		40
Colin Montgomerie	1.22%	82	81		24
David Duval	0.58%	172	151		45
Doug Barron	2.13%	47	41		33
Duffy Waldorf	0.38%	263	276		54
Ernie Els	4.30%	23	19		15
Freddie Jacobson	2.71%	37	36		15
Gene Sauers	0.95%	105	101		24
Glen Day	0.75%	133	141		33
Greg Chalmers	1.89%	53	46		15
Heath Slocum	0.82%	122	101		52
Hiroyuki Fujita	1.36%	74	67		3
Jason Bohn	0.22%	455	251		33
Jason Caron	1.42%	70	51		10
Jeev Milkha Singh	0.56%	179	101		33
Jeff Maggert	0.63%	159	191	0.10%	65	-0.1	Bet365: 190/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jesper Parnevik	0.35%	286	151		45
Joe Durant	1.14%	88	91		59
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.33%	303	301		33
Justin Leonard	2.17%	46	34		24
K.J. Choi	2.09%	48	36		33
Ken Duke	1.76%	57	51		15
Ken Tanigawa	1.96%	51	51		10
Kevin Sutherland	1.49%	67	67		40
Kirk Triplett	0.85%	118	141	0.10%	59	-0.1	Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mark Hensby	2.13%	47	41		15
Mark Wilson	0.67%	149	126		45
Miguel Angel Jimenez	3.42%	29	23		3
Olin Browne	0.34%	294	301		66
Padraig Harrington	5.16%	19	12		15
Paul Broadhurst	1.90%	53	51		15
Paul Goydos	1.34%	75	67		10
Peter Baker	1.34%	75	41		45
Retief Goosen	2.00%	50	34		59
Ricardo Gonzalez	1.77%	56	31		15
Richard Green	2.22%	45	23		45
Rod Pampling	1.97%	51	36		33
Scott Hend	2.22%	45	41		10
Scott McCarron	0.64%	156	201	0.10%	40	-0.1	Unibet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/5
Scott Verplank	0.28%	357	301		54
Shane Bertsch	1.11%	90	51		54
Simon Griffiths	1.73%	58	51		1
Steve Flesch	1.63%	61	41		24
Steve Pate	0.29%	345	301		24
Steven Alker	5.12%	20	13		1
Stewart Cink	5.43%	18	13		10
Stuart Appleby	1.09%	92	81		64
Thomas Bjorn	1.76%	57	29		15
Thomas Levet	0.15%	667	301		3
Thongchai Jaidee	2.73%	37	36		59
Tim Herron	0.79%	127	141	0.10%	59	-0.1	Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tim O'Neal	1.52%	66	51		3
Tim Petrovic	1.06%	94	67		40
Tom Pernice	0.50%	200	251	0.10%	24	-0.1	Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Woody Austin	0.74%	135	126		45
Y.E. Yang	2.13%	47	36		3

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Freddie Jacobson	3.23%	31	67	1.80%	28	-2	Paddy Power: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
WIN: Thongchai Jaidee	3.32%	30	51	1.40%	44	-2	Skybet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
WIN: Mark Hensby	2.22%	45	61	0.60%	28	-2	888sport: 60/1, 5pl, 1/5
FRL: Brian Gay	1.86%	54	67	0.40%	52	-2	Bet365: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Billy Mayfair	0.60%	167	251	0.20%	45	-2	Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL: Kirk Triplett	0.85%	118	141	0.10%	59	-2	Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.