Simulation Results: The Ally Challenge

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	3.32%	30	26		18
Angel Cabrera	2.02%	50	19		58
Bernhard Langer	3.56%	28	41	1.10%	38	-1.1	Unibet: 40/1, 5pl, 1/5
Billy Andrade	0.13%	769	401		46
Bo Van Pelt	0.30%	333	101		53
Bob Estes	0.36%	278	201		12
Boo Weekley	0.31%	323	81		32
Brandt Jobe	0.07%	1429	401		38
Brendan Jones	0.17%	588	351		68
Brian Gay	0.25%	400	401		8
Cameron Percy	2.80%	36	23		3
Charlie Wi	0.76%	132	81		18
Chris DiMarco	0.03%	3333	751		53
Corey Pavin	0.01%	10000	1001		46
Dan Rooney	0.00%	10000	1501		78
Darren Clarke	3.33%	30	29		12
David Bransdon	0.09%	1111	401		8
David Duval	0.08%	1250	201		70
Doug Barron	1.05%	95	61		18
Duffy Waldorf	0.00%	10000	2501		58
Ernie Els	8.80%	11	13	1.20%	2	1.2	Star Sports: 12/1, 5pl, 1/4
Felipe Aguilar	0.37%	270	176		72
Fred Funk	0.00%	10000	2001		76
Gene Sauers	0.09%	1111	601		38
Greg Chalmers	1.82%	55	41		30
Harrison Frazar	0.62%	161	71		24
Heath Slocum	0.13%	769	401		24
Hiroyuki Fujita	0.06%	1667	751		46
J.J. Henry	0.84%	119	201	0.30%	32	-0.3	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jason Caron	2.38%	42	29		46
Jeff Maggert	0.06%	1667	401		53
Joe Durant	0.51%	196	251	0.10%	32	-0.1	Spreadex: 250/1, 5pl, 1/5
John Daly	0.00%	10000	1501		76
John Rollins	0.22%	455	81		60
John Senden	0.00%	10000	1501		65
Ken Duke	0.32%	313	101		38
Ken Tanigawa	0.56%	179	201	0.10%	60	-0.1	PaddyPower: 200/1, 5pl, 1/5
Kenny Perry	0.03%	3333	251		24
Kirk Triplett	0.04%	2500	501		72
Lee Janzen	0.01%	10000	1501		60
Mario Tiziani	0.30%	333	161		12
Mark Hensby	0.89%	112	41		18
Mark Walker	0.07%	1429	601		46
Mark Wilson	0.21%	476	351		60
Michael Wright	0.68%	147	46		65
Mike Weir	0.31%	323	301		65
Olin Browne	0.00%	10000	1501		70
Padraig Harrington	5.68%	18	10		53
Paul Broadhurst	0.19%	526	301		53
Paul Stankowski	0.73%	137	61		38
Retief Goosen	1.73%	58	34		6
Ricardo Gonzalez	1.51%	66	34		12
Richard Green	2.71%	37	26		46
Robert Karlsson	0.17%	588	301		18
Rocco Mediate	0.07%	1429	751		38
Rod Pampling	0.64%	156	126		46
Scott Dunlap	0.03%	3333	751		68
Scott McCarron	0.03%	3333	601		32
Shane Bertsch	0.38%	263	151		12
Soren Kjeldsen	6.92%	14	17	1.10%	3	1.65	Bet365: 16/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stephen Ames	1.22%	82	67		38
Stephen Gallacher	2.25%	44	81	1.00%	24	-1	Spreadex: 80/1, 5pl, 1/5
Steve Allan	2.60%	38	17		8
Steve Flesch	0.65%	154	91		24
Steven Alker	11.59%	8.6	10	1.80%	3	1.0125	Bet365: 8.5/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stewart Cink	12.42%	8.1	7		1
Thomas Bjorn	2.73%	37	23		12
Thongchai Jaidee	0.51%	196	151		6
Tim O'Neal	0.62%	161	201	0.10%	38	-0.1	PaddyPower: 200/1, 5pl, 1/5
Tim Petrovic	0.61%	164	81		30
Tom Pernice	0.01%	10000	1501		60
Tommy Gainey	2.57%	39	29		32
Vijay Singh	1.73%	58	41		8
Woody Austin	0.02%	5000	1001		32
Y.E. Yang	1.74%	57	41		18

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	10.19%	9.8
Angel Cabrera	6.65%	15
Bernhard Langer	10.63%	9.4
Billy Andrade	0.71%	141
Bo Van Pelt	1.29%	78
Bob Estes	1.52%	66
Boo Weekley	1.35%	74
Brandt Jobe	0.34%	294
Brendan Jones	0.79%	127
Brian Gay	1.14%	88
Cameron Percy	8.90%	11
Charlie Wi	2.95%	34
Chris DiMarco	0.14%	714
Corey Pavin	0.04%	2500
Dan Rooney	0.00%	10000
Darren Clarke	10.18%	9.8
David Bransdon	0.44%	227
David Duval	0.39%	256
Doug Barron	3.92%	26
Duffy Waldorf	0.04%	2500
Ernie Els	21.74%	4.6
Felipe Aguilar	1.57%	64
Fred Funk	0.01%	10000
Gene Sauers	0.51%	196
Greg Chalmers	6.20%	16
Harrison Frazar	2.43%	41
Heath Slocum	0.63%	159
Hiroyuki Fujita	0.39%	256
J.J. Henry	3.28%	30
Jason Caron	7.70%	13
Jeff Maggert	0.31%	323
Joe Durant	2.06%	49
John Daly	0.00%	10000
John Rollins	1.12%	89
John Senden	0.01%	10000
Ken Duke	1.37%	73
Ken Tanigawa	2.30%	43
Kenny Perry	0.16%	625
Kirk Triplett	0.26%	385
Lee Janzen	0.06%	1667
Mario Tiziani	1.30%	77
Mark Hensby	3.43%	29
Mark Walker	0.37%	270
Mark Wilson	0.93%	108
Michael Wright	2.65%	38
Mike Weir	1.43%	70
Olin Browne	0.03%	3333
Padraig Harrington	15.40%	6.5
Paul Broadhurst	0.84%	119
Paul Stankowski	3.01%	33
Retief Goosen	5.77%	17
Ricardo Gonzalez	5.43%	18
Richard Green	8.34%	12
Robert Karlsson	0.87%	115
Rocco Mediate	0.29%	345
Rod Pampling	2.50%	40
Scott Dunlap	0.14%	714
Scott McCarron	0.14%	714
Shane Bertsch	1.65%	61
Soren Kjeldsen	18.20%	5.5
Stephen Ames	4.31%	23
Stephen Gallacher	7.23%	14
Steve Allan	8.17%	12
Steve Flesch	2.46%	41
Steven Alker	27.00%	3.7
Stewart Cink	28.22%	3.5
Thomas Bjorn	8.78%	11
Thongchai Jaidee	2.25%	44
Tim O'Neal	2.44%	41
Tim Petrovic	2.44%	41
Tom Pernice	0.08%	1250
Tommy Gainey	8.24%	12
Vijay Singh	5.91%	17
Woody Austin	0.12%	833
Y.E. Yang	5.98%	17

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	16.68%	6
Angel Cabrera	11.61%	8.6
Bernhard Langer	17.44%	5.7
Billy Andrade	1.56%	64
Bo Van Pelt	2.59%	39
Bob Estes	3.10%	32
Boo Weekley	2.87%	35
Brandt Jobe	0.78%	128
Brendan Jones	1.71%	58
Brian Gay	2.32%	43
Cameron Percy	14.98%	6.7
Charlie Wi	5.69%	18
Chris DiMarco	0.35%	286
Corey Pavin	0.12%	833
Dan Rooney	0.01%	10000
Darren Clarke	16.59%	6
David Bransdon	1.01%	99
David Duval	0.94%	106
Doug Barron	7.34%	14
Duffy Waldorf	0.09%	1111
Ernie Els	31.69%	3.2
Felipe Aguilar	3.21%	31
Fred Funk	0.01%	10000
Gene Sauers	1.15%	87
Greg Chalmers	10.77%	9.3
Harrison Frazar	4.71%	21
Heath Slocum	1.43%	70
Hiroyuki Fujita	0.91%	110
J.J. Henry	6.14%	16
Jason Caron	13.13%	7.6
Jeff Maggert	0.75%	133
Joe Durant	4.04%	25
John Daly	0.02%	5000
John Rollins	2.29%	44
John Senden	0.02%	5000
Ken Duke	2.79%	36
Ken Tanigawa	4.44%	23
Kenny Perry	0.43%	233
Kirk Triplett	0.62%	161
Lee Janzen	0.14%	714
Mario Tiziani	2.67%	37
Mark Hensby	6.38%	16
Mark Walker	0.87%	115
Mark Wilson	1.94%	52
Michael Wright	5.03%	20
Mike Weir	2.94%	34
Olin Browne	0.09%	1111
Padraig Harrington	23.75%	4.2
Paul Broadhurst	1.87%	53
Paul Stankowski	5.60%	18
Retief Goosen	10.15%	9.9
Ricardo Gonzalez	9.73%	10
Richard Green	14.09%	7.1
Robert Karlsson	1.85%	54
Rocco Mediate	0.68%	147
Rod Pampling	4.97%	20
Scott Dunlap	0.37%	270
Scott McCarron	0.33%	303
Shane Bertsch	3.37%	30
Soren Kjeldsen	27.37%	3.7
Stephen Ames	7.71%	13
Stephen Gallacher	12.41%	8.1
Steve Allan	13.64%	7.3
Steve Flesch	4.86%	21
Steven Alker	37.79%	2.6
Stewart Cink	39.39%	2.5
Thomas Bjorn	14.58%	6.9
Thongchai Jaidee	4.44%	23
Tim O'Neal	4.74%	21
Tim Petrovic	4.74%	21
Tom Pernice	0.22%	455
Tommy Gainey	13.93%	7.2
Vijay Singh	10.36%	9.7
Woody Austin	0.28%	357
Y.E. Yang	10.42%	9.6

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	31.17%	3.2
Angel Cabrera	23.75%	4.2
Bernhard Langer	32.36%	3.1
Billy Andrade	4.69%	21
Bo Van Pelt	7.02%	14
Bob Estes	8.16%	12
Boo Weekley	7.67%	13
Brandt Jobe	2.56%	39
Brendan Jones	5.04%	20
Brian Gay	6.59%	15
Cameron Percy	28.78%	3.5
Charlie Wi	13.51%	7.4
Chris DiMarco	1.19%	84
Corey Pavin	0.54%	185
Dan Rooney	0.05%	2000
Darren Clarke	31.15%	3.2
David Bransdon	3.31%	30
David Duval	2.96%	34
Doug Barron	16.39%	6.1
Duffy Waldorf	0.41%	244
Ernie Els	49.89%	2
Felipe Aguilar	8.66%	12
Fred Funk	0.08%	1250
Gene Sauers	3.58%	28
Greg Chalmers	22.37%	4.5
Harrison Frazar	11.72%	8.5
Heath Slocum	4.26%	23
Hiroyuki Fujita	2.94%	34
J.J. Henry	14.38%	7
Jason Caron	25.96%	3.9
Jeff Maggert	2.46%	41
Joe Durant	10.32%	9.7
John Daly	0.06%	1667
John Rollins	6.31%	16
John Senden	0.10%	1000
Ken Duke	7.56%	13
Ken Tanigawa	10.97%	9.1
Kenny Perry	1.53%	65
Kirk Triplett	2.12%	47
Lee Janzen	0.64%	156
Mario Tiziani	7.45%	13
Mark Hensby	14.66%	6.8
Mark Walker	2.78%	36
Mark Wilson	5.44%	18
Michael Wright	12.16%	8.2
Mike Weir	7.85%	13
Olin Browne	0.39%	256
Padraig Harrington	40.82%	2.4
Paul Broadhurst	5.33%	19
Paul Stankowski	13.22%	7.6
Retief Goosen	21.20%	4.7
Ricardo Gonzalez	20.63%	4.8
Richard Green	27.64%	3.6
Robert Karlsson	5.31%	19
Rocco Mediate	2.31%	43
Rod Pampling	12.01%	8.3
Scott Dunlap	1.28%	78
Scott McCarron	1.26%	79
Shane Bertsch	8.82%	11
Soren Kjeldsen	45.15%	2.2
Stephen Ames	17.43%	5.7
Stephen Gallacher	25.22%	4
Steve Allan	26.93%	3.7
Steve Flesch	11.87%	8.4
Steven Alker	56.35%	1.77
Stewart Cink	57.88%	1.73
Thomas Bjorn	28.35%	3.5
Thongchai Jaidee	11.09%	9
Tim O'Neal	11.64%	8.6
Tim Petrovic	11.63%	8.6
Tom Pernice	0.85%	118
Tommy Gainey	27.21%	3.7
Vijay Singh	21.64%	4.6
Woody Austin	1.04%	96
Y.E. Yang	21.99%	4.5

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	54.28%	1.84
Angel Cabrera	45.75%	2.2
Bernhard Langer	55.63%	1.8
Billy Andrade	14.04%	7.1
Bo Van Pelt	19.27%	5.2
Bob Estes	21.54%	4.6
Boo Weekley	20.77%	4.8
Brandt Jobe	9.06%	11
Brendan Jones	14.91%	6.7
Brian Gay	18.53%	5.4
Cameron Percy	51.70%	1.93
Charlie Wi	31.04%	3.2
Chris DiMarco	4.85%	21
Corey Pavin	2.55%	39
Dan Rooney	0.39%	256
Darren Clarke	54.43%	1.84
David Bransdon	10.99%	9.1
David Duval	10.03%	10
Doug Barron	35.57%	2.8
Duffy Waldorf	2.06%	49
Ernie Els	72.13%	1.39
Felipe Aguilar	22.38%	4.5
Fred Funk	0.52%	192
Gene Sauers	11.42%	8.8
Greg Chalmers	43.83%	2.3
Harrison Frazar	28.12%	3.6
Heath Slocum	13.29%	7.5
Hiroyuki Fujita	10.05%	10
J.J. Henry	32.53%	3.1
Jason Caron	48.50%	2.1
Jeff Maggert	8.62%	12
Joe Durant	25.29%	4
John Daly	0.40%	250
John Rollins	17.60%	5.7
John Senden	0.73%	137
Ken Duke	20.44%	4.9
Ken Tanigawa	26.78%	3.7
Kenny Perry	6.04%	17
Kirk Triplett	7.84%	13
Lee Janzen	3.06%	33
Mario Tiziani	20.04%	5
Mark Hensby	32.83%	3
Mark Walker	9.67%	10
Mark Wilson	15.88%	6.3
Michael Wright	28.83%	3.5
Mike Weir	20.93%	4.8
Olin Browne	2.10%	48
Padraig Harrington	64.22%	1.56
Paul Broadhurst	15.80%	6.3
Paul Stankowski	30.40%	3.3
Retief Goosen	41.99%	2.4
Ricardo Gonzalez	41.27%	2.4
Richard Green	50.37%	1.99
Robert Karlsson	15.94%	6.3
Rocco Mediate	8.22%	12
Rod Pampling	28.58%	3.5
Scott Dunlap	5.29%	19
Scott McCarron	5.28%	19
Shane Bertsch	22.80%	4.4
Soren Kjeldsen	68.21%	1.47
Stephen Ames	37.15%	2.7
Stephen Gallacher	47.20%	2.1
Steve Allan	49.26%	2
Steve Flesch	28.43%	3.5
Steven Alker	77.20%	1.3
Stewart Cink	78.65%	1.27
Thomas Bjorn	51.18%	1.95
Thongchai Jaidee	26.64%	3.8
Tim O'Neal	27.75%	3.6
Tim Petrovic	27.46%	3.6
Tom Pernice	3.60%	28
Tommy Gainey	49.80%	2
Vijay Singh	42.56%	2.3
Woody Austin	4.41%	23
Y.E. Yang	43.14%	2.3

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	71.41%	1.4
Angel Cabrera	63.77%	1.57
Bernhard Langer	72.58%	1.38
Billy Andrade	27.17%	3.7
Bo Van Pelt	34.56%	2.9
Bob Estes	37.18%	2.7
Boo Weekley	36.26%	2.8
Brandt Jobe	19.31%	5.2
Brendan Jones	28.42%	3.5
Brian Gay	33.34%	3
Cameron Percy	69.12%	1.45
Charlie Wi	48.72%	2.1
Chris DiMarco	11.54%	8.7
Corey Pavin	6.85%	15
Dan Rooney	1.53%	65
Darren Clarke	71.14%	1.41
David Bransdon	22.46%	4.5
David Duval	20.81%	4.8
Doug Barron	53.58%	1.87
Duffy Waldorf	5.72%	17
Ernie Els	84.98%	1.18
Felipe Aguilar	38.41%	2.6
Fred Funk	1.84%	54
Gene Sauers	22.99%	4.3
Greg Chalmers	61.92%	1.61
Harrison Frazar	45.17%	2.2
Heath Slocum	25.96%	3.9
Hiroyuki Fujita	20.67%	4.8
J.J. Henry	50.46%	1.98
Jason Caron	66.51%	1.5
Jeff Maggert	18.54%	5.4
Joe Durant	42.01%	2.4
John Daly	1.53%	65
John Rollins	31.89%	3.1
John Senden	2.49%	40
Ken Duke	35.98%	2.8
Ken Tanigawa	43.77%	2.3
Kenny Perry	14.03%	7.1
Kirk Triplett	17.06%	5.9
Lee Janzen	8.19%	12
Mario Tiziani	35.41%	2.8
Mark Hensby	50.61%	1.98
Mark Walker	20.28%	4.9
Mark Wilson	29.71%	3.4
Michael Wright	46.07%	2.2
Mike Weir	36.64%	2.7
Olin Browne	5.76%	17
Padraig Harrington	79.31%	1.26
Paul Broadhurst	29.57%	3.4
Paul Stankowski	48.10%	2.1
Retief Goosen	60.05%	1.67
Ricardo Gonzalez	59.32%	1.69
Richard Green	67.89%	1.47
Robert Karlsson	29.78%	3.4
Rocco Mediate	17.69%	5.7
Rod Pampling	45.88%	2.2
Scott Dunlap	12.50%	8
Scott McCarron	12.55%	8
Shane Bertsch	38.75%	2.6
Soren Kjeldsen	82.18%	1.22
Stephen Ames	55.22%	1.81
Stephen Gallacher	65.08%	1.54
Steve Allan	67.13%	1.49
Steve Flesch	45.61%	2.2
Steven Alker	88.28%	1.13
Stewart Cink	89.23%	1.12
Thomas Bjorn	68.61%	1.46
Thongchai Jaidee	43.68%	2.3
Tim O'Neal	45.27%	2.2
Tim Petrovic	44.58%	2.2
Tom Pernice	9.20%	11
Tommy Gainey	67.63%	1.48
Vijay Singh	60.64%	1.65
Woody Austin	10.79%	9.3
Y.E. Yang	61.14%	1.64

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	83.57%	1.2
Angel Cabrera	77.96%	1.28
Bernhard Langer	84.45%	1.18
Billy Andrade	42.82%	2.3
Bo Van Pelt	51.07%	1.96
Bob Estes	54.01%	1.85
Boo Weekley	52.79%	1.89
Brandt Jobe	33.12%	3
Brendan Jones	44.21%	2.3
Brian Gay	49.99%	2
Cameron Percy	82.13%	1.22
Charlie Wi	65.09%	1.54
Chris DiMarco	22.19%	4.5
Corey Pavin	14.61%	6.8
Dan Rooney	4.16%	24
Darren Clarke	83.54%	1.2
David Bransdon	37.38%	2.7
David Duval	35.05%	2.9
Doug Barron	69.68%	1.44
Duffy Waldorf	12.70%	7.9
Ernie Els	92.69%	1.08
Felipe Aguilar	55.23%	1.81
Fred Funk	4.94%	20
Gene Sauers	37.95%	2.6
Greg Chalmers	76.47%	1.31
Harrison Frazar	62.00%	1.61
Heath Slocum	41.31%	2.4
Hiroyuki Fujita	34.81%	2.9
J.J. Henry	66.96%	1.49
Jason Caron	80.01%	1.25
Jeff Maggert	32.12%	3.1
Joe Durant	58.72%	1.7
John Daly	4.06%	25
John Rollins	48.38%	2.1
John Senden	6.34%	16
Ken Duke	52.63%	1.9
Ken Tanigawa	60.55%	1.65
Kenny Perry	25.80%	3.9
Kirk Triplett	30.22%	3.3
Lee Janzen	16.86%	5.9
Mario Tiziani	52.00%	1.92
Mark Hensby	66.82%	1.5
Mark Walker	34.26%	2.9
Mark Wilson	45.93%	2.2
Michael Wright	62.88%	1.59
Mike Weir	53.56%	1.87
Olin Browne	12.68%	7.9
Padraig Harrington	89.22%	1.12
Paul Broadhurst	45.61%	2.2
Paul Stankowski	64.88%	1.54
Retief Goosen	75.15%	1.33
Ricardo Gonzalez	74.50%	1.34
Richard Green	81.19%	1.23
Robert Karlsson	45.80%	2.2
Rocco Mediate	31.03%	3.2
Rod Pampling	62.60%	1.6
Scott Dunlap	23.43%	4.3
Scott McCarron	23.62%	4.2
Shane Bertsch	55.52%	1.8
Soren Kjeldsen	90.91%	1.1
Stephen Ames	71.02%	1.41
Stephen Gallacher	78.95%	1.27
Steve Allan	80.56%	1.24
Steve Flesch	62.31%	1.6
Steven Alker	94.67%	1.06
Stewart Cink	94.98%	1.05
Thomas Bjorn	81.81%	1.22
Thongchai Jaidee	60.48%	1.65
Tim O'Neal	61.89%	1.62
Tim Petrovic	61.44%	1.63
Tom Pernice	18.52%	5.4
Tommy Gainey	80.99%	1.23
Vijay Singh	75.49%	1.32
Woody Austin	20.83%	4.8
Y.E. Yang	75.90%	1.32

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	0.00%	10000
Angel Cabrera	0.00%	10000
Bernhard Langer	0.00%	10000
Billy Andrade	0.00%	10000
Bo Van Pelt	0.00%	10000
Bob Estes	0.00%	10000
Boo Weekley	0.00%	10000
Brandt Jobe	0.00%	10000
Brendan Jones	0.00%	10000
Brian Gay	0.00%	10000
Cameron Percy	0.00%	10000
Charlie Wi	0.00%	10000
Chris DiMarco	0.00%	10000
Corey Pavin	0.00%	10000
Dan Rooney	0.00%	10000
Darren Clarke	0.00%	10000
David Bransdon	0.00%	10000
David Duval	0.00%	10000
Doug Barron	0.00%	10000
Duffy Waldorf	0.00%	10000
Ernie Els	0.00%	10000
Felipe Aguilar	0.00%	10000
Fred Funk	0.00%	10000
Gene Sauers	0.00%	10000
Greg Chalmers	0.00%	10000
Harrison Frazar	0.00%	10000
Heath Slocum	0.00%	10000
Hiroyuki Fujita	0.00%	10000
J.J. Henry	0.00%	10000
Jason Caron	0.00%	10000
Jeff Maggert	0.00%	10000
Joe Durant	0.00%	10000
John Daly	0.00%	10000
John Rollins	0.00%	10000
John Senden	0.00%	10000
Ken Duke	0.00%	10000
Ken Tanigawa	0.00%	10000
Kenny Perry	0.00%	10000
Kirk Triplett	0.00%	10000
Lee Janzen	0.00%	10000
Mario Tiziani	0.00%	10000
Mark Hensby	0.00%	10000
Mark Walker	0.00%	10000
Mark Wilson	0.00%	10000
Michael Wright	0.00%	10000
Mike Weir	0.00%	10000
Olin Browne	0.00%	10000
Padraig Harrington	0.00%	10000
Paul Broadhurst	0.00%	10000
Paul Stankowski	0.00%	10000
Retief Goosen	0.00%	10000
Ricardo Gonzalez	0.00%	10000
Richard Green	0.00%	10000
Robert Karlsson	0.00%	10000
Rocco Mediate	0.00%	10000
Rod Pampling	0.00%	10000
Scott Dunlap	0.00%	10000
Scott McCarron	0.00%	10000
Shane Bertsch	0.00%	10000
Soren Kjeldsen	0.00%	10000
Stephen Ames	0.00%	10000
Stephen Gallacher	0.00%	10000
Steve Allan	0.00%	10000
Steve Flesch	0.00%	10000
Steven Alker	0.00%	10000
Stewart Cink	0.00%	10000
Thomas Bjorn	0.00%	10000
Thongchai Jaidee	0.00%	10000
Tim O'Neal	0.00%	10000
Tim Petrovic	0.00%	10000
Tom Pernice	0.00%	10000
Tommy Gainey	0.00%	10000
Vijay Singh	0.00%	10000
Woody Austin	0.00%	10000
Y.E. Yang	0.00%	10000

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Alex Cejka	2.81%	36	29		40
Angel Cabrera	2.13%	47	26		24
Bernhard Langer	2.95%	34	36	0.20%	15	-0.2	Bet365: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4
Billy Andrade	0.57%	175	141		56
Bo Van Pelt	0.78%	128	67		64
Bob Estes	0.89%	112	126	0.10%	5	0.4375	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Boo Weekley	0.85%	118	61		40
Brandt Jobe	0.35%	286	141		40
Brendan Jones	0.61%	164	181	0.10%	24	-0.1	Bet365: 180/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brian Gay	0.76%	132	201	0.30%	5	2.25	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cameron Percy	2.67%	37	29		5
Charlie Wi	1.31%	76	51		15
Chris DiMarco	0.23%	435	251		56
Corey Pavin	0.15%	667	401		40
Dan Rooney	0.05%	2000	501		77
Darren Clarke	2.84%	35	34		24
David Bransdon	0.47%	213	181		40
David Duval	0.39%	256	126		64
Doug Barron	1.53%	65	51		24
Duffy Waldorf	0.12%	833	501		40
Ernie Els	4.89%	20	17		3
Felipe Aguilar	0.85%	118	101		64
Fred Funk	0.04%	2500	501		73
Gene Sauers	0.49%	204	251	0.10%	51	-0.1	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Greg Chalmers	2.01%	50	41		73
Harrison Frazar	1.13%	88	51		24
Heath Slocum	0.52%	192	181		24
Hiroyuki Fujita	0.42%	238	251		24
J.J. Henry	1.44%	69	126	0.70%	9	-0.7	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jason Caron	2.46%	41	34		40
Jeff Maggert	0.36%	278	126		15
Joe Durant	1.05%	95	126	0.30%	24	-0.3	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
John Daly	0.03%	3333	451		64
John Rollins	0.72%	139	56		51
John Senden	0.05%	2000	451		64
Ken Duke	0.84%	119	71		24
Ken Tanigawa	1.09%	92	101	0.10%	56	-0.1	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kenny Perry	0.28%	357	126		51
Kirk Triplett	0.35%	286	181		76
Lee Janzen	0.18%	556	451		40
Mario Tiziani	0.83%	120	91		9
Mark Hensby	1.38%	72	41		4
Mark Walker	0.43%	233	181		64
Mark Wilson	0.63%	159	181	0.10%	15	-0.1	Bet365: 180/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michael Wright	1.17%	85	36		56
Mike Weir	0.89%	112	141	0.20%	78	-0.2	Spreadex: 140/1, 5pl, 1/5
Olin Browne	0.12%	833	451		64
Padraig Harrington	3.88%	26	17		56
Paul Broadhurst	0.66%	152	111		24
Paul Stankowski	1.32%	76	51		73
Retief Goosen	1.84%	54	34		9
Ricardo Gonzalez	1.96%	51	36		9
Richard Green	2.54%	39	29		24
Robert Karlsson	0.70%	143	126		9
Rocco Mediate	0.36%	278	401	0.10%	24	-0.1	Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Rod Pampling	1.16%	86	71		51
Scott Dunlap	0.25%	400	401		56
Scott McCarron	0.27%	370	201		24
Shane Bertsch	0.89%	112	81		24
Soren Kjeldsen	4.40%	23	21		15
Stephen Ames	1.66%	60	51		15
Stephen Gallacher	2.30%	43	51	0.30%	51	-0.3	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Steve Allan	2.36%	42	21		15
Steve Flesch	1.21%	83	67		15
Steven Alker	6.06%	17	15		2
Stewart Cink	6.24%	16	12		1
Thomas Bjorn	2.63%	38	26		24
Thongchai Jaidee	1.14%	88	86		40
Tim O'Neal	1.22%	82	101	0.20%	64	-0.2	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tim Petrovic	1.12%	89	67		9
Tom Pernice	0.18%	556	501		56
Tommy Gainey	2.45%	41	29		15
Vijay Singh	1.94%	52	41		40
Woody Austin	0.21%	476	401		24
Y.E. Yang	2.00%	50	36		40

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Steven Alker	11.59%	8.6	10	1.80%	3	1.125	Bet365: 8.5/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Ernie Els	8.80%	11	13	1.20%	2	2	Star Sports: 12/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Soren Kjeldsen	6.92%	14	17	1.10%	3	3	Bet365: 16/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: J.J. Henry	1.44%	69	126	0.70%	9	-2	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Stephen Gallacher	2.30%	43	51	0.30%	51	-2	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Joe Durant	1.05%	95	126	0.30%	24	-2	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.