Simulation Results: World Wide Technology Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aaron Wise 0.01% 10000 751
Adam Hadwin 0.26% 385 201 53
Adam Schenk 0.39% 256 176 69
Adam Svensson 0.23% 435 226 21
Alejandro Madariaga 0.00% 10000 2001 46
Andrew Putnam 1.00% 100 151 0.30% 40 -0.3 Bresbet: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Antoine Rozner 0.83% 120 126 109
Austin Eckroat 0.88% 114 61 59
Beau Hossler 0.86% 116 101 17
Ben Griffin 6.09% 16 13 1
Ben Kohles 0.68% 147 96 63
Ben Silverman 0.67% 149 126 21
Braden Thornberry 0.05% 2000 751 113
Brandt Snedeker 0.50% 200 141 76
Camilo Villegas 0.02% 5000 601 120
Carson Young 0.30% 333 126 6
Chad Ramey 0.62% 161 91 2
Chan Kim 0.26% 385 276 106
Chandler Phillips 0.80% 125 121 92
Cristobal Del Solar 0.03% 3333 1001 101
David Ford 0.17% 588 91 40
David Lipsky 0.32% 313 141 31
David Longmire 0.00% 10000 5001 92
David Skinns 0.26% 385 226 46
Davis Riley 0.05% 2000 351 76
Doug Ghim 0.91% 110 67 31
Emiliano Grillo 2.17% 46 46 56
Emilio Gil Leyva 0.00% 10000 2001 116
Emilio Gonzalez 0.18% 556 141 72
Eric Cole 0.96% 104 96 10
Erik Van Rooyen 0.37% 270 101 106
Francesco Molinari 0.16% 625 551 27
Frankie Capan 0.03% 3333 751 101
Garrett Sapp 0.00% 10000 5001 116
Garrick Higgo 2.78% 36 26 4
Gordon Sargent 0.10% 1000 476 63
Greyson Sigg 0.64% 156 81 46
Harry Higgs 0.10% 1000 301 109
Hayden Buckley 0.08% 1250 351 56
Henrik Norlander 0.19% 526 301 85
Hogan Park 0.00% 10000 3001 119
Isaiah Salinda 0.49% 204 111 101
J.J. Spaun 9.21% 11 13 1.60% 11 -1.6 Ladbrokes: 11/1, 8pl, 1/5
Jackson Suber 0.47% 213 126 11
Jacob Bridgeman 1.11% 90 51 46
Jeremy Paul 0.34% 294 251 16
Jesper Svensson 1.66% 60 61 118
Joe Highsmith 0.19% 526 201 92
Joel Dahmen 0.30% 333 151 40
John Pak 0.05% 2000 751 17
Johnny Keefer 1.06% 94 51 76
Justin Lower 0.51% 196 91 31
Kaito Onishi 0.01% 10000 1501 92
Keith Mitchell 1.67% 60 51 63
Kevin Roy 0.89% 112 101 92
Kevin Streelman 0.06% 1667 501 71
Kevin Velo 0.06% 1667 501 69
Kevin Yu 3.08% 32 31 92
Kris Ventura 1.24% 81 96 0.20% 27 -0.2 Bresbet: 95/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lanto Griffin 0.24% 417 141 92
Lee Hodges 1.15% 87 81 40
Luke Clanton 1.16% 86 81 46
Luke Donald 0.03% 3333 1501 85
Luke List 0.30% 333 276 75
Mackenzie Hughes 0.97% 103 67 85
Mark Hubbard 1.00% 100 76 76
Mason Andersen 0.02% 5000 1501 31
Matt Kuchar 2.38% 42 67 0.90% 11 -0.9 Skybet: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Matt Wallace 1.37% 73 56 31
Matthew Riedel 0.01% 10000 1001 115
Matthieu Pavon 0.09% 1111 476 31
Matti Schmid 0.50% 200 91 8
Max Greyserman 4.18% 24 23 62
Max McGreevy 0.78% 128 67 56
Michael Brennan 1.35% 74 29 59
Michael Thorbjornsen 3.46% 29 23 31
Nick Dunlap 0.10% 1000 251 8
Nick Hardy 0.24% 417 201 76
Nick Taylor 2.26% 44 46 0.10% 85 -0.1 Bet365: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nico Echavarria 1.62% 62 41 14
Niklas Norgaard Moller 0.38% 263 141 101
Noah Goodwin 0.44% 227 126 63
Omar Morales 0.00% 10000 2501 92
Patrick Fishburn 1.11% 90 91 76
Patrick Rodgers 1.07% 93 91 6
Patton Kizzire 0.21% 476 251 31
Paul Peterson 0.32% 313 401 0.10% 85 -0.1 Bresbet: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Peter Knade 0.00% 10000 2501 46
Pierceson Coody 1.41% 71 41 31
Quade Cummins 0.42% 238 226 72
Rafael Campos 0.03% 3333 1001 111
Raul Pereda 0.00% 10000 1501 113
Ricky Castillo 0.80% 125 81 76
Rico Hoey 2.91% 34 23 21
Rikuya Hoshino 0.17% 588 301 74
Ryan Palmer 0.00% 10000 2501 85
Ryo Hisatsune 0.46% 217 141 40
Sam Ryder 1.02% 98 81 111
Sami Valimaki 0.36% 278 101 2
Seamus Power 0.90% 111 111 27
Stephan Jaeger 2.76% 36 67 1.30% 106 -1.3 Bresbet: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Steven Fisk 1.19% 84 71 53
Takumi Kanaya 1.63% 61 61 63
Taylor Dickson 0.01% 10000 2001 46
Taylor Montgomery 0.62% 161 101 92
Taylor Moore 0.59% 169 151 21
Thomas Rosenmueller 0.29% 345 151 17
Thorbjorn Olesen 4.73% 21 29 1.30% 14 -1.3 Ladbrokes: 25/1, 8pl, 1/5
Tom Hoge 0.55% 182 181 21
Trevor Cone 0.19% 526 251 4
Trey Mullinax 0.25% 400 176 101
Tyler Weaver 0.31% 323 1001 0.20% 76 -0.2 Priced Up: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Victor Perez 1.50% 67 76 0.20% 21 -0.2 Bet365: 75/1, 5pl, 1/4
Vince Covello 0.00% 10000 5001 53
Vince Whaley 1.55% 65 71 0.10% 17 -0.1 Bet365: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Will Chandler 0.02% 5000 1501 27
Will Gordon 0.08% 1250 501 63
William Mouw 0.50% 200 81 40
Wyndham Clark 1.35% 74 41 85
Zac Blair 0.34% 294 141 59

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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