Simulation Results: Truist Championship

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	1.28%	78	61		23
Adam Hadwin	0.26%	385	301		60
Adam Scott	0.95%	105	126	0.20%	34	-0.2	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Akshay Bhatia	0.59%	169	71		46
Alex Noren	0.84%	119	151	0.20%	51	-0.2	Ladbrokes: 125/1, 8pl, 1/5
Andrew Novak	0.66%	152	56		17
Austin Eckroat	0.39%	256	176		51
Ben Griffin	0.72%	139	81		46
Brian Campbell	0.29%	345	351		34
Brian Harman	1.51%	66	67		46
Byeong Hun An	0.94%	106	81		34
Cam Davis	0.19%	526	201		54
Cameron Young	0.45%	222	201		7
Chris Kirk	0.52%	192	251	0.10%	42	-0.1	Skybet: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.60%	167	201	0.10%	42	-0.1	BetVictor: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Collin Morikawa	4.10%	24	15		17
Corey Conners	3.10%	32	34	0.20%	11	-0.2	Boyle Sports: 25/1, 10pl, 1/5
Daniel Berger	1.27%	79	41		11
Davis Thompson	1.08%	93	61		23
Denny McCarthy	1.55%	65	61		46
Eric Cole	0.51%	196	111		34
Erik Van Rooyen	0.33%	303	166		34
Garrick Higgo	0.24%	417	251		68
Gary Woodland	0.47%	213	201		34
Harris English	0.81%	123	111		11
Hideki Matsuyama	2.89%	35	34		17
J.J. Spaun	0.98%	102	71		17
J.T. Poston	0.98%	102	81		23
Jacob Bridgeman	0.38%	263	126		4
Joe Highsmith	0.26%	385	201		66
Jordan Spieth	2.44%	41	29		34
Justin Rose	0.94%	106	67		71
Justin Thomas	4.41%	23	17		2
Keegan Bradley	1.94%	52	51		30
Keith Mitchell	0.87%	115	76		7
Lucas Glover	0.64%	156	111		66
Ludvig Aberg	2.93%	34	19		60
Matt Fitzpatrick	0.71%	141	111		23
Matthieu Pavon	0.12%	833	501		54
Maverick McNealy	1.66%	60	41		60
Max Greyserman	0.61%	164	151		54
Max Homa	0.44%	227	176		30
Michael Kim	0.74%	135	91		71
Michael Thorbjornsen	0.32%	313	151		54
Min Woo Lee	1.17%	85	67		51
Nick Dunlap	0.06%	1667	601		69
Nick Taylor	0.46%	217	151		17
Patrick Cantlay	4.46%	22	21		4
Patrick Rodgers	0.77%	130	126		42
Rasmus Hojgaard	0.49%	204	101		23
Rickie Fowler	0.48%	208	176		15
Robert MacIntyre	0.82%	122	61		34
Rory McIlroy	8.31%	12	6		7
Russell Henley	4.28%	23	34	1.40%	46	-1.4	Boyle Sports: 22/1, 10pl, 1/5
Ryan Gerard	0.46%	217	126		42
Sahith Theegala	0.64%	156	101		70
Sam Burns	2.67%	37	51	0.70%	30	-0.7	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sam Stevens	0.60%	167	126		23
Sepp Straka	1.26%	79	41		1
Shane Lowry	2.15%	47	36		2
Si Woo Kim	1.52%	66	61		17
Stephan Jaeger	0.75%	133	126		7
Sungjae Im	2.98%	34	46	0.80%	23	-0.8	Boyle Sports: 33/1, 10pl, 1/5
Taylor Pendrith	1.06%	94	81		65
Thomas Detry	0.48%	208	151		30
Tom Hoge	0.61%	164	126		63
Tommy Fleetwood	4.06%	25	26	0.20%	4	0.3	Boyle Sports: 20/1, 10pl, 1/5
Tony Finau	1.64%	61	81	0.40%	15	-0.4	Ladbrokes: 66/1, 8pl, 1/5
Viktor Hovland	3.13%	32	26		54
Will Zalatoris	0.80%	125	101		54
Wyndham Clark	1.27%	79	61		63
Xander Schauffele	4.74%	21	17		11

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	4.18%	24
Adam Hadwin	1.05%	95
Adam Scott	3.28%	30
Akshay Bhatia	2.21%	45
Alex Noren	2.85%	35
Andrew Novak	2.28%	44
Austin Eckroat	1.58%	63
Ben Griffin	2.47%	40
Brian Campbell	1.17%	85
Brian Harman	4.83%	21
Byeong Hun An	3.11%	32
Cam Davis	0.85%	118
Cameron Young	1.56%	64
Chris Kirk	1.85%	54
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	2.19%	46
Collin Morikawa	11.09%	9
Corey Conners	8.64%	12
Daniel Berger	4.08%	25
Davis Thompson	3.43%	29
Denny McCarthy	4.99%	20
Eric Cole	1.94%	52
Erik Van Rooyen	1.30%	77
Garrick Higgo	0.86%	116
Gary Woodland	1.72%	58
Harris English	2.70%	37
Hideki Matsuyama	8.29%	12
J.J. Spaun	3.22%	31
J.T. Poston	3.37%	30
Jacob Bridgeman	1.44%	69
Joe Highsmith	1.00%	100
Jordan Spieth	7.10%	14
Justin Rose	3.17%	32
Justin Thomas	11.59%	8.6
Keegan Bradley	6.01%	17
Keith Mitchell	2.93%	34
Lucas Glover	2.12%	47
Ludvig Aberg	8.35%	12
Matt Fitzpatrick	2.46%	41
Matthieu Pavon	0.62%	161
Maverick McNealy	5.09%	20
Max Greyserman	2.28%	44
Max Homa	1.63%	61
Michael Kim	2.64%	38
Michael Thorbjornsen	1.33%	75
Min Woo Lee	3.78%	26
Nick Dunlap	0.29%	345
Nick Taylor	1.70%	59
Patrick Cantlay	11.70%	8.5
Patrick Rodgers	2.64%	38
Rasmus Hojgaard	1.83%	55
Rickie Fowler	1.79%	56
Robert MacIntyre	2.80%	36
Rory McIlroy	19.45%	5.1
Russell Henley	11.34%	8.8
Ryan Gerard	1.76%	57
Sahith Theegala	2.28%	44
Sam Burns	7.83%	13
Sam Stevens	2.24%	45
Sepp Straka	4.10%	24
Shane Lowry	6.29%	16
Si Woo Kim	4.77%	21
Stephan Jaeger	2.59%	39
Sungjae Im	8.42%	12
Taylor Pendrith	3.50%	29
Thomas Detry	1.78%	56
Tom Hoge	2.27%	44
Tommy Fleetwood	10.87%	9.2
Tony Finau	5.17%	19
Viktor Hovland	8.87%	11
Will Zalatoris	2.60%	38
Wyndham Clark	4.22%	24
Xander Schauffele	12.32%	8.1

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	7.29%	14
Adam Hadwin	2.10%	48
Adam Scott	5.80%	17
Akshay Bhatia	4.10%	24
Alex Noren	5.13%	19
Andrew Novak	4.14%	24
Austin Eckroat	3.03%	33
Ben Griffin	4.45%	22
Brian Campbell	2.28%	44
Brian Harman	8.11%	12
Byeong Hun An	5.54%	18
Cam Davis	1.69%	59
Cameron Young	2.99%	33
Chris Kirk	3.43%	29
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	4.08%	25
Collin Morikawa	17.21%	5.8
Corey Conners	13.75%	7.3
Daniel Berger	7.01%	14
Davis Thompson	6.10%	16
Denny McCarthy	8.36%	12
Eric Cole	3.60%	28
Erik Van Rooyen	2.50%	40
Garrick Higgo	1.75%	57
Gary Woodland	3.24%	31
Harris English	4.90%	20
Hideki Matsuyama	13.17%	7.6
J.J. Spaun	5.61%	18
J.T. Poston	5.81%	17
Jacob Bridgeman	2.76%	36
Joe Highsmith	2.02%	50
Jordan Spieth	11.65%	8.6
Justin Rose	5.83%	17
Justin Thomas	17.67%	5.7
Keegan Bradley	9.77%	10
Keith Mitchell	5.24%	19
Lucas Glover	3.99%	25
Ludvig Aberg	13.40%	7.5
Matt Fitzpatrick	4.53%	22
Matthieu Pavon	1.28%	78
Maverick McNealy	8.70%	11
Max Greyserman	4.13%	24
Max Homa	3.10%	32
Michael Kim	4.72%	21
Michael Thorbjornsen	2.49%	40
Min Woo Lee	6.56%	15
Nick Dunlap	0.61%	164
Nick Taylor	3.13%	32
Patrick Cantlay	17.84%	5.6
Patrick Rodgers	4.68%	21
Rasmus Hojgaard	3.42%	29
Rickie Fowler	3.33%	30
Robert MacIntyre	4.94%	20
Rory McIlroy	27.88%	3.6
Russell Henley	17.47%	5.7
Ryan Gerard	3.33%	30
Sahith Theegala	4.23%	24
Sam Burns	12.59%	7.9
Sam Stevens	4.03%	25
Sepp Straka	7.03%	14
Shane Lowry	10.51%	9.5
Si Woo Kim	7.99%	13
Stephan Jaeger	4.61%	22
Sungjae Im	13.44%	7.4
Taylor Pendrith	6.05%	17
Thomas Detry	3.36%	30
Tom Hoge	4.17%	24
Tommy Fleetwood	16.82%	5.9
Tony Finau	8.68%	12
Viktor Hovland	14.08%	7.1
Will Zalatoris	4.73%	21
Wyndham Clark	7.21%	14
Xander Schauffele	18.84%	5.3

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	14.85%	6.7
Adam Hadwin	5.27%	19
Adam Scott	12.53%	8
Akshay Bhatia	9.28%	11
Alex Noren	11.34%	8.8
Andrew Novak	9.47%	11
Austin Eckroat	7.29%	14
Ben Griffin	10.05%	10
Brian Campbell	5.77%	17
Brian Harman	16.46%	6.1
Byeong Hun An	12.01%	8.3
Cam Davis	4.59%	22
Cameron Young	7.20%	14
Chris Kirk	8.05%	12
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	9.31%	11
Collin Morikawa	30.06%	3.3
Corey Conners	25.06%	4
Daniel Berger	14.38%	7
Davis Thompson	13.23%	7.6
Denny McCarthy	16.99%	5.9
Eric Cole	8.51%	12
Erik Van Rooyen	6.30%	16
Garrick Higgo	4.62%	22
Gary Woodland	7.71%	13
Harris English	11.14%	9
Hideki Matsuyama	24.45%	4.1
J.J. Spaun	12.03%	8.3
J.T. Poston	12.51%	8
Jacob Bridgeman	6.72%	15
Joe Highsmith	5.27%	19
Jordan Spieth	22.10%	4.5
Justin Rose	12.51%	8
Justin Thomas	30.53%	3.3
Keegan Bradley	19.27%	5.2
Keith Mitchell	11.49%	8.7
Lucas Glover	9.18%	11
Ludvig Aberg	24.76%	4
Matt Fitzpatrick	10.19%	9.8
Matthieu Pavon	3.39%	29
Maverick McNealy	17.34%	5.8
Max Greyserman	9.48%	11
Max Homa	7.57%	13
Michael Kim	10.59%	9.4
Michael Thorbjornsen	6.12%	16
Min Woo Lee	13.81%	7.2
Nick Dunlap	1.88%	53
Nick Taylor	7.63%	13
Patrick Cantlay	30.78%	3.2
Patrick Rodgers	10.45%	9.6
Rasmus Hojgaard	8.17%	12
Rickie Fowler	7.89%	13
Robert MacIntyre	11.11%	9
Rory McIlroy	43.36%	2.3
Russell Henley	30.58%	3.3
Ryan Gerard	7.75%	13
Sahith Theegala	9.62%	10
Sam Burns	23.73%	4.2
Sam Stevens	9.15%	11
Sepp Straka	14.76%	6.8
Shane Lowry	20.45%	4.9
Si Woo Kim	16.16%	6.2
Stephan Jaeger	10.33%	9.7
Sungjae Im	24.41%	4.1
Taylor Pendrith	13.04%	7.7
Thomas Detry	7.94%	13
Tom Hoge	9.41%	11
Tommy Fleetwood	29.54%	3.4
Tony Finau	17.46%	5.7
Viktor Hovland	25.66%	3.9
Will Zalatoris	10.65%	9.4
Wyndham Clark	15.07%	6.6
Xander Schauffele	32.25%	3.1

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	30.52%	3.3
Adam Hadwin	13.99%	7.1
Adam Scott	26.80%	3.7
Akshay Bhatia	21.66%	4.6
Alex Noren	24.91%	4
Andrew Novak	21.64%	4.6
Austin Eckroat	17.64%	5.7
Ben Griffin	22.59%	4.4
Brian Campbell	14.81%	6.8
Brian Harman	32.71%	3.1
Byeong Hun An	25.91%	3.9
Cam Davis	12.60%	7.9
Cameron Young	17.54%	5.7
Chris Kirk	19.33%	5.2
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	21.30%	4.7
Collin Morikawa	49.87%	2
Corey Conners	44.34%	2.3
Daniel Berger	29.57%	3.4
Davis Thompson	27.92%	3.6
Denny McCarthy	33.68%	3
Eric Cole	19.84%	5
Erik Van Rooyen	16.02%	6.2
Garrick Higgo	12.66%	7.9
Gary Woodland	18.56%	5.4
Harris English	24.38%	4.1
Hideki Matsuyama	43.54%	2.3
J.J. Spaun	26.02%	3.8
J.T. Poston	27.03%	3.7
Jacob Bridgeman	16.77%	6
Joe Highsmith	13.91%	7.2
Jordan Spieth	40.46%	2.5
Justin Rose	26.80%	3.7
Justin Thomas	50.52%	1.98
Keegan Bradley	36.86%	2.7
Keith Mitchell	25.08%	4
Lucas Glover	21.24%	4.7
Ludvig Aberg	43.92%	2.3
Matt Fitzpatrick	22.86%	4.4
Matthieu Pavon	9.72%	10
Maverick McNealy	33.91%	2.9
Max Greyserman	21.71%	4.6
Max Homa	18.21%	5.5
Michael Kim	23.62%	4.2
Michael Thorbjornsen	15.53%	6.4
Min Woo Lee	29.12%	3.4
Nick Dunlap	6.19%	16
Nick Taylor	18.61%	5.4
Patrick Cantlay	51.01%	1.96
Patrick Rodgers	23.27%	4.3
Rasmus Hojgaard	19.40%	5.2
Rickie Fowler	18.99%	5.3
Robert MacIntyre	24.50%	4.1
Rory McIlroy	63.76%	1.57
Russell Henley	50.54%	1.98
Ryan Gerard	18.61%	5.4
Sahith Theegala	21.82%	4.6
Sam Burns	42.52%	2.4
Sam Stevens	21.15%	4.7
Sepp Straka	30.15%	3.3
Shane Lowry	38.26%	2.6
Si Woo Kim	32.42%	3.1
Stephan Jaeger	23.02%	4.3
Sungjae Im	43.63%	2.3
Taylor Pendrith	27.82%	3.6
Thomas Detry	19.11%	5.2
Tom Hoge	21.68%	4.6
Tommy Fleetwood	49.66%	2
Tony Finau	33.92%	2.9
Viktor Hovland	45.18%	2.2
Will Zalatoris	23.86%	4.2
Wyndham Clark	30.84%	3.2
Xander Schauffele	52.47%	1.91

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	45.71%	2.2
Adam Hadwin	25.16%	4
Adam Scott	41.54%	2.4
Akshay Bhatia	35.26%	2.8
Alex Noren	39.29%	2.5
Andrew Novak	35.38%	2.8
Austin Eckroat	30.20%	3.3
Ben Griffin	36.53%	2.7
Brian Campbell	26.13%	3.8
Brian Harman	48.15%	2.1
Byeong Hun An	40.59%	2.5
Cam Davis	22.93%	4.4
Cameron Young	30.06%	3.3
Chris Kirk	32.28%	3.1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	34.82%	2.9
Collin Morikawa	65.38%	1.53
Corey Conners	60.18%	1.66
Daniel Berger	44.90%	2.2
Davis Thompson	42.92%	2.3
Denny McCarthy	49.24%	2
Eric Cole	32.84%	3
Erik Van Rooyen	27.84%	3.6
Garrick Higgo	23.30%	4.3
Gary Woodland	30.95%	3.2
Harris English	38.42%	2.6
Hideki Matsuyama	59.42%	1.68
J.J. Spaun	40.53%	2.5
J.T. Poston	41.56%	2.4
Jacob Bridgeman	28.86%	3.5
Joe Highsmith	24.85%	4
Jordan Spieth	56.47%	1.77
Justin Rose	41.64%	2.4
Justin Thomas	66.07%	1.51
Keegan Bradley	52.89%	1.89
Keith Mitchell	39.34%	2.5
Lucas Glover	34.59%	2.9
Ludvig Aberg	59.76%	1.67
Matt Fitzpatrick	36.49%	2.7
Matthieu Pavon	18.62%	5.4
Maverick McNealy	49.48%	2
Max Greyserman	35.29%	2.8
Max Homa	30.75%	3.3
Michael Kim	37.53%	2.7
Michael Thorbjornsen	27.06%	3.7
Min Woo Lee	44.08%	2.3
Nick Dunlap	13.00%	7.7
Nick Taylor	31.43%	3.2
Patrick Cantlay	66.38%	1.51
Patrick Rodgers	37.20%	2.7
Rasmus Hojgaard	32.50%	3.1
Rickie Fowler	31.65%	3.2
Robert MacIntyre	38.73%	2.6
Rory McIlroy	77.15%	1.3
Russell Henley	65.86%	1.52
Ryan Gerard	31.42%	3.2
Sahith Theegala	35.56%	2.8
Sam Burns	58.28%	1.72
Sam Stevens	34.86%	2.9
Sepp Straka	45.28%	2.2
Shane Lowry	54.01%	1.85
Si Woo Kim	47.92%	2.1
Stephan Jaeger	36.88%	2.7
Sungjae Im	59.37%	1.68
Taylor Pendrith	42.57%	2.3
Thomas Detry	31.87%	3.1
Tom Hoge	35.50%	2.8
Tommy Fleetwood	65.07%	1.54
Tony Finau	49.46%	2
Viktor Hovland	60.92%	1.64
Will Zalatoris	38.01%	2.6
Wyndham Clark	46.14%	2.2
Xander Schauffele	67.76%	1.48

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	60.31%	1.66
Adam Hadwin	38.29%	2.6
Adam Scott	56.08%	1.78
Akshay Bhatia	49.85%	2
Alex Noren	53.88%	1.86
Andrew Novak	50.11%	2
Austin Eckroat	44.26%	2.3
Ben Griffin	51.16%	1.95
Brian Campbell	39.65%	2.5
Brian Harman	62.69%	1.6
Byeong Hun An	55.17%	1.81
Cam Davis	35.76%	2.8
Cameron Young	44.20%	2.3
Chris Kirk	46.37%	2.2
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	49.35%	2
Collin Morikawa	77.77%	1.29
Corey Conners	73.37%	1.36
Daniel Berger	59.48%	1.68
Davis Thompson	57.85%	1.73
Denny McCarthy	63.65%	1.57
Eric Cole	47.20%	2.1
Erik Van Rooyen	41.49%	2.4
Garrick Higgo	35.97%	2.8
Gary Woodland	45.07%	2.2
Harris English	53.14%	1.88
Hideki Matsuyama	72.80%	1.37
J.J. Spaun	55.25%	1.81
J.T. Poston	56.13%	1.78
Jacob Bridgeman	42.72%	2.3
Joe Highsmith	38.13%	2.6
Jordan Spieth	70.12%	1.43
Justin Rose	56.24%	1.78
Justin Thomas	78.22%	1.28
Keegan Bradley	67.12%	1.49
Keith Mitchell	54.18%	1.85
Lucas Glover	49.18%	2
Ludvig Aberg	73.10%	1.37
Matt Fitzpatrick	51.12%	1.96
Matthieu Pavon	30.22%	3.3
Maverick McNealy	63.84%	1.57
Max Greyserman	49.84%	2
Max Homa	44.72%	2.2
Michael Kim	52.30%	1.91
Michael Thorbjornsen	40.70%	2.5
Min Woo Lee	58.79%	1.7
Nick Dunlap	22.70%	4.4
Nick Taylor	45.63%	2.2
Patrick Cantlay	78.50%	1.27
Patrick Rodgers	51.87%	1.93
Rasmus Hojgaard	46.63%	2.1
Rickie Fowler	46.05%	2.2
Robert MacIntyre	53.32%	1.88
Rory McIlroy	86.63%	1.15
Russell Henley	78.16%	1.28
Ryan Gerard	45.79%	2.2
Sahith Theegala	50.14%	1.99
Sam Burns	71.73%	1.39
Sam Stevens	49.30%	2
Sepp Straka	59.92%	1.67
Shane Lowry	68.00%	1.47
Si Woo Kim	62.60%	1.6
Stephan Jaeger	51.30%	1.95
Sungjae Im	72.73%	1.37
Taylor Pendrith	57.20%	1.75
Thomas Detry	46.24%	2.2
Tom Hoge	50.19%	1.99
Tommy Fleetwood	77.37%	1.29
Tony Finau	64.00%	1.56
Viktor Hovland	74.03%	1.35
Will Zalatoris	52.75%	1.9
Wyndham Clark	60.69%	1.65
Xander Schauffele	79.74%	1.25

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	0.00%	10000
Adam Hadwin	0.00%	10000
Adam Scott	0.00%	10000
Akshay Bhatia	0.00%	10000
Alex Noren	0.00%	10000
Andrew Novak	0.00%	10000
Austin Eckroat	0.00%	10000
Ben Griffin	0.00%	10000
Brian Campbell	0.00%	10000
Brian Harman	0.00%	10000
Byeong Hun An	0.00%	10000
Cam Davis	0.00%	10000
Cameron Young	0.00%	10000
Chris Kirk	0.00%	10000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.00%	10000
Collin Morikawa	0.00%	10000
Corey Conners	0.00%	10000
Daniel Berger	0.00%	10000
Davis Thompson	0.00%	10000
Denny McCarthy	0.00%	10000
Eric Cole	0.00%	10000
Erik Van Rooyen	0.00%	10000
Garrick Higgo	0.00%	10000
Gary Woodland	0.00%	10000
Harris English	0.00%	10000
Hideki Matsuyama	0.00%	10000
J.J. Spaun	0.00%	10000
J.T. Poston	0.00%	10000
Jacob Bridgeman	0.00%	10000
Joe Highsmith	0.00%	10000
Jordan Spieth	0.00%	10000
Justin Rose	0.00%	10000
Justin Thomas	0.00%	10000
Keegan Bradley	0.00%	10000
Keith Mitchell	0.00%	10000
Lucas Glover	0.00%	10000
Ludvig Aberg	0.00%	10000
Matt Fitzpatrick	0.00%	10000
Matthieu Pavon	0.00%	10000
Maverick McNealy	0.00%	10000
Max Greyserman	0.00%	10000
Max Homa	0.00%	10000
Michael Kim	0.00%	10000
Michael Thorbjornsen	0.00%	10000
Min Woo Lee	0.00%	10000
Nick Dunlap	0.00%	10000
Nick Taylor	0.00%	10000
Patrick Cantlay	0.00%	10000
Patrick Rodgers	0.00%	10000
Rasmus Hojgaard	0.00%	10000
Rickie Fowler	0.00%	10000
Robert MacIntyre	0.00%	10000
Rory McIlroy	0.00%	10000
Russell Henley	0.00%	10000
Ryan Gerard	0.00%	10000
Sahith Theegala	0.00%	10000
Sam Burns	0.00%	10000
Sam Stevens	0.00%	10000
Sepp Straka	0.00%	10000
Shane Lowry	0.00%	10000
Si Woo Kim	0.00%	10000
Stephan Jaeger	0.00%	10000
Sungjae Im	0.00%	10000
Taylor Pendrith	0.00%	10000
Thomas Detry	0.00%	10000
Tom Hoge	0.00%	10000
Tommy Fleetwood	0.00%	10000
Tony Finau	0.00%	10000
Viktor Hovland	0.00%	10000
Will Zalatoris	0.00%	10000
Wyndham Clark	0.00%	10000
Xander Schauffele	0.00%	10000

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	1.52%	66	51		11
Adam Hadwin	0.73%	137	126		68
Adam Scott	1.28%	78	101	0.30%	45	-0.3	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Akshay Bhatia	1.08%	93	56		3
Alex Noren	1.23%	81	101	0.20%	35	-0.2	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Andrew Novak	1.07%	93	51		25
Austin Eckroat	0.88%	114	101		35
Ben Griffin	1.08%	93	67		25
Brian Campbell	0.78%	128	126		35
Brian Harman	1.63%	61	61		55
Byeong Hun An	1.22%	82	81		35
Cam Davis	0.65%	154	101		55
Cameron Young	0.91%	110	101		25
Chris Kirk	1.00%	100	101		45
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	1.12%	89	101	0.10%	35	-0.1	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Collin Morikawa	2.55%	39	23		3
Corey Conners	2.28%	44	36		35
Daniel Berger	1.45%	69	41		45
Davis Thompson	1.39%	72	51		11
Denny McCarthy	1.61%	62	51		2
Eric Cole	1.03%	97	81		11
Erik Van Rooyen	0.85%	118	101		11
Garrick Higgo	0.71%	141	101		45
Gary Woodland	0.95%	105	101		45
Harris English	1.15%	87	76		11
Hideki Matsuyama	2.12%	47	36		11
J.J. Spaun	1.25%	80	56		35
J.T. Poston	1.35%	74	61		11
Jacob Bridgeman	0.87%	115	81		68
Joe Highsmith	0.72%	139	101		7
Jordan Spieth	1.96%	51	34		65
Justin Rose	1.30%	77	51		65
Justin Thomas	2.66%	38	26		25
Keegan Bradley	1.76%	57	51		7
Keith Mitchell	1.20%	83	67		1
Lucas Glover	1.05%	95	81		70
Ludvig Aberg	2.12%	47	26		25
Matt Fitzpatrick	1.12%	89	81		45
Matthieu Pavon	0.59%	169	161		45
Maverick McNealy	1.57%	64	41		45
Max Greyserman	1.02%	98	81		35
Max Homa	0.89%	112	101		25
Michael Kim	1.16%	86	61		70
Michael Thorbjornsen	0.81%	123	91		55
Min Woo Lee	1.44%	69	46		55
Nick Dunlap	0.38%	263	161		70
Nick Taylor	0.93%	108	101		35
Patrick Cantlay	2.61%	38	29		11
Patrick Rodgers	1.08%	93	81		65
Rasmus Hojgaard	0.99%	101	81		25
Rickie Fowler	0.91%	110	101		3
Robert MacIntyre	1.13%	88	51		55
Rory McIlroy	3.66%	27	13		25
Russell Henley	2.59%	39	36		11
Ryan Gerard	0.99%	101	81		55
Sahith Theegala	1.12%	89	81		55
Sam Burns	2.04%	49	51	0.10%	11	-0.1	Spreadex: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sam Stevens	1.04%	96	67		7
Sepp Straka	1.47%	68	41		3
Shane Lowry	1.91%	52	41		7
Si Woo Kim	1.60%	63	51		11
Stephan Jaeger	1.16%	86	76		11
Sungjae Im	2.14%	47	41		55
Taylor Pendrith	1.35%	74	67		25
Thomas Detry	0.94%	106	81		11
Tom Hoge	1.04%	96	81		45
Tommy Fleetwood	2.59%	39	36		45
Tony Finau	1.66%	60	61		11
Viktor Hovland	2.25%	44	34		55
Will Zalatoris	1.17%	85	67		25
Wyndham Clark	1.50%	67	51		55
Xander Schauffele	2.68%	37	26		35

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Russell Henley	4.28%	23	34	1.40%	46	-2	Boyle Sports: 22/1, 10pl, 1/5
WIN: Sungjae Im	2.98%	34	46	0.80%	23	-2	Boyle Sports: 33/1, 10pl, 1/5
WIN: Sam Burns	2.67%	37	51	0.70%	30	-2	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Adam Scott	1.28%	78	101	0.30%	45	-2	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Alex Noren	1.23%	81	101	0.20%	35	-2	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Sam Burns	2.04%	49	51	0.10%	11	-2	Spreadex: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.