Simulation Results: Travelers Championship

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	1.17%	85	51		17
Adam Hadwin	0.19%	526	451		57
Adam Scott	1.79%	56	81	0.60%	30	-0.6	Priced Up: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Akshay Bhatia	0.82%	122	76		54
Alex Noren	0.66%	152	176	0.10%	30	-0.1	Priced Up: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Andrew Novak	0.43%	233	111		30
Austin Eckroat	0.23%	435	251		25
Ben Griffin	1.24%	81	51		14
Brian Campbell	0.16%	625	601
Brian Harman	0.75%	133	81		8
Bud Cauley	0.41%	244	91		25
Byeong Hun An	0.51%	196	176		14
Cam Davis	0.17%	588	301		57
Cameron Young	1.24%	81	51		52
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.66%	152	111		45
Collin Morikawa	3.42%	29	19		42
Corey Conners	2.57%	39
Daniel Berger	0.82%	122	51		42
Davis Thompson	0.55%	182	126		25
Denny McCarthy	1.10%	91	101	0.10%	12	-0.1	Star Sports: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Eric Cole	0.49%	204	201		68
Gary Woodland	0.46%	217	201		36
Harris English	1.05%	95	81		4
Harry Hall	0.81%	123	101		9
Hideki Matsuyama	1.97%	51	56	0.20%	30	-0.2	Skybet: 55/1, 6pl, 1/5
J.J. Spaun	1.51%	66	56		14
J.T. Poston	1.12%	89	76		45
Jacob Bridgeman	0.31%	323	201		52
Jason Day	1.53%	65	76	0.20%	4	0.9	Boyle Sports: 50/1, 10pl, 1/5
Joe Highsmith	0.17%	588	351		36
Jordan Spieth	1.32%	76	51
Justin Thomas	2.43%	41	36		9
Keegan Bradley	2.42%	41	41		1
Kevin Yu	0.49%	204	111		25
Lucas Glover	0.55%	182	151		9
Ludvig Aberg	2.02%	50	29		36
Luke Clanton	0.87%	115	126	0.10%	34	-0.1	Priced Up: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mackenzie Hughes	0.70%	143	101		65
Matt Fitzpatrick	0.76%	132	101		17
Matthieu Pavon	0.14%	714	351		57
Matti Schmid	0.31%	323	201		68
Maverick McNealy	1.01%	99	61		17
Max Greyserman	0.95%	105	91		36
Max Homa	0.30%	333	151		54
Michael Kim	0.56%	179	176		42
Min Woo Lee	0.77%	130	101		63
Nick Dunlap	0.07%	1429	1001		66
Nick Taylor	0.71%	141	91		17
Patrick Cantlay	4.02%	25	26	0.20%	12	-0.2	Boyle Sports: 20/1, 10pl, 1/5
Rickie Fowler	1.05%	95	101	0.10%	36	-0.1	Boyle Sports: 66/1, 10pl, 1/5
Robert MacIntyre	1.60%	63	46		17
Rory McIlroy	3.94%	25	15		6
Russell Henley	3.24%	31	41	0.80%	2	2.8	Skybet: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ryan Fox	0.68%	147	101		17
Ryan Gerard	0.41%	244	101		54
Sam Burns	2.74%	36	36		17
Sam Stevens	0.65%	154	101		45
Scottie Scheffler	13.93%	7.2	4.5		6
Sepp Straka	1.70%	59	36		45
Shane Lowry	1.80%	56	46		45
Si Woo Kim	1.31%	76	56		51
Stephan Jaeger	0.52%	192	201		34
Sungjae Im	1.67%	60	61		61
Taylor Pendrith	0.99%	101	101		25
Thomas Detry	0.66%	152	111		63
Tom Hoge	0.54%	185	101		45
Tom Kim	0.72%	139	101		45
Tommy Fleetwood	3.34%	30	36	0.60%	2	1.2	Boyle Sports: 25/1, 10pl, 1/5
Tony Finau	1.67%	60	76	0.40%	66	-0.4	Boyle Sports: 50/1, 10pl, 1/5
Viktor Hovland	2.94%	34	34		68
Wyndham Clark	0.75%	133	126		17
Xander Schauffele	4.48%	22	19		61

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	3.78%	26
Adam Hadwin	0.80%	125
Adam Scott	5.63%	18
Akshay Bhatia	2.78%	36
Alex Noren	2.45%	41
Andrew Novak	1.73%	58
Austin Eckroat	0.90%	111
Ben Griffin	4.20%	24
Brian Campbell	0.67%	149
Brian Harman	2.67%	37
Bud Cauley	1.68%	60
Byeong Hun An	1.90%	53
Cam Davis	0.68%	147
Cameron Young	3.94%	25
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	2.45%	41
Collin Morikawa	9.45%	11
Corey Conners	7.42%	13
Daniel Berger	2.87%	35
Davis Thompson	2.05%	49
Denny McCarthy	3.73%	27
Eric Cole	1.84%	54
Gary Woodland	1.66%	60
Harris English	3.51%	28
Harry Hall	2.76%	36
Hideki Matsuyama	6.08%	16
J.J. Spaun	4.81%	21
J.T. Poston	3.78%	26
Jacob Bridgeman	1.29%	78
Jason Day	4.79%	21
Joe Highsmith	0.73%	137
Jordan Spieth	4.38%	23
Justin Thomas	7.16%	14
Keegan Bradley	7.25%	14
Kevin Yu	1.89%	53
Lucas Glover	1.93%	52
Ludvig Aberg	6.13%	16
Luke Clanton	2.96%	34
Mackenzie Hughes	2.58%	39
Matt Fitzpatrick	2.75%	36
Matthieu Pavon	0.59%	169
Matti Schmid	1.29%	78
Maverick McNealy	3.45%	29
Max Greyserman	3.30%	30
Max Homa	1.14%	88
Michael Kim	2.20%	45
Min Woo Lee	2.71%	37
Nick Dunlap	0.32%	313
Nick Taylor	2.55%	39
Patrick Cantlay	11.01%	9.1
Rickie Fowler	3.50%	29
Robert MacIntyre	4.96%	20
Rory McIlroy	10.60%	9.4
Russell Henley	9.04%	11
Ryan Fox	2.50%	40
Ryan Gerard	1.52%	66
Sam Burns	7.87%	13
Sam Stevens	2.35%	43
Scottie Scheffler	28.93%	3.5
Sepp Straka	5.31%	19
Shane Lowry	5.62%	18
Si Woo Kim	4.25%	24
Stephan Jaeger	1.91%	52
Sungjae Im	5.13%	19
Taylor Pendrith	3.32%	30
Thomas Detry	2.39%	42
Tom Hoge	1.93%	52
Tom Kim	2.52%	40
Tommy Fleetwood	9.42%	11
Tony Finau	5.34%	19
Viktor Hovland	8.40%	12
Wyndham Clark	2.66%	38
Xander Schauffele	11.97%	8.4

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	6.60%	15
Adam Hadwin	1.54%	65
Adam Scott	9.47%	11
Akshay Bhatia	5.11%	20
Alex Noren	4.48%	22
Andrew Novak	3.21%	31
Austin Eckroat	1.80%	56
Ben Griffin	7.22%	14
Brian Campbell	1.33%	75
Brian Harman	4.95%	20
Bud Cauley	3.21%	31
Byeong Hun An	3.60%	28
Cam Davis	1.38%	72
Cameron Young	6.82%	15
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	4.40%	23
Collin Morikawa	14.80%	6.8
Corey Conners	12.07%	8.3
Daniel Berger	5.19%	19
Davis Thompson	3.84%	26
Denny McCarthy	6.53%	15
Eric Cole	3.42%	29
Gary Woodland	3.15%	32
Harris English	6.14%	16
Harry Hall	5.08%	20
Hideki Matsuyama	10.13%	9.9
J.J. Spaun	8.17%	12
J.T. Poston	6.62%	15
Jacob Bridgeman	2.48%	40
Jason Day	8.22%	12
Joe Highsmith	1.49%	67
Jordan Spieth	7.46%	13
Justin Thomas	11.60%	8.6
Keegan Bradley	11.80%	8.5
Kevin Yu	3.52%	28
Lucas Glover	3.57%	28
Ludvig Aberg	10.19%	9.8
Luke Clanton	5.27%	19
Mackenzie Hughes	4.58%	22
Matt Fitzpatrick	5.04%	20
Matthieu Pavon	1.29%	78
Matti Schmid	2.51%	40
Maverick McNealy	6.05%	17
Max Greyserman	5.83%	17
Max Homa	2.24%	45
Michael Kim	4.05%	25
Min Woo Lee	4.91%	20
Nick Dunlap	0.72%	139
Nick Taylor	4.67%	21
Patrick Cantlay	17.02%	5.9
Rickie Fowler	6.29%	16
Robert MacIntyre	8.49%	12
Rory McIlroy	16.49%	6.1
Russell Henley	14.48%	6.9
Ryan Fox	4.54%	22
Ryan Gerard	2.90%	34
Sam Burns	12.60%	7.9
Sam Stevens	4.37%	23
Scottie Scheffler	38.72%	2.6
Sepp Straka	8.90%	11
Shane Lowry	9.49%	11
Si Woo Kim	7.27%	14
Stephan Jaeger	3.54%	28
Sungjae Im	8.65%	12
Taylor Pendrith	5.89%	17
Thomas Detry	4.33%	23
Tom Hoge	3.57%	28
Tom Kim	4.62%	22
Tommy Fleetwood	14.82%	6.7
Tony Finau	8.91%	11
Viktor Hovland	13.37%	7.5
Wyndham Clark	4.81%	21
Xander Schauffele	18.25%	5.5

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	13.95%	7.2
Adam Hadwin	4.10%	24
Adam Scott	18.50%	5.4
Akshay Bhatia	11.09%	9
Alex Noren	10.20%	9.8
Andrew Novak	7.84%	13
Austin Eckroat	4.67%	21
Ben Griffin	14.99%	6.7
Brian Campbell	3.59%	28
Brian Harman	11.11%	9
Bud Cauley	7.68%	13
Byeong Hun An	8.44%	12
Cam Davis	3.78%	26
Cameron Young	14.30%	7
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	10.13%	9.9
Collin Morikawa	26.85%	3.7
Corey Conners	22.76%	4.4
Daniel Berger	11.63%	8.6
Davis Thompson	8.87%	11
Denny McCarthy	14.05%	7.1
Eric Cole	8.03%	12
Gary Woodland	7.47%	13
Harris English	13.14%	7.6
Harry Hall	11.39%	8.8
Hideki Matsuyama	19.59%	5.1
J.J. Spaun	16.68%	6
J.T. Poston	14.07%	7.1
Jacob Bridgeman	6.30%	16
Jason Day	16.77%	6
Joe Highsmith	3.98%	25
Jordan Spieth	15.30%	6.5
Justin Thomas	21.75%	4.6
Keegan Bradley	22.39%	4.5
Kevin Yu	8.31%	12
Lucas Glover	8.47%	12
Ludvig Aberg	19.84%	5
Luke Clanton	11.64%	8.6
Mackenzie Hughes	10.38%	9.6
Matt Fitzpatrick	11.10%	9
Matthieu Pavon	3.54%	28
Matti Schmid	6.20%	16
Maverick McNealy	12.95%	7.7
Max Greyserman	12.55%	8
Max Homa	5.85%	17
Michael Kim	9.15%	11
Min Woo Lee	10.96%	9.1
Nick Dunlap	2.24%	45
Nick Taylor	10.43%	9.6
Patrick Cantlay	29.94%	3.3
Rickie Fowler	13.28%	7.5
Robert MacIntyre	17.01%	5.9
Rory McIlroy	28.95%	3.5
Russell Henley	26.32%	3.8
Ryan Fox	10.07%	9.9
Ryan Gerard	7.08%	14
Sam Burns	23.47%	4.3
Sam Stevens	9.78%	10
Scottie Scheffler	55.09%	1.82
Sepp Straka	17.65%	5.7
Shane Lowry	18.71%	5.3
Si Woo Kim	15.06%	6.6
Stephan Jaeger	8.42%	12
Sungjae Im	17.50%	5.7
Taylor Pendrith	12.76%	7.8
Thomas Detry	9.67%	10
Tom Hoge	8.44%	12
Tom Kim	10.44%	9.6
Tommy Fleetwood	26.89%	3.7
Tony Finau	17.71%	5.6
Viktor Hovland	24.66%	4.1
Wyndham Clark	10.77%	9.3
Xander Schauffele	31.38%	3.2

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	28.91%	3.5
Adam Hadwin	11.44%	8.7
Adam Scott	35.61%	2.8
Akshay Bhatia	24.28%	4.1
Alex Noren	22.94%	4.4
Andrew Novak	18.63%	5.4
Austin Eckroat	12.62%	7.9
Ben Griffin	30.67%	3.3
Brian Campbell	10.45%	9.6
Brian Harman	24.40%	4.1
Bud Cauley	18.68%	5.4
Byeong Hun An	19.91%	5
Cam Davis	10.81%	9.3
Cameron Young	29.76%	3.4
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	22.62%	4.4
Collin Morikawa	46.48%	2.2
Corey Conners	41.14%	2.4
Daniel Berger	25.58%	3.9
Davis Thompson	20.79%	4.8
Denny McCarthy	29.21%	3.4
Eric Cole	19.30%	5.2
Gary Woodland	18.18%	5.5
Harris English	27.74%	3.6
Harry Hall	24.88%	4
Hideki Matsuyama	37.24%	2.7
J.J. Spaun	33.09%	3
J.T. Poston	29.00%	3.4
Jacob Bridgeman	15.99%	6.3
Jason Day	33.48%	3
Joe Highsmith	11.01%	9.1
Jordan Spieth	31.32%	3.2
Justin Thomas	39.96%	2.5
Keegan Bradley	40.90%	2.4
Kevin Yu	19.50%	5.1
Lucas Glover	20.13%	5
Ludvig Aberg	37.29%	2.7
Luke Clanton	25.52%	3.9
Mackenzie Hughes	23.31%	4.3
Matt Fitzpatrick	24.68%	4.1
Matthieu Pavon	10.21%	9.8
Matti Schmid	15.58%	6.4
Maverick McNealy	27.59%	3.6
Max Greyserman	27.01%	3.7
Max Homa	14.83%	6.7
Michael Kim	21.33%	4.7
Min Woo Lee	24.17%	4.1
Nick Dunlap	7.05%	14
Nick Taylor	23.48%	4.3
Patrick Cantlay	49.83%	2
Rickie Fowler	27.95%	3.6
Robert MacIntyre	33.40%	3
Rory McIlroy	48.78%	2.1
Russell Henley	45.67%	2.2
Ryan Fox	22.78%	4.4
Ryan Gerard	17.29%	5.8
Sam Burns	42.35%	2.4
Sam Stevens	22.37%	4.5
Scottie Scheffler	74.11%	1.35
Sepp Straka	34.32%	2.9
Shane Lowry	36.21%	2.8
Si Woo Kim	30.70%	3.3
Stephan Jaeger	19.87%	5
Sungjae Im	33.89%	3
Taylor Pendrith	27.14%	3.7
Thomas Detry	21.98%	4.5
Tom Hoge	19.56%	5.1
Tom Kim	23.66%	4.2
Tommy Fleetwood	45.97%	2.2
Tony Finau	34.48%	2.9
Viktor Hovland	43.56%	2.3
Wyndham Clark	24.00%	4.2
Xander Schauffele	51.46%	1.94

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	44.08%	2.3
Adam Hadwin	21.31%	4.7
Adam Scott	51.44%	1.94
Akshay Bhatia	38.53%	2.6
Alex Noren	36.93%	2.7
Andrew Novak	31.64%	3.2
Austin Eckroat	22.96%	4.4
Ben Griffin	45.77%	2.2
Brian Campbell	19.85%	5
Brian Harman	38.36%	2.6
Bud Cauley	31.35%	3.2
Byeong Hun An	32.93%	3
Cam Davis	20.27%	4.9
Cameron Young	44.69%	2.2
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	36.60%	2.7
Collin Morikawa	62.07%	1.61
Corey Conners	57.09%	1.75
Daniel Berger	39.88%	2.5
Davis Thompson	34.07%	2.9
Denny McCarthy	44.20%	2.3
Eric Cole	32.09%	3.1
Gary Woodland	31.06%	3.2
Harris English	42.61%	2.3
Harry Hall	39.24%	2.5
Hideki Matsuyama	52.83%	1.89
J.J. Spaun	48.62%	2.1
J.T. Poston	44.16%	2.3
Jacob Bridgeman	27.98%	3.6
Jason Day	48.86%	2
Joe Highsmith	20.67%	4.8
Jordan Spieth	46.55%	2.1
Justin Thomas	55.72%	1.79
Keegan Bradley	56.69%	1.76
Kevin Yu	32.51%	3.1
Lucas Glover	33.28%	3
Ludvig Aberg	52.98%	1.89
Luke Clanton	39.89%	2.5
Mackenzie Hughes	37.04%	2.7
Matt Fitzpatrick	39.15%	2.6
Matthieu Pavon	19.37%	5.2
Matti Schmid	27.23%	3.7
Maverick McNealy	42.32%	2.4
Max Greyserman	41.67%	2.4
Max Homa	26.02%	3.8
Michael Kim	34.81%	2.9
Min Woo Lee	38.47%	2.6
Nick Dunlap	14.46%	6.9
Nick Taylor	37.49%	2.7
Patrick Cantlay	65.45%	1.53
Rickie Fowler	42.92%	2.3
Robert MacIntyre	49.22%	2
Rory McIlroy	64.16%	1.56
Russell Henley	61.38%	1.63
Ryan Fox	36.65%	2.7
Ryan Gerard	29.51%	3.4
Sam Burns	58.05%	1.72
Sam Stevens	36.19%	2.8
Scottie Scheffler	85.00%	1.18
Sepp Straka	49.75%	2
Shane Lowry	51.93%	1.93
Si Woo Kim	45.88%	2.2
Stephan Jaeger	32.97%	3
Sungjae Im	49.40%	2
Taylor Pendrith	42.04%	2.4
Thomas Detry	35.64%	2.8
Tom Hoge	32.60%	3.1
Tom Kim	37.51%	2.7
Tommy Fleetwood	61.69%	1.62
Tony Finau	50.08%	2
Viktor Hovland	59.36%	1.68
Wyndham Clark	38.17%	2.6
Xander Schauffele	66.71%	1.5

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	58.83%	1.7
Adam Hadwin	33.64%	3
Adam Scott	65.80%	1.52
Akshay Bhatia	53.37%	1.87
Alex Noren	51.42%	1.94
Andrew Novak	45.94%	2.2
Austin Eckroat	35.89%	2.8
Ben Griffin	60.56%	1.65
Brian Campbell	31.75%	3.1
Brian Harman	52.83%	1.89
Bud Cauley	45.55%	2.2
Byeong Hun An	47.22%	2.1
Cam Davis	32.40%	3.1
Cameron Young	59.18%	1.69
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	51.20%	1.95
Collin Morikawa	75.18%	1.33
Corey Conners	70.82%	1.41
Daniel Berger	54.76%	1.83
Davis Thompson	48.49%	2.1
Denny McCarthy	58.78%	1.7
Eric Cole	46.39%	2.2
Gary Woodland	45.02%	2.2
Harris English	57.31%	1.74
Harry Hall	53.97%	1.85
Hideki Matsuyama	66.93%	1.49
J.J. Spaun	63.06%	1.59
J.T. Poston	58.95%	1.7
Jacob Bridgeman	41.69%	2.4
Jason Day	63.38%	1.58
Joe Highsmith	32.84%	3
Jordan Spieth	61.07%	1.64
Justin Thomas	69.65%	1.44
Keegan Bradley	70.37%	1.42
Kevin Yu	47.00%	2.1
Lucas Glover	47.57%	2.1
Ludvig Aberg	67.32%	1.49
Luke Clanton	54.56%	1.83
Mackenzie Hughes	51.61%	1.94
Matt Fitzpatrick	53.71%	1.86
Matthieu Pavon	31.14%	3.2
Matti Schmid	40.77%	2.5
Maverick McNealy	57.16%	1.75
Max Greyserman	56.46%	1.77
Max Homa	39.25%	2.5
Michael Kim	49.20%	2
Min Woo Lee	53.10%	1.88
Nick Dunlap	24.77%	4
Nick Taylor	52.30%	1.91
Patrick Cantlay	77.80%	1.29
Rickie Fowler	57.45%	1.74
Robert MacIntyre	63.74%	1.57
Rory McIlroy	76.64%	1.3
Russell Henley	74.43%	1.34
Ryan Fox	51.22%	1.95
Ryan Gerard	43.52%	2.3
Sam Burns	71.42%	1.4
Sam Stevens	50.86%	1.97
Scottie Scheffler	91.79%	1.09
Sepp Straka	64.26%	1.56
Shane Lowry	66.01%	1.51
Si Woo Kim	60.52%	1.65
Stephan Jaeger	47.31%	2.1
Sungjae Im	63.87%	1.57
Taylor Pendrith	56.50%	1.77
Thomas Detry	50.09%	2
Tom Hoge	46.91%	2.1
Tom Kim	52.04%	1.92
Tommy Fleetwood	74.72%	1.34
Tony Finau	64.52%	1.55
Viktor Hovland	72.70%	1.38
Wyndham Clark	52.94%	1.89
Xander Schauffele	78.63%	1.27

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	0.00%	10000
Adam Hadwin	0.00%	10000
Adam Scott	0.00%	10000
Akshay Bhatia	0.00%	10000
Alex Noren	0.00%	10000
Andrew Novak	0.00%	10000
Austin Eckroat	0.00%	10000
Ben Griffin	0.00%	10000
Brian Campbell	0.00%	10000
Brian Harman	0.00%	10000
Bud Cauley	0.00%	10000
Byeong Hun An	0.00%	10000
Cam Davis	0.00%	10000
Cameron Young	0.00%	10000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.00%	10000
Collin Morikawa	0.00%	10000
Corey Conners	0.00%	10000
Daniel Berger	0.00%	10000
Davis Thompson	0.00%	10000
Denny McCarthy	0.00%	10000
Eric Cole	0.00%	10000
Gary Woodland	0.00%	10000
Harris English	0.00%	10000
Harry Hall	0.00%	10000
Hideki Matsuyama	0.00%	10000
J.J. Spaun	0.00%	10000
J.T. Poston	0.00%	10000
Jacob Bridgeman	0.00%	10000
Jason Day	0.00%	10000
Joe Highsmith	0.00%	10000
Jordan Spieth	0.00%	10000
Justin Thomas	0.00%	10000
Keegan Bradley	0.00%	10000
Kevin Yu	0.00%	10000
Lucas Glover	0.00%	10000
Ludvig Aberg	0.00%	10000
Luke Clanton	0.00%	10000
Mackenzie Hughes	0.00%	10000
Matt Fitzpatrick	0.00%	10000
Matthieu Pavon	0.00%	10000
Matti Schmid	0.00%	10000
Maverick McNealy	0.00%	10000
Max Greyserman	0.00%	10000
Max Homa	0.00%	10000
Michael Kim	0.00%	10000
Min Woo Lee	0.00%	10000
Nick Dunlap	0.00%	10000
Nick Taylor	0.00%	10000
Patrick Cantlay	0.00%	10000
Rickie Fowler	0.00%	10000
Robert MacIntyre	0.00%	10000
Rory McIlroy	0.00%	10000
Russell Henley	0.00%	10000
Ryan Fox	0.00%	10000
Ryan Gerard	0.00%	10000
Sam Burns	0.00%	10000
Sam Stevens	0.00%	10000
Scottie Scheffler	0.00%	10000
Sepp Straka	0.00%	10000
Shane Lowry	0.00%	10000
Si Woo Kim	0.00%	10000
Stephan Jaeger	0.00%	10000
Sungjae Im	0.00%	10000
Taylor Pendrith	0.00%	10000
Thomas Detry	0.00%	10000
Tom Hoge	0.00%	10000
Tom Kim	0.00%	10000
Tommy Fleetwood	0.00%	10000
Tony Finau	0.00%	10000
Viktor Hovland	0.00%	10000
Wyndham Clark	0.00%	10000
Xander Schauffele	0.00%	10000

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	1.44%	69	51		26
Adam Hadwin	0.62%	161	126		7
Adam Scott	1.78%	56	51		60
Akshay Bhatia	1.23%	81	56		43
Alex Noren	1.16%	86	81		15
Andrew Novak	0.91%	110	76		43
Austin Eckroat	0.72%	139	101		1
Ben Griffin	1.40%	71	46		15
Brian Campbell	0.60%	167	151
Brian Harman	1.16%	86	61		7
Bud Cauley	0.99%	101	71		43
Byeong Hun An	1.00%	100	81		36
Cam Davis	0.59%	169	126		51
Cameron Young	1.44%	69	46		6
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	1.16%	86	76		51
Collin Morikawa	2.33%	43	29		15
Daniel Berger	1.17%	85	51		51
Davis Thompson	1.02%	98	71		26
Denny McCarthy	1.48%	68	67		36
Eric Cole	1.02%	98	101		26
Gary Woodland	0.92%	109	86		15
Harris English	1.36%	74	51		15
Harry Hall	1.22%	82	61		36
Hideki Matsuyama	1.83%	55	51		36
J.J. Spaun	1.64%	61	51		63
J.T. Poston	1.37%	73	61		63
Jacob Bridgeman	0.83%	120	96		63
Jason Day	1.64%	61	61		7
Jhonattan Vegas	0.81%	123	101		68
Joe Highsmith	0.62%	161	111		26
Jordan Spieth	1.55%	65	51
Justin Thomas	1.99%	50	36		15
Keegan Bradley	2.08%	48	41		3
Kevin Yu	0.98%	102	71		26
Lucas Glover	1.00%	100	91		36
Ludvig Aberg	1.80%	56	29		51
Luke Clanton	1.29%	78	67		15
Mackenzie Hughes	1.16%	86	67		51
Matt Fitzpatrick	1.24%	81	61		51
Matthieu Pavon	0.58%	172	126		51
Matti Schmid	0.81%	123	86		60
Maverick McNealy	1.36%	74	56		43
Max Greyserman	1.30%	77	61		7
Max Homa	0.77%	130	81		26
Michael Kim	1.03%	97	81		26
Min Woo Lee	1.19%	84	56		63
Nick Dunlap	0.50%	200	201		71
Nick Taylor	1.17%	85	67		7
Patrick Cantlay	2.50%	40	31		15
Rickie Fowler	1.38%	72	61		43
Robert MacIntyre	1.59%	63	41		51
Rory McIlroy	2.52%	40	23		3
Russell Henley	2.30%	43	46	0.10%	26	-0.1	Skybet: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryan Fox	1.16%	86	67		36
Ryan Gerard	0.88%	114	76		43
Sam Burns	2.14%	47	36		15
Sam Stevens	1.11%	90	76		70
Scottie Scheffler	4.91%	20	13		1
Sepp Straka	1.66%	60	41		68
Shane Lowry	1.74%	57	46		60
Si Woo Kim	1.50%	67	51		51
Stephan Jaeger	0.97%	103	81		26
Sungjae Im	1.67%	60	51		15
Taylor Pendrith	1.33%	75	51		26
Thomas Detry	1.11%	90	71		43
Tom Hoge	0.99%	101	67		43
Tom Kim	1.10%	91	67		15
Tommy Fleetwood	2.31%	43	36		7
Tony Finau	1.69%	59	56		63
Viktor Hovland	2.24%	45	36		7
Wyndham Clark	1.18%	85	67		3
Xander Schauffele	2.81%	36	26		36

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Russell Henley	3.24%	31	41	0.80%	2	7	Skybet: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
WIN: Tommy Fleetwood	3.34%	30	36	0.60%	2	4	Boyle Sports: 25/1, 10pl, 1/5
WIN: Adam Scott	1.79%	56	81	0.60%	30	-2	Priced Up: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Russell Henley	2.30%	43	46	0.10%	26	-6	Skybet: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL:
FRL:

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.