Simulation Results: Rocket Classic

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aaron Baddeley 0.04% 2500 2501 134
Aaron Wise 0.05% 2000 1001 51
Adam Hadwin 0.52% 192 176 78
Adam Schenk 0.29% 345 276 87
Adam Svensson 0.27% 370 251 98
Akshay Bhatia 1.41% 71 46 26
Aldrich Potgieter 0.25% 400 101 1
Alejandro Tosti 0.16% 625 201 118
Alex Noren 1.90% 53 67 0.40% 108 -0.4 Priced Up: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Alex Smalley 1.13% 88 61 139
Anders Albertson 0.06% 1667 2001 87
Andi Xu 0.00% 10000 5001 145
Andrew Putnam 1.18% 85 176 0.60% 8 -0.6 Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Antoine Rozner 0.70% 143 151 73
Ashton McCulloch 0.09% 1111 3001 0.10% 156 -0.1 VBet: 3000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Austin Eckroat 0.83% 120 111 60
Beau Hossler 0.48% 208 176 60
Ben Cook 0.00% 10000 4001 145
Ben Griffin 3.03% 33 23 13
Ben Kohles 0.28% 357 301 78
Ben Martin 0.22% 455 351 126
Ben Silverman 0.39% 256 401 0.10% 67 -0.1 William Hill: 350/1, 8pl, 1/5
Braden Thornberry 0.04% 2500 2001 108
Brandt Snedeker 0.18% 556 501 87
Brett White 0.03% 3333 1501 67
Brice Garnett 0.35% 286 351 0.10% 98 -0.1 William Hill: 350/1, 8pl, 1/5
Byeong Hun An 1.39% 72 61 60
Cam Davis 0.57% 175 91 134
Cameron Champ 0.27% 370 126 19
Cameron Young 2.01% 50 26 46
Camilo Villegas 0.05% 2000 2001 67
Carson Young 0.40% 250 201 152
Chad Ramey 0.22% 455 301 26
Chan Kim 0.41% 244 251 19
Chandler Phillips 0.34% 294 276 13
Chris Gotterup 0.85% 118 51 26
Chris Kirk 1.41% 71 81 0.20% 2 1.1 Ladbrokes: 60/1, 10pl, 1/5
Collin Morikawa 4.56% 22 15 8
Cristobal Del Solar 0.07% 1429 1001 86
Danny Walker 0.28% 357 251 126
Danny Willett 0.32% 313 401 0.10% 108 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
David Ford 0.03% 3333 351 150
David Lipsky 0.07% 1429 1001 118
David Skinns 0.28% 357 401 67
Davis Riley 0.28% 357 126 67
Davis Thompson 1.59% 63 36 34
Dominic Clemons 0.01% 10000 5001 139
Doug Ghim 0.46% 217 151 19
Emiliano Grillo 1.13% 88 67 73
Erik Van Rooyen 0.69% 145 101 78
Evan Brown 0.01% 10000 5001 155
Francesco Molinari 0.13% 769 601 87
Frankie Capan 0.07% 1429 1001 145
Garrick Higgo 0.23% 435 201 87
Gary Woodland 1.08% 93 126 0.30% 46 -0.3 Spreadex: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Gordon Sargent 0.06% 1667 1251 67
Greyson Sigg 0.24% 417 301 126
Harrison Endycott 0.04% 2500 1001 82
Harry Hall 1.97% 51 41 13
Harry Higgs 0.10% 1000 451 24
Hayden Buckley 0.10% 1000 501 108
Hayden Springer 0.29% 345 301 34
Henrik Norlander 0.54% 185 151 51
Hideki Matsuyama 2.82% 35 31 13
Isaiah Salinda 0.32% 313 151 60
Jackson Suber 0.16% 625 451 6
Jacob Bridgeman 0.89% 112 91 26
Jake Knapp 0.69% 145 81 4
James Piot 0.02% 5000 1501 73
Jeremy Paul 0.32% 313 251 145
Jesper Svensson 0.51% 196 101 98
Joe Highsmith 0.52% 192 176 34
Joe Hooks 0.00% 10000 5001 150
Joel Dahmen 0.26% 385 201 139
John Pak 0.14% 714 501 98
Joseph Bramlett 0.39% 256 201 98
Justin Lower 0.29% 345 351 46
Kaito Onishi 0.05% 2000 1001 73
Karl Vilips 0.23% 435 201 139
Keegan Bradley 4.56% 22 21 41
Keith Mitchell 1.30% 77 51 152
Kevin Kisner 0.04% 2500 2501 87
Kevin Roy 0.54% 185 151 8
Kevin Velo 0.09% 1111 751 73
Kris Ventura 0.29% 345 251 34
Kurt Kitayama 1.12% 89 71 51
Lanto Griffin 0.25% 400 351 51
Lee Hodges 0.73% 137 101 34
Luke Clanton 1.99% 50 41 60
Luke List 0.26% 385 301 41
Mac Meissner 0.41% 244 251 98
Mark Hubbard 0.75% 133 126 13
Mason Andersen 0.04% 2500 2001 85
Matt Fitzpatrick 1.77% 56 41 8
Matt Kuchar 1.01% 99 201 0.50% 98 -0.5 Spreadex: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Matt McCarty 0.53% 189 126 19
Matt Wallace 1.33% 75 67 46
Matthew Riedel 0.05% 2000 1501 26
Max Greyserman 2.17% 46 41 2
Max Homa 0.69% 145 101 108
Max McGreevy 0.37% 270 151 98
Michael Kim 1.41% 71 71 26
Michael La Sasso 0.21% 476 501 139
Michael Thorbjornsen 0.55% 182 91 4
Min Woo Lee 1.30% 77 51 13
Nate Lashley 0.24% 417 301 87
Nick Dunlap 0.22% 455 601 0.10% 139 -0.1 888sport: 500/1, 8pl, 1/5
Nick Hardy 0.20% 500 301 51
Nico Echavarria 0.45% 222 126 6
Nicolai Hojgaard 0.56% 179 91 24
Noah Goodwin 0.23% 435 351 118
Norman Xiong 0.09% 1111 501 108
Otto Black 0.00% 10000 3001 126
Patrick Cantlay 5.25% 19 17 32
Patrick Fishburn 0.53% 189 151 87
Patrick Rodgers 0.78% 128 126 108
Patton Kizzire 0.17% 588 501 145
Paul Peterson 0.14% 714 1001 60
Paul Waring 0.05% 2000 1001 108
Peter Malnati 0.05% 2000 1501 41
Philip Knowles 0.06% 1667 2501 34
Quade Cummins 0.64% 156 161 78
Rafael Campos 0.08% 1250 1001 118
Rasmus Hojgaard 1.18% 85 56 87
Rickie Fowler 2.38% 42 46 0.20% 118 -0.2 Bet365: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ricky Castillo 0.44% 227 126 126
Rico Hoey 0.85% 118 91 126
Rikuya Hoshino 0.28% 357 351 118
Ryan Brehm 0.01% 10000 3001 118
Ryan Gerard 0.85% 118 51 41
Ryan Palmer 0.01% 10000 3001 134
Ryo Hisatsune 0.73% 137 81 60
Sam Ryder 0.45% 222 126 134
Sami Valimaki 0.30% 333 201 19
Seamus Power 0.94% 106 126 0.10% 134 -0.1 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Si Woo Kim 2.31% 43 34 84
Stephan Jaeger 1.43% 70 67 118
Steven Fisk 0.47% 213 151 108
Takumi Kanaya 0.37% 270 276 46
Taylor Dickson 0.07% 1429 1001 152
Taylor Moore 0.90% 111 81 87
Thomas Rosenmueller 0.19% 526 301 51
Thorbjorn Olesen 1.36% 74 81 0.10% 41 -0.1 William Hill: 66/1, 8pl, 1/5
Thriston Lawrence 0.50% 200 151 8
Tom Kim 1.23% 81 71 126
Trevor Cone 0.17% 588 351 108
Trey Mullinax 0.38% 263 201 126
Victor Perez 1.18% 85 81 51
Vince Covello 0.00% 10000 5001 87
Vince Whaley 0.74% 135 126 32
Webb Simpson 0.56% 179 201 0.10% 51 -0.1 Spreadex: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Will Chandler 0.06% 1667 1501 98
Will Gordon 0.16% 625 401 51
William Mouw 0.15% 667 401 34
Wyndham Clark 1.86% 54 36 98
Zach Johnson 0.00% 10000 401 82

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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