Simulation Results: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	1.03%	97	86		40
Adam Hadwin	0.26%	385	251		65
Adam Scott	1.28%	78	67		22
Akshay Bhatia	0.66%	152	81		22
Andrew Novak	0.57%	175	176		13
Austin Eckroat	0.49%	204	151		13
Beau Hossler	1.08%	93	71		69
Ben Griffin	0.65%	154	111		69
Billy Horschel	0.75%	133	151	0.10%	9	0.6	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 10pl, 1/5
Brendon Todd	0.09%	1111	601		78
Brian Harman	0.50%	200	176		53
Byeong Hun An	0.58%	172	91		22
Cam Davis	0.58%	172	111		5
Cameron Young	0.55%	182	91		72
Chris Kirk	0.55%	182	201	0.10%	62	-0.1	Skybet: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.79%	127	176	0.20%	40	-0.2	Skybet: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Collin Morikawa	4.92%	20	15		17
Corey Conners	1.40%	71	61		65
Davis Thompson	0.61%	164	111		58
Denny McCarthy	1.01%	99	76		58
Doug Ghim	0.33%	303	176		68
Eric Cole	0.48%	208	126		22
Erik Van Rooyen	0.26%	385	401		40
Gary Woodland	0.31%	323	151		22
Harris English	0.88%	114	86		73
Harry Hall	0.66%	152	81		58
Hideki Matsuyama	3.88%	26	23		48
J.J. Spaun	0.79%	127	81		33
J.T. Poston	1.03%	97	76		53
Jake Knapp	0.11%	909	351		33
Jason Day	1.37%	73	36		13
Jhonattan Vegas	0.48%	208	176		40
Jordan Spieth	0.20%	500	101		69
Justin Lower	0.40%	250	201		62
Justin Rose	0.22%	455	151		3
Justin Thomas	3.22%	31	15		48
Keegan Bradley	1.80%	56	51		65
Keith Mitchell	0.75%	133	126		33
Kevin Yu	0.19%	526	201		64
Lee Hodges	0.57%	175	126		33
Lucas Glover	0.47%	213	201		3
Ludvig Aberg	3.82%	26	21		80
Mackenzie Hughes	0.39%	256	176		40
Mark Hubbard	0.56%	179	126		73
Matt Fitzpatrick	0.76%	132	101		48
Matthieu Pavon	0.11%	909	351		73
Maverick McNealy	1.01%	99	51		40
Max Greyserman	1.51%	66	61		79
Max Homa	0.58%	172	81		53
Min Woo Lee	0.64%	156	111		17
Nick Dunlap	0.25%	400	126		58
Nick Taylor	0.54%	185	81		33
Nico Echavarria	0.31%	323	126		77
Patrick Cantlay	4.28%	23	19		33
Patrick Rodgers	0.39%	256	251		22
Rasmus Hojgaard	0.61%	164	81		22
Rickie Fowler	0.86%	116	126	0.10%	53	-0.1	Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Robert MacIntyre	0.85%	118	67		40
Rory McIlroy	5.97%	17	13		1
Russell Henley	1.78%	56	61	0.10%	5	0.5	William Hill: 55/1, 7pl, 1/5
Sahith Theegala	1.07%	93	71		53
Sam Burns	3.02%	33	41	0.60%	22	-0.6	Boyle Sports: 30/1, 10pl, 1/5
Sam Stevens	0.57%	175	101		17
Scottie Scheffler	13.95%	7.2	6.5		9
Seamus Power	0.15%	667	301		17
Sepp Straka	1.08%	93	61		7
Shane Lowry	1.17%	85	61		2
Si Woo Kim	1.09%	92	126	0.30%	12	-0.3	Spreadex: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Stephan Jaeger	0.58%	172	126		40
Sungjae Im	2.86%	35	26		33
Taylor Moore	0.50%	200	151		22
Taylor Pendrith	1.67%	60	51		9
Thomas Detry	1.03%	97	81		48
Tom Hoge	0.91%	110	81		17
Tom Kim	0.62%	161	61		7
Tommy Fleetwood	2.47%	40	34		22
Tony Finau	1.34%	75	81	0.10%	13	-0.1	Spreadex: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Viktor Hovland	1.13%	88	67		22
Will Zalatoris	1.45%	69	67		48
Wyndham Clark	1.41%	71	67		73

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	3.54%	28
Adam Hadwin	1.08%	93
Adam Scott	4.29%	23
Akshay Bhatia	2.31%	43
Andrew Novak	1.98%	51
Austin Eckroat	1.94%	52
Beau Hossler	3.45%	29
Ben Griffin	2.43%	41
Billy Horschel	2.67%	37
Brendon Todd	0.38%	263
Brian Harman	1.75%	57
Byeong Hun An	2.21%	45
Cam Davis	2.25%	44
Cameron Young	2.02%	50
Chris Kirk	1.95%	51
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	2.64%	38
Collin Morikawa	12.88%	7.8
Corey Conners	4.58%	22
Davis Thompson	2.21%	45
Denny McCarthy	3.32%	30
Doug Ghim	1.18%	85
Eric Cole	1.82%	55
Erik Van Rooyen	0.96%	104
Gary Woodland	1.19%	84
Harris English	3.12%	32
Harry Hall	2.39%	42
Hideki Matsuyama	10.63%	9.4
J.J. Spaun	2.72%	37
J.T. Poston	3.36%	30
Jake Knapp	0.49%	204
Jason Day	4.72%	21
Jhonattan Vegas	1.80%	56
Jordan Spieth	0.87%	115
Justin Lower	1.52%	66
Justin Rose	0.97%	103
Justin Thomas	9.07%	11
Keegan Bradley	5.33%	19
Keith Mitchell	2.68%	37
Kevin Yu	0.78%	128
Lee Hodges	2.10%	48
Lucas Glover	1.74%	57
Ludvig Aberg	10.57%	9.5
Mackenzie Hughes	1.43%	70
Mark Hubbard	1.99%	50
Matt Fitzpatrick	2.75%	36
Matthieu Pavon	0.54%	185
Maverick McNealy	3.24%	31
Max Greyserman	4.58%	22
Max Homa	2.12%	47
Min Woo Lee	2.38%	42
Nick Dunlap	1.05%	95
Nick Taylor	1.97%	51
Nico Echavarria	1.20%	83
Patrick Cantlay	11.53%	8.7
Patrick Rodgers	1.43%	70
Rasmus Hojgaard	2.09%	48
Rickie Fowler	2.98%	34
Robert MacIntyre	3.00%	33
Rory McIlroy	15.08%	6.6
Russell Henley	5.57%	18
Sahith Theegala	3.65%	27
Sam Burns	8.42%	12
Sam Stevens	1.97%	51
Scottie Scheffler	28.28%	3.5
Seamus Power	0.63%	159
Sepp Straka	3.94%	25
Shane Lowry	3.78%	26
Si Woo Kim	3.57%	28
Stephan Jaeger	2.13%	47
Sungjae Im	8.19%	12
Taylor Moore	1.77%	56
Taylor Pendrith	5.19%	19
Thomas Detry	3.51%	28
Tom Hoge	3.10%	32
Tom Kim	2.25%	44
Tommy Fleetwood	7.47%	13
Tony Finau	4.35%	23
Viktor Hovland	3.84%	26
Will Zalatoris	4.59%	22
Wyndham Clark	4.57%	22

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	6.23%	16
Adam Hadwin	2.14%	47
Adam Scott	7.27%	14
Akshay Bhatia	4.28%	23
Andrew Novak	3.82%	26
Austin Eckroat	3.56%	28
Beau Hossler	6.18%	16
Ben Griffin	4.43%	23
Billy Horschel	4.96%	20
Brendon Todd	0.83%	120
Brian Harman	3.41%	29
Byeong Hun An	4.11%	24
Cam Davis	4.00%	25
Cameron Young	3.72%	27
Chris Kirk	3.45%	29
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	4.77%	21
Collin Morikawa	19.58%	5.1
Corey Conners	7.97%	13
Davis Thompson	4.00%	25
Denny McCarthy	5.78%	17
Doug Ghim	2.45%	41
Eric Cole	3.40%	29
Erik Van Rooyen	2.07%	48
Gary Woodland	2.26%	44
Harris English	5.51%	18
Harry Hall	4.21%	24
Hideki Matsuyama	16.60%	6
J.J. Spaun	4.87%	21
J.T. Poston	5.83%	17
Jake Knapp	0.99%	101
Jason Day	8.14%	12
Jhonattan Vegas	3.32%	30
Jordan Spieth	1.70%	59
Justin Lower	2.89%	35
Justin Rose	1.83%	55
Justin Thomas	14.40%	6.9
Keegan Bradley	9.05%	11
Keith Mitchell	4.79%	21
Kevin Yu	1.65%	61
Lee Hodges	3.87%	26
Lucas Glover	3.34%	30
Ludvig Aberg	16.06%	6.2
Mackenzie Hughes	2.73%	37
Mark Hubbard	3.68%	27
Matt Fitzpatrick	4.91%	20
Matthieu Pavon	1.03%	97
Maverick McNealy	5.61%	18
Max Greyserman	7.84%	13
Max Homa	3.95%	25
Min Woo Lee	4.26%	23
Nick Dunlap	2.11%	47
Nick Taylor	3.77%	27
Nico Echavarria	2.38%	42
Patrick Cantlay	17.35%	5.8
Patrick Rodgers	2.74%	36
Rasmus Hojgaard	3.75%	27
Rickie Fowler	5.22%	19
Robert MacIntyre	5.19%	19
Rory McIlroy	22.15%	4.5
Russell Henley	9.21%	11
Sahith Theegala	6.39%	16
Sam Burns	13.33%	7.5
Sam Stevens	3.74%	27
Scottie Scheffler	37.77%	2.6
Seamus Power	1.25%	80
Sepp Straka	6.58%	15
Shane Lowry	6.53%	15
Si Woo Kim	6.29%	16
Stephan Jaeger	3.98%	25
Sungjae Im	12.97%	7.7
Taylor Moore	3.36%	30
Taylor Pendrith	8.73%	11
Thomas Detry	6.12%	16
Tom Hoge	5.51%	18
Tom Kim	4.07%	25
Tommy Fleetwood	11.99%	8.3
Tony Finau	7.60%	13
Viktor Hovland	6.62%	15
Will Zalatoris	7.92%	13
Wyndham Clark	7.73%	13

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	13.26%	7.5
Adam Hadwin	5.36%	19
Adam Scott	14.85%	6.7
Akshay Bhatia	9.33%	11
Andrew Novak	8.67%	12
Austin Eckroat	8.14%	12
Beau Hossler	12.89%	7.8
Ben Griffin	10.01%	10
Billy Horschel	10.69%	9.4
Brendon Todd	2.41%	41
Brian Harman	7.89%	13
Byeong Hun An	9.18%	11
Cam Davis	8.98%	11
Cameron Young	8.48%	12
Chris Kirk	7.97%	13
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	10.81%	9.3
Collin Morikawa	32.56%	3.1
Corey Conners	15.97%	6.3
Davis Thompson	9.06%	11
Denny McCarthy	12.49%	8
Doug Ghim	6.06%	17
Eric Cole	7.88%	13
Erik Van Rooyen	4.93%	20
Gary Woodland	5.76%	17
Harris English	11.74%	8.5
Harry Hall	9.48%	11
Hideki Matsuyama	28.94%	3.5
J.J. Spaun	10.74%	9.3
J.T. Poston	12.63%	7.9
Jake Knapp	2.62%	38
Jason Day	15.86%	6.3
Jhonattan Vegas	7.79%	13
Jordan Spieth	4.43%	23
Justin Lower	6.87%	15
Justin Rose	4.70%	21
Justin Thomas	25.93%	3.9
Keegan Bradley	17.94%	5.6
Keith Mitchell	10.32%	9.7
Kevin Yu	4.25%	24
Lee Hodges	8.53%	12
Lucas Glover	7.69%	13
Ludvig Aberg	28.23%	3.5
Mackenzie Hughes	6.72%	15
Mark Hubbard	8.50%	12
Matt Fitzpatrick	10.79%	9.3
Matthieu Pavon	2.92%	34
Maverick McNealy	12.27%	8.1
Max Greyserman	15.94%	6.3
Max Homa	9.12%	11
Min Woo Lee	9.60%	10
Nick Dunlap	5.18%	19
Nick Taylor	8.77%	11
Nico Echavarria	5.86%	17
Patrick Cantlay	30.07%	3.3
Patrick Rodgers	6.29%	16
Rasmus Hojgaard	8.70%	11
Rickie Fowler	11.31%	8.8
Robert MacIntyre	11.37%	8.8
Rory McIlroy	36.42%	2.7
Russell Henley	18.23%	5.5
Sahith Theegala	13.52%	7.4
Sam Burns	24.02%	4.2
Sam Stevens	8.59%	12
Scottie Scheffler	54.07%	1.85
Seamus Power	3.39%	29
Sepp Straka	13.94%	7.2
Shane Lowry	13.65%	7.3
Si Woo Kim	13.06%	7.7
Stephan Jaeger	9.16%	11
Sungjae Im	23.92%	4.2
Taylor Moore	7.63%	13
Taylor Pendrith	17.42%	5.7
Thomas Detry	12.77%	7.8
Tom Hoge	12.01%	8.3
Tom Kim	9.35%	11
Tommy Fleetwood	22.56%	4.4
Tony Finau	15.25%	6.6
Viktor Hovland	13.97%	7.2
Will Zalatoris	15.76%	6.3
Wyndham Clark	15.64%	6.4

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	26.85%	3.7
Adam Hadwin	13.77%	7.3
Adam Scott	29.87%	3.3
Akshay Bhatia	20.91%	4.8
Andrew Novak	19.84%	5
Austin Eckroat	18.80%	5.3
Beau Hossler	26.71%	3.7
Ben Griffin	21.90%	4.6
Billy Horschel	23.04%	4.3
Brendon Todd	7.00%	14
Brian Harman	18.18%	5.5
Byeong Hun An	20.51%	4.9
Cam Davis	20.39%	4.9
Cameron Young	19.41%	5.2
Chris Kirk	18.62%	5.4
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	23.31%	4.3
Collin Morikawa	52.52%	1.9
Corey Conners	31.19%	3.2
Davis Thompson	20.62%	4.8
Denny McCarthy	26.00%	3.8
Doug Ghim	14.96%	6.7
Eric Cole	18.35%	5.4
Erik Van Rooyen	12.85%	7.8
Gary Woodland	14.04%	7.1
Harris English	25.30%	4
Harry Hall	21.46%	4.7
Hideki Matsuyama	48.04%	2.1
J.J. Spaun	23.11%	4.3
J.T. Poston	26.12%	3.8
Jake Knapp	7.93%	13
Jason Day	31.63%	3.2
Jhonattan Vegas	18.03%	5.5
Jordan Spieth	11.62%	8.6
Justin Lower	16.58%	6
Justin Rose	12.24%	8.2
Justin Thomas	44.39%	2.3
Keegan Bradley	34.24%	2.9
Keith Mitchell	22.86%	4.4
Kevin Yu	11.45%	8.7
Lee Hodges	19.68%	5.1
Lucas Glover	18.09%	5.5
Ludvig Aberg	47.30%	2.1
Mackenzie Hughes	16.26%	6.2
Mark Hubbard	19.63%	5.1
Matt Fitzpatrick	23.54%	4.2
Matthieu Pavon	8.26%	12
Maverick McNealy	25.62%	3.9
Max Greyserman	31.15%	3.2
Max Homa	20.42%	4.9
Min Woo Lee	21.56%	4.6
Nick Dunlap	13.34%	7.5
Nick Taylor	19.93%	5
Nico Echavarria	14.48%	6.9
Patrick Cantlay	49.38%	2
Patrick Rodgers	15.72%	6.4
Rasmus Hojgaard	19.91%	5
Rickie Fowler	24.31%	4.1
Robert MacIntyre	24.34%	4.1
Rory McIlroy	56.30%	1.78
Russell Henley	34.55%	2.9
Sahith Theegala	27.57%	3.6
Sam Burns	42.44%	2.4
Sam Stevens	19.63%	5.1
Scottie Scheffler	72.33%	1.38
Seamus Power	9.33%	11
Sepp Straka	28.52%	3.5
Shane Lowry	28.10%	3.6
Si Woo Kim	26.84%	3.7
Stephan Jaeger	20.52%	4.9
Sungjae Im	41.96%	2.4
Taylor Moore	17.86%	5.6
Taylor Pendrith	33.63%	3
Thomas Detry	26.45%	3.8
Tom Hoge	25.45%	3.9
Tom Kim	20.60%	4.9
Tommy Fleetwood	39.93%	2.5
Tony Finau	30.50%	3.3
Viktor Hovland	28.10%	3.6
Will Zalatoris	31.05%	3.2
Wyndham Clark	30.80%	3.2

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	40.72%	2.5
Adam Hadwin	23.80%	4.2
Adam Scott	44.12%	2.3
Akshay Bhatia	33.70%	3
Andrew Novak	32.11%	3.1
Austin Eckroat	30.90%	3.2
Beau Hossler	40.27%	2.5
Ben Griffin	34.49%	2.9
Billy Horschel	36.35%	2.8
Brendon Todd	13.74%	7.3
Brian Harman	29.68%	3.4
Byeong Hun An	33.00%	3
Cam Davis	32.68%	3.1
Cameron Young	31.59%	3.2
Chris Kirk	30.35%	3.3
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	36.02%	2.8
Collin Morikawa	66.72%	1.5
Corey Conners	45.30%	2.2
Davis Thompson	32.87%	3
Denny McCarthy	39.87%	2.5
Doug Ghim	25.58%	3.9
Eric Cole	30.23%	3.3
Erik Van Rooyen	22.67%	4.4
Gary Woodland	24.63%	4.1
Harris English	38.33%	2.6
Harry Hall	34.17%	2.9
Hideki Matsuyama	62.71%	1.59
J.J. Spaun	36.18%	2.8
J.T. Poston	39.62%	2.5
Jake Knapp	15.02%	6.7
Jason Day	45.67%	2.2
Jhonattan Vegas	29.76%	3.4
Jordan Spieth	20.86%	4.8
Justin Lower	27.74%	3.6
Justin Rose	21.60%	4.6
Justin Thomas	59.48%	1.68
Keegan Bradley	48.63%	2.1
Keith Mitchell	35.69%	2.8
Kevin Yu	20.55%	4.9
Lee Hodges	31.66%	3.2
Lucas Glover	29.84%	3.4
Ludvig Aberg	61.79%	1.62
Mackenzie Hughes	27.46%	3.6
Mark Hubbard	31.64%	3.2
Matt Fitzpatrick	36.69%	2.7
Matthieu Pavon	15.48%	6.5
Maverick McNealy	39.35%	2.5
Max Greyserman	45.67%	2.2
Max Homa	32.82%	3
Min Woo Lee	33.97%	2.9
Nick Dunlap	23.18%	4.3
Nick Taylor	32.13%	3.1
Nico Echavarria	24.91%	4
Patrick Cantlay	64.11%	1.56
Patrick Rodgers	26.62%	3.8
Rasmus Hojgaard	32.28%	3.1
Rickie Fowler	37.80%	2.6
Robert MacIntyre	37.42%	2.7
Rory McIlroy	70.36%	1.42
Russell Henley	49.26%	2
Sahith Theegala	41.37%	2.4
Sam Burns	57.48%	1.74
Sam Stevens	31.71%	3.2
Scottie Scheffler	83.43%	1.2
Seamus Power	17.44%	5.7
Sepp Straka	42.54%	2.4
Shane Lowry	41.78%	2.4
Si Woo Kim	40.83%	2.4
Stephan Jaeger	32.89%	3
Sungjae Im	56.61%	1.77
Taylor Moore	29.53%	3.4
Taylor Pendrith	47.85%	2.1
Thomas Detry	40.04%	2.5
Tom Hoge	38.89%	2.6
Tom Kim	32.85%	3
Tommy Fleetwood	54.72%	1.83
Tony Finau	44.56%	2.2
Viktor Hovland	42.39%	2.4
Will Zalatoris	46.01%	2.2
Wyndham Clark	45.27%	2.2

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	53.74%	1.86
Adam Hadwin	35.47%	2.8
Adam Scott	57.28%	1.75
Akshay Bhatia	46.96%	2.1
Andrew Novak	44.83%	2.2
Austin Eckroat	43.35%	2.3
Beau Hossler	54.04%	1.85
Ben Griffin	47.85%	2.1
Billy Horschel	49.19%	2
Brendon Todd	22.67%	4.4
Brian Harman	42.64%	2.3
Byeong Hun An	46.04%	2.2
Cam Davis	45.76%	2.2
Cameron Young	44.45%	2.2
Chris Kirk	43.37%	2.3
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	49.29%	2
Collin Morikawa	78.03%	1.28
Corey Conners	58.88%	1.7
Davis Thompson	45.65%	2.2
Denny McCarthy	53.22%	1.88
Doug Ghim	37.57%	2.7
Eric Cole	43.02%	2.3
Erik Van Rooyen	33.91%	2.9
Gary Woodland	36.17%	2.8
Harris English	51.73%	1.93
Harry Hall	47.16%	2.1
Hideki Matsuyama	74.16%	1.35
J.J. Spaun	49.73%	2
J.T. Poston	52.98%	1.89
Jake Knapp	24.39%	4.1
Jason Day	59.47%	1.68
Jhonattan Vegas	42.89%	2.3
Jordan Spieth	31.94%	3.1
Justin Lower	39.86%	2.5
Justin Rose	32.92%	3
Justin Thomas	71.60%	1.4
Keegan Bradley	61.79%	1.62
Keith Mitchell	48.93%	2
Kevin Yu	31.37%	3.2
Lee Hodges	44.47%	2.2
Lucas Glover	42.46%	2.4
Ludvig Aberg	73.96%	1.35
Mackenzie Hughes	39.72%	2.5
Mark Hubbard	44.72%	2.2
Matt Fitzpatrick	49.86%	2
Matthieu Pavon	25.13%	4
Maverick McNealy	52.51%	1.9
Max Greyserman	58.91%	1.7
Max Homa	45.72%	2.2
Min Woo Lee	47.03%	2.1
Nick Dunlap	34.73%	2.9
Nick Taylor	44.97%	2.2
Nico Echavarria	36.50%	2.7
Patrick Cantlay	75.33%	1.33
Patrick Rodgers	38.59%	2.6
Rasmus Hojgaard	45.31%	2.2
Rickie Fowler	50.58%	1.98
Robert MacIntyre	50.53%	1.98
Rory McIlroy	80.65%	1.24
Russell Henley	62.32%	1.6
Sahith Theegala	55.01%	1.82
Sam Burns	70.03%	1.43
Sam Stevens	44.53%	2.2
Scottie Scheffler	90.16%	1.11
Seamus Power	27.60%	3.6
Sepp Straka	56.06%	1.78
Shane Lowry	55.26%	1.81
Si Woo Kim	54.16%	1.85
Stephan Jaeger	46.03%	2.2
Sungjae Im	69.06%	1.45
Taylor Moore	42.41%	2.4
Taylor Pendrith	61.12%	1.64
Thomas Detry	53.56%	1.87
Tom Hoge	52.01%	1.92
Tom Kim	46.02%	2.2
Tommy Fleetwood	67.46%	1.48
Tony Finau	58.12%	1.72
Viktor Hovland	55.53%	1.8
Will Zalatoris	59.01%	1.69
Wyndham Clark	58.64%	1.71

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	4.30%	23
Adam Hadwin	10.41%	9.6
Adam Scott	3.77%	27
Akshay Bhatia	6.24%	16
Andrew Novak	6.76%	15
Austin Eckroat	7.30%	14
Beau Hossler	4.51%	22
Ben Griffin	5.88%	17
Billy Horschel	5.66%	18
Brendon Todd	18.65%	5.4
Brian Harman	7.53%	13
Byeong Hun An	6.73%	15
Cam Davis	6.54%	15
Cameron Young	7.12%	14
Chris Kirk	7.50%	13
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	5.51%	18
Collin Morikawa	0.93%	108
Corey Conners	3.38%	30
Davis Thompson	6.53%	15
Denny McCarthy	4.67%	21
Doug Ghim	9.66%	10
Eric Cole	7.69%	13
Erik Van Rooyen	11.21%	8.9
Gary Woodland	10.30%	9.7
Harris English	4.95%	20
Harry Hall	6.13%	16
Hideki Matsuyama	1.25%	80
J.J. Spaun	5.52%	18
J.T. Poston	4.63%	22
Jake Knapp	17.10%	5.8
Jason Day	3.44%	29
Jhonattan Vegas	7.66%	13
Jordan Spieth	12.47%	8
Justin Lower	8.71%	11
Justin Rose	11.65%	8.6
Justin Thomas	1.61%	62
Keegan Bradley	2.86%	35
Keith Mitchell	5.58%	18
Kevin Yu	12.65%	7.9
Lee Hodges	6.87%	15
Lucas Glover	7.59%	13
Ludvig Aberg	1.35%	74
Mackenzie Hughes	8.72%	11
Mark Hubbard	6.99%	14
Matt Fitzpatrick	5.48%	18
Matthieu Pavon	16.76%	6
Maverick McNealy	4.78%	21
Max Greyserman	3.44%	29
Max Homa	6.56%	15
Min Woo Lee	6.21%	16
Nick Dunlap	10.81%	9.3
Nick Taylor	6.77%	15
Nico Echavarria	9.91%	10
Patrick Cantlay	1.19%	84
Patrick Rodgers	9.17%	11
Rasmus Hojgaard	6.90%	14
Rickie Fowler	5.09%	20
Robert MacIntyre	5.12%	20
Rory McIlroy	0.77%	130
Russell Henley	2.80%	36
Sahith Theegala	4.26%	23
Sam Burns	1.73%	58
Sam Stevens	7.01%	14
Scottie Scheffler	0.22%	455
Seamus Power	14.91%	6.7
Sepp Straka	3.97%	25
Shane Lowry	4.04%	25
Si Woo Kim	4.36%	23
Stephan Jaeger	6.54%	15
Sungjae Im	1.84%	54
Taylor Moore	7.66%	13
Taylor Pendrith	2.97%	34
Thomas Detry	4.45%	22
Tom Hoge	4.96%	20
Tom Kim	6.45%	16
Tommy Fleetwood	2.10%	48
Tony Finau	3.49%	29
Viktor Hovland	4.11%	24
Will Zalatoris	3.41%	29
Wyndham Clark	3.30%	30

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Sam Burns	3.02%	33	41	0.60%	22	-2	Boyle Sports: 30/1, 10pl, 1/5
WIN: Si Woo Kim	1.09%	92	126	0.30%	12	-2	Spreadex: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
WIN: Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.79%	127	176	0.20%	40	-2	Skybet: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.