Simulation Results: Memorial Tournament

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	1.17%	85	51		64
Adam Hadwin	0.20%	500	351		51
Adam Scott	1.53%	65	91	0.40%	31	-0.4	VBet: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
Akshay Bhatia	0.69%	145	91		16
Alex Noren	1.21%	83	76		39
Andrew Novak	0.72%	139	67		51
Austin Eckroat	0.39%	256	176		57
Ben Griffin	1.19%	84	67		2
Brandt Snedeker	0.06%	1667	1501		7
Brian Campbell	0.29%	345	301		72
Brian Harman	1.09%	92	91		68
Bud Cauley	0.60%	167	101		39
Byeong Hun An	0.52%	192	101		69
Cam Davis	0.25%	400	201		71
Cameron Young	0.53%	189	151		25
Chris Kirk	0.43%	233	201		61
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.89%	112	111		63
Collin Morikawa	3.28%	30	17		20
Corey Conners	3.41%	29	31	0.20%	25	-0.2	Boyle Sports: 22/1, 10pl, 1/5
Daniel Berger	1.45%	69	36		64
Davis Thompson	0.72%	139	101		49
Denny McCarthy	1.90%	53	46		55
Eric Cole	0.64%	156	126		44
Harris English	1.06%	94	67		12
Harry Higgs	0.09%	1111	751		51
Hideki Matsuyama	2.91%	34	36	0.10%	38	-0.1	Boyle Sports: 25/1, 10pl, 1/5
J.J. Spaun	1.41%	71	56		58
J.T. Poston	1.17%	85	61		64
Jacob Bridgeman	0.43%	233	176		31
Jhonattan Vegas	0.33%	303	226		44
Joe Highsmith	0.27%	370	226		64
Jordan Spieth	1.92%	52	51		7
Justin Rose	0.44%	227	126		44
Justin Thomas	3.29%	30	19		31
Keegan Bradley	1.97%	51	51		7
Lucas Glover	0.65%	154	111		69
Ludvig Aberg	1.84%	54	26		16
Mackenzie Hughes	0.67%	149	111		39
Matt Fitzpatrick	1.09%	92	51		31
Matt Kuchar	0.48%	208	176		25
Matthieu Pavon	0.18%	556	501		58
Matti Schmid	0.49%	204	176		58
Maverick McNealy	1.06%	94	67		5
Max Greyserman	0.80%	125	126		25
Max Homa	0.59%	169	86		51
Michael Kim	0.79%	127	101		44
Min Woo Lee	0.84%	119	81		49
Nick Dunlap	0.11%	909	601		44
Nick Taylor	0.40%	250	176		4
Patrick Cantlay	4.12%	24	23		12
Rickie Fowler	0.94%	106	101		7
Robert MacIntyre	0.91%	110	67		20
Russell Henley	2.08%	48	51	0.10%	5	0.3	Boyle Sports: 35/1, 10pl, 1/5
Ryan Fox	0.45%	222	151		20
Ryan Gerard	0.46%	217	101		23
Sahith Theegala	0.38%	263	151		61
Sam Burns	2.17%	46	61	0.50%	12	-0.5	Boyle Sports: 40/1, 10pl, 1/5
Sam Stevens	0.70%	143	141		31
Scottie Scheffler	14.11%	7.1	3.8		1
Sepp Straka	1.66%	60	41		3
Shane Lowry	1.88%	53	34		23
Si Woo Kim	2.34%	43	41		31
Stephan Jaeger	0.67%	149	126		39
Sungjae Im	1.89%	53	61	0.30%	16	-0.3	Betfred: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taylor Pendrith	0.93%	108	81		12
Thomas Detry	0.39%	256	151		39
Tom Hoge	0.37%	270	176		7
Tommy Fleetwood	4.53%	22	26	0.70%	16	-0.7	Bet365: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tony Finau	2.30%	43	51	0.30%	31	-0.3	Boyle Sports: 33/1, 10pl, 1/5
Viktor Hovland	2.43%	41	31		25
Wyndham Clark	0.89%	112	101		56
Xander Schauffele	4.98%	20	19		25

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	3.98%	25
Adam Hadwin	0.88%	114
Adam Scott	4.89%	20
Akshay Bhatia	2.44%	41
Alex Noren	3.91%	26
Andrew Novak	2.50%	40
Austin Eckroat	1.57%	64
Ben Griffin	4.03%	25
Brandt Snedeker	0.27%	370
Brian Campbell	1.19%	84
Brian Harman	3.65%	27
Bud Cauley	2.32%	43
Byeong Hun An	1.91%	52
Cam Davis	1.02%	98
Cameron Young	1.97%	51
Chris Kirk	1.61%	62
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	3.15%	32
Collin Morikawa	9.34%	11
Corey Conners	9.41%	11
Daniel Berger	4.86%	21
Davis Thompson	2.62%	38
Denny McCarthy	5.89%	17
Eric Cole	2.31%	43
Harris English	3.64%	27
Harry Higgs	0.46%	217
Hideki Matsuyama	8.56%	12
J.J. Spaun	4.54%	22
J.T. Poston	3.95%	25
Jacob Bridgeman	1.69%	59
Jhonattan Vegas	1.38%	72
Joe Highsmith	1.06%	94
Jordan Spieth	5.85%	17
Justin Rose	1.66%	60
Justin Thomas	9.26%	11
Keegan Bradley	6.17%	16
Lucas Glover	2.31%	43
Ludvig Aberg	5.80%	17
Mackenzie Hughes	2.41%	41
Matt Fitzpatrick	3.82%	26
Matt Kuchar	1.81%	55
Matthieu Pavon	0.83%	120
Matti Schmid	1.84%	54
Maverick McNealy	3.56%	28
Max Greyserman	2.80%	36
Max Homa	2.08%	48
Michael Kim	2.71%	37
Min Woo Lee	2.70%	37
Nick Dunlap	0.46%	217
Nick Taylor	1.57%	64
Patrick Cantlay	11.19%	8.9
Rickie Fowler	3.31%	30
Robert MacIntyre	3.08%	32
Russell Henley	6.25%	16
Ryan Fox	1.74%	57
Ryan Gerard	1.70%	59
Sahith Theegala	1.41%	71
Sam Burns	6.72%	15
Sam Stevens	2.55%	39
Scottie Scheffler	29.05%	3.4
Sepp Straka	5.32%	19
Shane Lowry	5.89%	17
Si Woo Kim	7.13%	14
Stephan Jaeger	2.23%	45
Sungjae Im	5.83%	17
Taylor Pendrith	3.12%	32
Thomas Detry	1.52%	66
Tom Hoge	1.34%	75
Tommy Fleetwood	12.01%	8.3
Tony Finau	7.00%	14
Viktor Hovland	7.12%	14
Wyndham Clark	3.04%	33
Xander Schauffele	12.81%	7.8

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	7.02%	14
Adam Hadwin	1.76%	57
Adam Scott	8.39%	12
Akshay Bhatia	4.45%	22
Alex Noren	6.75%	15
Andrew Novak	4.54%	22
Austin Eckroat	2.97%	34
Ben Griffin	7.05%	14
Brandt Snedeker	0.60%	167
Brian Campbell	2.40%	42
Brian Harman	6.29%	16
Bud Cauley	4.26%	23
Byeong Hun An	3.53%	28
Cam Davis	1.99%	50
Cameron Young	3.64%	27
Chris Kirk	3.14%	32
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	5.68%	18
Collin Morikawa	14.73%	6.8
Corey Conners	14.94%	6.7
Daniel Berger	8.14%	12
Davis Thompson	4.70%	21
Denny McCarthy	9.93%	10
Eric Cole	4.25%	24
Harris English	6.28%	16
Harry Higgs	0.94%	106
Hideki Matsuyama	13.67%	7.3
J.J. Spaun	7.84%	13
J.T. Poston	7.01%	14
Jacob Bridgeman	3.24%	31
Jhonattan Vegas	2.69%	37
Joe Highsmith	2.16%	46
Jordan Spieth	9.84%	10
Justin Rose	3.12%	32
Justin Thomas	14.49%	6.9
Keegan Bradley	10.21%	9.8
Lucas Glover	4.28%	23
Ludvig Aberg	9.68%	10
Mackenzie Hughes	4.43%	23
Matt Fitzpatrick	6.58%	15
Matt Kuchar	3.38%	30
Matthieu Pavon	1.66%	60
Matti Schmid	3.47%	29
Maverick McNealy	6.19%	16
Max Greyserman	4.94%	20
Max Homa	3.75%	27
Michael Kim	4.97%	20
Min Woo Lee	4.83%	21
Nick Dunlap	0.91%	110
Nick Taylor	2.97%	34
Patrick Cantlay	17.22%	5.8
Rickie Fowler	5.93%	17
Robert MacIntyre	5.53%	18
Russell Henley	10.47%	9.6
Ryan Fox	3.32%	30
Ryan Gerard	3.24%	31
Sahith Theegala	2.70%	37
Sam Burns	11.09%	9
Sam Stevens	4.64%	22
Scottie Scheffler	39.10%	2.6
Sepp Straka	8.93%	11
Shane Lowry	9.91%	10
Si Woo Kim	11.69%	8.6
Stephan Jaeger	4.08%	25
Sungjae Im	9.76%	10
Taylor Pendrith	5.71%	18
Thomas Detry	2.89%	35
Tom Hoge	2.56%	39
Tommy Fleetwood	18.42%	5.4
Tony Finau	11.52%	8.7
Viktor Hovland	11.60%	8.6
Wyndham Clark	5.43%	18
Xander Schauffele	19.60%	5.1

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	14.80%	6.8
Adam Hadwin	4.64%	22
Adam Scott	17.15%	5.8
Akshay Bhatia	10.19%	9.8
Alex Noren	14.45%	6.9
Andrew Novak	10.18%	9.8
Austin Eckroat	7.34%	14
Ben Griffin	14.84%	6.7
Brandt Snedeker	1.86%	54
Brian Campbell	6.09%	16
Brian Harman	13.48%	7.4
Bud Cauley	9.73%	10
Byeong Hun An	8.31%	12
Cam Davis	5.23%	19
Cameron Young	8.42%	12
Chris Kirk	7.36%	14
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	12.36%	8.1
Collin Morikawa	26.50%	3.8
Corey Conners	26.74%	3.7
Daniel Berger	16.61%	6
Davis Thompson	10.67%	9.4
Denny McCarthy	19.56%	5.1
Eric Cole	9.65%	10
Harris English	13.60%	7.4
Harry Higgs	2.70%	37
Hideki Matsuyama	25.07%	4
J.J. Spaun	16.06%	6.2
J.T. Poston	14.69%	6.8
Jacob Bridgeman	7.59%	13
Jhonattan Vegas	6.74%	15
Joe Highsmith	5.43%	18
Jordan Spieth	19.30%	5.2
Justin Rose	7.55%	13
Justin Thomas	26.38%	3.8
Keegan Bradley	19.96%	5
Lucas Glover	9.81%	10
Ludvig Aberg	19.03%	5.3
Mackenzie Hughes	10.02%	10
Matt Fitzpatrick	13.89%	7.2
Matt Kuchar	8.17%	12
Matthieu Pavon	4.56%	22
Matti Schmid	8.23%	12
Maverick McNealy	13.27%	7.5
Max Greyserman	10.99%	9.1
Max Homa	8.85%	11
Michael Kim	11.17%	9
Min Woo Lee	10.78%	9.3
Nick Dunlap	2.57%	39
Nick Taylor	7.31%	14
Patrick Cantlay	30.12%	3.3
Rickie Fowler	12.72%	7.9
Robert MacIntyre	12.30%	8.1
Russell Henley	20.25%	4.9
Ryan Fox	7.89%	13
Ryan Gerard	7.73%	13
Sahith Theegala	6.71%	15
Sam Burns	21.44%	4.7
Sam Stevens	10.56%	9.5
Scottie Scheffler	55.39%	1.81
Sepp Straka	17.89%	5.6
Shane Lowry	19.65%	5.1
Si Woo Kim	22.06%	4.5
Stephan Jaeger	9.40%	11
Sungjae Im	19.28%	5.2
Taylor Pendrith	12.27%	8.1
Thomas Detry	7.06%	14
Tom Hoge	6.54%	15
Tommy Fleetwood	31.76%	3.1
Tony Finau	21.90%	4.6
Viktor Hovland	22.20%	4.5
Wyndham Clark	11.96%	8.4
Xander Schauffele	33.07%	3

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	30.69%	3.3
Adam Hadwin	12.80%	7.8
Adam Scott	33.77%	3
Akshay Bhatia	23.18%	4.3
Alex Noren	30.04%	3.3
Andrew Novak	23.04%	4.3
Austin Eckroat	17.94%	5.6
Ben Griffin	30.35%	3.3
Brandt Snedeker	6.23%	16
Brian Campbell	15.70%	6.4
Brian Harman	28.34%	3.5
Bud Cauley	22.31%	4.5
Byeong Hun An	19.64%	5.1
Cam Davis	13.92%	7.2
Cameron Young	19.85%	5
Chris Kirk	18.01%	5.6
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	26.60%	3.8
Collin Morikawa	46.12%	2.2
Corey Conners	46.19%	2.2
Daniel Berger	33.05%	3
Davis Thompson	23.88%	4.2
Denny McCarthy	37.17%	2.7
Eric Cole	22.16%	4.5
Harris English	28.48%	3.5
Harry Higgs	8.10%	12
Hideki Matsuyama	43.99%	2.3
J.J. Spaun	32.40%	3.1
J.T. Poston	30.19%	3.3
Jacob Bridgeman	18.06%	5.5
Jhonattan Vegas	16.97%	5.9
Joe Highsmith	14.22%	7
Jordan Spieth	36.79%	2.7
Justin Rose	18.45%	5.4
Justin Thomas	45.78%	2.2
Keegan Bradley	37.58%	2.7
Lucas Glover	22.41%	4.5
Ludvig Aberg	36.37%	2.7
Mackenzie Hughes	22.83%	4.4
Matt Fitzpatrick	29.03%	3.4
Matt Kuchar	19.56%	5.1
Matthieu Pavon	12.35%	8.1
Matti Schmid	19.51%	5.1
Maverick McNealy	27.89%	3.6
Max Greyserman	24.55%	4.1
Max Homa	20.74%	4.8
Michael Kim	24.67%	4.1
Min Woo Lee	24.11%	4.1
Nick Dunlap	7.89%	13
Nick Taylor	17.73%	5.6
Patrick Cantlay	50.15%	1.99
Rickie Fowler	27.17%	3.7
Robert MacIntyre	26.29%	3.8
Russell Henley	37.89%	2.6
Ryan Fox	18.99%	5.3
Ryan Gerard	18.64%	5.4
Sahith Theegala	16.63%	6
Sam Burns	39.27%	2.5
Sam Stevens	23.78%	4.2
Scottie Scheffler	74.32%	1.35
Sepp Straka	35.11%	2.8
Shane Lowry	37.51%	2.7
Si Woo Kim	40.57%	2.5
Stephan Jaeger	21.80%	4.6
Sungjae Im	36.77%	2.7
Taylor Pendrith	26.65%	3.8
Thomas Detry	17.47%	5.7
Tom Hoge	16.45%	6.1
Tommy Fleetwood	51.80%	1.93
Tony Finau	40.60%	2.5
Viktor Hovland	40.52%	2.5
Wyndham Clark	26.18%	3.8
Xander Schauffele	53.82%	1.86

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	45.89%	2.2
Adam Hadwin	23.14%	4.3
Adam Scott	49.45%	2
Akshay Bhatia	37.29%	2.7
Alex Noren	45.28%	2.2
Andrew Novak	37.13%	2.7
Austin Eckroat	30.33%	3.3
Ben Griffin	45.56%	2.2
Brandt Snedeker	12.84%	7.8
Brian Campbell	27.26%	3.7
Brian Harman	43.44%	2.3
Bud Cauley	36.21%	2.8
Byeong Hun An	32.75%	3.1
Cam Davis	24.96%	4
Cameron Young	33.05%	3
Chris Kirk	30.49%	3.3
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	41.18%	2.4
Collin Morikawa	62.05%	1.61
Corey Conners	61.96%	1.61
Daniel Berger	48.69%	2.1
Davis Thompson	38.15%	2.6
Denny McCarthy	53.11%	1.88
Eric Cole	35.83%	2.8
Harris English	43.65%	2.3
Harry Higgs	16.07%	6.2
Hideki Matsuyama	59.97%	1.67
J.J. Spaun	48.01%	2.1
J.T. Poston	45.32%	2.2
Jacob Bridgeman	30.71%	3.3
Jhonattan Vegas	29.16%	3.4
Joe Highsmith	25.34%	3.9
Jordan Spieth	52.55%	1.9
Justin Rose	31.17%	3.2
Justin Thomas	61.55%	1.62
Keegan Bradley	53.36%	1.87
Lucas Glover	35.99%	2.8
Ludvig Aberg	52.30%	1.91
Mackenzie Hughes	36.77%	2.7
Matt Fitzpatrick	44.27%	2.3
Matt Kuchar	32.67%	3.1
Matthieu Pavon	22.61%	4.4
Matti Schmid	32.52%	3.1
Maverick McNealy	42.64%	2.3
Max Greyserman	38.75%	2.6
Max Homa	34.31%	2.9
Michael Kim	39.31%	2.5
Min Woo Lee	38.44%	2.6
Nick Dunlap	15.87%	6.3
Nick Taylor	30.14%	3.3
Patrick Cantlay	65.57%	1.53
Rickie Fowler	41.94%	2.4
Robert MacIntyre	41.03%	2.4
Russell Henley	53.86%	1.86
Ryan Fox	31.72%	3.2
Ryan Gerard	31.53%	3.2
Sahith Theegala	28.75%	3.5
Sam Burns	55.06%	1.82
Sam Stevens	37.88%	2.6
Scottie Scheffler	85.09%	1.18
Sepp Straka	50.76%	1.97
Shane Lowry	53.20%	1.88
Si Woo Kim	56.40%	1.77
Stephan Jaeger	35.56%	2.8
Sungjae Im	52.49%	1.91
Taylor Pendrith	41.48%	2.4
Thomas Detry	29.90%	3.3
Tom Hoge	28.72%	3.5
Tommy Fleetwood	67.21%	1.49
Tony Finau	56.35%	1.77
Viktor Hovland	56.32%	1.78
Wyndham Clark	40.64%	2.5
Xander Schauffele	69.04%	1.45

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	60.73%	1.65
Adam Hadwin	35.83%	2.8
Adam Scott	63.90%	1.56
Akshay Bhatia	52.00%	1.92
Alex Noren	59.69%	1.68
Andrew Novak	52.01%	1.92
Austin Eckroat	44.57%	2.2
Ben Griffin	60.33%	1.66
Brandt Snedeker	22.52%	4.4
Brian Campbell	40.86%	2.4
Brian Harman	58.33%	1.71
Bud Cauley	50.70%	1.97
Byeong Hun An	47.21%	2.1
Cam Davis	38.23%	2.6
Cameron Young	47.52%	2.1
Chris Kirk	44.64%	2.2
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	55.99%	1.79
Collin Morikawa	74.89%	1.34
Corey Conners	74.98%	1.33
Daniel Berger	63.27%	1.58
Davis Thompson	53.09%	1.88
Denny McCarthy	67.26%	1.49
Eric Cole	50.30%	1.99
Harris English	58.45%	1.71
Harry Higgs	27.03%	3.7
Hideki Matsuyama	73.25%	1.37
J.J. Spaun	62.61%	1.6
J.T. Poston	59.88%	1.67
Jacob Bridgeman	44.86%	2.2
Jhonattan Vegas	43.06%	2.3
Joe Highsmith	38.75%	2.6
Jordan Spieth	66.92%	1.49
Justin Rose	45.25%	2.2
Justin Thomas	74.58%	1.34
Keegan Bradley	67.56%	1.48
Lucas Glover	50.62%	1.98
Ludvig Aberg	66.46%	1.5
Mackenzie Hughes	51.28%	1.95
Matt Fitzpatrick	58.90%	1.7
Matt Kuchar	47.05%	2.1
Matthieu Pavon	35.22%	2.8
Matti Schmid	46.61%	2.1
Maverick McNealy	57.56%	1.74
Max Greyserman	53.48%	1.87
Max Homa	48.62%	2.1
Michael Kim	53.85%	1.86
Min Woo Lee	53.08%	1.88
Nick Dunlap	26.62%	3.8
Nick Taylor	44.40%	2.3
Patrick Cantlay	78.01%	1.28
Rickie Fowler	56.89%	1.76
Robert MacIntyre	55.98%	1.79
Russell Henley	68.01%	1.47
Ryan Fox	46.13%	2.2
Ryan Gerard	45.83%	2.2
Sahith Theegala	42.73%	2.3
Sam Burns	69.19%	1.45
Sam Stevens	52.61%	1.9
Scottie Scheffler	91.91%	1.09
Sepp Straka	65.27%	1.53
Shane Lowry	67.45%	1.48
Si Woo Kim	70.19%	1.42
Stephan Jaeger	50.26%	1.99
Sungjae Im	66.69%	1.5
Taylor Pendrith	56.33%	1.78
Thomas Detry	44.00%	2.3
Tom Hoge	42.64%	2.3
Tommy Fleetwood	79.07%	1.26
Tony Finau	70.14%	1.43
Viktor Hovland	70.22%	1.42
Wyndham Clark	55.25%	1.81
Xander Schauffele	80.44%	1.24

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	0.00%	10000
Adam Hadwin	0.00%	10000
Adam Scott	0.00%	10000
Akshay Bhatia	0.00%	10000
Alex Noren	0.00%	10000
Andrew Novak	0.00%	10000
Austin Eckroat	0.00%	10000
Ben Griffin	0.00%	10000
Brandt Snedeker	0.00%	10000
Brian Campbell	0.00%	10000
Brian Harman	0.00%	10000
Bud Cauley	0.00%	10000
Byeong Hun An	0.00%	10000
Cam Davis	0.00%	10000
Cameron Young	0.00%	10000
Chris Kirk	0.00%	10000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.00%	10000
Collin Morikawa	0.00%	10000
Corey Conners	0.00%	10000
Daniel Berger	0.00%	10000
Davis Thompson	0.00%	10000
Denny McCarthy	0.00%	10000
Eric Cole	0.00%	10000
Harris English	0.00%	10000
Harry Higgs	0.00%	10000
Hideki Matsuyama	0.00%	10000
J.J. Spaun	0.00%	10000
J.T. Poston	0.00%	10000
Jacob Bridgeman	0.00%	10000
Jhonattan Vegas	0.00%	10000
Joe Highsmith	0.00%	10000
Jordan Spieth	0.00%	10000
Justin Rose	0.00%	10000
Justin Thomas	0.00%	10000
Keegan Bradley	0.00%	10000
Lucas Glover	0.00%	10000
Ludvig Aberg	0.00%	10000
Mackenzie Hughes	0.00%	10000
Matt Fitzpatrick	0.00%	10000
Matt Kuchar	0.00%	10000
Matthieu Pavon	0.00%	10000
Matti Schmid	0.00%	10000
Maverick McNealy	0.00%	10000
Max Greyserman	0.00%	10000
Max Homa	0.00%	10000
Michael Kim	0.00%	10000
Min Woo Lee	0.00%	10000
Nick Dunlap	0.00%	10000
Nick Taylor	0.00%	10000
Patrick Cantlay	0.00%	10000
Rickie Fowler	0.00%	10000
Robert MacIntyre	0.00%	10000
Russell Henley	0.00%	10000
Ryan Fox	0.00%	10000
Ryan Gerard	0.00%	10000
Sahith Theegala	0.00%	10000
Sam Burns	0.00%	10000
Sam Stevens	0.00%	10000
Scottie Scheffler	0.00%	10000
Sepp Straka	0.00%	10000
Shane Lowry	0.00%	10000
Si Woo Kim	0.00%	10000
Stephan Jaeger	0.00%	10000
Sungjae Im	0.00%	10000
Taylor Pendrith	0.00%	10000
Thomas Detry	0.00%	10000
Tom Hoge	0.00%	10000
Tommy Fleetwood	0.00%	10000
Tony Finau	0.00%	10000
Viktor Hovland	0.00%	10000
Wyndham Clark	0.00%	10000
Xander Schauffele	0.00%	10000

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	1.52%	66	61		68
Adam Hadwin	0.68%	147	126		50
Adam Scott	1.65%	61	81	0.40%	68	-0.4	Paddy Power: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Akshay Bhatia	1.11%	90	67		7
Alex Noren	1.45%	69	61		31
Andrew Novak	1.18%	85	61		7
Austin Eckroat	0.89%	112	91		23
Ben Griffin	1.41%	71	51		1
Brandt Snedeker	0.39%	256	301	0.10%	44	-0.1	Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brian Campbell	0.83%	120	111		68
Brian Harman	1.37%	73	91	0.30%	50	-0.3	Paddy Power: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Bud Cauley	1.11%	90	81		11
Byeong Hun An	0.96%	104	81		31
Cam Davis	0.74%	135	101		62
Cameron Young	0.96%	104	81		60
Chris Kirk	0.92%	109	101		44
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	1.28%	78	81		31
Collin Morikawa	2.34%	43	26		2
Corey Conners	2.29%	44	46	0.10%	23	-0.1	Paddy Power: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Daniel Berger	1.62%	62	41		72
Davis Thompson	1.17%	85	81		50
Denny McCarthy	1.85%	54	46		14
Eric Cole	1.10%	91	81		14
Harris English	1.34%	75	56		11
Harry Higgs	0.50%	200	176		14
Hideki Matsuyama	2.19%	46	41		31
J.J. Spaun	1.51%	66	51		50
J.T. Poston	1.40%	71	56		60
Jacob Bridgeman	0.92%	109	111		23
Jhonattan Vegas	0.83%	120	101		31
Joe Highsmith	0.72%	139	101		50
Jordan Spieth	1.82%	55	46		14
Justin Rose	0.95%	105	81		62
Justin Thomas	2.42%	41	36		71
Keegan Bradley	1.78%	56	61	0.10%	4	0.43333333333333	Paddy Power: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lucas Glover	1.12%	89	81		62
Ludvig Aberg	1.78%	56	34		44
Mackenzie Hughes	1.13%	88	91		23
Matt Fitzpatrick	1.34%	75	56		50
Matt Kuchar	0.94%	106	111		31
Matthieu Pavon	0.64%	156	126		44
Matti Schmid	0.97%	103	81		44
Maverick McNealy	1.34%	75	61		44
Max Greyserman	1.13%	88	81		62
Max Homa	0.96%	104	67		3
Michael Kim	1.12%	89	81		62
Min Woo Lee	1.15%	87	71		50
Nick Dunlap	0.49%	204	176		31
Nick Taylor	0.95%	105	111		4
Patrick Cantlay	2.62%	38	36		14
Rickie Fowler	1.25%	80	67		14
Robert MacIntyre	1.26%	79	67		11
Russell Henley	1.82%	55	67	0.30%	31	-0.3	Skybet: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryan Fox	0.93%	108	81		14
Ryan Gerard	0.93%	108	81		50
Sahith Theegala	0.84%	119	81		31
Sam Burns	1.94%	52	56	0.20%	50	-0.2	Paddy Power: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sam Stevens	1.19%	84	81		31
Scottie Scheffler	4.98%	20	13		7
Sepp Straka	1.72%	58	56		31
Shane Lowry	1.84%	54	46		4
Si Woo Kim	1.98%	51	56	0.20%	7	-0.2	Paddy Power: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stephan Jaeger	1.11%	90	81		50
Sungjae Im	1.67%	60	61		23
Taylor Pendrith	1.32%	76	71		23
Thomas Detry	0.90%	111	91		31
Tom Hoge	0.82%	122	111		23
Tommy Fleetwood	2.65%	38	41	0.20%	14	-0.2	Skybet: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tony Finau	2.01%	50	46		14
Viktor Hovland	1.98%	51	36		31
Wyndham Clark	1.24%	81	71		62
Xander Schauffele	2.77%	36	26		23

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Tommy Fleetwood	4.53%	22	26	0.70%	16	-2	Bet365: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Sam Burns	2.17%	46	61	0.50%	12	-2	Boyle Sports: 40/1, 10pl, 1/5
WIN: Adam Scott	1.53%	65	91	0.40%	31	-2	VBet: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL: Adam Scott	1.65%	61	81	0.40%	68	-2	Paddy Power: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Russell Henley	1.82%	55	67	0.30%	31	-2	Skybet: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Brian Harman	1.37%	73	91	0.30%	50	-2	Paddy Power: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.