Simulation Results: The Masters

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	0.92%	109	151	0.30%	27	-0.3	Bet365: 125/1, 8pl, 1/5
Adam Schenk	0.08%	1250	751		59
Adam Scott	0.46%	217	141		67
Akshay Bhatia	0.89%	112	71		42
Angel Cabrera	0.01%	10000	2001		92
Austin Eckroat	0.31%	323	401	0.10%	73	-0.1	Skybet: 400/1, 8pl, 1/5
Bernhard Langer	0.01%	10000	2001		54
Billy Horschel	0.42%	238	201		67
Brian Campbell	0.08%	1250	751		32
Brian Harman	0.98%	102	126	0.20%	36	-0.2	Betfred: 125/1, 8pl, 1/5
Brooks Koepka	1.19%	84	36		67
Bryson DeChambeau	2.90%	34	21		5
Bubba Watson	0.09%	1111	667		14
Byeong Hun An	0.60%	167	151		21
Cam Davis	0.10%	1000	351		87
Cameron Smith	0.94%	106	61		67
Cameron Young	0.40%	250	176		79
Charl Schwartzel	0.42%	238	301	0.10%	36	-0.1	Priced Up: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Chris Kirk	0.32%	313	401	0.10%	54	-0.1	Skybet: 400/1, 8pl, 1/5
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.35%	286	351	0.10%	79	-0.1	Unibet: 350/1, 7pl, 1/5
Collin Morikawa	4.61%	22	15		14
Corey Conners	3.04%	33	61	1.40%	8	3.325	Paddy Power: 40/1, 10pl, 1/5
Daniel Berger	0.77%	130	126		21
Danny Willett	0.10%	1000	501		42
Davis Riley	0.12%	833	667		21
Davis Thompson	0.70%	143	151		46
Denny McCarthy	1.17%	85	176	0.60%	29	-0.6	BetGoodwin: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dustin Johnson	0.21%	476	126		54
Evan Beck	0.00%	10000	1501		87
Fred Couples	0.01%	10000	3001		59
Harris English	0.62%	161	201	0.10%	12	-0.1	Bet365: 200/1, 8pl, 1/5
Hideki Matsuyama	1.71%	58	36		21
Hiroshi Tai	0.00%	10000	4001		73
J.J. Spaun	0.74%	135	151	0.10%	50	-0.1	Bet365: 125/1, 8pl, 1/5
J.T. Poston	0.76%	132	251	0.40%	42	-0.4	Skybet: 250/1, 8pl, 1/5
Jason Day	0.74%	135	81		8
Jhonattan Vegas	0.14%	714	667		73
Joaquin Niemann	1.89%	53	36		29
Joe Highsmith	0.37%	270	351	0.10%	59	-0.1	Spreadex: 350/1, 7pl, 1/5
Jon Rahm	4.14%	24	17		14
Jordan Spieth	1.03%	97	46		14
Jose Luis Ballester	0.09%	1111	1001		90
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.00%	10000	7501		79
Justin Hastings	0.04%	2500	1501		59
Justin Rose	0.57%	175	111		2
Justin Thomas	2.24%	45	26		36
Keegan Bradley	1.10%	91	101	0.10%	54	-0.1	Betfair: 66/1, 12pl, 1/5
Kevin Yu	0.38%	263	351	0.10%	73	-0.1	Skybet: 350/1, 8pl, 1/5
Laurie Canter	0.17%	588	351		90
Lucas Glover	0.67%	149	201	0.20%	82	-0.2	Skybet: 175/1, 8pl, 1/5
Ludvig Aberg	2.12%	47	23		7
Matt Fitzpatrick	0.44%	227	176		40
Matt McCarty	0.22%	455	601	0.10%	14	-0.1	Skybet: 600/1, 8pl, 1/5
Matthieu Pavon	0.10%	1000	401		82
Maverick McNealy	0.84%	119	126		32
Max Greyserman	0.45%	222	401	0.20%	32	-0.2	Skybet: 400/1, 8pl, 1/5
Max Homa	0.16%	625	251		12
Michael Kim	0.72%	139	201	0.20%	27	-0.2	Spreadex: 200/1, 7pl, 1/5
Mike Weir	0.00%	10000	5001		59
Min Woo Lee	1.22%	82	46		49
Nick Dunlap	0.10%	1000	501		95
Nick Taylor	0.34%	294	401	0.10%	40	-0.1	Skybet: 400/1, 8pl, 1/5
Nico Echavarria	0.30%	333	401	0.10%	51	-0.1	Spreadex: 400/1, 7pl, 1/5
Nicolai Hojgaard	0.31%	323	176		73
Noah Kent	0.00%	10000	4001		92
Patrick Cantlay	3.13%	32	41	0.70%	36	-0.7	Betfair: 24/1, 12pl, 1/5
Patrick Reed	1.08%	93	81		3
Patton Kizzire	0.06%	1667	1001		82
Phil Mickelson	0.28%	357	126		67
Rafael Campos	0.02%	5000	2001		59
Rasmus Hojgaard	0.19%	526	251		32
Robert MacIntyre	1.02%	98	56		73
Rory McIlroy	8.68%	12	8.5		1
Russell Henley	2.13%	47	46		54
Sahith Theegala	0.41%	244	141		29
Sam Burns	0.79%	127	176	0.20%	46	-0.2	Spreadex: 175/1, 7pl, 1/5
Scottie Scheffler	15.81%	6.3	6.5	0.50%	4	-0.075	Betfair: 3.5/1, 12pl, 1/5
Sepp Straka	1.15%	87	67		67
Sergio Garcia	1.16%	86	81		59
Shane Lowry	1.78%	56	36		42
Stephan Jaeger	0.57%	175	301	0.20%	52	-0.2	Skybet: 250/1, 8pl, 1/5
Sungjae Im	1.37%	73	126	0.60%	5	7.2	Skybet: 125/1, 8pl, 1/5
Taylor Pendrith	0.89%	112	151	0.20%	82	-0.2	Bet365: 125/1, 8pl, 1/5
Thomas Detry	0.44%	227	176		87
Thriston Lawrence	0.04%	2500	1001		92
Tom Hoge	0.55%	182	351	0.30%	14	-0.3	Unibet: 350/1, 7pl, 1/5
Tom Kim	0.61%	164	126		52
Tommy Fleetwood	2.73%	37	41	0.30%	21	-0.3	Unibet: 40/1, 7pl, 1/5
Tony Finau	0.96%	104	81		59
Tyrrell Hatton	1.77%	56	67	0.30%	14	-0.3	Unibet: 60/1, 7pl, 1/5
Vijay Singh	0.00%	10000
Viktor Hovland	0.91%	110	46		21
Will Zalatoris	0.73%	137	61		82
Wyndham Clark	1.19%	84	91	0.10%	46	-0.1	Skybet: 90/1, 8pl, 1/5
Xander Schauffele	2.48%	40	26		8
Zach Johnson	0.24%	417	1001	0.10%	8	2.4125	Bet365: 1000/1, 8pl, 1/5

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	3.22%	31
Adam Schenk	0.37%	270
Adam Scott	1.73%	58
Akshay Bhatia	3.11%	32
Angel Cabrera	0.02%	5000
Austin Eckroat	1.13%	88
Bernhard Langer	0.03%	3333
Billy Horschel	1.60%	63
Brian Campbell	0.42%	238
Brian Harman	3.23%	31
Brooks Koepka	3.84%	26
Bryson DeChambeau	8.48%	12
Bubba Watson	0.37%	270
Byeong Hun An	2.23%	45
Cam Davis	0.49%	204
Cameron Smith	3.25%	31
Cameron Young	1.56%	64
Charl Schwartzel	1.56%	64
Chris Kirk	1.25%	80
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	1.26%	79
Collin Morikawa	12.38%	8.1
Corey Conners	8.81%	11
Daniel Berger	2.70%	37
Danny Willett	0.43%	233
Davis Riley	0.51%	196
Davis Thompson	2.65%	38
Denny McCarthy	4.02%	25
Dustin Johnson	0.86%	116
Evan Beck	0.00%	10000
Fred Couples	0.03%	3333
Harris English	2.32%	43
Hideki Matsuyama	5.50%	18
Hiroshi Tai	0.01%	10000
J.J. Spaun	2.52%	40
J.T. Poston	2.63%	38
Jason Day	2.80%	36
Jhonattan Vegas	0.58%	172
Joaquin Niemann	6.09%	16
Joe Highsmith	1.52%	66
Jon Rahm	11.22%	8.9
Jordan Spieth	3.46%	29
Jose Luis Ballester	0.41%	244
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.00%	10000
Justin Hastings	0.20%	500
Justin Rose	2.10%	48
Justin Thomas	6.82%	15
Keegan Bradley	3.99%	25
Kevin Yu	1.42%	70
Laurie Canter	0.73%	137
Lucas Glover	2.42%	41
Ludvig Aberg	6.36%	16
Matt Fitzpatrick	1.65%	61
Matt McCarty	0.95%	105
Matthieu Pavon	0.46%	217
Maverick McNealy	2.90%	34
Max Greyserman	1.76%	57
Max Homa	0.77%	130
Michael Kim	2.60%	38
Mike Weir	0.00%	10000
Min Woo Lee	4.17%	24
Nick Dunlap	0.48%	208
Nick Taylor	1.34%	75
Nico Echavarria	1.11%	90
Nicolai Hojgaard	1.23%	81
Noah Kent	0.00%	10000
Patrick Cantlay	8.87%	11
Patrick Reed	3.86%	26
Patton Kizzire	0.31%	323
Phil Mickelson	1.22%	82
Rafael Campos	0.14%	714
Rasmus Hojgaard	0.78%	128
Robert MacIntyre	3.55%	28
Rory McIlroy	20.30%	4.9
Russell Henley	6.44%	16
Sahith Theegala	1.63%	61
Sam Burns	2.81%	36
Scottie Scheffler	31.80%	3.1
Sepp Straka	3.74%	27
Sergio Garcia	3.85%	26
Shane Lowry	5.59%	18
Stephan Jaeger	2.14%	47
Sungjae Im	4.54%	22
Taylor Pendrith	3.06%	33
Thomas Detry	1.64%	61
Thriston Lawrence	0.20%	500
Tom Hoge	1.99%	50
Tom Kim	2.22%	45
Tommy Fleetwood	8.06%	12
Tony Finau	3.41%	29
Tyrrell Hatton	5.70%	18
Vijay Singh	0.03%	3333
Viktor Hovland	3.18%	31
Will Zalatoris	2.66%	38
Wyndham Clark	3.77%	27
Xander Schauffele	7.50%	13
Zach Johnson	1.00%	100

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	5.75%	17
Adam Schenk	0.85%	118
Adam Scott	3.13%	32
Akshay Bhatia	5.43%	18
Angel Cabrera	0.06%	1667
Austin Eckroat	2.23%	45
Bernhard Langer	0.08%	1250
Billy Horschel	3.08%	32
Brian Campbell	0.86%	116
Brian Harman	5.68%	18
Brooks Koepka	6.78%	15
Bryson DeChambeau	13.49%	7.4
Bubba Watson	0.82%	122
Byeong Hun An	4.11%	24
Cam Davis	1.02%	98
Cameron Smith	5.78%	17
Cameron Young	2.95%	34
Charl Schwartzel	2.95%	34
Chris Kirk	2.45%	41
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	2.35%	43
Collin Morikawa	18.96%	5.3
Corey Conners	13.92%	7.2
Daniel Berger	4.93%	20
Danny Willett	0.90%	111
Davis Riley	1.08%	93
Davis Thompson	4.78%	21
Denny McCarthy	7.01%	14
Dustin Johnson	1.74%	57
Evan Beck	0.00%	10000
Fred Couples	0.07%	1429
Harris English	4.24%	24
Hideki Matsuyama	9.23%	11
Hiroshi Tai	0.03%	3333
J.J. Spaun	4.61%	22
J.T. Poston	4.74%	21
Jason Day	5.07%	20
Jhonattan Vegas	1.18%	85
Joaquin Niemann	10.19%	9.8
Joe Highsmith	2.85%	35
Jon Rahm	17.42%	5.7
Jordan Spieth	6.08%	16
Jose Luis Ballester	0.88%	114
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.00%	10000
Justin Hastings	0.43%	233
Justin Rose	3.84%	26
Justin Thomas	11.37%	8.8
Keegan Bradley	6.84%	15
Kevin Yu	2.74%	36
Laurie Canter	1.49%	67
Lucas Glover	4.55%	22
Ludvig Aberg	10.34%	9.7
Matt Fitzpatrick	3.12%	32
Matt McCarty	1.88%	53
Matthieu Pavon	0.98%	102
Maverick McNealy	5.26%	19
Max Greyserman	3.28%	30
Max Homa	1.51%	66
Michael Kim	4.79%	21
Mike Weir	0.00%	10000
Min Woo Lee	7.17%	14
Nick Dunlap	1.02%	98
Nick Taylor	2.51%	40
Nico Echavarria	2.23%	45
Nicolai Hojgaard	2.38%	42
Noah Kent	0.01%	10000
Patrick Cantlay	14.15%	7.1
Patrick Reed	6.75%	15
Patton Kizzire	0.66%	152
Phil Mickelson	2.39%	42
Rafael Campos	0.34%	294
Rasmus Hojgaard	1.61%	62
Robert MacIntyre	6.17%	16
Rory McIlroy	28.71%	3.5
Russell Henley	10.67%	9.4
Sahith Theegala	3.13%	32
Sam Burns	5.09%	20
Scottie Scheffler	41.84%	2.4
Sepp Straka	6.50%	15
Sergio Garcia	6.59%	15
Shane Lowry	9.33%	11
Stephan Jaeger	3.98%	25
Sungjae Im	7.78%	13
Taylor Pendrith	5.50%	18
Thomas Detry	3.15%	32
Thriston Lawrence	0.45%	222
Tom Hoge	3.66%	27
Tom Kim	4.09%	24
Tommy Fleetwood	13.00%	7.7
Tony Finau	6.12%	16
Tyrrell Hatton	9.53%	10
Vijay Singh	0.05%	2000
Viktor Hovland	5.75%	17
Will Zalatoris	4.81%	21
Wyndham Clark	6.51%	15
Xander Schauffele	12.16%	8.2
Zach Johnson	2.04%	49

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	12.27%	8.1
Adam Schenk	2.54%	39
Adam Scott	7.37%	14
Akshay Bhatia	11.83%	8.5
Angel Cabrera	0.23%	435
Austin Eckroat	5.72%	17
Bernhard Langer	0.26%	385
Billy Horschel	7.07%	14
Brian Campbell	2.52%	40
Brian Harman	12.06%	8.3
Brooks Koepka	14.05%	7.1
Bryson DeChambeau	24.65%	4.1
Bubba Watson	2.33%	43
Byeong Hun An	9.38%	11
Cam Davis	2.90%	34
Cameron Smith	12.25%	8.2
Cameron Young	7.13%	14
Charl Schwartzel	7.01%	14
Chris Kirk	6.01%	17
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	5.83%	17
Collin Morikawa	31.91%	3.1
Corey Conners	25.20%	4
Daniel Berger	10.75%	9.3
Danny Willett	2.51%	40
Davis Riley	3.07%	33
Davis Thompson	10.56%	9.5
Denny McCarthy	14.45%	6.9
Dustin Johnson	4.55%	22
Evan Beck	0.01%	10000
Fred Couples	0.24%	417
Harris English	9.59%	10
Hideki Matsuyama	18.19%	5.5
Hiroshi Tai	0.14%	714
J.J. Spaun	10.54%	9.5
J.T. Poston	10.70%	9.3
Jason Day	11.21%	8.9
Jhonattan Vegas	3.25%	31
Joaquin Niemann	19.64%	5.1
Joe Highsmith	6.91%	14
Jon Rahm	30.19%	3.3
Jordan Spieth	13.00%	7.7
Jose Luis Ballester	2.66%	38
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.01%	10000
Justin Hastings	1.33%	75
Justin Rose	8.90%	11
Justin Thomas	21.73%	4.6
Keegan Bradley	14.48%	6.9
Kevin Yu	6.67%	15
Laurie Canter	3.89%	26
Lucas Glover	10.06%	9.9
Ludvig Aberg	19.75%	5.1
Matt Fitzpatrick	7.37%	14
Matt McCarty	4.81%	21
Matthieu Pavon	2.64%	38
Maverick McNealy	11.37%	8.8
Max Greyserman	7.82%	13
Max Homa	4.07%	25
Michael Kim	10.71%	9.3
Mike Weir	0.01%	10000
Min Woo Lee	14.96%	6.7
Nick Dunlap	2.89%	35
Nick Taylor	6.08%	16
Nico Echavarria	5.49%	18
Nicolai Hojgaard	5.81%	17
Noah Kent	0.04%	2500
Patrick Cantlay	25.59%	3.9
Patrick Reed	14.17%	7.1
Patton Kizzire	1.95%	51
Phil Mickelson	6.07%	16
Rafael Campos	1.10%	91
Rasmus Hojgaard	4.14%	24
Robert MacIntyre	13.08%	7.6
Rory McIlroy	44.05%	2.3
Russell Henley	20.38%	4.9
Sahith Theegala	7.54%	13
Sam Burns	11.26%	8.9
Scottie Scheffler	58.05%	1.72
Sepp Straka	13.54%	7.4
Sergio Garcia	13.96%	7.2
Shane Lowry	18.39%	5.4
Stephan Jaeger	9.07%	11
Sungjae Im	15.74%	6.4
Taylor Pendrith	11.71%	8.5
Thomas Detry	7.53%	13
Thriston Lawrence	1.35%	74
Tom Hoge	8.55%	12
Tom Kim	9.23%	11
Tommy Fleetwood	23.86%	4.2
Tony Finau	13.04%	7.7
Tyrrell Hatton	18.65%	5.4
Vijay Singh	0.20%	500
Viktor Hovland	12.28%	8.1
Will Zalatoris	10.68%	9.4
Wyndham Clark	13.64%	7.3
Xander Schauffele	22.70%	4.4
Zach Johnson	4.98%	20

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	25.74%	3.9
Adam Schenk	7.36%	14
Adam Scott	17.09%	5.9
Akshay Bhatia	25.24%	4
Angel Cabrera	1.04%	96
Austin Eckroat	14.18%	7.1
Bernhard Langer	1.17%	85
Billy Horschel	16.98%	5.9
Brian Campbell	7.55%	13
Brian Harman	25.34%	3.9
Brooks Koepka	28.52%	3.5
Bryson DeChambeau	42.78%	2.3
Bubba Watson	6.95%	14
Byeong Hun An	21.01%	4.8
Cam Davis	8.19%	12
Cameron Smith	25.98%	3.8
Cameron Young	16.94%	5.9
Charl Schwartzel	16.61%	6
Chris Kirk	14.85%	6.7
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	14.67%	6.8
Collin Morikawa	51.20%	1.95
Corey Conners	43.43%	2.3
Daniel Berger	23.16%	4.3
Danny Willett	7.37%	14
Davis Riley	8.86%	11
Davis Thompson	22.89%	4.4
Denny McCarthy	28.93%	3.5
Dustin Johnson	11.77%	8.5
Evan Beck	0.04%	2500
Fred Couples	1.12%	89
Harris English	21.31%	4.7
Hideki Matsuyama	34.54%	2.9
Hiroshi Tai	0.78%	128
J.J. Spaun	22.63%	4.4
J.T. Poston	23.02%	4.3
Jason Day	23.99%	4.2
Jhonattan Vegas	9.05%	11
Joaquin Niemann	36.26%	2.8
Joe Highsmith	16.58%	6
Jon Rahm	49.28%	2
Jordan Spieth	26.76%	3.7
Jose Luis Ballester	7.73%	13
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.03%	3333
Justin Hastings	4.33%	23
Justin Rose	20.14%	5
Justin Thomas	39.25%	2.5
Keegan Bradley	29.15%	3.4
Kevin Yu	16.04%	6.2
Laurie Canter	10.49%	9.5
Lucas Glover	22.11%	4.5
Ludvig Aberg	36.82%	2.7
Matt Fitzpatrick	17.13%	5.8
Matt McCarty	12.41%	8.1
Matthieu Pavon	7.86%	13
Maverick McNealy	24.36%	4.1
Max Greyserman	18.32%	5.5
Max Homa	11.01%	9.1
Michael Kim	23.05%	4.3
Mike Weir	0.08%	1250
Min Woo Lee	29.96%	3.3
Nick Dunlap	8.31%	12
Nick Taylor	14.96%	6.7
Nico Echavarria	13.76%	7.3
Nicolai Hojgaard	14.43%	6.9
Noah Kent	0.22%	455
Patrick Cantlay	43.95%	2.3
Patrick Reed	28.47%	3.5
Patton Kizzire	6.02%	17
Phil Mickelson	14.79%	6.8
Rafael Campos	3.78%	26
Rasmus Hojgaard	11.26%	8.9
Robert MacIntyre	26.92%	3.7
Rory McIlroy	63.51%	1.57
Russell Henley	37.40%	2.7
Sahith Theegala	17.72%	5.6
Sam Burns	24.01%	4.2
Scottie Scheffler	75.53%	1.32
Sepp Straka	27.82%	3.6
Sergio Garcia	28.13%	3.6
Shane Lowry	34.59%	2.9
Stephan Jaeger	20.43%	4.9
Sungjae Im	31.09%	3.2
Taylor Pendrith	24.74%	4
Thomas Detry	17.72%	5.6
Thriston Lawrence	4.56%	22
Tom Hoge	19.72%	5.1
Tom Kim	20.66%	4.8
Tommy Fleetwood	41.87%	2.4
Tony Finau	26.86%	3.7
Tyrrell Hatton	34.96%	2.9
Vijay Singh	0.98%	102
Viktor Hovland	25.75%	3.9
Will Zalatoris	23.17%	4.3
Wyndham Clark	27.65%	3.6
Xander Schauffele	40.12%	2.5
Zach Johnson	12.80%	7.8

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	39.09%	2.6
Adam Schenk	14.24%	7
Adam Scott	28.11%	3.6
Akshay Bhatia	38.14%	2.6
Angel Cabrera	2.67%	37
Austin Eckroat	24.16%	4.1
Bernhard Langer	3.01%	33
Billy Horschel	28.11%	3.6
Brian Campbell	14.45%	6.9
Brian Harman	38.43%	2.6
Brooks Koepka	42.08%	2.4
Bryson DeChambeau	57.26%	1.75
Bubba Watson	13.46%	7.4
Byeong Hun An	33.22%	3
Cam Davis	15.45%	6.5
Cameron Smith	39.31%	2.5
Cameron Young	28.09%	3.6
Charl Schwartzel	27.46%	3.6
Chris Kirk	25.21%	4
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	24.88%	4
Collin Morikawa	65.23%	1.53
Corey Conners	57.99%	1.72
Daniel Berger	35.72%	2.8
Danny Willett	14.09%	7.1
Davis Riley	16.40%	6.1
Davis Thompson	35.42%	2.8
Denny McCarthy	42.64%	2.3
Dustin Johnson	20.88%	4.8
Evan Beck	0.12%	833
Fred Couples	2.79%	36
Harris English	33.65%	3
Hideki Matsuyama	48.81%	2
Hiroshi Tai	1.99%	50
J.J. Spaun	35.28%	2.8
J.T. Poston	35.51%	2.8
Jason Day	36.73%	2.7
Jhonattan Vegas	16.76%	6
Joaquin Niemann	50.64%	1.97
Joe Highsmith	27.52%	3.6
Jon Rahm	63.45%	1.58
Jordan Spieth	40.32%	2.5
Jose Luis Ballester	14.74%	6.8
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.11%	909
Justin Hastings	9.04%	11
Justin Rose	32.07%	3.1
Justin Thomas	53.80%	1.86
Keegan Bradley	42.75%	2.3
Kevin Yu	26.80%	3.7
Laurie Canter	19.14%	5.2
Lucas Glover	34.49%	2.9
Ludvig Aberg	51.31%	1.95
Matt Fitzpatrick	28.20%	3.5
Matt McCarty	21.83%	4.6
Matthieu Pavon	14.92%	6.7
Maverick McNealy	37.23%	2.7
Max Greyserman	29.84%	3.4
Max Homa	19.83%	5
Michael Kim	35.61%	2.8
Mike Weir	0.28%	357
Min Woo Lee	43.79%	2.3
Nick Dunlap	15.54%	6.4
Nick Taylor	25.27%	4
Nico Echavarria	23.50%	4.3
Nicolai Hojgaard	24.59%	4.1
Noah Kent	0.65%	154
Patrick Cantlay	58.47%	1.71
Patrick Reed	41.88%	2.4
Patton Kizzire	11.84%	8.4
Phil Mickelson	24.93%	4
Rafael Campos	8.05%	12
Rasmus Hojgaard	20.10%	5
Robert MacIntyre	40.25%	2.5
Rory McIlroy	76.04%	1.32
Russell Henley	51.89%	1.93
Sahith Theegala	29.01%	3.4
Sam Burns	36.89%	2.7
Scottie Scheffler	85.17%	1.17
Sepp Straka	41.34%	2.4
Sergio Garcia	41.85%	2.4
Shane Lowry	48.75%	2.1
Stephan Jaeger	32.48%	3.1
Sungjae Im	44.97%	2.2
Taylor Pendrith	37.83%	2.6
Thomas Detry	28.89%	3.5
Thriston Lawrence	9.54%	10
Tom Hoge	31.60%	3.2
Tom Kim	32.68%	3.1
Tommy Fleetwood	56.48%	1.77
Tony Finau	40.27%	2.5
Tyrrell Hatton	49.42%	2
Vijay Singh	2.49%	40
Viktor Hovland	38.86%	2.6
Will Zalatoris	35.77%	2.8
Wyndham Clark	41.27%	2.4
Xander Schauffele	54.59%	1.83
Zach Johnson	22.35%	4.5

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	51.79%	1.93
Adam Schenk	22.71%	4.4
Adam Scott	39.90%	2.5
Akshay Bhatia	50.96%	1.96
Angel Cabrera	5.37%	19
Austin Eckroat	35.51%	2.8
Bernhard Langer	6.10%	16
Billy Horschel	39.92%	2.5
Brian Campbell	23.04%	4.3
Brian Harman	50.99%	1.96
Brooks Koepka	55.01%	1.82
Bryson DeChambeau	69.22%	1.44
Bubba Watson	21.76%	4.6
Byeong Hun An	45.57%	2.2
Cam Davis	24.57%	4.1
Cameron Smith	51.89%	1.93
Cameron Young	39.73%	2.5
Charl Schwartzel	39.18%	2.6
Chris Kirk	36.60%	2.7
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	36.30%	2.8
Collin Morikawa	75.86%	1.32
Corey Conners	69.80%	1.43
Daniel Berger	48.26%	2.1
Danny Willett	22.59%	4.4
Davis Riley	25.70%	3.9
Davis Thompson	47.83%	2.1
Denny McCarthy	55.37%	1.81
Dustin Johnson	31.08%	3.2
Evan Beck	0.33%	303
Fred Couples	5.66%	18
Harris English	45.98%	2.2
Hideki Matsuyama	61.55%	1.62
Hiroshi Tai	4.31%	23
J.J. Spaun	47.67%	2.1
J.T. Poston	47.96%	2.1
Jason Day	49.33%	2
Jhonattan Vegas	26.12%	3.8
Joaquin Niemann	63.17%	1.58
Joe Highsmith	39.18%	2.6
Jon Rahm	74.46%	1.34
Jordan Spieth	52.99%	1.89
Jose Luis Ballester	23.37%	4.3
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.33%	303
Justin Hastings	15.54%	6.4
Justin Rose	44.05%	2.3
Justin Thomas	66.00%	1.52
Keegan Bradley	55.40%	1.81
Kevin Yu	38.31%	2.6
Laurie Canter	29.25%	3.4
Lucas Glover	46.88%	2.1
Ludvig Aberg	63.99%	1.56
Matt Fitzpatrick	40.02%	2.5
Matt McCarty	32.49%	3.1
Matthieu Pavon	23.79%	4.2
Maverick McNealy	49.63%	2
Max Greyserman	41.70%	2.4
Max Homa	30.13%	3.3
Michael Kim	48.28%	2.1
Mike Weir	0.73%	137
Min Woo Lee	56.49%	1.77
Nick Dunlap	24.59%	4.1
Nick Taylor	36.56%	2.7
Nico Echavarria	34.58%	2.9
Nicolai Hojgaard	35.73%	2.8
Noah Kent	1.54%	65
Patrick Cantlay	70.24%	1.42
Patrick Reed	54.50%	1.83
Patton Kizzire	19.58%	5.1
Phil Mickelson	35.97%	2.8
Rafael Campos	14.26%	7
Rasmus Hojgaard	30.37%	3.3
Robert MacIntyre	53.00%	1.89
Rory McIlroy	84.59%	1.18
Russell Henley	64.29%	1.56
Sahith Theegala	40.84%	2.4
Sam Burns	49.48%	2
Scottie Scheffler	91.25%	1.1
Sepp Straka	54.12%	1.85
Sergio Garcia	54.51%	1.83
Shane Lowry	61.27%	1.63
Stephan Jaeger	44.81%	2.2
Sungjae Im	57.82%	1.73
Taylor Pendrith	50.36%	1.99
Thomas Detry	40.81%	2.5
Thriston Lawrence	16.32%	6.1
Tom Hoge	43.89%	2.3
Tom Kim	44.88%	2.2
Tommy Fleetwood	68.42%	1.46
Tony Finau	52.88%	1.89
Tyrrell Hatton	62.04%	1.61
Vijay Singh	5.14%	19
Viktor Hovland	51.64%	1.94
Will Zalatoris	48.19%	2.1
Wyndham Clark	53.99%	1.85
Xander Schauffele	66.77%	1.5
Zach Johnson	33.14%	3

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	30.39%	3.3
Adam Schenk	60.87%	1.64
Adam Scott	41.49%	2.4
Akshay Bhatia	31.38%	3.2
Angel Cabrera	87.18%	1.15
Austin Eckroat	46.33%	2.2
Bernhard Langer	85.91%	1.16
Billy Horschel	41.45%	2.4
Brian Campbell	60.31%	1.66
Brian Harman	31.33%	3.2
Brooks Koepka	27.94%	3.6
Bryson DeChambeau	16.94%	5.9
Bubba Watson	62.48%	1.6
Byeong Hun An	36.27%	2.8
Cam Davis	58.80%	1.7
Cameron Smith	30.62%	3.3
Cameron Young	41.82%	2.4
Charl Schwartzel	42.49%	2.4
Chris Kirk	45.21%	2.2
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	45.58%	2.2
Collin Morikawa	12.43%	8
Corey Conners	16.52%	6.1
Daniel Berger	33.80%	3
Danny Willett	61.27%	1.63
Davis Riley	57.13%	1.75
Davis Thompson	34.09%	2.9
Denny McCarthy	27.56%	3.6
Dustin Johnson	51.03%	1.96
Evan Beck	98.71%	1.01
Fred Couples	86.80%	1.15
Harris English	35.84%	2.8
Hideki Matsuyama	22.55%	4.4
Hiroshi Tai	89.32%	1.12
J.J. Spaun	34.30%	2.9
J.T. Poston	33.95%	2.9
Jason Day	32.86%	3
Jhonattan Vegas	56.91%	1.76
Joaquin Niemann	21.10%	4.7
Joe Highsmith	42.56%	2.3
Jon Rahm	13.22%	7.6
Jordan Spieth	29.87%	3.3
Jose Luis Ballester	60.33%	1.66
Jose Maria Olazabal	98.66%	1.01
Justin Hastings	70.58%	1.42
Justin Rose	37.72%	2.7
Justin Thomas	19.28%	5.2
Keegan Bradley	27.62%	3.6
Kevin Yu	43.38%	2.3
Laurie Canter	53.12%	1.88
Lucas Glover	35.12%	2.8
Ludvig Aberg	20.83%	4.8
Matt Fitzpatrick	41.46%	2.4
Matt McCarty	49.68%	2
Matthieu Pavon	59.62%	1.68
Maverick McNealy	32.68%	3.1
Max Greyserman	39.97%	2.5
Max Homa	52.20%	1.92
Michael Kim	33.87%	3
Mike Weir	97.50%	1.03
Min Woo Lee	26.60%	3.8
Nick Dunlap	58.66%	1.7
Nick Taylor	44.97%	2.2
Nico Echavarria	47.04%	2.1
Nicolai Hojgaard	45.88%	2.2
Noah Kent	95.35%	1.05
Patrick Cantlay	16.00%	6.3
Patrick Reed	28.45%	3.5
Patton Kizzire	65.18%	1.53
Phil Mickelson	45.64%	2.2
Rafael Campos	72.56%	1.38
Rasmus Hojgaard	52.11%	1.92
Robert MacIntyre	29.66%	3.4
Rory McIlroy	7.10%	14
Russell Henley	20.45%	4.9
Sahith Theegala	40.80%	2.5
Sam Burns	32.90%	3
Scottie Scheffler	3.57%	28
Sepp Straka	28.79%	3.5
Sergio Garcia	28.25%	3.5
Shane Lowry	22.87%	4.4
Stephan Jaeger	36.77%	2.7
Sungjae Im	25.62%	3.9
Taylor Pendrith	31.82%	3.1
Thomas Detry	40.83%	2.4
Thriston Lawrence	69.46%	1.44
Tom Hoge	37.93%	2.6
Tom Kim	36.81%	2.7
Tommy Fleetwood	17.52%	5.7
Tony Finau	29.88%	3.3
Tyrrell Hatton	22.31%	4.5
Vijay Singh	87.71%	1.14
Viktor Hovland	30.55%	3.3
Will Zalatoris	33.70%	3
Wyndham Clark	28.77%	3.5
Xander Schauffele	18.58%	5.4
Zach Johnson	48.75%	2.1

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	1.30%	77	81	0.10%	7	0.1125	Unibet: 80/1, 7pl, 1/5
Adam Schenk	0.47%	213	176		38
Adam Scott	0.84%	119	81		82
Akshay Bhatia	1.13%	88	56		7
Angel Cabrera	0.11%	909	251		63
Austin Eckroat	0.68%	147	126		73
Bernhard Langer	0.16%	625	301		51
Billy Horschel	0.95%	105	91		82
Brian Campbell	0.47%	213	226		27
Brian Harman	1.27%	79	81		11
Brooks Koepka	1.30%	77	41		51
Bryson DeChambeau	1.99%	50	31		5
Bubba Watson	0.41%	244	171		11
Byeong Hun An	1.07%	93	101	0.10%	51	-0.1	Unibet: 100/1, 7pl, 1/5
Cam Davis	0.49%	204	111		51
Cameron Smith	1.26%	79	56		11
Cameron Young	0.86%	116	91		27
Charl Schwartzel	0.80%	125	101		51
Chris Kirk	0.82%	122	126		63
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	0.72%	139	126		73
Collin Morikawa	2.67%	37	26		27
Corey Conners	2.21%	45	56	0.40%	2	2.55	Ladbrokes: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
Daniel Berger	1.09%	92	91		11
Danny Willett	0.48%	208	176		63
Davis Riley	0.52%	192	151		38
Davis Thompson	1.14%	88	81		11
Denny McCarthy	1.32%	76	91	0.20%	11	-0.2	Spreadex: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
Dustin Johnson	0.62%	161	81		51
Evan Beck	0.02%	5000	276		82
Fred Couples	0.15%	667	401		11
Harris English	1.02%	98	101		7
Hideki Matsuyama	1.55%	65	41		38
Hiroshi Tai	0.11%	909	401		38
J.J. Spaun	1.06%	94	81		51
J.T. Poston	1.17%	85	111	0.30%	51	-0.3	Skybet: 110/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jason Day	1.16%	86	61		7
Jhonattan Vegas	0.60%	167	171		63
Joaquin Niemann	1.77%	56	34		27
Joe Highsmith	0.88%	114	111		73
Jon Rahm	2.31%	43	26		63
Jordan Spieth	1.26%	79	41		38
Jose Luis Ballester	0.46%	217	251	0.10%	73	-0.1	Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jose Maria Olazabal	0.03%	3333	1001		82
Justin Hastings	0.32%	313	301		73
Justin Rose	0.90%	111	71		1
Justin Thomas	1.88%	53	31		38
Keegan Bradley	1.38%	72	81	0.10%	51	-0.1	Unibet: 80/1, 7pl, 1/5
Kevin Yu	0.86%	116	126	0.10%	73	-0.1	888sport: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Laurie Canter	0.56%	179	111		82
Lucas Glover	1.02%	98	101		88
Ludvig Aberg	1.72%	58	29		2
Matt Fitzpatrick	0.81%	123	101		11
Matt McCarty	0.59%	169	151		11
Matthieu Pavon	0.45%	222	151		73
Maverick McNealy	1.15%	87	81		27
Max Greyserman	0.92%	109	126	0.10%	11	-0.1	Boyle Sports: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Max Homa	0.63%	159	101		51
Michael Kim	1.15%	87	101	0.20%	11	-0.2	Unibet: 100/1, 7pl, 1/5
Mike Weir	0.03%	3333	601		63
Min Woo Lee	1.41%	71	46		11
Nick Dunlap	0.52%	192	141		95
Nick Taylor	0.77%	130	126		38
Nico Echavarria	0.78%	128	126		38
Nicolai Hojgaard	0.82%	122	101		73
Noah Kent	0.07%	1429	501		90
Patrick Cantlay	2.01%	50	41		51
Patrick Reed	1.33%	75	61		11
Patton Kizzire	0.45%	222	201		90
Phil Mickelson	0.79%	127	76		63
Rafael Campos	0.25%	400	351		63
Rasmus Hojgaard	0.56%	179	101		38
Robert MacIntyre	1.40%	71	51		63
Rory McIlroy	3.43%	29	17		27
Russell Henley	1.67%	60	51		90
Sahith Theegala	0.81%	123	81		27
Sam Burns	1.05%	95	81		38
Scottie Scheffler	5.01%	20	13		2
Sepp Straka	1.15%	87	61		88
Sergio Garcia	1.35%	74	61		27
Shane Lowry	1.45%	69	46		11
Stephan Jaeger	0.99%	101	101		27
Sungjae Im	1.40%	71	81	0.20%	11	-0.2	Unibet: 80/1, 7pl, 1/5
Taylor Pendrith	1.30%	77	81	0.10%	82	-0.1	Unibet: 80/1, 7pl, 1/5
Thomas Detry	0.86%	116	101		90
Thriston Lawrence	0.34%	294	201		90
Tom Hoge	0.96%	104	111	0.10%	27	-0.1	Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tom Kim	0.99%	101	81		38
Tommy Fleetwood	1.85%	54	46		38
Tony Finau	1.30%	77	67		63
Tyrrell Hatton	1.69%	59	51		5
Vijay Singh	0.12%	833	351
Viktor Hovland	1.20%	83	41		11
Will Zalatoris	1.19%	84	51		51
Wyndham Clark	1.26%	79	67		73
Xander Schauffele	1.72%	58	34		38
Zach Johnson	0.74%	135	201	0.20%	27	-0.2	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Corey Conners	3.04%	33	61	1.40%	8	4.75	Paddy Power: 40/1, 10pl, 1/5
WIN: Patrick Cantlay	3.13%	32	41	0.70%	36	-2	Betfair: 24/1, 12pl, 1/5
WIN: Sungjae Im	1.37%	73	126	0.60%	5	24	Skybet: 125/1, 8pl, 1/5
FRL: Corey Conners	2.21%	45	56	0.40%	2	12.75	Ladbrokes: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: J.T. Poston	1.17%	85	111	0.30%	51	-2	Skybet: 110/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL: Sungjae Im	1.40%	71	81	0.20%	11	-2	Unibet: 80/1, 7pl, 1/5

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.