Simulation Results: Genesis Invitational

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	0.97%	103	126	0.20%	37	-0.2	William Hill: 125/1, 7pl, 1/5
Adam Hadwin	0.47%	213	201		69
Adam Scott	1.05%	95	71		37
Akshay Bhatia	0.86%	116	81		9
Andrew Novak	0.47%	213	126		13
Austin Eckroat	0.61%	164	151		55
Ben Griffin	0.69%	145	141		44
Billy Horschel	0.78%	128	126		55
Brian Harman	0.99%	101	176	0.40%	17	-0.4	Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Byeong Hun An	0.85%	118	81		69
Cam Davis	0.66%	152	101		63
Cameron Young	1.00%	100	67		61
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	1.02%	98	111	0.10%	39	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 90/1, 8pl, 1/5
Collin Morikawa	4.46%	22	17		17
Corey Conners	1.13%	88	91		24
Daniel Berger	0.63%	159	81		12
Danny List	0.01%	10000	2501		63
Davis Thompson	0.62%	161	91		13
Denny McCarthy	1.28%	78	111	0.40%	5	3.4	Ladbrokes: 90/1, 8pl, 1/5
Eric Cole	0.35%	286	226		55
Gary Woodland	0.45%	222	111		63
Harris English	0.67%	149	81		24
Hideki Matsuyama	3.25%	31	23		13
J.J. Spaun	0.62%	161	101		34
J.T. Poston	0.93%	108	91		39
Jake Knapp	0.15%	667	251		17
Jason Day	1.51%	66	46		50
Jordan Spieth	0.72%	139	51		61
Justin Rose	0.48%	208	126		55
Justin Thomas	3.51%	28	19		9
Keegan Bradley	1.31%	76	61		34
Kevin Yu	0.38%	263	176		17
Lucas Glover	0.71%	141	151		31
Ludvig Aberg	2.17%	46	26		1
Mackenzie Hughes	0.56%	179	126		52
Mark Hubbard	0.31%	323	351		68
Matt Fitzpatrick	1.00%	100	101		49
Matthieu Pavon	0.16%	625	301		44
Maverick McNealy	1.00%	100	51		2
Max Greyserman	0.85%	118	101		24
Max Homa	0.47%	213	151		63
Michael Kim	0.44%	227	121		13
Min Woo Lee	0.97%	103	56		48
Nick Dunlap	0.29%	345	201		17
Nick Taylor	0.54%	185	151		9
Nico Echavarria	0.24%	417	276		34
Patrick Cantlay	3.25%	31	31		5
Patrick Rodgers	0.38%	263	151		3
Rasmus Hojgaard	1.04%	96	41		72
Rickie Fowler	0.64%	156	176	0.10%	39	-0.1	Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Robert MacIntyre	1.18%	85	41		63
Rory McIlroy	8.30%	12	8		17
Russell Henley	2.86%	35	51	0.90%	39	-0.9	Paddy Power: 45/1, 7pl, 1/5
Sahith Theegala	0.83%	120	81		17
Sam Burns	1.99%	50	46		24
Sam Stevens	0.62%	161	76		31
Scottie Scheffler	14.89%	6.7	5.5		3
Seamus Power	0.65%	154	201	0.20%	24	-0.2	Skybet: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sepp Straka	1.79%	56	46		69
Shane Lowry	1.79%	56	46		39
Si Woo Kim	1.22%	82	81		24
Stephan Jaeger	0.74%	135	151	0.10%	44	-0.1	Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sungjae Im	2.36%	42	36		55
Taylor Pendrith	1.91%	52	41		50
Thomas Detry	1.35%	74	56		53
Tom Hoge	0.70%	143	201	0.20%	54	-0.2	BetVictor: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tom Kim	0.98%	102	46		44
Tommy Fleetwood	2.10%	48	36		5
Tony Finau	1.73%	58	46		5
Viktor Hovland	1.67%	60	56		55
Will Zalatoris	1.09%	92	46		24
Wyndham Clark	1.38%	72	67		31

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	3.42%	29
Adam Hadwin	1.82%	55
Adam Scott	3.60%	28
Akshay Bhatia	3.01%	33
Andrew Novak	1.78%	56
Austin Eckroat	2.19%	46
Ben Griffin	2.53%	40
Billy Horschel	2.86%	35
Brian Harman	3.41%	29
Byeong Hun An	2.99%	33
Cam Davis	2.46%	41
Cameron Young	3.44%	29
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	3.48%	29
Collin Morikawa	12.01%	8.3
Corey Conners	3.74%	27
Daniel Berger	2.34%	43
Danny List	0.05%	2000
Davis Thompson	2.46%	41
Denny McCarthy	4.45%	22
Eric Cole	1.42%	70
Gary Woodland	1.72%	58
Harris English	2.42%	41
Hideki Matsuyama	9.21%	11
J.J. Spaun	2.30%	43
J.T. Poston	3.12%	32
Jake Knapp	0.67%	149
Jason Day	4.78%	21
Jordan Spieth	2.59%	39
Justin Rose	1.76%	57
Justin Thomas	9.73%	10
Keegan Bradley	4.25%	24
Kevin Yu	1.44%	69
Lucas Glover	2.49%	40
Ludvig Aberg	6.63%	15
Mackenzie Hughes	2.12%	47
Mark Hubbard	1.29%	78
Matt Fitzpatrick	3.36%	30
Matthieu Pavon	0.58%	172
Maverick McNealy	3.43%	29
Max Greyserman	2.93%	34
Max Homa	1.83%	55
Michael Kim	1.67%	60
Min Woo Lee	3.48%	29
Nick Dunlap	1.19%	84
Nick Taylor	2.02%	50
Nico Echavarria	0.97%	103
Patrick Cantlay	9.02%	11
Patrick Rodgers	1.44%	69
Rasmus Hojgaard	3.52%	28
Rickie Fowler	2.28%	44
Robert MacIntyre	3.95%	25
Rory McIlroy	19.46%	5.1
Russell Henley	8.30%	12
Sahith Theegala	2.99%	33
Sam Burns	6.26%	16
Sam Stevens	2.26%	44
Scottie Scheffler	30.34%	3.3
Seamus Power	2.36%	42
Sepp Straka	5.45%	18
Shane Lowry	5.68%	18
Si Woo Kim	4.18%	24
Stephan Jaeger	2.59%	39
Sungjae Im	7.19%	14
Taylor Pendrith	5.84%	17
Thomas Detry	4.32%	23
Tom Hoge	2.43%	41
Tom Kim	3.39%	29
Tommy Fleetwood	6.61%	15
Tony Finau	5.50%	18
Viktor Hovland	5.21%	19
Will Zalatoris	3.51%	28
Wyndham Clark	4.51%	22

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	6.10%	16
Adam Hadwin	3.52%	28
Adam Scott	6.27%	16
Akshay Bhatia	5.35%	19
Andrew Novak	3.32%	30
Austin Eckroat	4.04%	25
Ben Griffin	4.61%	22
Billy Horschel	5.15%	19
Brian Harman	6.02%	17
Byeong Hun An	5.30%	19
Cam Davis	4.46%	22
Cameron Young	6.09%	16
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	6.15%	16
Collin Morikawa	18.41%	5.4
Corey Conners	6.57%	15
Daniel Berger	4.23%	24
Danny List	0.10%	1000
Davis Thompson	4.55%	22
Denny McCarthy	7.58%	13
Eric Cole	2.72%	37
Gary Woodland	3.32%	30
Harris English	4.47%	22
Hideki Matsuyama	14.64%	6.8
J.J. Spaun	4.02%	25
J.T. Poston	5.59%	18
Jake Knapp	1.38%	72
Jason Day	8.21%	12
Jordan Spieth	4.77%	21
Justin Rose	3.33%	30
Justin Thomas	15.30%	6.5
Keegan Bradley	7.30%	14
Kevin Yu	2.69%	37
Lucas Glover	4.45%	22
Ludvig Aberg	10.93%	9.1
Mackenzie Hughes	3.92%	26
Mark Hubbard	2.46%	41
Matt Fitzpatrick	5.84%	17
Matthieu Pavon	1.22%	82
Maverick McNealy	6.05%	17
Max Greyserman	5.26%	19
Max Homa	3.49%	29
Michael Kim	3.16%	32
Min Woo Lee	6.13%	16
Nick Dunlap	2.33%	43
Nick Taylor	3.78%	26
Nico Echavarria	1.93%	52
Patrick Cantlay	14.24%	7
Patrick Rodgers	2.81%	36
Rasmus Hojgaard	6.21%	16
Rickie Fowler	4.18%	24
Robert MacIntyre	6.87%	15
Rory McIlroy	27.93%	3.6
Russell Henley	13.52%	7.4
Sahith Theegala	5.33%	19
Sam Burns	10.32%	9.7
Sam Stevens	4.22%	24
Scottie Scheffler	40.26%	2.5
Seamus Power	4.37%	23
Sepp Straka	9.23%	11
Shane Lowry	9.59%	10
Si Woo Kim	7.33%	14
Stephan Jaeger	4.69%	21
Sungjae Im	11.79%	8.5
Taylor Pendrith	9.76%	10
Thomas Detry	7.53%	13
Tom Hoge	4.52%	22
Tom Kim	5.96%	17
Tommy Fleetwood	10.85%	9.2
Tony Finau	9.22%	11
Viktor Hovland	8.84%	11
Will Zalatoris	6.20%	16
Wyndham Clark	7.80%	13

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	13.10%	7.6
Adam Hadwin	8.40%	12
Adam Scott	13.37%	7.5
Akshay Bhatia	11.76%	8.5
Andrew Novak	7.86%	13
Austin Eckroat	9.43%	11
Ben Griffin	10.34%	9.7
Billy Horschel	11.37%	8.8
Brian Harman	12.96%	7.7
Byeong Hun An	11.75%	8.5
Cam Davis	10.10%	9.9
Cameron Young	13.29%	7.5
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	13.16%	7.6
Collin Morikawa	31.86%	3.1
Corey Conners	14.12%	7.1
Daniel Berger	9.74%	10
Danny List	0.37%	270
Davis Thompson	10.07%	9.9
Denny McCarthy	15.66%	6.4
Eric Cole	6.78%	15
Gary Woodland	7.95%	13
Harris English	10.02%	10
Hideki Matsuyama	26.56%	3.8
J.J. Spaun	9.17%	11
J.T. Poston	12.17%	8.2
Jake Knapp	3.75%	27
Jason Day	16.65%	6
Jordan Spieth	10.54%	9.5
Justin Rose	7.93%	13
Justin Thomas	27.51%	3.6
Keegan Bradley	15.08%	6.6
Kevin Yu	6.56%	15
Lucas Glover	9.88%	10
Ludvig Aberg	21.11%	4.7
Mackenzie Hughes	9.15%	11
Mark Hubbard	6.22%	16
Matt Fitzpatrick	12.63%	7.9
Matthieu Pavon	3.30%	30
Maverick McNealy	13.07%	7.7
Max Greyserman	11.55%	8.7
Max Homa	8.24%	12
Michael Kim	7.64%	13
Min Woo Lee	13.14%	7.6
Nick Dunlap	5.83%	17
Nick Taylor	8.80%	11
Nico Echavarria	4.98%	20
Patrick Cantlay	25.89%	3.9
Patrick Rodgers	6.97%	14
Rasmus Hojgaard	13.21%	7.6
Rickie Fowler	9.48%	11
Robert MacIntyre	14.39%	6.9
Rory McIlroy	43.36%	2.3
Russell Henley	24.94%	4
Sahith Theegala	11.61%	8.6
Sam Burns	19.96%	5
Sam Stevens	9.68%	10
Scottie Scheffler	56.57%	1.77
Seamus Power	10.02%	10
Sepp Straka	18.51%	5.4
Shane Lowry	18.94%	5.3
Si Woo Kim	15.29%	6.5
Stephan Jaeger	10.55%	9.5
Sungjae Im	22.26%	4.5
Taylor Pendrith	19.21%	5.2
Thomas Detry	15.46%	6.5
Tom Hoge	10.15%	9.9
Tom Kim	12.90%	7.8
Tommy Fleetwood	20.80%	4.8
Tony Finau	18.34%	5.5
Viktor Hovland	17.71%	5.6
Will Zalatoris	13.05%	7.7
Wyndham Clark	15.90%	6.3

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	27.62%	3.6
Adam Hadwin	19.73%	5.1
Adam Scott	28.26%	3.5
Akshay Bhatia	25.66%	3.9
Andrew Novak	18.74%	5.3
Austin Eckroat	21.27%	4.7
Ben Griffin	23.03%	4.3
Billy Horschel	24.91%	4
Brian Harman	27.39%	3.7
Byeong Hun An	25.51%	3.9
Cam Davis	22.81%	4.4
Cameron Young	27.71%	3.6
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	27.83%	3.6
Collin Morikawa	52.04%	1.92
Corey Conners	29.19%	3.4
Daniel Berger	22.15%	4.5
Danny List	1.56%	64
Davis Thompson	22.75%	4.4
Denny McCarthy	31.61%	3.2
Eric Cole	16.75%	6
Gary Woodland	18.96%	5.3
Harris English	22.57%	4.4
Hideki Matsuyama	46.15%	2.2
J.J. Spaun	21.08%	4.7
J.T. Poston	25.84%	3.9
Jake Knapp	10.80%	9.3
Jason Day	32.91%	3
Jordan Spieth	23.53%	4.2
Justin Rose	18.97%	5.3
Justin Thomas	47.25%	2.1
Keegan Bradley	30.61%	3.3
Kevin Yu	16.53%	6
Lucas Glover	22.56%	4.4
Ludvig Aberg	39.17%	2.6
Mackenzie Hughes	21.19%	4.7
Mark Hubbard	15.74%	6.4
Matt Fitzpatrick	26.92%	3.7
Matthieu Pavon	9.32%	11
Maverick McNealy	27.88%	3.6
Max Greyserman	25.12%	4
Max Homa	19.54%	5.1
Michael Kim	18.31%	5.5
Min Woo Lee	27.67%	3.6
Nick Dunlap	14.94%	6.7
Nick Taylor	20.30%	4.9
Nico Echavarria	13.26%	7.5
Patrick Cantlay	45.31%	2.2
Patrick Rodgers	17.18%	5.8
Rasmus Hojgaard	27.86%	3.6
Rickie Fowler	21.90%	4.6
Robert MacIntyre	29.69%	3.4
Rory McIlroy	63.63%	1.57
Russell Henley	43.97%	2.3
Sahith Theegala	25.31%	4
Sam Burns	38.00%	2.6
Sam Stevens	22.19%	4.5
Scottie Scheffler	75.15%	1.33
Seamus Power	22.39%	4.5
Sepp Straka	35.78%	2.8
Shane Lowry	36.12%	2.8
Si Woo Kim	31.09%	3.2
Stephan Jaeger	23.31%	4.3
Sungjae Im	40.72%	2.5
Taylor Pendrith	36.64%	2.7
Thomas Detry	31.61%	3.2
Tom Hoge	23.08%	4.3
Tom Kim	27.43%	3.6
Tommy Fleetwood	38.73%	2.6
Tony Finau	35.28%	2.8
Viktor Hovland	34.37%	2.9
Will Zalatoris	27.55%	3.6
Wyndham Clark	32.07%	3.1

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	42.43%	2.4
Adam Hadwin	32.66%	3.1
Adam Scott	42.92%	2.3
Akshay Bhatia	40.01%	2.5
Andrew Novak	31.61%	3.2
Austin Eckroat	34.61%	2.9
Ben Griffin	36.99%	2.7
Billy Horschel	38.94%	2.6
Brian Harman	42.10%	2.4
Byeong Hun An	39.87%	2.5
Cam Davis	36.67%	2.7
Cameron Young	42.49%	2.4
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	42.40%	2.4
Collin Morikawa	67.33%	1.49
Corey Conners	44.31%	2.3
Daniel Berger	35.82%	2.8
Danny List	3.94%	25
Davis Thompson	36.61%	2.7
Denny McCarthy	46.94%	2.1
Eric Cole	28.74%	3.5
Gary Woodland	31.75%	3.1
Harris English	36.34%	2.8
Hideki Matsuyama	62.12%	1.61
J.J. Spaun	34.26%	2.9
J.T. Poston	40.22%	2.5
Jake Knapp	20.34%	4.9
Jason Day	48.34%	2.1
Jordan Spieth	37.54%	2.7
Justin Rose	31.82%	3.1
Justin Thomas	63.05%	1.59
Keegan Bradley	45.87%	2.2
Kevin Yu	28.49%	3.5
Lucas Glover	36.42%	2.7
Ludvig Aberg	54.91%	1.82
Mackenzie Hughes	34.43%	2.9
Mark Hubbard	27.38%	3.7
Matt Fitzpatrick	41.53%	2.4
Matthieu Pavon	18.04%	5.5
Maverick McNealy	42.58%	2.3
Max Greyserman	39.32%	2.5
Max Homa	32.57%	3.1
Michael Kim	30.66%	3.3
Min Woo Lee	42.52%	2.4
Nick Dunlap	26.35%	3.8
Nick Taylor	33.31%	3
Nico Echavarria	24.05%	4.2
Patrick Cantlay	61.10%	1.64
Patrick Rodgers	29.44%	3.4
Rasmus Hojgaard	42.59%	2.3
Rickie Fowler	35.56%	2.8
Robert MacIntyre	44.94%	2.2
Rory McIlroy	77.03%	1.3
Russell Henley	59.92%	1.67
Sahith Theegala	39.67%	2.5
Sam Burns	53.79%	1.86
Sam Stevens	35.86%	2.8
Scottie Scheffler	85.78%	1.17
Seamus Power	36.16%	2.8
Sepp Straka	51.33%	1.95
Shane Lowry	51.87%	1.93
Si Woo Kim	46.41%	2.2
Stephan Jaeger	37.25%	2.7
Sungjae Im	56.52%	1.77
Taylor Pendrith	52.27%	1.91
Thomas Detry	46.92%	2.1
Tom Hoge	36.65%	2.7
Tom Kim	42.29%	2.4
Tommy Fleetwood	54.45%	1.84
Tony Finau	50.95%	1.96
Viktor Hovland	49.99%	2
Will Zalatoris	42.36%	2.4
Wyndham Clark	47.32%	2.1

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	57.05%	1.75
Adam Hadwin	46.73%	2.1
Adam Scott	57.51%	1.74
Akshay Bhatia	54.64%	1.83
Andrew Novak	45.74%	2.2
Austin Eckroat	48.91%	2
Ben Griffin	51.57%	1.94
Billy Horschel	53.60%	1.87
Brian Harman	56.76%	1.76
Byeong Hun An	54.51%	1.83
Cam Davis	51.32%	1.95
Cameron Young	57.07%	1.75
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	57.51%	1.74
Collin Morikawa	79.24%	1.26
Corey Conners	58.97%	1.7
Daniel Berger	50.23%	1.99
Danny List	8.33%	12
Davis Thompson	51.26%	1.95
Denny McCarthy	61.39%	1.63
Eric Cole	42.42%	2.4
Gary Woodland	45.69%	2.2
Harris English	50.86%	1.97
Hideki Matsuyama	74.99%	1.33
J.J. Spaun	48.91%	2
J.T. Poston	55.12%	1.81
Jake Knapp	32.62%	3.1
Jason Day	62.99%	1.59
Jordan Spieth	52.10%	1.92
Justin Rose	46.01%	2.2
Justin Thomas	75.85%	1.32
Keegan Bradley	60.54%	1.65
Kevin Yu	42.33%	2.4
Lucas Glover	50.82%	1.97
Ludvig Aberg	68.71%	1.46
Mackenzie Hughes	48.89%	2
Mark Hubbard	40.83%	2.4
Matt Fitzpatrick	56.44%	1.77
Matthieu Pavon	29.67%	3.4
Maverick McNealy	57.32%	1.74
Max Greyserman	53.95%	1.85
Max Homa	46.83%	2.1
Michael Kim	44.77%	2.2
Min Woo Lee	57.00%	1.75
Nick Dunlap	39.89%	2.5
Nick Taylor	47.60%	2.1
Nico Echavarria	37.04%	2.7
Patrick Cantlay	74.10%	1.35
Patrick Rodgers	43.42%	2.3
Rasmus Hojgaard	57.19%	1.75
Rickie Fowler	49.96%	2
Robert MacIntyre	59.62%	1.68
Rory McIlroy	86.48%	1.16
Russell Henley	73.18%	1.37
Sahith Theegala	54.24%	1.84
Sam Burns	67.91%	1.47
Sam Stevens	50.28%	1.99
Scottie Scheffler	92.37%	1.08
Seamus Power	50.48%	1.98
Sepp Straka	65.74%	1.52
Shane Lowry	66.02%	1.51
Si Woo Kim	60.97%	1.64
Stephan Jaeger	51.93%	1.93
Sungjae Im	70.33%	1.42
Taylor Pendrith	66.71%	1.5
Thomas Detry	61.61%	1.62
Tom Hoge	51.07%	1.96
Tom Kim	57.07%	1.75
Tommy Fleetwood	68.48%	1.46
Tony Finau	65.17%	1.53
Viktor Hovland	64.28%	1.56
Will Zalatoris	57.06%	1.75
Wyndham Clark	61.82%	1.62

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	21.51%	4.6
Adam Hadwin	29.84%	3.4
Adam Scott	21.17%	4.7
Akshay Bhatia	23.44%	4.3
Andrew Novak	30.65%	3.3
Austin Eckroat	27.86%	3.6
Ben Griffin	25.56%	3.9
Billy Horschel	24.05%	4.2
Brian Harman	21.73%	4.6
Byeong Hun An	23.53%	4.2
Cam Davis	25.74%	3.9
Cameron Young	21.30%	4.7
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	21.18%	4.7
Collin Morikawa	7.84%	13
Corey Conners	20.22%	4.9
Daniel Berger	26.64%	3.8
Danny List	77.56%	1.29
Davis Thompson	26.11%	3.8
Denny McCarthy	18.38%	5.4
Eric Cole	33.34%	3
Gary Woodland	30.59%	3.3
Harris English	26.21%	3.8
Hideki Matsuyama	10.03%	10
J.J. Spaun	27.89%	3.6
J.T. Poston	22.92%	4.4
Jake Knapp	43.42%	2.3
Jason Day	17.39%	5.8
Jordan Spieth	25.26%	4
Justin Rose	30.21%	3.3
Justin Thomas	9.62%	10
Keegan Bradley	19.14%	5.2
Kevin Yu	33.49%	3
Lucas Glover	26.28%	3.8
Ludvig Aberg	13.69%	7.3
Mackenzie Hughes	27.82%	3.6
Mark Hubbard	34.93%	2.9
Matt Fitzpatrick	21.77%	4.6
Matthieu Pavon	46.65%	2.1
Maverick McNealy	21.33%	4.7
Max Greyserman	23.87%	4.2
Max Homa	29.85%	3.4
Michael Kim	31.48%	3.2
Min Woo Lee	21.54%	4.6
Nick Dunlap	35.65%	2.8
Nick Taylor	28.88%	3.5
Nico Echavarria	38.79%	2.6
Patrick Cantlay	10.61%	9.4
Patrick Rodgers	32.63%	3.1
Rasmus Hojgaard	21.31%	4.7
Rickie Fowler	27.03%	3.7
Robert MacIntyre	19.65%	5.1
Rory McIlroy	4.41%	23
Russell Henley	11.11%	9
Sahith Theegala	23.57%	4.2
Sam Burns	14.30%	7
Sam Stevens	26.74%	3.7
Scottie Scheffler	2.14%	47
Seamus Power	26.31%	3.8
Sepp Straka	15.58%	6.4
Shane Lowry	15.38%	6.5
Si Woo Kim	18.57%	5.4
Stephan Jaeger	25.18%	4
Sungjae Im	12.74%	7.8
Taylor Pendrith	15.00%	6.7
Thomas Detry	18.22%	5.5
Tom Hoge	25.84%	3.9
Tom Kim	21.49%	4.7
Tommy Fleetwood	14.08%	7.1
Tony Finau	15.82%	6.3
Viktor Hovland	16.20%	6.2
Will Zalatoris	21.41%	4.7
Wyndham Clark	18.39%	5.4

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Rai	1.41%	71	81	0.20%	14	-0.2	Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Adam Hadwin	0.96%	104	126	0.20%	72	-0.2	Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Adam Scott	1.35%	74	61		25
Akshay Bhatia	1.28%	78	67		40
Andrew Novak	1.03%	97	81		7
Austin Eckroat	1.09%	92	91		65
Ben Griffin	1.16%	86	91	0.10%	25	-0.1	Skybet: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
Billy Horschel	1.29%	78	81	0.10%	40	-0.1	Spreadex: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Brian Harman	1.34%	75	91	0.20%	51	-0.2	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Byeong Hun An	1.27%	79	67		40
Cam Davis	1.16%	86	81		61
Cameron Young	1.36%	74	56		65
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	1.33%	75	81	0.10%	51	-0.1	Skybet: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Collin Morikawa	2.39%	42	26		20
Corey Conners	1.39%	72	67		14
Daniel Berger	1.12%	89	61		40
Danny List	0.24%	417	401		69
Davis Thompson	1.14%	88	71		4
Denny McCarthy	1.54%	65	71	0.10%	1	4.375	Bet365: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Eric Cole	0.96%	104	126	0.20%	65	-0.2	Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Gary Woodland	1.04%	96	81		51
Harris English	1.10%	91	61		40
Hideki Matsuyama	2.18%	46	29		25
J.J. Spaun	1.14%	88	71		51
J.T. Poston	1.32%	76	61		40
Jake Knapp	0.72%	139	91		7
Jason Day	1.61%	62	41		51
Jordan Spieth	1.18%	85	41		51
Justin Rose	1.01%	99	81		40
Justin Thomas	2.18%	46	26		20
Keegan Bradley	1.52%	66	51		25
Kevin Yu	0.91%	110	101		25
Lucas Glover	1.18%	85	101	0.20%	25	-0.2	Spreadex: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ludvig Aberg	1.80%	56	34		25
Mackenzie Hughes	1.04%	96	91		25
Mark Hubbard	0.87%	115	151	0.20%	40	-0.2	Skybet: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Matt Fitzpatrick	1.37%	73	71		25
Matthieu Pavon	0.63%	159	151		69
Maverick McNealy	1.32%	76	51		40
Max Greyserman	1.30%	77	67		61
Max Homa	1.05%	95	91		51
Michael Kim	0.98%	102	81		7
Min Woo Lee	1.36%	74	56		7
Nick Dunlap	0.88%	114	126	0.10%	7	-0.1	Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Nick Taylor	1.02%	98	81		25
Nico Echavarria	0.82%	122	141	0.10%	7	-0.1	Skybet: 140/1, 6pl, 1/5
Patrick Cantlay	2.17%	46	34		25
Patrick Rodgers	0.96%	104	101		2
Rasmus Hojgaard	1.35%	74	41		71
Rickie Fowler	1.11%	90	91		61
Robert MacIntyre	1.41%	71	41		51
Rory McIlroy	3.24%	31	15		14
Russell Henley	2.07%	48	46		14
Sahith Theegala	1.25%	80	61		14
Sam Burns	1.77%	56	41		7
Sam Stevens	1.11%	90	61		14
Scottie Scheffler	4.30%	23	13		4
Seamus Power	1.15%	87	126	0.40%	2	4.8	Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sepp Straka	1.71%	58	41		65
Shane Lowry	1.69%	59	41		20
Si Woo Kim	1.51%	66	61		25
Stephan Jaeger	1.20%	83	91	0.10%	40	-0.1	Skybet: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sungjae Im	1.92%	52	36		25
Taylor Pendrith	1.70%	59	36		25
Thomas Detry	1.50%	67	51		51
Tom Hoge	1.23%	81	91	0.10%	61	-0.1	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tom Kim	1.35%	74	41		20
Tommy Fleetwood	1.82%	55	41		40
Tony Finau	1.70%	59	46		51
Viktor Hovland	1.63%	61	51		20
Will Zalatoris	1.32%	76	46		25
Wyndham Clark	1.50%	67	56		4

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Russell Henley	2.86%	35	51	0.90%	39	-2	Paddy Power: 45/1, 7pl, 1/5
WIN: Denny McCarthy	1.28%	78	111	0.40%	5	17	Ladbrokes: 90/1, 8pl, 1/5
WIN: Brian Harman	0.99%	101	176	0.40%	17	-2	Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL: Seamus Power	1.15%	87	126	0.40%	2	24	Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL: Aaron Rai	1.41%	71	81	0.20%	14	-2	Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Brian Harman	1.34%	75	91	0.20%	51	-2	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.