Simulation Results: BMW Championship
| Player |
Win % |
TT Odds |
Best Odds |
Kelly |
Result |
P/L |
E/W Play |
| Akshay Bhatia |
1.44% |
69 |
56 |
|
26 |
|
|
| Andrew Novak |
0.70% |
143 |
81 |
|
48 |
|
|
| Ben Griffin |
1.68% |
60 |
41 |
|
12 |
|
|
| Brian Campbell |
0.28% |
357 |
601 |
0.10% |
47 |
-0.1 |
Bresbet: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Brian Harman |
1.23% |
81 |
101 |
0.20% |
19 |
-0.2 |
Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Bud Cauley |
0.66% |
152 |
126 |
|
33 |
|
|
| Cameron Young |
1.54% |
65 |
26 |
|
11 |
|
|
| Chris Gotterup |
0.77% |
130 |
46 |
|
33 |
|
|
| Collin Morikawa |
2.83% |
35 |
41 |
0.40% |
33 |
-0.4 |
Priced Up: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Corey Conners |
2.51% |
40 |
56 |
0.70% |
39 |
-0.7 |
Ladbrokes: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5 |
| Daniel Berger |
0.89% |
112 |
111 |
|
49 |
|
|
| Denny McCarthy |
1.68% |
60 |
101 |
0.70% |
28 |
-0.7 |
BetVictor: 100/1, 4pl, 1/4 |
| Harris English |
1.64% |
61 |
61 |
|
12 |
|
|
| Harry Hall |
1.11% |
90 |
71 |
|
6 |
|
|
| Hideki Matsuyama |
2.81% |
36 |
36 |
|
26 |
|
|
| J.J. Spaun |
2.27% |
44 |
36 |
|
23 |
|
|
| J.T. Poston |
1.15% |
87 |
101 |
0.20% |
30 |
-0.2 |
BetVictor: 100/1, 4pl, 1/4 |
| Jacob Bridgeman |
0.75% |
133 |
126 |
|
19 |
|
|
| Jason Day |
1.48% |
68 |
81 |
0.20% |
23 |
-0.2 |
Bresbet: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Jhonattan Vegas |
0.52% |
192 |
126 |
|
45 |
|
|
| Justin Rose |
1.40% |
71 |
46 |
|
30 |
|
|
| Justin Thomas |
3.20% |
31 |
31 |
|
33 |
|
|
| Keegan Bradley |
2.12% |
47 |
51 |
0.20% |
17 |
-0.2 |
10Bet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Kurt Kitayama |
1.33% |
75 |
46 |
|
19 |
|
|
| Lucas Glover |
1.19% |
84 |
126 |
0.40% |
40 |
-0.4 |
Priced Up: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Ludvig Aberg |
3.36% |
30 |
23 |
|
7 |
|
|
| Matt Fitzpatrick |
2.07% |
48 |
41 |
|
17 |
|
|
| Maverick McNealy |
1.37% |
73 |
56 |
|
3 |
|
|
| Michael Kim |
0.63% |
159 |
176 |
0.10% |
10 |
-0.1 |
Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Nick Taylor |
0.88% |
114 |
126 |
0.10% |
33 |
-0.1 |
Priced Up: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Patrick Cantlay |
3.79% |
26 |
26 |
|
30 |
|
|
| Rickie Fowler |
1.55% |
65 |
71 |
0.10% |
7 |
-0.1 |
10Bet: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Robert MacIntyre |
1.19% |
84 |
67 |
|
2 |
|
|
| Rory McIlroy |
6.31% |
16 |
9.5 |
|
12 |
|
|
| Russell Henley |
4.06% |
25 |
36 |
1.30% |
15 |
-1.3 |
Priced Up: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Ryan Fox |
0.60% |
167 |
126 |
|
43 |
|
|
| Ryan Gerard |
0.55% |
182 |
126 |
|
44 |
|
|
| Sam Burns |
2.18% |
46 |
41 |
|
4 |
|
|
| Sam Stevens |
0.56% |
179 |
111 |
|
42 |
|
|
| Scottie Scheffler |
15.41% |
6.5 |
3.75 |
|
1 |
|
|
| Shane Lowry |
1.40% |
71 |
81 |
0.20% |
23 |
-0.2 |
Priced Up: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Si Woo Kim |
1.81% |
55 |
67 |
0.30% |
19 |
-0.3 |
Betway: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Sungjae Im |
1.35% |
74 |
76 |
|
40 |
|
|
| Taylor Pendrith |
0.99% |
101 |
76 |
|
15 |
|
|
| Thomas Detry |
0.41% |
244 |
151 |
|
46 |
|
|
| Tom Hoge |
0.21% |
476 |
401 |
|
33 |
|
|
| Tommy Fleetwood |
5.53% |
18 |
21 |
0.80% |
4 |
0.88 |
Boyle Sports: 16/1, 8pl, 1/5 |
| Viktor Hovland |
2.91% |
34 |
41 |
0.50% |
7 |
-0.5 |
William Hill: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Xander Schauffele |
3.73% |
27 |
21 |
|
28 |
|
|
| Player |
Win % |
TT Odds |
Best Odds |
Kelly |
Result |
P/L |
E/W Play |
| Akshay Bhatia |
4.85% |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Andrew Novak |
2.63% |
38 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ben Griffin |
5.72% |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Campbell |
1.20% |
83 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Harman |
4.48% |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Bud Cauley |
2.62% |
38 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cameron Young |
5.20% |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Chris Gotterup |
2.88% |
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Collin Morikawa |
8.46% |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Corey Conners |
7.75% |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Daniel Berger |
3.19% |
31 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Denny McCarthy |
5.63% |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harris English |
5.44% |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harry Hall |
4.03% |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Hideki Matsuyama |
8.55% |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.J. Spaun |
7.26% |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.T. Poston |
4.09% |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Bridgeman |
2.83% |
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jason Day |
4.91% |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jhonattan Vegas |
1.91% |
52 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Rose |
4.80% |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Thomas |
9.69% |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Keegan Bradley |
6.68% |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Kurt Kitayama |
4.65% |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Lucas Glover |
4.24% |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ludvig Aberg |
9.72% |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Matt Fitzpatrick |
6.64% |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Maverick McNealy |
4.60% |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Michael Kim |
2.33% |
43 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Nick Taylor |
3.16% |
32 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Patrick Cantlay |
10.92% |
9.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rickie Fowler |
5.39% |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Robert MacIntyre |
4.18% |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rory McIlroy |
16.31% |
6.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Russell Henley |
11.45% |
8.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Fox |
2.24% |
45 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Gerard |
2.11% |
47 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Burns |
7.14% |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Stevens |
2.17% |
46 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Scottie Scheffler |
32.14% |
3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Shane Lowry |
4.74% |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Si Woo Kim |
5.86% |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sungjae Im |
4.61% |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Taylor Pendrith |
3.59% |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas Detry |
1.76% |
57 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tom Hoge |
0.97% |
103 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tommy Fleetwood |
14.79% |
6.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Viktor Hovland |
8.80% |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Xander Schauffele |
10.68% |
9.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Player |
Win % |
TT Odds |
Best Odds |
Kelly |
Result |
P/L |
E/W Play |
| Akshay Bhatia |
8.56% |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Andrew Novak |
5.03% |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ben Griffin |
10.08% |
9.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Campbell |
2.46% |
41 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Harman |
8.01% |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Bud Cauley |
4.93% |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cameron Young |
9.16% |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Chris Gotterup |
5.36% |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Collin Morikawa |
14.02% |
7.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Corey Conners |
13.01% |
7.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Daniel Berger |
5.94% |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Denny McCarthy |
9.83% |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harris English |
9.48% |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harry Hall |
7.29% |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Hideki Matsuyama |
14.28% |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.J. Spaun |
12.19% |
8.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.T. Poston |
7.45% |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Bridgeman |
5.32% |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jason Day |
8.72% |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jhonattan Vegas |
3.72% |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Rose |
8.46% |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Thomas |
15.63% |
6.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Keegan Bradley |
11.42% |
8.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Kurt Kitayama |
8.26% |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Lucas Glover |
7.57% |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ludvig Aberg |
15.72% |
6.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Matt Fitzpatrick |
11.48% |
8.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Maverick McNealy |
8.13% |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Michael Kim |
4.55% |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Nick Taylor |
5.89% |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Patrick Cantlay |
17.49% |
5.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rickie Fowler |
9.47% |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Robert MacIntyre |
7.56% |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rory McIlroy |
24.59% |
4.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Russell Henley |
18.11% |
5.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Fox |
4.20% |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Gerard |
4.09% |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Burns |
12.00% |
8.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Stevens |
4.16% |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Scottie Scheffler |
43.16% |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Shane Lowry |
8.48% |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Si Woo Kim |
10.14% |
9.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sungjae Im |
8.36% |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Taylor Pendrith |
6.60% |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas Detry |
3.47% |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tom Hoge |
1.98% |
51 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tommy Fleetwood |
22.64% |
4.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Viktor Hovland |
14.53% |
6.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Xander Schauffele |
17.04% |
5.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Player |
Win % |
TT Odds |
Best Odds |
Kelly |
Result |
P/L |
E/W Play |
| Akshay Bhatia |
18.59% |
5.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Andrew Novak |
12.18% |
8.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ben Griffin |
20.90% |
4.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Campbell |
6.79% |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Harman |
17.60% |
5.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Bud Cauley |
12.01% |
8.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cameron Young |
19.61% |
5.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Chris Gotterup |
12.95% |
7.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Collin Morikawa |
27.06% |
3.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Corey Conners |
25.62% |
3.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Daniel Berger |
13.88% |
7.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Denny McCarthy |
20.59% |
4.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harris English |
20.15% |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harry Hall |
16.36% |
6.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Hideki Matsuyama |
27.43% |
3.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.J. Spaun |
24.25% |
4.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.T. Poston |
16.73% |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Bridgeman |
12.63% |
7.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jason Day |
18.79% |
5.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jhonattan Vegas |
9.50% |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Rose |
18.35% |
5.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Thomas |
29.44% |
3.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Keegan Bradley |
23.26% |
4.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Kurt Kitayama |
18.13% |
5.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Lucas Glover |
16.65% |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ludvig Aberg |
29.59% |
3.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Matt Fitzpatrick |
23.34% |
4.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Maverick McNealy |
17.89% |
5.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Michael Kim |
11.05% |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Nick Taylor |
13.80% |
7.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Patrick Cantlay |
32.00% |
3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rickie Fowler |
19.90% |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Robert MacIntyre |
16.87% |
5.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rory McIlroy |
41.17% |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Russell Henley |
33.02% |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Fox |
10.52% |
9.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Gerard |
10.31% |
9.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Burns |
24.04% |
4.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Stevens |
10.29% |
9.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Scottie Scheffler |
61.21% |
1.63 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Shane Lowry |
18.32% |
5.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Si Woo Kim |
21.15% |
4.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sungjae Im |
18.08% |
5.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Taylor Pendrith |
14.98% |
6.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas Detry |
8.99% |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tom Hoge |
5.69% |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tommy Fleetwood |
38.97% |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Viktor Hovland |
27.93% |
3.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Xander Schauffele |
31.49% |
3.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Player |
Win % |
TT Odds |
Best Odds |
Kelly |
Result |
P/L |
E/W Play |
| Akshay Bhatia |
39.36% |
2.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Andrew Novak |
29.53% |
3.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ben Griffin |
42.67% |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Campbell |
19.64% |
5.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Harman |
38.26% |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Bud Cauley |
29.43% |
3.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cameron Young |
40.83% |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Chris Gotterup |
31.12% |
3.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Collin Morikawa |
50.61% |
1.98 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Corey Conners |
49.02% |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Daniel Berger |
32.47% |
3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Denny McCarthy |
42.56% |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harris English |
41.82% |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harry Hall |
36.24% |
2.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Hideki Matsuyama |
51.23% |
1.95 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.J. Spaun |
47.13% |
2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.T. Poston |
36.87% |
2.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Bridgeman |
30.15% |
3.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jason Day |
39.99% |
2.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jhonattan Vegas |
25.12% |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Rose |
39.36% |
2.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Thomas |
53.64% |
1.86 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Keegan Bradley |
46.07% |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Kurt Kitayama |
38.80% |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Lucas Glover |
36.59% |
2.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ludvig Aberg |
53.47% |
1.87 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Matt Fitzpatrick |
46.15% |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Maverick McNealy |
38.82% |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Michael Kim |
27.63% |
3.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Nick Taylor |
32.05% |
3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Patrick Cantlay |
56.32% |
1.78 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rickie Fowler |
41.50% |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Robert MacIntyre |
36.72% |
2.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rory McIlroy |
65.49% |
1.53 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Russell Henley |
57.26% |
1.75 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Fox |
26.82% |
3.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Gerard |
26.25% |
3.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Burns |
46.95% |
2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Stevens |
26.77% |
3.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Scottie Scheffler |
81.49% |
1.23 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Shane Lowry |
39.19% |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Si Woo Kim |
43.21% |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sungjae Im |
38.70% |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Taylor Pendrith |
34.51% |
2.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas Detry |
23.84% |
4.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tom Hoge |
17.11% |
5.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tommy Fleetwood |
63.53% |
1.57 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Viktor Hovland |
51.80% |
1.93 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Xander Schauffele |
55.96% |
1.79 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Player |
Win % |
TT Odds |
Best Odds |
Kelly |
Result |
P/L |
E/W Play |
| Akshay Bhatia |
60.97% |
1.64 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Andrew Novak |
50.39% |
1.98 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ben Griffin |
64.20% |
1.56 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Campbell |
38.26% |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Harman |
59.72% |
1.67 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Bud Cauley |
50.59% |
1.98 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cameron Young |
62.15% |
1.61 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Chris Gotterup |
52.19% |
1.92 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Collin Morikawa |
71.06% |
1.41 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Corey Conners |
69.70% |
1.43 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Daniel Berger |
53.58% |
1.87 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Denny McCarthy |
63.80% |
1.57 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harris English |
63.29% |
1.58 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harry Hall |
57.71% |
1.73 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Hideki Matsuyama |
71.53% |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.J. Spaun |
68.05% |
1.47 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.T. Poston |
58.33% |
1.71 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Bridgeman |
51.13% |
1.96 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jason Day |
61.45% |
1.63 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jhonattan Vegas |
45.05% |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Rose |
60.90% |
1.64 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Thomas |
73.66% |
1.36 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Keegan Bradley |
67.05% |
1.49 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Kurt Kitayama |
60.26% |
1.66 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Lucas Glover |
58.19% |
1.72 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ludvig Aberg |
73.52% |
1.36 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Matt Fitzpatrick |
67.17% |
1.49 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Maverick McNealy |
60.13% |
1.66 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Michael Kim |
48.34% |
2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Nick Taylor |
53.39% |
1.87 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Patrick Cantlay |
75.78% |
1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rickie Fowler |
62.75% |
1.59 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Robert MacIntyre |
58.29% |
1.72 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rory McIlroy |
82.44% |
1.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Russell Henley |
76.49% |
1.31 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Fox |
47.14% |
2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Gerard |
46.48% |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Burns |
68.06% |
1.47 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Stevens |
46.95% |
2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Scottie Scheffler |
92.17% |
1.08 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Shane Lowry |
60.52% |
1.65 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Si Woo Kim |
64.87% |
1.54 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sungjae Im |
60.19% |
1.66 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Taylor Pendrith |
55.72% |
1.79 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas Detry |
43.64% |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tom Hoge |
34.50% |
2.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tommy Fleetwood |
81.05% |
1.23 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Viktor Hovland |
72.02% |
1.39 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Xander Schauffele |
75.17% |
1.33 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Player |
Win % |
TT Odds |
Best Odds |
Kelly |
Result |
P/L |
E/W Play |
| Akshay Bhatia |
82.37% |
1.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Andrew Novak |
74.59% |
1.34 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ben Griffin |
84.28% |
1.19 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Campbell |
63.80% |
1.57 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Harman |
81.36% |
1.23 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Bud Cauley |
74.76% |
1.34 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cameron Young |
82.97% |
1.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Chris Gotterup |
76.14% |
1.31 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Collin Morikawa |
88.49% |
1.13 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Corey Conners |
87.56% |
1.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Daniel Berger |
77.05% |
1.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Denny McCarthy |
84.08% |
1.19 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harris English |
83.88% |
1.19 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harry Hall |
79.93% |
1.25 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Hideki Matsuyama |
88.60% |
1.13 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.J. Spaun |
86.71% |
1.15 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.T. Poston |
80.60% |
1.24 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Bridgeman |
75.01% |
1.33 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jason Day |
82.48% |
1.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jhonattan Vegas |
70.03% |
1.43 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Rose |
82.04% |
1.22 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Thomas |
89.77% |
1.11 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Keegan Bradley |
86.15% |
1.16 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Kurt Kitayama |
81.88% |
1.22 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Lucas Glover |
80.35% |
1.24 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ludvig Aberg |
89.85% |
1.11 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Matt Fitzpatrick |
86.05% |
1.16 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Maverick McNealy |
81.63% |
1.23 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Michael Kim |
72.81% |
1.37 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Nick Taylor |
76.68% |
1.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Patrick Cantlay |
91.01% |
1.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rickie Fowler |
83.44% |
1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Robert MacIntyre |
80.44% |
1.24 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rory McIlroy |
94.01% |
1.06 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Russell Henley |
91.17% |
1.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Fox |
71.59% |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Gerard |
71.31% |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Burns |
86.68% |
1.15 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Stevens |
71.69% |
1.39 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Scottie Scheffler |
98.01% |
1.02 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Shane Lowry |
81.92% |
1.22 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Si Woo Kim |
84.64% |
1.18 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sungjae Im |
81.72% |
1.22 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Taylor Pendrith |
78.76% |
1.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas Detry |
68.78% |
1.45 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tom Hoge |
59.94% |
1.67 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tommy Fleetwood |
93.49% |
1.07 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Viktor Hovland |
88.92% |
1.12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Xander Schauffele |
90.61% |
1.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Player |
Win % |
TT Odds |
Best Odds |
Kelly |
Result |
P/L |
E/W Play |
| Akshay Bhatia |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Andrew Novak |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ben Griffin |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Campbell |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Brian Harman |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Bud Cauley |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cameron Young |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Chris Gotterup |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Collin Morikawa |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Corey Conners |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Daniel Berger |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Denny McCarthy |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harris English |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Harry Hall |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Hideki Matsuyama |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.J. Spaun |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| J.T. Poston |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Bridgeman |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jason Day |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jhonattan Vegas |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Rose |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Thomas |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Keegan Bradley |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Kurt Kitayama |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Lucas Glover |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ludvig Aberg |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Matt Fitzpatrick |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Maverick McNealy |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Michael Kim |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Nick Taylor |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Patrick Cantlay |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rickie Fowler |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Robert MacIntyre |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rory McIlroy |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Russell Henley |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Fox |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Gerard |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Burns |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Stevens |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Scottie Scheffler |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Shane Lowry |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Si Woo Kim |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sungjae Im |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Taylor Pendrith |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas Detry |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tom Hoge |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tommy Fleetwood |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Viktor Hovland |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Xander Schauffele |
0.00% |
10000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Player |
TT Win |
TT Odds |
Best Odds |
Kelly |
Result |
P/L |
E/W Play |
| Akshay Bhatia |
1.64% |
61 |
41 |
|
46 |
|
|
| Andrew Novak |
0.96% |
104 |
56 |
|
30 |
|
|
| Ben Griffin |
1.91% |
52 |
36 |
|
4 |
|
|
| Brian Campbell |
0.47% |
213 |
136 |
|
49 |
|
|
| Brian Harman |
1.51% |
66 |
61 |
|
37 |
|
|
| Bud Cauley |
0.93% |
108 |
71 |
|
12 |
|
|
| Cameron Young |
1.76% |
57 |
31 |
|
40 |
|
|
| Chris Gotterup |
1.04% |
96 |
36 |
|
37 |
|
|
| Collin Morikawa |
2.70% |
37 |
36 |
|
15 |
|
|
| Corey Conners |
2.55% |
39 |
41 |
0.10% |
15 |
-0.1 |
Bet365: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Daniel Berger |
1.04% |
96 |
71 |
|
25 |
|
|
| Denny McCarthy |
1.79% |
56 |
56 |
|
15 |
|
|
| Harris English |
1.89% |
53 |
46 |
|
15 |
|
|
| Harry Hall |
1.42% |
70 |
46 |
|
7 |
|
|
| Hideki Matsuyama |
2.81% |
36 |
36 |
|
12 |
|
|
| J.J. Spaun |
2.46% |
41 |
36 |
|
15 |
|
|
| J.T. Poston |
1.41% |
71 |
56 |
|
30 |
|
|
| Jacob Bridgeman |
1.01% |
99 |
71 |
|
40 |
|
|
| Jason Day |
1.74% |
57 |
56 |
|
7 |
|
|
| Jhonattan Vegas |
0.67% |
149 |
81 |
|
40 |
|
|
| Justin Rose |
1.63% |
61 |
41 |
|
25 |
|
|
| Justin Thomas |
3.13% |
32 |
29 |
|
40 |
|
|
| Keegan Bradley |
2.18% |
46 |
41 |
|
30 |
|
|
| Kurt Kitayama |
1.55% |
65 |
41 |
|
30 |
|
|
| Lucas Glover |
1.43% |
70 |
67 |
|
46 |
|
|
| Ludvig Aberg |
3.10% |
32 |
26 |
|
7 |
|
|
| Matt Fitzpatrick |
2.30% |
43 |
36 |
|
15 |
|
|
| Maverick McNealy |
1.52% |
66 |
46 |
|
15 |
|
|
| Michael Kim |
0.83% |
120 |
81 |
|
7 |
|
|
| Nick Taylor |
1.08% |
93 |
67 |
|
30 |
|
|
| Patrick Cantlay |
3.54% |
28 |
29 |
0.10% |
30 |
-0.1 |
Star Sports: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Rickie Fowler |
1.78% |
56 |
46 |
|
4 |
|
|
| Robert MacIntyre |
1.39% |
72 |
46 |
|
1 |
|
|
| Rory McIlroy |
5.12% |
20 |
17 |
|
15 |
|
|
| Russell Henley |
3.65% |
27 |
36 |
0.90% |
12 |
-0.9 |
Bet365: 30/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Ryan Fox |
0.81% |
123 |
71 |
|
40 |
|
|
| Ryan Gerard |
0.74% |
135 |
71 |
|
46 |
|
|
| Sam Burns |
2.34% |
43 |
34 |
|
7 |
|
|
| Sam Stevens |
0.79% |
127 |
67 |
|
25 |
|
|
| Scottie Scheffler |
11.20% |
8.9 |
10 |
1.30% |
3 |
0.56875 |
Star Sports: 7.5/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| Shane Lowry |
1.58% |
63 |
51 |
|
15 |
|
|
| Si Woo Kim |
1.94% |
52 |
51 |
|
25 |
|
|
| Sungjae Im |
1.48% |
68 |
51 |
|
25 |
|
|
| Taylor Pendrith |
1.20% |
83 |
56 |
|
15 |
|
|
| Thomas Detry |
0.63% |
159 |
81 |
|
37 |
|
|
| Tom Hoge |
0.36% |
278 |
116 |
|
30 |
|
|
| Tommy Fleetwood |
4.74% |
21 |
26 |
0.90% |
2 |
1.8 |
Betfred: 25/1, 5pl, 1/5 |
| Viktor Hovland |
2.81% |
36 |
34 |
|
4 |
|
|
| Xander Schauffele |
3.47% |
29 |
26 |
|
40 |
|
|
| Player |
Win % |
TT Odds |
Best Odds |
Kelly |
Result |
P/L |
E/W Play |
| WIN: Russell Henley |
4.06% |
25 |
36 |
1.30% |
15 |
-2 |
Priced Up: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| WIN: Tommy Fleetwood |
5.53% |
18 |
21 |
0.80% |
4 |
2.2 |
Boyle Sports: 16/1, 8pl, 1/5 |
| WIN: Corey Conners |
2.51% |
40 |
56 |
0.70% |
39 |
-2 |
Ladbrokes: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5 |
| FRL: Scottie Scheffler |
11.20% |
8.9 |
10 |
1.30% |
3 |
0.875 |
Star Sports: 7.5/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
| FRL: Tommy Fleetwood |
4.74% |
21 |
26 |
0.90% |
2 |
4 |
Betfred: 25/1, 5pl, 1/5 |
| FRL: Russell Henley |
3.65% |
27 |
36 |
0.90% |
12 |
-2 |
Bet365: 30/1, 5pl, 1/4 |
The data in the above table is as follows:
- Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
- TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
- TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
- Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
- Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
- Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
- P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
- E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes
The
Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.
The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution.
This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.
To determine the number of replications
R, this is typically set at 10 /
e2, where
e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure).
With 100,000 replications,
e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.
This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.
While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.
TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives'
here.
Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available
here.
