Simulation Results: Veritex Bank Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adam Long 0.51% 196 301 0.20% 121 -0.2 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Adrien Dumont de Chassart 1.79% 56 34 72
Alistair Docherty 3.07% 33 29 72
Alvaro Ortiz 1.40% 71 81 0.20% 88 -0.2 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Andrew Landry 0.01% 10000 1501 88
Andrew Loupe 0.00% 10000 1001 36
Ashton Van Horne 0.07% 1429 501 104
Augusto Nunez 1.79% 56 41 56
Austin Cook 0.42% 238 126 66
Austin Greaser 0.50% 200 126 10
Austin Hitt 1.29% 78 111 0.40% 33 -0.4 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Austin Smotherman 3.13% 32 36 0.40% 104 -0.4 Ladbrokes: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4
Barend Botha 0.45% 222 126 56
Ben Crane 0.16% 625 751 135
Billy Kennerly 0.42% 238 226 56
Billy Tom Sargent 0.12% 833 601 104
Blades Brown 0.94% 106 71 2
Blaine Hale 0.17% 588 351 70
Bo Van Pelt 0.09% 1111 1501 42
Brandon Berry 0.14% 714 401 130
Brandon Crick 1.26% 79 301 0.90% 88 -0.9 Paddy Power: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brandon Harkins 0.18% 556 201 88
Brandon Hoelzer 0.09% 1111 501 88
Brendon Jelley 0.23% 435 351 130
Brent Grant 0.39% 256 501 0.20% 144 -0.2 Spreadex: 500/1, 6pl, 1/5
Bryce Lewis 0.40% 250 201 72
Bryson Nimmer 0.19% 526 501 72
Caleb VanArragon 0.11% 909 1001 9
Carl Yuan 0.52% 192 131 88
Carter Jenkins 0.45% 222 151 68
Chandler Blanchet 0.97% 103 81 18
Charles Huntzinger 0.04% 2500 601 88
Chase Sienkiewicz 0.40% 250 301 0.10% 135 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chris Baker 0.32% 313 401 0.10% Spreadex: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Christo Lamprecht 1.40% 71 46 56
Clay Feagler 0.15% 667 301 104
Cody Blick 0.26% 385 176 104
Cole Hammer 0.67% 149 67 104
Cole Sherwood 1.06% 94 56 18
Cooper Dossey 0.50% 200 201 33
Cooper Musselman 0.16% 625 401 151
Dalton Ward 0.47% 213 401 0.20% 104 -0.2 Spreadex: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Dan McCarthy 0.41% 244 251 72
David Harrison 0.00% 10000 1001 152
David Kocher 0.35% 286 251 49
Davis Chatfield 1.94% 52 51 104
Davis Cooper 0.05% 2000 1001 141
Davis Shore 0.51% 196 126 36
Dawson Armstrong 0.15% 667 301 36
Derek Bard 0.70% 143 251 0.30% 88 -0.3 Paddy Power: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dylan Menante 0.44% 227 301 0.10% 72 -0.1 Paddy Power: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Emilio Gonzalez 1.01% 99 81 49
Etienne Papineau 0.24% 417 401 104
Fabian Gomez 0.58% 172 126 104
Gavin Cohen 0.13% 769 501 33
Grant Hirschman 0.11% 909 376 135
Gregory Odom 0.00% 10000 751 121
Hank Lebioda 3.74% 27 29 0.30% 68 -0.3 Unibet: 28/1, 6pl, 1/5
Harrison Endycott 0.13% 769 301 10
Harry Hillier 0.20% 500 151 72
Ian Holt 0.83% 120 126 42
Jack Maguire 1.01% 99 101 10
Jacob Solomon 0.04% 2500 751 135
James Nicholas 0.54% 185 101 10
Jeffrey Kang 0.57% 175 151 10
Jeremy Gandon 1.01% 99 76 36
Jim Herman 0.04% 2500 601 141
Jimmy Stanger 0.17% 588 201 152
Jin Chung 0.03% 3333 601 130
Joe Weiler 1.09% 92 126 0.30% 88 -0.3 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Joey Herrera 0.00% 10000 1001 49
John Greco 0.06% 1667 751 152
Johnny Keefer 3.89% 26 21 1
Jonas Baumgartner 0.05% 2000 401 121
Jorge Fernandez Valdes 0.42% 238 251 42
Josh Teater 1.25% 80 71 149
Joshua Creel 0.59% 169 176 2
Julian Etulain 0.08% 1250 501 36
Julian Suri 0.41% 244 176 2
Kensei Hirata 1.47% 68 41 18
Kevin Dougherty 1.16% 86 81 121
KK Limbhasut 0.15% 667 501 49
Kyle Cottam 0.31% 323 351 135
Kyle Vance 0.00% 10000 1001 141
Kyle Westmoreland 1.35% 74 71 130
Logan McAllister 0.76% 132 76 49
Luis Gerardo Garza 0.29% 345 176 88
Luke Guthrie 0.06% 1667 376 144
M.J. Daffue 0.73% 137 111 155
Marcelo Rozo 1.15% 87 101 0.20% 72 -0.2 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Marcus Plunkett 0.09% 1111 401 66
Mark Goetz 0.22% 455 351 149
Matt Atkins 0.53% 189 351 0.20% 104 -0.2 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Matthew Anderson 0.40% 250 141 63
Mitchell Meissner 1.98% 51 61 0.30% 7 -0.3 BetVictor: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Myles Creighton 1.33% 75 76 49
Nate Stember 0.34% 294 161 36
Neal Shipley 2.48% 40 29 29
Nelson Ledesma 0.62% 161 201 0.10% 25 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nicolo Galletti 0.40% 250 141 104
Owen Stamper 0.15% 667 751 18
Patrick Cover 0.23% 435 351 10
Patrick Welch 0.45% 222 201 63
Paul Barjon 0.12% 833 751
Paul Haley 0.10% 1000 1501 144
Peter Kuest 0.15% 667 751 42
Petr Hruby 0.10% 1000 376 29
Pontus Nyholm 0.84% 119 126 29
Raul Pereda 0.04% 2500 751 144
Rayhan Thomas 0.53% 189 111 72
Rhein Gibson 0.30% 333 276 121
Richy Werenski 0.41% 244 201 10
Rick Lamb 2.09% 48 34 25
Rob Oppenheim 0.30% 333 91 121
Roberto Diaz 0.66% 152 126 88
Roger Sloan 1.25% 80 101 0.30% 70 -0.3 Paddy Power: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ross Steelman 0.36% 278 126 121
Runchanapong Youprayong 0.65% 154 76 121
Ryan Blaum 0.47% 213 131 29
Ryan Burnett 0.16% 625 401 42
Ryan McCormick 1.13% 88 141 0.40% 104 -0.4 Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sam Bennett 0.26% 385 276 88
Samuel Anderson 0.26% 385 201 10
Sandy Scott 0.66% 152 126 121
Scott Piercy 0.68% 147 201 0.20% 72 -0.2 Spreadex: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sebastian Cappelen 0.73% 137 201 0.20% 72 -0.2 Spreadex: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Seonghyeon Kim 3.58% 28 29 0.10% 7 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
Seth Reeves 0.09% 1111 601 72
Seungtaek Lee 2.56% 39 41 0.10% 56 -0.1 Spreadex: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Seung-Yul Noh 1.31% 76 67 42
Shad Tuten 1.27% 79 81 104
Spencer Levin 0.20% 500 401 88
Spencer Ralston 0.08% 1250 501 18
Stuart Macdonald 0.11% 909 401 65
Sudarshan Yellamaraju 0.25% 400 176 56
Sung Kang 0.06% 1667 501 144
Tanner Gore 0.50% 200 151 18
Tanner Napier 0.01% 10000 1001 25
Tano Goya 0.39% 256 301 0.10% 104 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Thomas Longbella 0.01% 10000 1001 88
Thomas Walsh 0.53% 189 126 25
Tom Whitney 0.90% 111 101 130
Tommy Gainey 0.21% 476 301 72
Trent Phillips 0.60% 167 126 88
Trevor Werbylo 0.04% 2500 501 88
Trey Winstead 2.59% 39 34 42
Tyson Alexander 0.82% 122 91 2
Will Cannon 0.17% 588 401 72
William McGirt 1.34% 75 161 0.70% 104 -0.7 Spreadex: 160/1, 6pl, 1/5
William Moll 0.35% 286 301 72
Wilson Furr 0.52% 192 276 0.20% 49 -0.2 Paddy Power: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Zach Bauchou 2.67% 37 41 0.20% 72 -0.2 BetVictor: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Zach James 0.18% 556 251 2
Zach Williams 0.00% 10000 1001 135
Zack Fischer 0.42% 238 126 56
Zecheng Dou 0.00% 10000 29 18

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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