Simulation Results: Suncoast Classic

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adam Long 0.51% 196 301 0.20% 39 -0.2 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Adrien Dumont de Chassart 1.40% 71 29 61
Alistair Docherty 1.55% 65 41 7
Alvaro Ortiz 0.66% 152 101 18
Andrew Kozan 0.14% 714 401 147
Andrew Landry 0.02% 5000 1001 142
Ashton Van Horne 0.07% 1429 301 121
Augusto Nunez 1.56% 64 56 13
Austin Greaser 0.45% 222 126 39
Austin Hitt 1.14% 88 111 0.20% 25 -0.2 Ladbrokes: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Austin Smotherman 2.24% 45 41 20
Austin Squires 0.01% 10000 1001 132
Barend Botha 0.55% 182 81 121
Ben Taylor 1.52% 66 61 86
Billy Kennerly 0.73% 137 126 101
Billy Tom Sargent 0.22% 455 501 101
Blades Brown 1.24% 81 56 51
Blaine Hale 0.46% 217 751 0.30% 147 -0.3 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Bo Van Pelt 0.07% 1429 1501 72
Brandon Berry 0.19% 526 351 132
Brandon Crick 0.87% 115 301 0.50% 54 -0.5 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brandon Harkins 0.54% 185 126 153
Brandon Hoelzer 0.10% 1000 501 68
Brendon Jelley 0.33% 303 276 121
Brent Grant 0.47% 213 226 113
Bryce Lewis 0.18% 556 25
Caleb VanArragon 0.12% 833 501 70
Carter Jenkins 0.25% 400 301 39
Cayden Pope 0.00% 10000 301 86
Chandler Blanchet 1.74% 57 46 70
Charles Huntzinger 0.05% 2000 113
Chase Sienkiewicz 0.21% 476 401 33
Chris Baker 0.28% 357 201 101
Chris Crawford 0.10% 1000 301 86
Christo Lamprecht 1.38% 72 34 86
Clay Feagler 0.18% 556 301 101
Cody Blick 0.59% 169 126 101
Cole Hammer 0.36% 278 151 25
Cole Sherwood 1.86% 54 51 86
Cooper Dossey 0.44% 227 276 0.10% 70 -0.1 Bet365: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cooper Musselman 0.08% 1250 401 63
Dalton Ward 0.79% 127 301 0.50% 113 -0.5 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dan McCarthy 0.63% 159 201 0.10% 132 -0.1 Paddy Power: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
David Kocher 0.12% 833 401 13
Davis Chatfield 2.54% 39 34 57
Davis Shore 0.68% 147 101 70
Dawson Armstrong 0.22% 455 276 61
Derek Bard 0.43% 233 33
Emilio Gonzalez 1.68% 60 41 142
Erik Barnes 0.00% 10000 1501 155
Etienne Papineau 0.44% 227 251 139
Gavin Cohen 0.05% 2000 401 70
Grant Hirschman 0.11% 909 301 39
Hank Lebioda 1.91% 52 46 3
Harrison Endycott 0.47% 213 161 132
Harry Hillier 0.30% 333 141 57
Hunter Eichhorn 0.30% 333 113
Ian Holt 0.86% 116 81 70
Jack Maguire 0.58% 172 151 13
Jacob Solomon 0.06% 1667 501 101
James Nicholas 1.05% 95 101 0.10% 121 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
James Piot 0.40% 250 81 70
Jeffrey Kang 0.71% 141 126 70
Jeremy Gandon 1.32% 76 51 70
Jimmy Stanger 0.35% 286 126 113
Jin Chung 0.03% 3333 501 86
Joe Weiler 1.33% 75 101 0.30% 39 -0.3 Ladbrokes: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
John Greco 0.08% 1250 501 121
John VanDerLaan 2.08% 48 46 86
Johnny Keefer 3.31% 30 21 20
Jonas Baumgartner 0.09% 1111 301 153
Jorge Fernandez Valdes 0.25% 400 201 39
Josh Teater 1.43% 70 61 25
Joshua Creel 0.45% 222 201 39
Julian Etulain 0.13% 769 401 86
Julian Suri 0.68% 147 101 147
Justin Suh 2.50% 40 34
Keenan Huskey 0.19% 526 501 101
Kensei Hirata 1.43% 70 26 57
Kevin Dougherty 1.27% 79 61 70
KK Limbhasut 0.23% 435 351 121
Kyle Westmoreland 0.71% 141 126 4
Logan McAllister 1.03% 97 41 86
Luke Guthrie 0.07% 1429 251 121
Luke Kluver 0.00% 10000 101
M.J. Daffue 0.69% 145 126 25
Marcelo Rozo 0.47% 213 151 4
Marcus Plunkett 0.13% 769 301 65
Mark Goetz 0.15% 667 401 33
Matt Atkins 0.37% 270 401 0.10% 70 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Matthew Anderson 0.46% 217 251 0.10% 57 -0.1 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maxwell Moldovan 0.22% 455 54
Michael Johnson 0.35% 286 201 20
Miles Russell 0.08% 1250 67 70
Mitchell Meissner 2.75% 36 41 0.30% 86 -0.3 Bet365: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Myles Creighton 0.83% 120 126 13
Nate Stember 0.20% 500 201 39
Neal Shipley 0.91% 110 61 1
Nelson Ledesma 0.32% 313 251 20
Nick Gabrelcik 1.46% 68 67 25
Nicolo Galletti 0.43% 233 126 70
Owen Stamper 0.10% 1000 501 70
Patrick Cover 0.26% 385 226 86
Patrick Welch 0.61% 164 201 0.10% 65 -0.1 Paddy Power: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Paul Barjon 0.10% 1000 601 121
Paul Haley 0.06% 1667 1001 121
Peter Kuest 0.19% 526 751 0.10% 132 -0.1 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Petr Hruby 0.19% 526 276 142
Pontus Nyholm 0.87% 115 81 113
Raul Pereda 0.05% 2000 501 141
Rayhan Thomas 0.57% 175 91 70
Rhein Gibson 0.27% 370 201 86
Richy Werenski 0.54% 185 176 69
Rick Lamb 1.72% 58 34 8
Rob Oppenheim 0.25% 400 81 18
Robby Shelton 1.89% 53 56 0.10% 8 -0.1 Bet365: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
Roberto Diaz 0.95% 105 101 101
Roger Sloan 1.16% 86 161 0.50% 25 -0.5 Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ross Steelman 0.44% 227 101 86
Runchanapong Youprayong 0.21% 476 111 8
Ryan Blaum 0.74% 135 101 70
Ryan Brehm 0.14% 714 351 101
Ryan Burnett 0.13% 769 301 101
Ryan McCormick 0.71% 141 201 0.20% 8 -0.2 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sam Bennett 0.37% 270 201 132
Samuel Anderson 0.13% 769 176 51
Sandy Scott 0.80% 125 81 101
Sangmoon Bae 0.09% 1111 401 151
Scott Gutschewski 0.68% 147 126 63
Sebastian Cappelen 0.95% 105 126 0.20% 113 -0.2 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Seonghyeon Kim 2.87% 35 26 33
Seth Reeves 0.09% 1111 501 113
Seungtaek Lee 1.47% 68 51 2
Shad Tuten 1.36% 74 56 39
Spencer Levin 0.27% 370 351 142
Spencer Ralston 0.15% 667 401 121
Stuart Macdonald 0.12% 833 301 65
Sudarshan Yellamaraju 0.47% 213 126 139
T.J. Vogel 0.82% 122 67 86
Tanner Gore 0.15% 667 276 13
Tanner Napier 0.02% 5000 751 147
Tano Goya 0.21% 476 301 33
Thomas Longbella 0.02% 5000 751 142
Thomas Walsh 0.39% 256 126 20
Tom Whitney 0.77% 130 126 51
Trace Crowe 1.56% 64 61 8
Trent Phillips 0.26% 385 201 25
Trevor Werbylo 0.11% 909 601 151
Trey Winstead 1.03% 97 46 4
Tyson Alexander 0.98% 102 101 156
Will Cannon 0.23% 435 301 132
William McGirt 0.74% 135 151 0.10% 33 -0.1 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Wilson Furr 0.42% 238 501 0.20% 39 -0.2 Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Zach Bauchou 2.35% 43 56 0.60% 39 -0.6 Ladbrokes: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
Zach James 0.07% 1429 301 39
Zack Fischer 0.00% 10000 111 54

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates