Simulation Results: Price Cutter Charity Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adam Long 0.22% 455 276 113
Adrien Dumont de Chassart 2.74% 36 21 5
Algot Kleen 0.28% 357 151 124
Alistair Docherty 0.80% 125 81 101
Alvaro Ortiz 1.01% 99 67 72
Anders Albertson 0.62% 161 251 0.20% 72 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Andrew Kozan 0.28% 357 276 113
Andrew Landry 0.05% 2000 1001 101
Augusto Nunez 1.37% 73 51 135
Austin Cook 0.22% 455 226 135
Austin Hitt 1.14% 88 126 0.30% 23 -0.3 Spreadex: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Austin Smotherman 3.16% 32 25 11
Barend Botha 0.31% 323 351 151
Ben Taylor 1.10% 91 81 35
Billy Tom Sargent 0.61% 164 226 0.20% 7 -0.2 Vbet: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Blades Brown 1.50% 67 51 82
Blaine Hale 0.89% 112 71 72
Brandon Berry 0.14% 714 501 101
Brandon Crick 0.57% 175 176 28
Brandon Harkins 0.19% 526 351 59
Brandon Hoelzer 0.35% 286 201 82
Brandon Matthews 0.07% 1429 601 124
Brendan Valdes 0.40% 250 61 13
Bronson Burgoon 0.20% 500 351 11
Bryce Lewis 1.50% 67 71 0.10% 35 -0.1 Star Sports: 70/1, 6pl, 1/5
Bryson Nimmer 1.00% 100 141 0.30% 101 -0.3 Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Caleb VanArragon 0.54% 185 301 0.20% 42 -0.2 PaddyPower: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Carl Yuan 0.84% 119 81 113
Carter Jenkins 0.61% 164 76 146
Chandler Blanchet 0.99% 101 81 35
Chris Crawford 0.10% 1000 501 82
Christo Lamprecht 0.55% 182 76 42
Cody Blick 0.33% 303 251 71
Cole Hammer 0.23% 435 351 23
Cole Sherwood 0.83% 120 101 82
Cooper Dossey 0.59% 169 151 28
Curtis Thompson 0.03% 3333 501 124
D.A. Points 0.00% 10000 1251 101
Dalton Ward 0.14% 714 501 124
Dan McCarthy 0.64% 156 151 113
David Kocher 0.37% 270 201 42
Davis Chatfield 1.27% 79 41 146
Davis Shore 1.09% 92 81 124
Doc Redman 1.49% 67 67 66
Dylan Menante 1.27% 79 67 51
Dylan Teeter 0.00% 10000 501 151
Egor Zubov 0.00% 10000 124
Emilio Gonzalez 1.34% 75 67 2
Etienne Papineau 0.28% 357 301 82
Fabian Gomez 0.64% 156 151 13
Grant Hirschman 0.12% 833 351 13
Harry Hillier 0.26% 385 176 7
Ian Gilligan 0.92% 109 71 35
Ian Holt 0.73% 137 151 0.10% 13 -0.1 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jack Maguire 0.76% 132 151 0.10% 113 -0.1 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jackson Van Paris 0.07% 1429 91 59
Jacob Solomon 0.09% 1111 601 135
James Nicholas 0.37% 270 111 23
Jared Wolfe 0.18% 556 351 82
Jeffrey Kang 0.64% 156 151 72
Jeremy Gandon 0.49% 204 86 82
Joe Weiler 0.69% 145 151 101
Joel Thelen 0.12% 833 276 135
John VanDerLaan 0.59% 169 151 51
Johnny Keefer 2.13% 47 23 35
Jorge Fernandez Valdes 0.21% 476 201 140
Josh Teater 0.72% 139 81 42
Joshua Creel 0.67% 149 126 82
Julian Suri 0.49% 204 151 82
Justin Suh 1.11% 90 56 82
Kellen Dean 0.00% 10000 751 154
Kensei Hirata 1.78% 56 34 124
Kevin Dougherty 0.62% 161 151 28
Kyle Westmoreland 0.49% 204 126 28
Lance Yates 0.05% 2000 1001 135
Logan McAllister 0.54% 185 96 51
Luke Guthrie 0.11% 909 601 42
Luke Long 0.15% 667 401 59
M.J. Daffue 0.56% 179 201 0.10% 51 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Marcelo Rozo 0.52% 192 176 7
Mark Goetz 0.44% 227 201 42
Mark Lawrence 2.14% 47 126 1.40% 101 -1.4 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mason Andersen 0.53% 189 201 155
Matt Atkins 0.42% 238 601 0.30% 82 -0.3 Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Matthew Anderson 0.50% 200 176 42
Michael Johnson 0.87% 115 71 13
Mitchell Meissner 2.95% 34 29 5
Myles Creighton 0.46% 217 176 1
Nate Stember 0.24% 417 301 140
Neal Shipley 1.02% 98 67 72
Nelson Ledesma 0.23% 435 226 124
Nic Cassidy 0.04% 2500 1001 149
Nick Gabrelcik 0.52% 192 201 66
Nick Watney 0.25% 400 201 101
Nicolo Galletti 0.64% 156 251 0.20% 28 -0.2 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Norman Xiong 0.59% 169 56
Omar Morales 0.00% 10000 501 149
Pablo Ereno Perez 0.00% 10000 126 151
Parker Gillam 0.03% 3333 1001 113
Patrick Cover 0.37% 270 201 35
Patrick Welch 0.53% 189 201 101
Paul Barjon 0.10% 1000 1001
Petr Hruby 0.26% 385 501 0.10% 113 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Phichaksn Maichon 0.29% 345 91 72
Philip Knowles 0.33% 303 201 35
Pierceson Coody 3.89% 26 17 3
Pontus Nyholm 1.20% 83 36 124
Preston Summerhays 0.24% 417 91 124
Quade Cummins 1.42% 70 26 4
Rayhan Thomas 0.55% 182 201 0.10% 65 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Rhein Gibson 0.13% 769 276 101
Richy Werenski 0.32% 313 276 146
Rob Oppenheim 0.25% 400 151 113
Robby Shelton 0.78% 128 126 20
Robert Streb 0.21% 476 351 13
Roberto Diaz 0.52% 192 201 124
Roger Sloan 0.59% 169 251 0.20% 51 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ross Steelman 2.23% 45 29 72
Runchanapong Youprayong 0.40% 250 201 70
Russell Knox 0.60% 167 111 51
Ryan Blaum 0.46% 217 276 0.10% 101 -0.1 Vbet: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryan Hall 0.66% 152 176 0.10% 82 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryan McCormick 0.90% 111 81 101
Sam Bennett 0.34% 294 276 42
Samuel Anderson 0.52% 192 176 140
Sandy Scott 0.32% 313 251 23
Scott Piercy 0.79% 127 161 0.20% 13 -0.2 Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sebastian Cappelen 1.20% 83 56 66
Sebastian Moss 0.04% 2500 111 140
Seth Reeves 0.10% 1000 351 140
Seungtaek Lee 1.76% 57 29 66
Seung-Yul Noh 1.81% 55 41 113
Spencer Levin 0.48% 208 501 0.30% 63 -0.3 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stephen Stallings 0.02% 5000 1001 51
Stuart Macdonald 0.19% 526 201 10
Sudarshan Yellamaraju 0.47% 213 111 82
T.J. Vogel 0.32% 313 301 59
Tanner Gore 0.42% 238 301 0.10% 140 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tano Goya 0.38% 263 276
Thomas Rosenmueller 0.95% 105 67 82
Thomas Walsh 1.00% 100 151 0.30% 82 -0.3 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tom Whitney 0.86% 116 151 0.20% 51 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Tommy Gainey 0.14% 714 601 82
Trace Crowe 1.34% 75 34 82
Travis Trace 0.77% 130 176 0.20% 63 -0.2 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Trent Phillips 0.61% 164 71 72
Tyler Duncan 0.80% 125 111 20
Tyson Alexander 1.19% 84 71 113
Will Cannon 0.47% 213 161 23
Will Grimmer 0.03% 3333 1001 82
William McGirt 0.36% 278 501 0.20% 28 -0.2 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Wilson Furr 0.51% 196 151 72
Zach Bauchou 0.91% 110 71 20
Zach James 0.49% 204 201 72
Zack Fischer 0.28% 357 251 28
Zecheng Dou 0.00% 10000 41 82

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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