Simulation Results: ShopRite LPGA Classic

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adela Cernousek 0.00% 10000 1001 123
Aditi Ashok 0.81% 123 126 128
Akie Iwai 1.70% 59 36 15
Albane Valenzuela 0.75% 133 151 0.10% 63 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Alena Sharp 0.09% 1111 601 97
Alexa Pano 0.22% 455 226 47
Alexandra Forsterling 0.06% 1667 1001 38
Aline Krauter 0.28% 357 176 5
Allisen Corpuz 2.35% 43 41 128
Amanda Doherty 0.11% 909 501 69
Ana Belac 0.17% 588 451 88
Annie Park 0.03% 3333 1001 128
Ashleigh Buhai 1.46% 68 67 38
Asterisk Talley 0.13% 769 38
Auston Kim 1.04% 96 67 15
Ayaka Furue 2.73% 37 18 4
Azahara Munoz 0.27% 370 401 5
Bailey Tardy 0.15% 667 301 80
Benedetta Moresco 0.52% 192 251 0.10% 58 -0.1 Skybet: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Bianca Pagdanganan 0.22% 455 351 115
Brianna Do 0.07% 1429 751 58
Brittany Altomare 0.02% 5000 1251 136
Brittany Lincicome 0.19% 526 751 0.10% 69 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Bronte Law 0.10% 1000 376 107
Brooke M. Henderson 2.54% 39 51 0.60% 20 -0.6 Unibet: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5
Brooke Matthews 0.15% 667 376 11
Caley McGinty 0.02% 5000 1001 29
Caroline Inglis 0.32% 313 601 0.20% 115 -0.2 Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Caroline Masson 0.25% 400 376 80
Celine Borge 0.17% 588 1501 0.10% 58 -0.1 Bet365: 1500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cheyenne Knight 0.22% 455 501 115
Chisato Iwai 2.89% 35 21 38
Christina Kim 0.01% 10000 2001 97
Dani Holmqvist 0.03% 3333 1501 80
Daniela Darquea 0.19% 526 501 123
Daniela Iacobelli 0.01% 10000 1501 80
Danielle Kang 0.02% 5000 1001 54
Dewi Weber 0.37% 270 401 0.10% 20 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dottie Ardina 0.11% 909 501 69
Elizabeth Szokol 0.46% 217 201 20
Emily Kristine Pedersen 0.38% 263 226 38
Eun-Hee Ji 0.04% 2500 1251 139
Fatima Fernandez Cano 0.03% 3333 601 97
Fiona Xu 0.00% 10000 1001 107
Frida Kinhult 0.19% 526 501 47
Gabriella Then 0.00% 10000 107
Georgia Hall 0.65% 154 141 47
Gianna Clemente 0.12% 833 401 88
Gigi Stoll 0.07% 1429 751 115
Gurleen Kaur 0.03% 3333 1501 67
Haeji Kang 0.25% 400 401 29
Haru Moon 0.00% 10000 751 88
Heather Lin 0.01% 10000 1251 69
Hinako Shibuno 0.78% 128 301 0.40% 29 -0.4 Boyle Sports: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hyo Joon Jang 0.05% 2000 751 38
Ilhee Lee 0.03% 3333 1001 2
Ina Yoon 2.94% 34 81 1.70% 88 -1.7 Boyle Sports: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jaravee Boonchant 0.08% 1250 1001 29
Jeeno Thitikul 8.30% 12 8 11
Jennifer Chang 0.03% 3333 1001 80
Jennifer Kupcho 1.89% 53 51 1
Jennifer Song 0.01% 10000 2001
Jenny Bae 0.75% 133 126 69
Jenny Coleman 0.01% 10000 1001 128
Jeongeun Lee5 0.48% 208 351 0.20% 29 -0.2 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jessica Porvasnik 0.12% 833 751 97
Jin Hee Im 2.93% 34 31 5
Jin Young Ko 6.53% 15 12 58
Jing Yan 0.42% 238 301 0.10% 54 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Joanna Coe 0.02% 5000 139
Jodi Ewart Shadoff 0.37% 270 276 69
Julia Lopez Ramirez 0.62% 161 126 69
Kaitlyn Papp Budde 0.20% 500 401 58
Karis Davidson 0.16% 625 501 26
Kary Hollenbaugh 0.04% 2500 251 123
Kate Smith-Stroh 0.05% 2000 1001 88
Kelly Tan 0.01% 10000 2001 107
Kiira Riihijarvi 0.01% 10000 1501 69
Kristen Gillman 1.54% 65 81 0.30% 97 -0.3 Betfair: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kristy McPherson 0.00% 10000 1501 128
Kumkang Park 0.04% 2500 1001 11
Lauren Coughlin 2.91% 34 29 69
Lauren Hartlage 0.08% 1250 601 29
Lauren Morris 0.20% 500 1001 0.10% 128 -0.1 Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lee-Anne Pace 0.17% 588 301 26
Linnea Strom 0.15% 667 401 123
Liqi Zeng 0.15% 667 501 107
Lucy Li 1.00% 100 76 47
Madelene Sagstrom 0.79% 127 126 88
Madison Young 0.04% 2500 751 20
Maja Stark 1.50% 67 101 0.50% 107 -0.5 Boyle Sports: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Malia Nam 0.04% 2500 1501 135
Mao Saigo 3.70% 27 36 0.90% 5 -0.16875 Boyle Sports: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maria Fassi 0.06% 1667 601 47
Maria Torres 0.00% 10000 2001 139
Mariel Galdiano 0.08% 1250 751 20
Marissa Steen 0.00% 10000 2001 123
Mary Liu 0.20% 500 501 29
Maude-Aimee Leblanc 0.07% 1429 2501 54
Meaghan Francella 0.00% 10000 2001 115
Mina Kreiter 0.04% 2500 601 115
Minami Katsu 1.24% 81 67 47
Miranda Wang 0.82% 122 131 0.10% 15 -0.1 Unibet: 130/1, 6pl, 1/5
Mirim Lee 0.05% 2000 751 138
Miyu Yamashita 3.52% 28 19 5
Morgane Metraux 0.24% 417 501 107
Muni He 0.32% 313 351 38
Nanna Koerstz Madsen 1.46% 68 71 0.10% 26 -0.1 Bet365: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Natalie Gulbis 0.00% 10000 2501 136
Natthakritta Vongtaveelap 0.06% 1667 2001 88
Nelly Korda 9.56% 10 6.5 15
Olivia Cowan 0.65% 154 201 0.20% 63 -0.2 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Pajaree Anannarukarn 1.38% 72 91 0.30% 97 -0.3 Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Patty Tavatanakit 0.90% 111 71 15
Paula Reto 0.39% 256 276 97
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard 0.36% 278 226 69
Peiyun Chien 0.58% 172 201 0.10% 97 -0.1 Unibet: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Perrine Delacour 0.68% 147 251 0.30% 88 -0.3 888sport: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Polly Mack 0.11% 909 601 38
Pornanong Phatlum 0.23% 435 601 0.10% 38 -0.1 Unibet: 600/1, 6pl, 1/5
Rio Takeda 4.20% 24 13 63
Robyn Choi 0.55% 182 201 0.10% 11 -0.1 Unibet: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ruixin Liu 0.34% 294 251 143
Saki Baba 0.44% 227 161 29
Sarah Jane Smith 0.00% 10000 2001 88
Sarah Kemp 0.12% 833 601 54
Sarah White 0.03% 3333 1501 142
Sei Young Kim 1.00% 100 76 3
Silvia Cavalleri 0.00% 10000 1001 115
Sofia Garcia 0.04% 2500 751 80
Somi Lee 3.69% 27 23 69
Soo Bin Joo 0.40% 250 251 20
Sophia Popov 0.16% 625 601 97
Stacy Lewis 0.11% 909 751 63
Su Oh 0.00% 10000 751 128
Sung Hyun Park 0.06% 1667 601 29
Wei-Ling Hsu 0.71% 141 151 5
Wichanee Meechai 0.15% 667 601 107
Yahui Zhang 0.92% 109 176 0.40% 80 -0.4 Boyle Sports: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yan Liu 0.93% 108 101 115
Yu Liu 0.35% 286 1001 0.30% 80 -0.3 Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yue Ren 0.03% 3333 1501 68
Yuna Nishimura 0.25% 400 401 97
Yuri Yoshida 0.44% 227 161 47

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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