Simulation Results: Meijer LPGA Classic

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
A Lim Kim 1.61% 62 36 36
Adela Cernousek 0.01% 10000 1501 22
Aditi Ashok 0.45% 222 201 127
Akie Iwai 1.42% 70 29 7
Alena Sharp 0.05% 2000 751 54
Alexa Pano 0.19% 526 276 50
Amanda Doherty 0.08% 1250 1001 24
Amy Yang 0.98% 102 91 108
Ana Belac 0.10% 1000 751 78
Andrea Lee 1.77% 56 41 11
Anna Nordqvist 0.47% 213 151 36
Arpichaya Yubol 0.40% 250 176 121
Ashleigh Buhai 0.91% 110 81 116
Auston Kim 0.81% 123
Ayaka Furue 3.25% 31 17 36
Azahara Munoz 0.35% 286 251 54
Bailey Davis 0.00% 10000 1501 130
Bailey Tardy 0.10% 1000 501 116
Benedetta Moresco 0.29% 345 251 121
Bianca Pagdanganan 0.10% 1000 601 108
Brittany Altomare 0.01% 10000 1001 73
Brittany Lincicome 0.07% 1429 1001 36
Bronte Law 0.04% 2500 501 7
Brooke M. Henderson 2.40% 42 46 0.20% 14 -0.2 Betfred: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brooke Matthews 0.23% 435 301 44
Caley McGinty 0.03% 3333 751 24
Carlota Ciganda 2.13% 47 41 1
Carolina Lopez-Chacarra 0.86% 116 151 0.20% 94 -0.2 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Caroline Inglis 0.18% 556 751 67
Caroline Masson 0.15% 667 401 54
Cassie Porter 0.07% 1429 301 44
Celine Borge 0.10% 1000 1001 24
Celine Boutier 2.66% 38 34 4
Chanettee Wannasaen 0.61% 164 101 7
Chisato Iwai 2.00% 50 26 94
Christina Kim 0.01% 10000 2001 137
Dani Holmqvist 0.02% 5000 1501 130
Daniela Iacobelli 0.01% 10000 2501 116
Danielle Kang 0.03% 3333 601 108
Dewi Weber 0.31% 323 401 0.10% 36 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Emily Kristine Pedersen 0.43% 233 251 22
Eun-Hee Ji 0.02% 5000 1251 116
Fatima Fernandez Cano 0.02% 5000 601 108
Fiona Xu 0.00% 10000 1251 137
Frida Kinhult 0.13% 769 501 70
Gabriela Ruffels 0.30% 333 176 14
Gaby Lopez 1.19% 84 67 94
Gemma Dryburgh 0.33% 303 301 31
Georgia Hall 0.78% 128 126 36
Gigi Stoll 0.02% 5000 751 87
Grace Kim 0.69% 145 86 24
Haeji Kang 0.18% 556 351 77
Haeran Ryu 4.92% 20 13 31
Hannah Green 2.92% 34 31 36
Heather Lin 0.01% 10000 1501 70
Hinako Shibuno 0.46% 217 101 94
Hira Naveed 0.20% 500 201 130
Hye-Jin Choi 4.01% 25 17 2
Hyo Joon Jang 0.04% 2500 751 121
In Gee Chun 0.36% 278 201 54
Ina Yoon 1.73% 58 61 0.10% 31 -0.1 Bet365: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ingrid Lindblad 1.12% 89 51 36
Jasmine Suwannapura 0.22% 455 351 94
Jennifer Chang 0.04% 2500 1001 87
Jenny Bae 0.55% 182 201 0.10% 24 -0.1 QuinnBet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jenny Coleman 0.00% 10000 1501 142
Jenny Shin 0.71% 141 101 54
Jeongeun Lee5 0.41% 244 201 94
Jeongeun Lee6 0.08% 1250 501 94
Jessica Porvasnik 0.06% 1667 1251 127
Jin Hee Im 3.26% 31 26 78
Jin Young Ko 3.27% 31 19 78
Jiwon Jeon 0.22% 455 401 44
Jodi Ewart Shadoff 0.20% 500 501 54
Julia Lopez Ramirez 0.25% 400 176 50
Karis Davidson 0.18% 556 501 7
Kate Smith-Stroh 0.02% 5000 1501 78
Kristen Gillman 1.10% 91 81 14
Kumkang Park 0.08% 1250 501 108
Lauren Hartlage 0.09% 1111 501 108
Lauren Morris 0.06% 1667 1251 130
Leona Maguire 0.62% 161 86 87
Lexi Thompson 2.06% 49 61 0.40% 4 1.7333333333333 Bet365: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lilia Vu 0.09% 1111 71 137
Lindsey Weaver-Wright 0.10% 1000 601 121
Lindy Duncan 1.12% 89 71 54
Linn Grant 1.86% 54 29 116
Linnea Strom 0.05% 2000 501 74
Liqi Zeng 0.10% 1000 601 44
Lucy Li 0.74% 135 76 94
Madelene Sagstrom 0.40% 250 126 14
Madison Young 0.09% 1111 501 94
Malia Nam 0.01% 10000 2001 121
Manon De Roey 0.62% 161 141 54
Maria Fassi 0.03% 3333 501 78
Mary Liu 0.19% 526 401 108
Maude-Aimee Leblanc 0.08% 1250 1501 44
Megan Khang 1.00% 100 67 11
Mi Hyang Lee 0.92% 109 81 14
Mina Kreiter 0.02% 5000 601 50
Minami Katsu 0.87% 115 81 94
Minjee Lee 4.95% 20 19 14
Miranda Wang 0.78% 128 151 0.10% 108 -0.1 Betfred: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mirim Lee 0.00% 10000 1251 141
Miyu Yamashita 3.44% 29 19 50
Morgane Metraux 0.10% 1000 751 67
Muni He 0.27% 370 351 87
Nanna Koerstz Madsen 1.22% 82 67 4
Narin An 0.77% 130 126 94
Nasa Hataoka 2.35% 43 41 24
Nataliya Guseva 0.76% 132 81 127
Olivia Cowan 0.38% 263 351 0.10% 78 -0.1 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Paula Reto 0.24% 417 401 31
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard 0.26% 385 201 94
Pernilla Lindberg 0.04% 2500 501 87
Perrine Delacour 0.43% 233 151 44
Polly Mack 0.13% 769 501 78
Pornanong Phatlum 0.20% 500 401 130
Rio Takeda 2.75% 36 19 54
Robyn Choi 0.62% 161 151 87
Ruixin Liu 0.29% 345 351 54
Ryann O'Toole 0.34% 294 201 74
Saki Baba 0.41% 244 151 11
Sarah Kemp 0.11% 909 601 72
Sarah Schmelzel 2.69% 37 41 0.30% 94 -0.3 Ladbrokes: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Savannah Grewal 0.01% 10000 1001 121
Sofia Garcia 0.03% 3333 1001 14
Somi Lee 2.42% 41 41 3
Soo Bin Joo 0.32% 313 201 54
Stacy Lewis 0.08% 1250 601 69
Stephanie Kyriacou 1.34% 75 51 54
Sung Hyun Park 0.04% 2500 501 130
Wei-Ling Hsu 0.78% 128 126 31
Weiwei Zhang 0.52% 192 126 54
Wichanee Meechai 0.06% 1667 1001 14
Yahui Zhang 0.59% 169 126 94
Yan Liu 0.35% 286 151 78
Yani Tseng 0.01% 10000 1501 130
Yealimi Noh 2.42% 41 23 87
Yu Liu 0.22% 455 1501 0.20% 78 -0.2 Bet365: 1500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuna Nishimura 0.11% 909 501 140
Yuri Yoshida 0.33% 303 201 24

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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