Simulation Results: Meijer LPGA Classic

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adela Cernousek	0.06%	1667	601		120
Aditi Ashok	0.38%	263	251		24
Akie Iwai	2.34%	43	29		80
Alana Uriell	0.05%	2000	1001		108
Alexa Pano	0.32%	313	351		24
Alison Lee	2.95%	34	23		108
Allisen Corpuz	2.48%	40	21		32
Amanda Doherty	0.42%	238	176		120
Amy Yang	0.43%	233	201		32
Ana Belac	0.20%	500	251		12
Anna Nordqvist	0.55%	182	201	0.10%	80	-0.1	Spreadex: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Arpichaya Yubol	0.89%	112	91		133
Ashleigh Buhai	0.18%	556	401		66
Austin Ernst	0.08%	1250	501		120
Ayaka Furue	2.89%	35	34
Azahara Munoz	0.09%	1111	601		27
Benedetta Moresco	0.03%	3333	751		42
Briana Chacon	0.04%	2500	601		66
Brittany Lincicome	0.01%	10000	2001		108
Brooke M. Henderson	2.44%	41	51	0.50%	48	-0.5	Ladbrokes: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brooke Matthews	0.46%	217	201		94
Caley McGinty	0.06%	1667	301		108
Camille Boyd	0.04%	2500	1001		120
Carla Tejedo Mulet	0.46%	217	176		108
Carlota Ciganda	1.27%	79	51		32
Carolina Chacarra	0.13%	769	601		108
Carolina Melgrati	0.14%	714	551		55
Cassie Porter	1.16%	86	71		5
Celine Borge	0.10%	1000	601		64
Celine Herbin	0.12%	833	601		59
Chanettee Wannasaen	0.46%	217	201		32
Chella Choi	0.42%	238	201		80
Chiara Tamburlini	0.14%	714	251		42
Chisato Iwai	1.57%	64	51		12
Cocona Sakurai	0.05%	2000	1001		129
Daniela Darquea	0.05%	2000	451		48
Dewi Weber	0.19%	526	301		94
Dongeun Lee	0.59%	169	201	0.10%	66	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Emily Kristine Pedersen	0.17%	588	351		137
Emma McMyler	0.03%	3333	751		64
Erika Hara	1.05%	95	61		94
Esther Henseleit	0.94%	106	111		32
Frida Kinhult	0.17%	588	351		80
Gabriela Ruffels	0.29%	345	251		94
Gemma Dryburgh	0.36%	278	451	0.10%	108	-0.1	Spreadex: 450/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gigi Stoll	0.04%	2500	1001		94
Gina Kim	0.25%	400	201		120
Grace Kim	1.92%	52	67	0.40%	7	-0.4	BetMGM: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Gurleen Kaur	0.12%	833	501		94
Haeji Kang	0.00%	10000	1001
Hailee Cooper	0.01%	10000	1001		108
Hannah Green	2.87%	35	13		27
Helen Briem	0.65%	154	81		48
Hinako Shibuno	0.22%	455	301		66
Hira Naveed	0.04%	2500	751		80
In Gee Chun	1.56%	64	56		12
Ingrid Lindblad	0.11%	909	301		66
Isabella Fierro	0.16%	625	201		42
Isi Gabsa	0.14%	714	501		32
Jasmine Suwannapura	0.28%	357	301		48
Jeeno Thitikul	6.88%	15	7		80
Jennifer Kupcho	3.05%	33	26		18
Jenny Bae	1.02%	98	67		24
Jenny Shin	1.07%	93	101	0.10%	66	-0.1	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jeongeun Lee5	0.06%	1667	501		66
Jeongeun Lee6	0.06%	1667	451		27
Jessica Porvasnik	0.22%	455	401		32
Jin Hee Im	2.09%	48	34		12
Jin Young Ko	0.68%	147	81		48
Jing Yan	0.38%	263	201		7
Jiwon Jeon	0.28%	357	351		94
Jodi Ewart Shadoff	0.57%	175	151		143
Julia Lopez Ramirez	0.52%	192	111		32
Karis Davidson	1.07%	93	101	0.10%	12	-0.1	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Katie Lu	0.01%	10000	1251		120
Kiara Romero	3.38%	30	51	1.40%	94	-1.4	Ladbrokes: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kumkang Park	0.05%	2000	751		66
Laetitia Beck	0.15%	667	401		108
Laney Frye	0.11%	909	501		129
Lauren Coughlin	1.41%	71	71		80
Lauren Walsh	0.16%	625	451		55
Leah John	0.01%	10000	1001		94
Leona Maguire	0.84%	119	86		94
Lexi Thompson	0.78%	128	86
Lilia Vu	0.31%	323	131		108
Lindy Duncan	1.10%	91	111	0.20%	42	-0.2	Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Linnea Strom	0.07%	1429	601		80
Lizette Salas	0.13%	769	551		129
Lottie Woad	2.67%	37	21		2
Madison Young	0.06%	1667	751		137
Manon De Roey	0.43%	233	226		66
Mary Liu	0.45%	222	226		18
Maude-Aimee Leblanc	0.24%	417	301		62
Megan Khang	1.22%	82	76		66
Mi Hyang Lee	0.88%	114	176	0.30%	55	-0.3	BetMGM: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Mimi Rhodes	0.50%	200	111		94
Mina Kreiter	0.04%	2500	1001		120
Minami Katsu	1.84%	54	46		7
Minjee Lee	3.39%	29	21		32
Minji Kang	0.36%	278	126		5
Miyu Yamashita	3.79%	26	17		1
Morgane Metraux	0.10%	1000	301		32
Moriya Jutanugarn	0.04%	2500	751		140
Muni He	0.14%	714	401		129
Nanna Koerstz Madsen	1.99%	50	67	0.50%	18	-0.5	Ladbrokes: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Narin An	0.86%	116	161	0.20%	59	-0.2	Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nastasia Nadaud	0.55%	182	201	0.10%	18	-0.1	Spreadex: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nataliya Guseva	0.27%	370	201		18
Natasha Andrea Oon	0.32%	313	351		80
Nicole Broch Estrup	1.07%	93	276	0.70%	94	-0.7	Bet365: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Olivia Cowan	0.32%	313	251		48
Pajaree Anannarukarn	0.94%	106	111		48
Paula Reto	0.09%	1111	601		59
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard	0.12%	833	501		108
Perrine Delacour	0.88%	114	226	0.40%	133	-0.4	Spreadex: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Polly Mack	0.19%	526	301		140
Pornanong Phatlum	0.43%	233	301	0.10%	94	-0.1	Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Riley Smyth	0.00%	10000	1001		12
Rio Takeda	2.17%	46	31		10
Robyn Choi	0.62%	161	141		80
Ruixin Liu	0.11%	909	501		143
Ryann O'Toole	0.68%	147	101		80
Saki Baba	0.13%	769	401		133
Savannah Grewal	0.02%	5000	751		80
Sofia Garcia	0.08%	1250	601		62
Somi Lee	2.79%	36	23		10
Soo Bin Joo	0.53%	189	201		94
Sophia Schubert	0.15%	667	501		42
Ssu-Chia Cheng	0.03%	3333	751		142
Stephanie Kyriacou	0.04%	2500	451		120
Suvichaya Vinijchaitham	0.24%	417	351		80
Taylor Kehoe	0.00%	10000	1001		133
Wei-Ling Hsu	0.36%	278	226		3
Weiwei Zhang	0.32%	313	401	0.10%	66	-0.1	Spreadex: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Xiaowen Yin	0.14%	714	401		108
Yan Liu	1.26%	79	151	0.60%	3	10.95	Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yana Wilson	0.70%	143	101		27
Yani Tseng	0.08%	1250	751		66
Youmin Hwang	1.81%	55	61	0.20%	27	-0.2	Spreadex: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yu Liu	0.46%	217	161		18
Yuka Saso	0.03%	3333	401		55
Yuna Nishimura	0.28%	357	501	0.10%	66	-0.1	Spreadex: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yunxuan Zhang	0.05%	2000	601		120
Yuri Yoshida	0.72%	139	126		66

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Adela Cernousek	0.20%	500	201		90
Aditi Ashok	0.82%	122	131	0.10%	12	-0.1	Unibet: 130/1, 5pl, 1/4
Akie Iwai	1.93%	52	46		90
Alana Uriell	0.38%	263	201		41
Alexa Pano	0.40%	250	151		61
Alison Lee	1.36%	74	41		90
Allisen Corpuz	2.09%	48	41		25
Amanda Doherty	0.85%	118	101		90
Amy Yang	0.46%	217	141		41
Ana Belac	0.36%	278	126		25
Anna Nordqvist	0.95%	105	131	0.20%	61	-0.2	Unibet: 130/1, 5pl, 1/4
Arpichaya Yubol	0.63%	159	81		115
Ashleigh Buhai	0.60%	167	161		41
Austin Ernst	0.43%	233	176		90
Azahara Munoz	0.48%	208	201		12
Benedetta Moresco	0.33%	303	201		4
Briana Chacon	0.27%	370	201		115
Brittany Lincicome	0.14%	714	401		61
Brooke M. Henderson	2.06%	49	67	0.60%	90	-0.6	BetMGM: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Brooke Matthews	0.50%	200	141		130
Caley McGinty	0.18%	556	131		61
Camille Boyd	0.34%	294	226		61
Carla Tejedo Mulet	0.50%	200	101		61
Carlota Ciganda	1.47%	68	61		61
Carolina Chacarra	0.54%	185	226	0.10%	41	-0.1	Unibet: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Carolina Melgrati	0.28%	357	151		12
Cassie Porter	0.80%	125	71		2
Celine Borge	0.48%	208	201		4
Celine Herbin	0.50%	200	151		25
Chanettee Wannasaen	0.51%	196	111		90
Chella Choi	0.49%	204	101		61
Chiara Tamburlini	0.27%	370	131		90
Chisato Iwai	0.87%	115	61		25
Cocona Sakurai	0.27%	370	351		115
Daniela Darquea	0.36%	278	151		4
Dewi Weber	0.68%	147	151		12
Dongeun Lee	1.08%	93	121	0.30%	61	-0.3	Unibet: 120/1, 5pl, 1/4
Emily Kristine Pedersen	0.29%	345	151		130
Emma McMyler	0.16%	625	201		41
Erika Hara	1.36%	74	61		90
Esther Henseleit	0.72%	139	81		41
Frida Kinhult	0.64%	156	151		90
Gabriela Ruffels	0.44%	227	131		115
Gemma Dryburgh	0.78%	128	141	0.10%	90	-0.1	Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gigi Stoll	0.17%	588	251		61
Gina Kim	0.38%	263	131		144
Grace Kim	1.85%	54	67	0.40%	90	-0.4	BetMGM: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Gurleen Kaur	0.50%	200	151		130
Hailee Cooper	0.06%	1667	351		61
Hannah Green	2.18%	46	34		25
Helen Briem	1.03%	97	76		25
Hinako Shibuno	0.57%	175	126		115
Hira Naveed	0.32%	313	226		90
In Gee Chun	1.56%	64	61		12
Ingrid Lindblad	0.44%	227	151		130
Isabella Fierro	0.29%	345	111		90
Isi Gabsa	0.25%	400	171		25
Jasmine Suwannapura	0.35%	286	151		61
Jeeno Thitikul	2.23%	45	21		115
Jennifer Kupcho	1.37%	73	41		4
Jenny Bae	1.32%	76	71		25
Jenny Shin	0.80%	125	91		41
Jeongeun Lee5	0.41%	244	201		115
Jeongeun Lee6	0.19%	526	151		41
Jessica Porvasnik	0.36%	278	131		2
Jin Hee Im	1.16%	86	46		115
Jin Young Ko	0.60%	167	67		12
Jing Yan	0.92%	109	131	0.20%	4	0.6375	Unibet: 130/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jiwon Jeon	0.40%	250	151		130
Jodi Ewart Shadoff	1.09%	92	101	0.10%	41	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Julia Lopez Ramirez	1.01%	99	91		41
Juniper Jang	0.23%	435			90
Karis Davidson	0.75%	133	81		41
Katie Lu	0.11%	909	351		90
Kiara Romero	1.46%	68	61		61
Kumkang Park	0.18%	556	226		41
Laetitia Beck	0.56%	179	151		61
Laney Frye	0.49%	204	171		90
Lauren Coughlin	1.50%	67	67		90
Lauren Walsh	0.54%	185	151		90
Leah John	0.06%	1667	351		61
Leona Maguire	1.18%	85	76		61
Lexi Thompson	0.68%	147	76
Lilia Vu	0.78%	128	91		41
Lindy Duncan	1.39%	72	81	0.20%	61	-0.2	Ladbrokes: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Linnea Strom	0.40%	250	201		61
Lizette Salas	0.54%	185	201		138
Lottie Woad	1.27%	79	36		12
Madison Young	0.18%	556	201		138
Manon De Roey	0.46%	217	111		90
Mary Liu	0.52%	192	121		25
Maude-Aimee Leblanc	0.39%	256	141		12
Megan Khang	1.40%	71	76	0.10%	25	-0.1	Unibet: 75/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mi Hyang Lee	0.69%	145	101		12
Mimi Rhodes	0.54%	185	81		90
Mina Kreiter	0.35%	286	301		61
Minami Katsu	1.04%	96	51		12
Minjee Lee	2.46%	41	36		115
Minji Kang	0.45%	222	91		4
Miyu Yamashita	1.52%	66	34		61
Morgane Metraux	0.50%	200	131		25
Moriya Jutanugarn	0.34%	294	201		130
Muni He	0.28%	357	151		130
Nanna Koerstz Madsen	1.82%	55	67	0.30%	25	-0.3	Ladbrokes: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Narin An	1.23%	81	91	0.10%	138	-0.1	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nastasia Nadaud	0.57%	175	111		4
Nataliya Guseva	0.37%	270	131		115
Natasha Andrea Oon	0.72%	139	131		61
Nicole Broch Estrup	1.27%	79	131	0.50%	130	-0.5	Unibet: 130/1, 5pl, 1/4
Olivia Cowan	0.45%	222	131		61
Pajaree Anannarukarn	1.27%	79	81		25
Paula Reto	0.22%	455	201		41
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard	0.26%	385	201		61
Perrine Delacour	0.72%	139	101		90
Polly Mack	0.32%	313	131		115
Pornanong Phatlum	0.49%	204	131		61
Riley Smyth	0.15%	667	351		25
Rio Takeda	1.13%	88	46		41
Robyn Choi	0.57%	175	101		41
Ruixin Liu	0.29%	345	176		61
Ryann O'Toole	1.11%	90	81		90
Saki Baba	0.27%	370	151		138
Savannah Grewal	0.12%	833	201		61
Sofia Garcia	0.41%	244	201		25
Somi Lee	1.33%	75	41		61
Soo Bin Joo	0.95%	105	101		41
Sophia Schubert	0.59%	169	171		25
Ssu-Chia Cheng	0.29%	345	201		142
Stephanie Kyriacou	0.39%	256	151		61
Suvichaya Vinijchaitham	0.35%	286	141		41
Taylor Kehoe	0.08%	1250	226		142
Wei-Ling Hsu	0.44%	227	126		12
Weiwei Zhang	0.78%	128	151	0.10%	115	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Xiaowen Yin	0.27%	370	151		115
Yahui Zhang	0.23%	435	201		61
Yan Liu	1.44%	69	91	0.30%	1	16.875	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yana Wilson	0.67%	149	81		12
Yani Tseng	0.46%	217	201		115
Youmin Hwang	1.04%	96	71		4
Yu Liu	0.52%	192	101		41
Yuka Saso	0.14%	714	151		90
Yuna Nishimura	0.77%	130	161	0.10%	90	-0.1	Unibet: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yunxuan Zhang	0.17%	588	176		115
Yuri Yoshida	1.11%	90	91		12

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Kiara Romero	3.38%	30	51	1.40%	94	-2	Ladbrokes: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Nicole Broch Estrup	1.07%	93	276	0.70%	94	-2	Bet365: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Yan Liu	1.26%	79	151	0.60%	3	36.5	Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Brooke M. Henderson	2.06%	49	67	0.60%	90	-1	BetMGM: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL: Nicole Broch Estrup	1.27%	79	131	0.50%	130	-1	Unibet: 130/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Grace Kim	1.85%	54	67	0.40%	90	-1	BetMGM: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
FRL: Nanna Koerstz Madsen	1.82%	55	67	0.30%	25	-1	Ladbrokes: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Yan Liu	1.44%	69	91	0.30%	1	56.25	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Dongeun Lee	1.08%	93	121	0.30%	61	-1	Unibet: 120/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.