Simulation Results: Maybank Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
A Lim Kim 4.27% 23 41 1.90% 4 2.28 Skybet: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Achiraya Sriwong 0.00% 10000 551 71
Aditi Ashok 0.02% 5000 301 27
Akie Iwai 1.14% 88 21 4
Albane Valenzuela 0.01% 10000 401 49
Andrea Lee 3.16% 32 26 45
Angel Yin 0.03% 3333 101 27
Arpichaya Yubol 0.07% 1429 151 37
Ashleigh Buhai 0.08% 1250 276 16
Ashley Lau 0.00% 10000 476 70
Auston Kim 0.38% 263 141 33
Ayaka Furue 1.14% 88 51 9
Benedetta Moresco 0.00% 10000 551 16
Brooke M. Henderson 2.90% 34 26 27
Carlota Ciganda 0.67% 149 96 16
Cassie Porter 0.08% 1250 276 49
Celine Borge 0.01% 10000 551 42
Celine Boutier 4.94% 20 23 0.60% 16 -0.6 Skybet: 22/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chanettee Wannasaen 0.18% 556 151 48
Chisato Iwai 2.27% 44 26 16
Cholcheva Wongras 0.09% 1111 176 64
Elizabeth Szokol 0.04% 2500 326 49
Emily Kristine Pedersen 0.10% 1000 226 37
Gaby Lopez 0.75% 133 86 23
Gemma Dryburgh 0.23% 435 226 13
Genevieve Ling 0.00% 10000 1001 56
Grace Kim 0.22% 455 101 16
Gurleen Kaur 0.02% 5000 276 67
Haeji Kang 0.00% 10000 1001 64
Haeran Ryu 1.27% 79 41 13
Hannah Green 0.86% 116 51 2
Hye-Jin Choi 4.65% 22 19 2
Ilhee Lee 0.00% 10000 1501 49
Ina Yoon 0.39% 256 81 11
Ingrid Lindblad 0.02% 5000 226 23
Jeeno Thitikul 23.97% 4.2 5.5 7.10% 4 -4.0825 Bet365: 4.5/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jenny Bae 0.11% 909 161 56
Jin Hee Im 1.07% 93 51 23
Julia Lopez Ramirez 0.05% 2000 176 75
Kan Bunnabodee 0.00% 10000 601 72
Karis Davidson 0.02% 5000 601 16
Kelly Tan 0.00% 10000 1001 56
Kristen Gillman 0.10% 1000 276 49
Kritchanya Kaopattanaskul 0.00% 10000 1501 77
Leona Maguire 0.06% 1667 276 60
Lilia Vu 0.02% 5000 226 72
Lindy Duncan 1.24% 81 76 33
Linn Grant 0.89% 112 51 27
Liyana Azizan Durisic 0.00% 10000 1001 72
Lottie Woad 8.09% 12 15 1.50% 37 -1.5 William Hill: 14/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lucy Li 0.21% 476 251 76
Lydia Ko 2.38% 42 29 9
Manon De Roey 0.36% 278 141 60
Mary Liu 0.03% 3333 401 49
Mi Hyang Lee 0.55% 182 151 42
Minami Katsu 1.92% 52 34 60
Mirabel Ting 0.00% 10000 76 49
Miranda Wang 0.11% 909 111 13
Miyu Yamashita 4.84% 21 21 0.10% 1 1.25 Skybet: 20/1, 5pl, 1/4
Namo Luangnitikul 0.00% 10000 1501 67
Nanna Koerstz Madsen 1.35% 74 56 45
Nasa Hataoka 5.71% 18 17 33
Nataliya Guseva 0.25% 400 126 56
Pajaree Anannarukarn 0.18% 556 131 27
Patty Tavatanakit 0.15% 667 121 33
Paula Reto 0.01% 10000 551 27
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard 0.01% 10000 276 60
Rio Takeda 2.04% 49 26 41
Robyn Choi 0.34% 294 121 67
Ruoning Yin 2.51% 40 34 12
Saki Baba 0.09% 1111 301 64
Sei Young Kim 6.33% 16 14 4
Somi Lee 3.24% 31 23 78
Wei-Ling Hsu 0.04% 2500 176 23
Weiwei Zhang 0.04% 2500 401 37
Yan Liu 0.12% 833 251 4
Yealimi Noh 1.50% 67 56 45
Yuri Yoshida 0.08% 1250 276 42

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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