Simulation Results: LA Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adela Cernousek 0.01% 10000 1001 136
Aditi Ashok 0.20% 500 501 37
Akie Iwai 1.64% 61 41 2
Albane Valenzuela 0.55% 182 251 0.20% 126 -0.2 QuinnBet: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Alena Sharp 0.24% 417 601 0.10% 133 -0.1 Skybet: 600/1, 6pl, 1/5
Alexa Pano 0.13% 769 601 32
Allisen Corpuz 2.49% 40 36 57
Amanda Doherty 0.18% 556 501 74
Ana Belac 0.09% 1111 1001 135
Andrea Lee 0.45% 222 201 47
Angel Yin 2.75% 36 23 37
Anna Nordqvist 0.15% 667 501 110
Arpichaya Yubol 0.26% 385 301 100
Ashleigh Buhai 1.13% 88 67 37
Asterisk Talley 0.31% 323 176 74
Auston Kim 0.55% 182 151 85
Ayaka Furue 3.84% 26 19 20
Azahara Munoz 0.09% 1111 1001 85
Benedetta Moresco 0.07% 1429 1001 11
Bianca Pagdanganan 0.06% 1667 351 126
Brittany Altomare 0.02% 5000 2001 118
Brooke M. Henderson 1.57% 64 51 74
Brooke Matthews 0.08% 1250 501 47
Caley McGinty 0.01% 10000 2001 143
Caroline Canales 0.00% 10000 2001 100
Caroline Inglis 0.06% 1667 1501 37
Caroline Masson 0.15% 667 401 144
Cassie Porter 0.27% 370 176 74
Celine Borge 0.12% 833 1001 70
Celine Boutier 1.79% 56 41 52
Chanettee Wannasaen 0.32% 313 251 20
Cheyenne Knight 0.15% 667 501 126
Chisato Iwai 2.00% 50 41 11
Dani Holmqvist 0.04% 2500 2001 69
Daniela Iacobelli 0.01% 10000 1501 133
Danielle Kang 0.01% 10000 1501 136
Dewi Weber 0.20% 500 601 100
Elizabeth Szokol 0.44% 227 501 0.20% 126 -0.2 QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Emily Kristine Pedersen 0.15% 667 301 28
Esther Henseleit 0.60% 167 151 3
Eun-Hee Ji 0.03% 3333 1501 118
Fatima Fernandez Cano 0.05% 2000 501 74
Fiona Xu 0.03% 3333 1001 141
Frida Kinhult 0.11% 909 501 28
Gabriela Ruffels 0.35% 286 251 136
Gaby Lopez 2.09% 48 41 85
Gemma Dryburgh 0.24% 417 401 16
Georgia Hall 0.58% 172 151 118
Gigi Stoll 0.09% 1111 501 74
Grace Kim 0.37% 270 251 110
Gurleen Kaur 0.08% 1250 601 85
Haeji Kang 0.02% 5000 1501 85
Haeran Ryu 4.26% 23 19 74
Hannah Green 2.11% 47 31 9
Heather Lin 0.00% 10000 1001 100
Hinako Shibuno 0.13% 769 401 74
Hira Naveed 0.08% 1250 401 52
Hye-Jin Choi 2.19% 46 51 0.20% 85 -0.2 QuinnBet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hyo Joo Kim 3.09% 32 31 85
Hyo Joon Jang 0.11% 909 751 118
In Gee Chun 0.16% 625 501 52
Ina Yoon 1.65% 61 51 16
Ingrid Lindblad 0.70% 143 126 1
Jasmine Suwannapura 0.19% 526 501 136
Jeeno Thitikul 8.55% 12 8 9
Jennifer Kupcho 1.59% 63 81 0.40% 141 -0.4 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jenny Bae 0.01% 10000 1001 11
Jenny Coleman 0.07% 1429 751 136
Jenny Shin 0.57% 175 251 0.20% 63 -0.2 Skybet: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jeongeun Lee5 0.23% 435 501 20
Jeongeun Lee6 0.05% 2000 601 47
Jessica Porvasnik 0.01% 10000 1501 118
Jin Hee Im 1.89% 53 46 11
Jin Young Ko 1.26% 79 34 7
Jiwon Jeon 0.11% 909 1001 100
Jodi Ewart Shadoff 0.08% 1250 751 74
Julia Lopez Ramirez 0.04% 2500 351 85
Karis Davidson 0.09% 1111 1501 126
Kate Smith-Stroh 0.05% 2000 1001 71
Kate Villegas 0.00% 10000 501 85
Kristen Gillman 0.41% 244 301 0.10% 37 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kumkang Park 0.03% 3333 1501 118
Lauren Coughlin 1.57% 64 41 3
Lauren Hartlage 0.04% 2500 1001 110
Lauren Morris 0.02% 5000 1001 63
Leona Maguire 0.46% 217 126 37
Lexi Thompson 1.09% 92 81 85
Lilia Vu 1.89% 53 51 110
Lindy Duncan 1.22% 82 126 0.40% 85 -0.4 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Linn Grant 1.39% 72 67 74
Linnea Strom 0.04% 2500 751 74
Lucy Li 0.34% 294 201 57
Madelene Sagstrom 0.39% 256 101 37
Madison Young 0.06% 1667 751 85
Manon De Roey 0.38% 263 151 100
Mao Saigo 1.07% 93 51 68
Mariel Galdiano 0.01% 10000 1501 57
Mary Liu 0.11% 909 1001 20
Maude-Aimee Leblanc 0.02% 5000 2501 118
Mi Hyang Lee 0.85% 118 111 57
Minami Katsu 0.51% 196 101 57
Minjee Lee 2.83% 35 26 7
Miranda Wang 0.33% 303 251 32
Miyu Yamashita 1.81% 55 36 3
Morgane Metraux 0.10% 1000 751 126
Nanna Koerstz Madsen 2.18% 46 51 0.20% 47 -0.2 Ladbrokes: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Narin An 0.55% 182 151 52
Nasa Hataoka 2.50% 40 29 6
Nataliya Guseva 0.49% 204 91 20
Nelly Korda 5.38% 19 12 16
Olivia Cowan 0.17% 588 301 85
Pajaree Anannarukarn 0.83% 120 151 0.20% 20 -0.2 Ladbrokes: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Paula Reto 0.24% 417 401 63
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard 0.24% 417 201 100
Peiyun Chien 0.26% 385 501 0.10% 47 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Perrine Delacour 0.58% 172 501 0.40% 37 -0.4 Ladbrokes: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Polly Mack 0.06% 1667 1001 72
Pornanong Phatlum 0.04% 2500 1001 20
Rio Takeda 2.11% 47 34 11
Ruixin Liu 0.19% 526 251 32
Ryann O'Toole 0.20% 500 501 100
Saki Baba 0.49% 204 201 110
Sarah Kemp 0.26% 385 601 0.10% 118 -0.1 Skybet: 600/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sarah Schmelzel 1.15% 87 81 28
Savannah Grewal 0.14% 714 501 72
Sei Young Kim 1.22% 82 51 52
Sofia Garcia 0.06% 1667 751 110
Somi Lee 0.93% 108 126 0.10% 20 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Soo Bin Joo 0.07% 1429 1501 63
Sophia Popov 0.02% 5000 1001 100
Ssu-Chia Cheng 0.03% 3333 1501 126
Stacy Lewis 0.14% 714 1501 0.10% 63 -0.1 Bet365: 1500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stephanie Kyriacou 0.61% 164 201 0.10% 16 -0.1 QuinnBet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sung Hyun Park 0.03% 3333 1001 85
Wei-Ling Hsu 0.16% 625 601 37
Weiwei Zhang 0.39% 256 401 0.10% 85 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Wichanee Meechai 0.14% 714 601 110
Xiaowen Yin 0.08% 1250 1001 100
Yahui Zhang 0.53% 189 251 0.10% 28 -0.1 QuinnBet: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yan Liu 0.11% 909 751 32
Yealimi Noh 2.63% 38 23 57
Yu Liu 0.24% 417 401 32
Yuna Nishimura 0.11% 909 601 110
Yuri Yoshida 1.04% 96 81 37

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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