Simulation Results: LA Championship

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aditi Ashok	0.67%	149	151		51
Akie Iwai	3.32%	30	17		13
Albane Valenzuela	0.23%	435	276		80
Alexa Pano	0.28%	357	501	0.10%	28	-0.1	Unibet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Aline Krauter	0.02%	5000	501		66
Alison Lee	0.19%	526	201		13
Allisen Corpuz	1.71%	58	61	0.10%	13	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Yang	0.38%	263	201		66
Ana Belac	0.08%	1250	401		132
Andrea Lee	2.18%	46	34		66
Anna Nordqvist	0.32%	313	251		18
Anne Chen	0.01%	10000	501		107
Aphrodite Deng	0.84%	119	201	0.30%	38	-0.3	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Arpichaya Yubol	0.17%	588	276		66
Asterisk Talley	0.62%	161	81		13
Ayaka Furue	2.56%	39	31		51
Azahara Munoz	0.08%	1250	301		51
Bailey Tardy	0.12%	833	601		101
Benedetta Moresco	0.09%	1111	501		107
Bianca Pagdanganan	0.06%	1667	351		66
Briana Chacon	0.04%	2500	501		138
Brianna Do	0.07%	1429	751		125
Brooke M. Henderson	1.96%	51	34		66
Caley McGinty	0.14%	714	131		135
Camille Boyd	0.03%	3333	751		38
Carla Tejedo Mulet	0.59%	169	161		107
Carolina Lopez-Chacarra	0.13%	769	401		80
Carolina Melgrati	0.02%	5000	1001		80
Caroline Canales	0.00%	10000			113
Cassie Porter	1.14%	88	67		80
Celine Borge	0.10%	1000	501		80
Celine Boutier	1.14%	88	101	0.20%	18	-0.2	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chanettee Wannasaen	0.45%	222	201		118
Chella Choi	0.13%	769	401		46
Chiara Tamburlini	0.45%	222	101		80
Chisato Iwai	3.56%	28	23		7
Cocona Sakurai	0.06%	1667	751		113
Dewi Weber	0.39%	256	226		28
Dongeun Lee	0.63%	159	101		51
Emma McMyler	0.01%	10000	501		140
Erika Hara	0.94%	106	61		80
Esther Henseleit	1.36%	74	56		66
Frida Kinhult	0.31%	323	201		43
Gabriela Ruffels	0.47%	213	161		113
Gemma Dryburgh	0.42%	238	251		101
Gigi Stoll	0.01%	10000			80
Gina Kim	0.08%	1250	276		80
Grace Kim	0.89%	112	91		28
Gurleen Kaur	0.07%	1429	751		38
Haeji Kang	0.01%	10000	1001		138
Haeran Ryu	2.69%	37	26		5
Hailee Cooper	0.03%	3333	1001		125
Hannah Green	2.72%	37	21		1
Helen Briem	0.24%	417	151		80
Hinako Shibuno	0.11%	909	1001		101
Hira Naveed	0.00%	10000	1001		46
Hye-Jin Choi	3.31%	30	23		142
Hyo Joo Kim	6.73%	15	11		142
Ilhee Lee	0.05%	2000	501		61
In Gee Chun	1.54%	65	71	0.10%	66	-0.1	Betfred: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ina Yoon	2.37%	42	41		4
Ingrid Lindblad	0.02%	5000	751		36
Isabella Fierro	0.13%	769	201		51
Isi Gabsa	0.08%	1250	751		135
Jasmine Suwannapura	0.14%	714	351		46
Jennifer Kupcho	0.77%	130	141	0.10%	13	-0.1	Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jenny Bae	0.62%	161	161		11
Jenny Shin	1.18%	85	131	0.40%	107	-0.4	Unibet: 130/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jeongeun Lee5	0.40%	250	201		66
Jeongeun Lee6	0.22%	455	226		101
Jessica Porvasnik	0.21%	476	276		18
Jin Hee Im	1.56%	64	67	0.10%	1	1.925	Ladbrokes: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jin Young Ko	1.06%	94	61		65
Jing Yan	0.56%	179	151		9
Jiwon Jeon	0.34%	294	276		80
Jodi Ewart Shadoff	0.43%	233	226		28
Julia Lopez Ramirez	0.50%	200	131		118
Juniper Jang	0.00%	10000			118
Karis Davidson	0.83%	120	111		58
Kate Smith-Stroh	0.06%	1667	451		80
Kumkang Park	0.09%	1111	751		28
Laetitia Beck	0.03%	3333	751		107
Lauren Coughlin	1.95%	51	36		28
Lauren Walsh	0.05%	2000	601		125
Leah John	0.01%	10000	1001		141
Leona Maguire	0.70%	143	81		80
Lilia Vu	0.12%	833	251		43
Linnea Strom	0.12%	833	401		132
Lizette Salas	0.01%	10000	1001		118
Lottie Woad	3.05%	33	29		36
Lucy Li	0.80%	125	161	0.20%	18	-0.2	QuinnBet: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maja Stark	0.45%	222	201		63
Manon De Roey	0.43%	233	276	0.10%	18	-0.1	Bet365: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mary Liu	0.20%	500	351		38
Maude-Aimee Leblanc	0.18%	556	1001	0.10%	118	-0.1	Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Megan Khang	0.66%	152	161		28
Melanie Green	0.26%	385	161		9
Mi Hyang Lee	0.84%	119	101		24
Michelle Zhang	0.02%	5000	751		118
Mimi Rhodes	0.66%	152	51		66
Minami Katsu	1.00%	100	67		7
Minjee Lee	2.79%	36	17		142
Minji Kang	0.21%	476	201		125
Miranda Wang	0.06%	1667	251		125
Miyu Yamashita	4.86%	21	13		46
Nanna Koerstz Madsen	1.61%	62	67	0.10%	66	-0.1	Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Narin An	0.77%	130	276	0.40%	24	-0.4	QuinnBet: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nastasia Nadaud	0.48%	208	161		101
Nataliya Guseva	0.25%	400	401		24
Natasha Andrea Oon	0.18%	556	201		80
Patty Tavatanakit	0.61%	164	101		5
Paula Reto	0.06%	1667	751		58
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard	0.20%	500	301		80
Peiyun Chien	0.43%	233	226		46
Perrine Delacour	0.43%	233	176		107
Polly Mack	0.06%	1667	751		63
Pornanong Phatlum	0.39%	256	251		38
Riley Smyth	0.02%	5000	1001		113
Robyn Choi	0.33%	303	276		24
Rose Zhang	1.66%	60	31		118
Ruixin Liu	0.42%	238	126		80
Ruoning Yin	3.21%	31	29		80
Ryann O'Toole	0.44%	227	131		51
Saki Baba	0.11%	909	351		51
Sei Young Kim	2.79%	36	21		1
Somi Lee	2.08%	48	51	0.10%	66	-0.1	Unibet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Soo Bin Joo	0.20%	500	276		58
Sophia Schubert	0.42%	238	201		80
Ssu-Chia Cheng	0.01%	10000	751		135
Stephanie Kyriacou	0.04%	2500	301		134
Stephanie Meadow	0.01%	10000	1001		101
Suvichaya Vinijchaitham	0.05%	2000	1251		11
Wei-Ling Hsu	0.19%	526	401		28
Yahui Zhang	0.03%	3333	501		125
Yan Liu	0.74%	135	161	0.10%	43	-0.1	Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yana Wilson	0.41%	244	126		113
Yani Tseng	0.20%	500	401		66
Yealimi Noh	0.27%	370	251		80
Youmin Hwang	1.76%	57	41		62
Yu Liu	0.42%	238	151		18
Yuka Saso	0.04%	2500	1251		125
Yuna Nishimura	0.39%	256	276		80
Yuri Yoshida	0.33%	303	276		66
Yu-Sang Hou	0.03%	3333	501		80

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aditi Ashok	1.11%	90	121	0.30%	59	-0.3	Unibet: 120/1, 5pl, 1/4
Akie Iwai	2.41%	41	31		59
Albane Valenzuela	0.32%	313	151		88
Alexa Pano	0.70%	143	251	0.30%	40	-0.3	Ladbrokes: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Aline Krauter	0.27%	370	201		88
Alison Lee	0.65%	154	121		40
Allisen Corpuz	1.77%	56	67	0.30%	14	-0.3	Ladbrokes: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Yang	0.82%	122	121		40
Ana Belac	0.21%	476	181		141
Andrea Lee	1.05%	95	46		40
Anna Nordqvist	0.37%	270	151		59
Anne Chen	0.22%	455	201		14
Aphrodite Deng	0.59%	169	126		26
Arpichaya Yubol	0.29%	345	151		59
Asterisk Talley	1.05%	95	81		59
Ayaka Furue	2.16%	46	41		40
Azahara Munoz	0.42%	238	176		88
Bailey Tardy	0.50%	200	276	0.10%	76	-0.1	Unibet: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Benedetta Moresco	0.19%	526	251		88
Bianca Pagdanganan	0.43%	233	176		26
Briana Chacon	0.29%	345	251		141
Brianna Do	0.41%	244	276		107
Brooke M. Henderson	1.94%	52	46		76
Caley McGinty	0.53%	189	101		88
Camille Boyd	0.31%	323	301		14
Carla Tejedo Mulet	1.14%	88	121	0.30%	107	-0.3	Unibet: 120/1, 5pl, 1/4
Carolina Lopez-Chacarra	0.25%	400	181		59
Carolina Melgrati	0.25%	400	351		128
Caroline Canales	0.08%	1250	201		76
Cassie Porter	1.41%	71	71		76
Celine Borge	0.23%	435	201		88
Celine Boutier	0.75%	133	81		14
Chanettee Wannasaen	0.49%	204	121		107
Chella Choi	0.58%	172	201	0.10%	5	0.18333333333333	Ladbrokes: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chiara Tamburlini	0.90%	111	91		88
Chisato Iwai	2.54%	39	41	0.10%	1	2.5	Unibet: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cocona Sakurai	0.39%	256	301	0.10%	88	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dewi Weber	0.87%	115	131	0.10%	88	-0.1	Unibet: 130/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dongeun Lee	0.53%	189	81		128
Emma McMyler	0.10%	1000	251		137
Erika Hara	1.32%	76	71		128
Esther Henseleit	0.83%	120	67		107
Frida Kinhult	0.36%	278	126		40
Gabriela Ruffels	0.44%	227	121		128
Gemma Dryburgh	0.42%	238	151		76
Gigi Stoll	0.23%	435	201		88
Gina Kim	0.18%	556	151		59
Grace Kim	0.67%	149	81		59
Gurleen Kaur	0.47%	213	301	0.10%	26	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Haeji Kang	0.08%	1250	401		140
Haeran Ryu	1.21%	83	41		59
Hailee Cooper	0.14%	714	351		137
Hannah Green	2.20%	45	36		14
Helen Briem	0.33%	303	101		107
Hinako Shibuno	0.22%	455	351		107
Hira Naveed	0.13%	769	351		59
Hye-Jin Choi	1.25%	80	41		107
Hyo Joo Kim	3.52%	28	26		26
Ilhee Lee	0.36%	278	251		59
In Gee Chun	1.70%	59	71	0.30%	76	-0.3	Unibet: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ina Yoon	1.05%	95	51		26
Ingrid Lindblad	0.11%	909	176		40
Isabella Fierro	0.27%	370	126		40
Isi Gabsa	0.18%	556	301		141
Jasmine Suwannapura	0.24%	417	176		5
Jennifer Kupcho	0.56%	179	121		40
Jenny Bae	0.56%	179	121		26
Jenny Shin	0.69%	145	101		107
Jeongeun Lee5	0.86%	116	126	0.10%	59	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jeongeun Lee6	0.63%	159	151		107
Jessica Porvasnik	0.60%	167	126		5
Jin Hee Im	1.61%	62	67	0.10%	14	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jin Young Ko	0.67%	149	67		76
Jing Yan	1.01%	99	121	0.20%	59	-0.2	Unibet: 120/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jiwon Jeon	0.38%	263	151		107
Jodi Ewart Shadoff	0.45%	222	131		26
Julia Lopez Ramirez	0.94%	106	91		26
Juniper Jang	0.03%	3333			76
Karis Davidson	1.27%	79	91	0.20%	26	-0.2	Unibet: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kate Smith-Stroh	0.39%	256	201		107
Kumkang Park	0.22%	455	276		5
Laetitia Beck	0.11%	909	276		88
Lauren Coughlin	0.98%	102	51		5
Lauren Walsh	0.33%	303	251		128
Leah John	0.04%	2500	351		144
Leona Maguire	0.58%	172	71		128
Lilia Vu	0.46%	217	151		26
Linnea Strom	0.24%	417	201		107
Lizette Salas	0.19%	526	401		88
Lottie Woad	2.37%	42	41		59
Lucy Li	0.61%	164	121		107
Maja Stark	0.95%	105	126	0.20%	14	-0.2	Ladbrokes: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Manon De Roey	0.88%	114	161	0.30%	5	0.38333333333333	Unibet: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mary Liu	0.27%	370	176		59
Maude-Aimee Leblanc	0.65%	154	351	0.40%	107	-0.4	Unibet: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Megan Khang	1.14%	88	121	0.30%	88	-0.3	Unibet: 120/1, 5pl, 1/4
Melanie Green	0.33%	303	111		14
Mi Hyang Lee	1.21%	83	91	0.10%	26	-0.1	BetMGM: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
Michelle Zhang	0.21%	476	301		88
Mimi Rhodes	0.50%	200	56		128
Minami Katsu	1.36%	74	67		14
Minjee Lee	1.11%	90	31		40
Minji Kang	0.31%	323	126		107
Miranda Wang	0.19%	526	151		107
Miyu Yamashita	2.95%	34	26		14
Nanna Koerstz Madsen	0.89%	112	61		40
Narin An	1.14%	88	151	0.50%	40	-0.5	Ladbrokes: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nastasia Nadaud	0.94%	106	121	0.10%	88	-0.1	Unibet: 120/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nataliya Guseva	0.32%	313	201		5
Natasha Andrea Oon	0.30%	333	126		5
Patty Tavatanakit	1.03%	97	91		2
Paula Reto	0.18%	556	301		26
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard	0.34%	294	161		14
Peiyun Chien	0.47%	213	131		40
Perrine Delacour	0.89%	112	121	0.10%	107	-0.1	Unibet: 120/1, 5pl, 1/4
Polly Mack	0.32%	313	301		5
Pornanong Phatlum	0.90%	111	151	0.20%	59	-0.2	Ladbrokes: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Riley Smyth	0.21%	476	351		107
Robyn Choi	0.37%	270	151		26
Rose Zhang	1.69%	59	41		76
Ruixin Liu	0.46%	217	101		40
Ruoning Yin	1.29%	78	41		40
Ryann O'Toole	0.45%	222	91		107
Saki Baba	0.50%	200	176		14
Sei Young Kim	1.20%	83	36		2
Somi Lee	1.01%	99	56		107
Soo Bin Joo	0.64%	156	151		40
Sophia Schubert	0.39%	256	126		88
Ssu-Chia Cheng	0.10%	1000	301		128
Stephanie Kyriacou	0.15%	667	176		88
Stephanie Meadow	0.10%	1000	401		76
Suvichaya Vinijchaitham	0.19%	526	401		2
Wei-Ling Hsu	0.28%	357	201		88
Yahui Zhang	0.14%	714	251		137
Yan Liu	0.57%	175	121		40
Yana Wilson	0.88%	114	91		88
Yani Tseng	0.72%	139	201	0.20%	107	-0.2	Ladbrokes: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yealimi Noh	0.73%	137	126		128
Youmin Hwang	1.78%	56	51		59
Yu Liu	0.43%	233	121		26
Yuka Saso	0.14%	714	351		40
Yuna Nishimura	0.93%	108	151	0.30%	76	-0.3	Ladbrokes: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuri Yoshida	0.41%	244	151		40
Yu-Sang Hou	0.32%	313	251		76

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Jenny Shin	1.18%	85	131	0.40%	107	-2	Unibet: 130/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Narin An	0.77%	130	276	0.40%	24	-2	QuinnBet: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Aphrodite Deng	0.84%	119	201	0.30%	38	-2	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Narin An	1.14%	88	151	0.50%	40	-1	Ladbrokes: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Maude-Aimee Leblanc	0.65%	154	351	0.40%	107	-1	Unibet: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Allisen Corpuz	1.77%	56	67	0.30%	14	-1	Ladbrokes: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: In Gee Chun	1.70%	59	71	0.30%	76	-1	Unibet: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Aditi Ashok	1.11%	90	121	0.30%	59	-1	Unibet: 120/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Carla Tejedo Mulet	1.14%	88	121	0.30%	107	-1	Unibet: 120/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.