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Simulation Results: The ANNIKA

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
A Lim Kim 3.70% 27 23 48
Aditi Ashok 0.43% 233 326 0.10% 77 -0.1 Spreadex: 325/1, 6pl, 1/5
Akie Iwai 2.26% 44 29 70
Albane Valenzuela 0.22% 455 551 65
Alexa Pano 0.01% 10000 751 36
Aline Krauter 0.13% 769 601 70
Allisen Corpuz 1.09% 92 111 0.20% 33 -0.2 Spreadex: 110/1, 6pl, 1/5
Amy Yang 0.43% 233 301 0.10% 38 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Anna Nordqvist 0.18% 556 601 56
Anne-Sterre Den Dunnen 0.00% 10000 1501 56
Arpichaya Yubol 0.35% 286 201 70
Ashleigh Buhai 0.55% 182 251 0.20% 67 -0.2 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Auston Kim 0.89% 112 91 4
Ayaka Furue 2.49% 40 41 0.10% 70 -0.1 Spreadex: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Azahara Munoz 0.19% 526 326 77
Bailey Tardy 0.04% 2500 751 48
Benedetta Moresco 0.12% 833 476 107
Bianca Pagdanganan 0.11% 909 251 38
Brianna Do 0.07% 1429 2001 26
Brooke M. Henderson 3.18% 31 29 26
Brooke Matthews 0.59% 169 111 9
Caley McGinty 0.05% 2000 1001 38
Carlota Ciganda 1.63% 61 67 0.10% 38 -0.1 BetMGM: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Caroline Inglis 0.03% 3333 2001 69
Caroline Masson 0.18% 556 601 86
Cassie Porter 0.32% 313 301 56
Celine Borge 0.14% 714 751 56
Celine Boutier 3.31% 30 34 0.40% 15 -0.4 Spreadex: 33/1, 6pl, 1/5
Charley Hull 3.88% 26 15 4
Chisato Iwai 2.61% 38 29 52
Dewi Weber 0.36% 278 301 77
Elizabeth Szokol 0.21% 476 501 70
Emily Kristine Pedersen 0.64% 156 251 0.20% 95 -0.2 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Esther Henseleit 1.26% 79 101 0.30% 15 -0.3 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gabriela Ruffels 0.38% 263 201 29
Gaby Lopez 1.62% 62 67 0.10% 3 0.775 BetMGM: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gemma Dryburgh 0.89% 112 126 0.10% 77 -0.1 Skybet: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gigi Stoll 0.02% 5000 2001 95
Grace Kim 0.87% 115 91 9
Gurleen Kaur 0.12% 833 476 21
Haeran Ryu 2.46% 41 36 7
Hannah Green 2.26% 44 34 15
Hinako Shibuno 0.13% 769 751 95
Hira Naveed 0.06% 1667 751 95
Hye-Jin Choi 4.04% 25 17 29
In Gee Chun 0.73% 137 176 0.20% 26 -0.2 Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ina Yoon 1.24% 81 51 21
Ingrid Lindblad 0.24% 417 151 86
Jasmine Suwannapura 0.16% 625 326 38
Jennifer Kupcho 1.39% 72 56 2
Jenny Bae 0.41% 244 201 48
Jenny Shin 0.86% 116 161 0.20% 52 -0.2 Spreadex: 160/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jeongeun Lee5 0.33% 303 326 86
Jeongeun Lee6 0.04% 2500 751 92
Jessica Porvasnik 0.20% 500 551 77
Jin Hee Im 2.09% 48 46 77
Jiwon Jeon 0.09% 1111 2001 86
Julia Lopez Ramirez 0.16% 625 251 29
Kai Trump 0.00% 10000 5001 108
Karis Davidson 0.25% 400 476 13
Kate Smith-Stroh 0.11% 909 1251 65
Kristen Gillman 0.28% 357 401 33
Kumkang Park 0.17% 588 326 102
Lauren Coughlin 1.03% 97 56 21
Lauren Hartlage 0.06% 1667 751 52
Lauryn Nguyen 0.00% 10000 1001 95
Leona Maguire 0.32% 313 326 52
Lexi Thompson 0.88% 114 67 92
Lilia Vu 0.14% 714 276 104
Lindy Duncan 1.39% 72 81 0.20% 13 -0.2 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Linn Grant 1.99% 50 51 1
Linnea Strom 0.08% 1250 501 56
Lottie Woad 3.58% 28 19 77
Lucy Li 0.33% 303 376 0.10% 4 3.0583333333333 Skybet: 375/1, 5pl, 1/4
Madelene Sagstrom 0.40% 250 201 38
Maja Stark 0.72% 139 101 92
Manon De Roey 0.59% 169 131 36
Mao Saigo 1.06% 94 41 11
Megan Khang 2.48% 40 34 70
Mi Hyang Lee 1.01% 99 201 0.50% 62 -0.5 Ladbrokes: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Minami Katsu 1.78% 56 46 62
Miyu Yamashita 4.86% 21 11 68
Morgane Metraux 0.11% 909 2001 0.10% 86 -0.1 Skybet: 2000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nanna Koerstz Madsen 1.72% 58 56 15
Nataliya Guseva 0.48% 208 111 7
Nelly Korda 7.00% 14 8 15
Olivia Cowan 0.20% 500 401 48
Pajaree Anannarukarn 0.67% 149 161 56
Patty Tavatanakit 0.91% 110 126 0.10% 33 -0.1 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Paula Reto 0.20% 500 401 38
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard 0.14% 714 476 11
Peiyun Chien 0.48% 208 161 86
Perrine Delacour 0.48% 208 301 0.10% 104 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Pornanong Phatlum 0.50% 200 251 0.10% 77 -0.1 Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Rio Takeda 2.46% 41 34 15
Robyn Choi 0.40% 250 226 38
Rose Zhang 0.70% 143 67 21
Saki Baba 0.41% 244 226 95
Sarah Schmelzel 1.00% 100 161 0.40% 62 -0.4 Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Somi Lee 3.32% 30 26 29
Soo Bin Joo 0.14% 714 751 106
Stephanie Kyriacou 1.32% 76 61 38
Sung Hyun Park 0.06% 1667 476 102
Wei-Ling Hsu 0.59% 169 251 0.20% 70 -0.2 Skybet: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Xiaowen Yin 0.28% 357 301 95
Yuka Saso 0.01% 10000 1001 77
Yuna Nishimura 0.18% 556 501 21
Yuri Yoshida 0.39% 256 301 0.10% 38 -0.1 Skybet: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

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