Simulation Results: LIV Golf Singapore

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abraham Ancer	4.03%	25	26	0.20%	10	-0.2	Bet365: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Adrian Meronk	1.92%	52	51		32
Andy Ogletree	0.17%	588	301		38
Anirban Lahiri	3.07%	33	51	1.10%	25	-1.1	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anthony Kim	0.01%	10000	2001		47
Ben Campbell	0.24%	417	81		3
Branden Grace	0.53%	189	126		41
Brendan Steele	0.72%	139	151	0.10%	32	-0.1	Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brooks Koepka	4.23%	24	17		2
Bryson DeChambeau	9.48%	11	13	1.90%	10	-1.9	BetVictor: 12/1, 5pl, 1/4
Bubba Watson	0.64%	156	176	0.10%	38	-0.1	Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Caleb Surratt	0.30%	333	81		19
Cameron Smith	1.71%	58	21		19
Cameron Tringale	3.07%	33	51	1.10%	5	0.385	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Carlos Ortiz	2.08%	48	46		37
Charl Schwartzel	0.53%	189	81		14
Charles Howell	0.63%	159	176	0.10%	41	-0.1	Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chieh-Po Lee	0.12%	833	151		25
Danny Lee	0.04%	2500	351		32
David Puig	3.51%	28	23		4
Dean Burmester	4.13%	24	22		29
Dustin Johnson	0.67%	149	101		5
Frederik Kjettrup	0.07%	1429	351		54
Graeme McDowell	0.15%	667	176		53
Harold Varner	1.15%	87	67		19
Henrik Stenson	0.32%	313	151		38
Ian Poulter	0.37%	270	301		49
Jason Kokrak	0.31%	323	126		10
Joaquin Niemann	8.42%	12	9.5		1
John Catlin	0.15%	667	81		44
Jon Rahm	7.92%	13	8		5
Kevin Na	0.89%	112	81		14
Lee Westwood	0.15%	667	401		47
Louis Oosthuizen	1.07%	93	41		5
Lucas Herbert	1.48%	68	29		14
Luis Masaveu	0.08%	1250	501		14
Marc Leishman	2.45%	41	31		51
Martin Kaymer	0.13%	769	251		44
Matt Jones	0.36%	278	226		32
Matthew Wolff	0.29%	345	126		44
Mito Pereira	0.53%	189	151		51
Patrick Reed	2.70%	37	27		25
Paul Casey	2.50%	40	31		10
Peter Uihlein	0.76%	132	51		29
Phil Mickelson	1.00%	100	126	0.20%	19	-0.2	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Richard Bland	1.40%	71	71		14
Sam Horsfield	0.57%	175	111		49
Sebastian Munoz	2.54%	39	31		5
Sergio Garcia	8.60%	12	15	2.10%	32	-2.1	Bet365: 14/1, 5pl, 1/4
Talor Gooch	0.46%	217	67		29
Thomas Pieters	1.14%	88	67		24
Tom McKibbin	1.31%	76	26		25
Tyrrell Hatton	8.80%	11	11		19
Yubin Jang	0.12%	833	151		41

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abraham Ancer	11.92%	8.4
Adrian Meronk	6.39%	16
Andy Ogletree	0.77%	130
Anirban Lahiri	9.68%	10
Anthony Kim	0.03%	3333
Ben Campbell	1.05%	95
Branden Grace	2.25%	44
Brendan Steele	2.80%	36
Brooks Koepka	12.29%	8.1
Bryson DeChambeau	23.15%	4.3
Bubba Watson	2.61%	38
Caleb Surratt	1.29%	78
Cameron Smith	5.94%	17
Cameron Tringale	9.44%	11
Carlos Ortiz	6.98%	14
Charl Schwartzel	2.16%	46
Charles Howell	2.43%	41
Chieh-Po Lee	0.59%	169
Danny Lee	0.23%	435
David Puig	10.70%	9.3
Dean Burmester	12.38%	8.1
Dustin Johnson	2.74%	36
Frederik Kjettrup	0.35%	286
Graeme McDowell	0.69%	145
Harold Varner	4.12%	24
Henrik Stenson	1.40%	71
Ian Poulter	1.59%	63
Jason Kokrak	1.34%	75
Joaquin Niemann	21.21%	4.7
John Catlin	0.71%	141
Jon Rahm	20.17%	5
Kevin Na	3.38%	30
Lee Westwood	0.68%	147
Louis Oosthuizen	3.87%	26
Lucas Herbert	5.17%	19
Luis Masaveu	0.47%	213
Marc Leishman	7.86%	13
Martin Kaymer	0.57%	175
Matt Jones	1.59%	63
Matthew Wolff	1.26%	79
Mito Pereira	2.05%	49
Patrick Reed	8.47%	12
Paul Casey	7.94%	13
Peter Uihlein	2.91%	34
Phil Mickelson	3.76%	27
Richard Bland	5.05%	20
Sam Horsfield	2.28%	44
Sebastian Munoz	8.24%	12
Sergio Garcia	21.71%	4.6
Talor Gooch	1.93%	52
Thomas Pieters	4.13%	24
Tom McKibbin	4.79%	21
Tyrrell Hatton	21.85%	4.6
Yubin Jang	0.66%	152

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abraham Ancer	19.39%	5.2
Adrian Meronk	11.32%	8.8
Andy Ogletree	1.76%	57
Anirban Lahiri	16.06%	6.2
Anthony Kim	0.10%	1000
Ben Campbell	2.27%	44
Branden Grace	4.46%	22
Brendan Steele	5.39%	19
Brooks Koepka	19.74%	5.1
Bryson DeChambeau	33.65%	3
Bubba Watson	5.13%	19
Caleb Surratt	2.75%	36
Cameron Smith	10.51%	9.5
Cameron Tringale	15.85%	6.3
Carlos Ortiz	11.95%	8.4
Charl Schwartzel	4.26%	23
Charles Howell	4.87%	21
Chieh-Po Lee	1.33%	75
Danny Lee	0.55%	182
David Puig	17.48%	5.7
Dean Burmester	19.87%	5
Dustin Johnson	5.30%	19
Frederik Kjettrup	0.84%	119
Graeme McDowell	1.58%	63
Harold Varner	7.57%	13
Henrik Stenson	2.87%	35
Ian Poulter	3.29%	30
Jason Kokrak	2.93%	34
Joaquin Niemann	31.18%	3.2
John Catlin	1.63%	61
Jon Rahm	29.96%	3.3
Kevin Na	6.49%	15
Lee Westwood	1.50%	67
Louis Oosthuizen	7.24%	14
Lucas Herbert	9.31%	11
Luis Masaveu	1.08%	93
Marc Leishman	13.59%	7.4
Martin Kaymer	1.28%	78
Matt Jones	3.20%	31
Matthew Wolff	2.70%	37
Mito Pereira	4.01%	25
Patrick Reed	14.28%	7
Paul Casey	13.51%	7.4
Peter Uihlein	5.73%	17
Phil Mickelson	7.04%	14
Richard Bland	9.12%	11
Sam Horsfield	4.60%	22
Sebastian Munoz	13.87%	7.2
Sergio Garcia	31.95%	3.1
Talor Gooch	3.87%	26
Thomas Pieters	7.63%	13
Tom McKibbin	8.56%	12
Tyrrell Hatton	32.09%	3.1
Yubin Jang	1.53%	65

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abraham Ancer	35.70%	2.8
Adrian Meronk	23.67%	4.2
Andy Ogletree	5.32%	19
Anirban Lahiri	31.21%	3.2
Anthony Kim	0.52%	192
Ben Campbell	6.59%	15
Branden Grace	11.49%	8.7
Brendan Steele	13.49%	7.4
Brooks Koepka	35.98%	2.8
Bryson DeChambeau	52.95%	1.89
Bubba Watson	12.89%	7.8
Caleb Surratt	7.75%	13
Cameron Smith	22.34%	4.5
Cameron Tringale	30.73%	3.3
Carlos Ortiz	24.86%	4
Charl Schwartzel	10.96%	9.1
Charles Howell	12.26%	8.2
Chieh-Po Lee	4.29%	23
Danny Lee	1.98%	51
David Puig	32.84%	3
Dean Burmester	36.33%	2.8
Dustin Johnson	13.01%	7.7
Frederik Kjettrup	3.00%	33
Graeme McDowell	4.80%	21
Harold Varner	17.43%	5.7
Henrik Stenson	8.00%	13
Ian Poulter	8.78%	11
Jason Kokrak	8.21%	12
Joaquin Niemann	49.81%	2
John Catlin	4.98%	20
Jon Rahm	48.79%	2
Kevin Na	15.53%	6.4
Lee Westwood	4.59%	22
Louis Oosthuizen	16.91%	5.9
Lucas Herbert	20.50%	4.9
Luis Masaveu	3.57%	28
Marc Leishman	27.45%	3.6
Martin Kaymer	4.13%	24
Matt Jones	8.78%	11
Matthew Wolff	7.63%	13
Mito Pereira	10.45%	9.6
Patrick Reed	28.31%	3.5
Paul Casey	27.20%	3.7
Peter Uihlein	13.97%	7.2
Phil Mickelson	16.61%	6
Richard Bland	20.20%	5
Sam Horsfield	11.68%	8.6
Sebastian Munoz	27.75%	3.6
Sergio Garcia	50.97%	1.96
Talor Gooch	10.16%	9.8
Thomas Pieters	17.61%	5.7
Tom McKibbin	19.26%	5.2
Tyrrell Hatton	51.05%	1.96
Yubin Jang	4.77%	21

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abraham Ancer	60.95%	1.64
Adrian Meronk	47.35%	2.1
Andy Ogletree	17.01%	5.9
Anirban Lahiri	56.33%	1.78
Anthony Kim	3.09%	32
Ben Campbell	19.84%	5
Branden Grace	29.13%	3.4
Brendan Steele	32.75%	3.1
Brooks Koepka	61.48%	1.63
Bryson DeChambeau	76.17%	1.31
Bubba Watson	31.83%	3.1
Caleb Surratt	22.34%	4.5
Cameron Smith	45.31%	2.2
Cameron Tringale	55.99%	1.79
Carlos Ortiz	48.94%	2
Charl Schwartzel	28.19%	3.5
Charles Howell	30.59%	3.3
Chieh-Po Lee	14.43%	6.9
Danny Lee	8.38%	12
David Puig	58.04%	1.72
Dean Burmester	61.58%	1.62
Dustin Johnson	31.66%	3.2
Frederik Kjettrup	10.91%	9.2
Graeme McDowell	15.72%	6.4
Harold Varner	38.89%	2.6
Henrik Stenson	22.95%	4.4
Ian Poulter	24.36%	4.1
Jason Kokrak	23.18%	4.3
Joaquin Niemann	73.79%	1.36
John Catlin	16.14%	6.2
Jon Rahm	72.89%	1.37
Kevin Na	36.03%	2.8
Lee Westwood	15.40%	6.5
Louis Oosthuizen	38.16%	2.6
Lucas Herbert	43.14%	2.3
Luis Masaveu	12.67%	7.9
Marc Leishman	52.05%	1.92
Martin Kaymer	14.05%	7.1
Matt Jones	24.36%	4.1
Matthew Wolff	21.99%	4.5
Mito Pereira	27.52%	3.6
Patrick Reed	53.38%	1.87
Paul Casey	51.92%	1.93
Peter Uihlein	33.50%	3
Phil Mickelson	37.54%	2.7
Richard Bland	42.93%	2.3
Sam Horsfield	29.84%	3.4
Sebastian Munoz	52.22%	1.91
Sergio Garcia	74.68%	1.34
Talor Gooch	26.91%	3.7
Thomas Pieters	39.18%	2.6
Tom McKibbin	41.53%	2.4
Tyrrell Hatton	74.85%	1.34
Yubin Jang	15.96%	6.3

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abraham Ancer	79.32%	1.26
Adrian Meronk	68.17%	1.47
Andy Ogletree	34.15%	2.9
Anirban Lahiri	75.54%	1.32
Anthony Kim	9.42%	11
Ben Campbell	38.22%	2.6
Branden Grace	49.72%	2
Brendan Steele	53.76%	1.86
Brooks Koepka	79.45%	1.26
Bryson DeChambeau	89.17%	1.12
Bubba Watson	52.92%	1.89
Caleb Surratt	41.34%	2.4
Cameron Smith	66.37%	1.51
Cameron Tringale	75.28%	1.33
Carlos Ortiz	69.74%	1.43
Charl Schwartzel	48.64%	2.1
Charles Howell	51.58%	1.94
Chieh-Po Lee	30.22%	3.3
Danny Lee	20.15%	5
David Puig	76.94%	1.3
Dean Burmester	79.61%	1.26
Dustin Johnson	52.88%	1.89
Frederik Kjettrup	24.88%	4
Graeme McDowell	32.61%	3.1
Harold Varner	60.20%	1.66
Henrik Stenson	42.19%	2.4
Ian Poulter	44.17%	2.3
Jason Kokrak	42.45%	2.4
Joaquin Niemann	87.77%	1.14
John Catlin	32.97%	3
Jon Rahm	87.16%	1.15
Kevin Na	57.33%	1.74
Lee Westwood	31.62%	3.2
Louis Oosthuizen	59.54%	1.68
Lucas Herbert	64.36%	1.55
Luis Masaveu	27.74%	3.6
Marc Leishman	72.28%	1.38
Martin Kaymer	29.85%	3.4
Matt Jones	44.34%	2.3
Matthew Wolff	41.24%	2.4
Mito Pereira	48.00%	2.1
Patrick Reed	73.33%	1.36
Paul Casey	72.02%	1.39
Peter Uihlein	54.53%	1.83
Phil Mickelson	59.04%	1.69
Richard Bland	64.10%	1.56
Sam Horsfield	50.97%	1.96
Sebastian Munoz	72.46%	1.38
Sergio Garcia	88.33%	1.13
Talor Gooch	47.34%	2.1
Thomas Pieters	60.67%	1.65
Tom McKibbin	62.79%	1.59
Tyrrell Hatton	88.54%	1.13
Yubin Jang	32.60%	3.1

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abraham Ancer	91.82%	1.09
Adrian Meronk	85.31%	1.17
Andy Ogletree	57.05%	1.75
Anirban Lahiri	89.84%	1.11
Anthony Kim	23.64%	4.2
Ben Campbell	61.16%	1.64
Branden Grace	71.67%	1.4
Brendan Steele	75.08%	1.33
Brooks Koepka	91.75%	1.09
Bryson DeChambeau	96.32%	1.04
Bubba Watson	74.34%	1.35
Caleb Surratt	64.24%	1.56
Cameron Smith	84.17%	1.19
Cameron Tringale	89.52%	1.12
Carlos Ortiz	86.12%	1.16
Charl Schwartzel	70.82%	1.41
Charles Howell	73.32%	1.36
Chieh-Po Lee	52.82%	1.89
Danny Lee	40.51%	2.5
David Puig	90.33%	1.11
Dean Burmester	91.80%	1.09
Dustin Johnson	74.46%	1.34
Frederik Kjettrup	46.26%	2.2
Graeme McDowell	55.72%	1.79
Harold Varner	79.89%	1.25
Henrik Stenson	65.07%	1.54
Ian Poulter	67.06%	1.49
Jason Kokrak	65.16%	1.53
Joaquin Niemann	95.72%	1.04
John Catlin	55.62%	1.8
Jon Rahm	95.53%	1.05
Kevin Na	77.61%	1.29
Lee Westwood	54.46%	1.84
Louis Oosthuizen	79.35%	1.26
Lucas Herbert	82.59%	1.21
Luis Masaveu	50.04%	2
Marc Leishman	87.72%	1.14
Martin Kaymer	52.33%	1.91
Matt Jones	67.03%	1.49
Matthew Wolff	64.11%	1.56
Mito Pereira	70.24%	1.42
Patrick Reed	88.35%	1.13
Paul Casey	87.53%	1.14
Peter Uihlein	75.66%	1.32
Phil Mickelson	79.00%	1.27
Richard Bland	82.61%	1.21
Sam Horsfield	72.63%	1.38
Sebastian Munoz	87.88%	1.14
Sergio Garcia	96.02%	1.04
Talor Gooch	69.50%	1.44
Thomas Pieters	80.14%	1.25
Tom McKibbin	81.66%	1.22
Tyrrell Hatton	96.04%	1.04
Yubin Jang	55.39%	1.81

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abraham Ancer	0.00%	10000
Adrian Meronk	0.00%	10000
Andy Ogletree	0.00%	10000
Anirban Lahiri	0.00%	10000
Anthony Kim	0.00%	10000
Ben Campbell	0.00%	10000
Branden Grace	0.00%	10000
Brendan Steele	0.00%	10000
Brooks Koepka	0.00%	10000
Bryson DeChambeau	0.00%	10000
Bubba Watson	0.00%	10000
Caleb Surratt	0.00%	10000
Cameron Smith	0.00%	10000
Cameron Tringale	0.00%	10000
Carlos Ortiz	0.00%	10000
Charl Schwartzel	0.00%	10000
Charles Howell	0.00%	10000
Chieh-Po Lee	0.00%	10000
Danny Lee	0.00%	10000
David Puig	0.00%	10000
Dean Burmester	0.00%	10000
Dustin Johnson	0.00%	10000
Frederik Kjettrup	0.00%	10000
Graeme McDowell	0.00%	10000
Harold Varner	0.00%	10000
Henrik Stenson	0.00%	10000
Ian Poulter	0.00%	10000
Jason Kokrak	0.00%	10000
Joaquin Niemann	0.00%	10000
John Catlin	0.00%	10000
Jon Rahm	0.00%	10000
Kevin Na	0.00%	10000
Lee Westwood	0.00%	10000
Louis Oosthuizen	0.00%	10000
Lucas Herbert	0.00%	10000
Luis Masaveu	0.00%	10000
Marc Leishman	0.00%	10000
Martin Kaymer	0.00%	10000
Matt Jones	0.00%	10000
Matthew Wolff	0.00%	10000
Mito Pereira	0.00%	10000
Patrick Reed	0.00%	10000
Paul Casey	0.00%	10000
Peter Uihlein	0.00%	10000
Phil Mickelson	0.00%	10000
Richard Bland	0.00%	10000
Sam Horsfield	0.00%	10000
Sebastian Munoz	0.00%	10000
Sergio Garcia	0.00%	10000
Talor Gooch	0.00%	10000
Thomas Pieters	0.00%	10000
Tom McKibbin	0.00%	10000
Tyrrell Hatton	0.00%	10000
Yubin Jang	0.00%	10000

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abraham Ancer	3.31%	30	26		3
Adrian Meronk	2.22%	45	51	0.30%	25	-0.3	Paddy Power: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
Andy Ogletree	0.68%	147	251	0.30%	21	-0.3	Paddy Power: 250/1, 5pl, 1/5
Anirban Lahiri	2.89%	35	51	0.90%	25	-0.9	Paddy Power: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
Anthony Kim	0.16%	625	501		43
Ben Campbell	0.81%	123	71		11
Branden Grace	1.21%	83	81		46
Brendan Steele	1.33%	75	126	0.50%	21	-0.5	Paddy Power: 125/1, 5pl, 1/5
Brooks Koepka	3.40%	29	21		3
Bryson DeChambeau	5.28%	19	19		46
Bubba Watson	1.34%	75	176	0.80%	25	-0.8	Paddy Power: 175/1, 5pl, 1/5
Caleb Surratt	0.94%	106	81		11
Cameron Smith	2.10%	48	26		3
Cameron Tringale	2.83%	35	51	0.90%	3	0.95625	Paddy Power: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
Carlos Ortiz	2.26%	44	41		11
Charl Schwartzel	1.18%	85	81		11
Charles Howell	1.29%	78	151	0.60%	46	-0.6	Paddy Power: 150/1, 5pl, 1/5
Chieh-Po Lee	0.59%	169	91		25
Danny Lee	0.39%	256	301	0.10%	11	-0.1	Paddy Power: 300/1, 5pl, 1/5
David Puig	3.02%	33	29		11
Dean Burmester	3.31%	30	29		25
Dustin Johnson	1.32%	76	81	0.10%	1	4.8	Paddy Power: 80/1, 5pl, 1/5
Frederik Kjettrup	0.48%	208	301	0.10%	54	-0.1	Paddy Power: 300/1, 5pl, 1/5
Graeme McDowell	0.68%	147	151		53
Harold Varner	1.74%	57	51		21
Henrik Stenson	0.95%	105	151	0.30%	35	-0.3	Paddy Power: 150/1, 5pl, 1/5
Ian Poulter	1.03%	97	251	0.60%	51	-0.6	Paddy Power: 250/1, 5pl, 1/5
Jason Kokrak	0.93%	108	126	0.10%	11	-0.1	Paddy Power: 125/1, 5pl, 1/5
Joaquin Niemann	4.96%	20	15		3
John Catlin	0.68%	147	71		25
Jon Rahm	4.83%	21	12		3
Kevin Na	1.55%	65	71	0.10%	38	-0.1	Paddy Power: 70/1, 5pl, 1/5
Lee Westwood	0.57%	175	301	0.20%	38	-0.2	Paddy Power: 300/1, 5pl, 1/5
Louis Oosthuizen	1.66%	60	36		3
Lucas Herbert	1.90%	53	29		11
Luis Masaveu	0.55%	182	401	0.30%	25	-0.3	Paddy Power: 400/1, 5pl, 1/5
Marc Leishman	2.54%	39	31		46
Martin Kaymer	0.59%	169	201	0.10%	43	-0.1	Paddy Power: 200/1, 5pl, 1/5
Matt Jones	1.02%	98	201	0.50%	38	-0.5	Paddy Power: 200/1, 5pl, 1/5
Matthew Wolff	0.91%	110	126	0.10%	51	-0.1	Paddy Power: 125/1, 5pl, 1/5
Mito Pereira	1.12%	89	151	0.50%	35	-0.5	Paddy Power: 150/1, 5pl, 1/5
Patrick Reed	2.65%	38	29		11
Paul Casey	2.52%	40	31		3
Peter Uihlein	1.48%	68	41		11
Phil Mickelson	1.66%	60	101	0.70%	21	-0.7	Paddy Power: 100/1, 5pl, 1/5
Richard Bland	1.90%	53	71	0.50%	35	-0.5	Paddy Power: 70/1, 5pl, 1/5
Sam Horsfield	1.26%	79	101	0.30%	43	-0.3	Paddy Power: 100/1, 5pl, 1/5
Sebastian Munoz	2.56%	39	31		2
Sergio Garcia	5.02%	20	19		38
Talor Gooch	1.12%	89	51		25
Thomas Pieters	1.70%	59	67	0.20%	25	-0.2	QuinnBet: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tom McKibbin	1.86%	54	29		46
Tyrrell Hatton	5.06%	20	15		25
Yubin Jang	0.67%	149	151		38

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Sergio Garcia	8.60%	12	15	2.10%	32	-2	Bet365: 14/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Bryson DeChambeau	9.48%	11	13	1.90%	10	-2	BetVictor: 12/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Anirban Lahiri	3.07%	33	51	1.10%	25	-2	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Anirban Lahiri	2.89%	35	51	0.90%	25	-2	Paddy Power: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
FRL: Cameron Tringale	2.83%	35	51	0.90%	3	2.125	Paddy Power: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
FRL: Bubba Watson	1.34%	75	176	0.80%	25	-2	Paddy Power: 175/1, 5pl, 1/5

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.