Simulation Results: Swiss Ladies Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Agathe Sauzon 0.61% 164 201 0.10% 17 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Alessia Nobilio 0.91% 110 151 0.20% 33 -0.2 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Alexandra Forsterling 2.49% 40 23 17
Alexandra Swayne 0.95% 105 141 0.20% 109 -0.2 Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Alice Hewson 5.35% 19 14 1
Amaia Latorre 0.95% 105 101 76
Amelia Garvey 2.96% 34 19 29
Amy Taylor 0.74% 135 126 5
Amy Walsh 0.04% 2500 601 113
Anna Huang 1.74% 57 126 1.00% 7 -1 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Magnusson 0.42% 238 251 53
Anna Zanusso 0.46% 217 276 0.10% 68 -0.1 Spreadex: 275/1, 6pl, 1/5
Annabel Wilson 0.19% 526 276 33
Annabell Fuller 1.94% 52 61 0.30% 29 -0.3 Bet365: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anne-Charlotte Mora 1.10% 91 81 85
Anne-Lise Caudal 0.01% 10000 451 118
April Angurasaranee 1.63% 61 101 0.60% 118 -0.6 Boyle Sports: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ariane Klotz 0.22% 455 161 99
Axelle Martin 0.00% 10000 301 17
Ayako Uehara 1.28% 78 91 0.20% 33 -0.2 Spreadex: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
Billie-Jo Smith 0.17% 588 401 49
Blanca Fernandez 0.48% 208 176 115
Brianna Navarrosa 1.65% 61 41 7
Camille Chevalier 0.82% 122 201 0.30% 17 -0.3 Boyle Sports: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Canice Screene 0.15% 667 751 68
Carlotta Locatelli 0.00% 10000 251 106
Carolin Kauffmann 0.24% 417 301 7
Caroline Sturdza 0.00% 10000 751 64
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.43% 233 251 76
Celina Sattelkau 1.18% 85 126 0.40% 7 -0.4 Ladbrokes: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chiara Tamburlini 9.99% 10 6.5 2
Clara Moyano Reigosa 0.01% 10000 1501 76
Danielle Du Toit 0.05% 2000 451 106
Do Yeon Park 0.00% 10000 1501 118
Dorota Zalewska 0.34% 294 176 53
Dorthea Forbrigd 2.04% 49 67 0.60% 17 -0.6 Star Sports: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Eleanor Givens 0.63% 159 201 0.10% 76 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Elena Moosmann 0.01% 10000 301 85
Elina Nummenpaa 0.05% 2000 401 76
Ellie Gower 0.04% 2500 2001 95
Emie Peronnin 0.08% 1250 551 53
Emily Penttila 0.23% 435 276 76
Emma Grechi 0.70% 143 251 0.30% 53 -0.3 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Emma Spitz 4.49% 22 17 24
Esme Hamilton 0.18% 556 126 7
Florentyna Parker 0.16% 625 351 95
Georgia Oboh 0.05% 2000 351 85
Ginnie Ding 0.69% 145 126 53
Gudrun Bjorgvinsdottir 0.44% 227 501 0.20% 44 -0.2 Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hannah Gregg 0.00% 10000 1501 66
Harang Lee 0.13% 769 751 7
Hayley Davis 0.09% 1111 451 60
Helen Tamy Kreuzer 0.08% 1250 451 85
Hitaashee Bakshi 0.38% 263 401 0.10% 24 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jess Baker 0.06% 1667 751 99
Kaiyuree Moodley 0.13% 769 501 39
Kajsa Arwefjall 2.16% 46 36 2
Kelsey Bennett 3.32% 30 29 53
Kelsey Macdonald 0.07% 1429 1001 106
Kim Metraux 1.81% 55 26 17
Kirsten Rudgeley 1.09% 92 36 49
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.58% 172 131 29
Kylie Henry 0.36% 278 351 0.10% 60 -0.1 Spreadex: 350/1, 6pl, 1/5
Laura Beveridge 0.15% 667 401 60
Laura Fuenfstueck 2.28% 44 29 29
Lauren Walsh 3.65% 27 21 2
Leonie Harm 1.76% 57 34 24
Lianna Bailey 0.11% 909 401 68
Lisa Pettersson 2.00% 50 51 17
Lorna Mcclymont 0.33% 303 161 99
Luna Sobron Galmes 3.32% 30 26 95
Lydia Hall 1.33% 75 71 7
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 2.37% 42 67 0.90% 53 -0.9 Boyle Sports: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Madelene Stavnar 0.30% 333 201 85
Magdalena Simmermacher 0.04% 2500 601 76
Maha Haddioui 1.27% 79 226 0.80% 44 -0.8 Bet365: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maria Hernandez 0.75% 133 201 0.30% 39 -0.3 Boyle Sports: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Marianne Skarpnord 0.13% 769 451 44
Marta Martin 0.55% 182 161 85
Marta Sanz Barrio 0.30% 333 401 0.10% 33 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Mayka Hoogeboom 0.01% 10000 1501 68
Megan Dennis 0.03% 3333 1001 67
Meghan MacLaren 0.39% 256 151 33
Michelle Forsland 0.00% 10000 1501 115
Molly Ralin 0.00% 10000 351 103
Momoka Kobori 1.45% 69 36 68
Natacha Host Husted 0.13% 769 351 68
Nuria Iturrioz 2.94% 34 26 7
Olivia Mehaffey 0.04% 2500 751 85
Pasqualle Coffa 0.00% 10000 2001 117
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 1.29% 78 76 44
Pranavi Urs 2.14% 47 67 0.70% 103 -0.7 Boyle Sports: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ridhima Dilawari 0.03% 3333 751 24
Romy Meekers 0.39% 256 301 0.10% 33 -0.1 BetVictor: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Rosie Davies 0.20% 500 301 112
Sandra Gal 1.30% 77 101 0.30% 44 -0.3 Spreadex: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sanna Nuutinen 0.28% 357 751 0.10% 49 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 750/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sara Byrne 0.33% 303 251 5
Sara Kouskova 2.09% 48 26 49
Sarah Kemp 2.27% 44 126 1.50% 7 -1.5 Boyle Sports: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sarah Schober 0.20% 500 351 68
Selina Casal 0.00% 10000 401 103
Seraphine Muller 0.00% 10000 201
Sneha Singh 0.10% 1000 1501 76
Sofie Bringner 0.07% 1429 351 39
Sofie Kibsgaard 1.40% 71 36 39
Stacy Lee Bregman 0.02% 5000 1001 99
Tereza Melecka 0.11% 909 351 24
Thalia Martin 0.76% 132 111 60
Tiia Koivisto 0.10% 1000 1501 39
Tina Mazarino 0.61% 164 251 0.20% 95 -0.2 Ladbrokes: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tvesa Malik 0.13% 769 251 85
Ursula Wikstrom 0.54% 185 201 7
Vanessa Bouvet 0.04% 2500 1001 109
Vani Kapoor 0.07% 1429 351 68
Verena Gimmy 0.16% 625 251 76
Wenyung Keh 0.02% 5000 601 109
Whitney Hillier 0.15% 667 451 85
Xingtong Chen 0.07% 1429 126 85
Yana Beeli 0.00% 10000 301 64

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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