Simulation Results: Women's Scottish Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
A Lim Kim 1.28% 78 51 21
Agathe Sauzon 0.01% 10000 1001 108
Akie Iwai 1.09% 92 46 16
Albane Valenzuela 0.45% 222 201 57
Alessandra Fanali 0.11% 909 226 50
Alexa Pano 0.08% 1250 501 144
Alexandra Forsterling 0.01% 10000 251 117
Alice Hewson 0.04% 2500 501 10
Aline Krauter 0.24% 417 176 72
Allisen Corpuz 0.60% 167 101 64
Amelia Garvey 0.18% 556 101 129
Amy Taylor 0.00% 10000 1501 81
Amy Yang 0.56% 179 201 0.10% 61 -0.1 William Hill: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Andrea Lee 2.60% 38 21 35
Anna Nordqvist 0.23% 435 226 108
Annabell Fuller 0.01% 10000 751 46
Anne Van Dam 0.05% 2000 151 57
April Angurasaranee 0.01% 10000 751 72
Ariya Jutanugarn 2.57% 39 31 8
Arpichaya Yubol 0.31% 323 351 38
Aunchisa Utama 0.01% 10000 1501 68
Auston Kim 1.02% 98 71 81
Ayaka Furue 2.09% 48 23 81
Azahara Munoz 0.21% 476 226 91
Benedetta Moresco 0.05% 2000 751 21
Brianna Navarrosa 0.02% 5000 601 143
Bronte Law 0.10% 1000 201 81
Brooke Matthews 0.16% 625 301 35
Cara Gainer 0.24% 417 176 91
Casandra Alexander 0.34% 294 111 81
Cassie Porter 0.07% 1429 251 21
Celine Herbin 0.03% 3333 501 56
Charley Hull 5.35% 19 31 2.20% 21 -2.2 Betfred: 30/1, 5pl, 1/4
Charlotte Laffar 0.00% 10000 1501 91
Chiara Noja 0.01% 10000 1001 123
Chiara Tamburlini 0.21% 476 101 50
Chisato Iwai 1.57% 64 36 120
Chloe Williams 0.02% 5000 501 65
Darcey Harry 0.06% 1667 251 38
Dewi Weber 0.25% 400 251 50
Diksha Dagar 0.03% 3333 301 38
Dorthea Forbrigd 0.03% 3333 601 69
Eleanor Givens 0.01% 10000 1251 91
Emily Kristine Pedersen 1.21% 83 111 0.30% 50 -0.3 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Emma Spitz 0.19% 526 176 70
Esther Henseleit 2.74% 36 29 16
Fatima Fernandez Cano 0.05% 2000 401 120
Gabriela Ruffels 1.48% 68 56 72
Gemma Dryburgh 0.32% 313 201 65
Georgia Hall 0.92% 109 126 0.10% 28 -0.1 Betfred: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ginnie Ding 0.01% 10000 108
Grace Kim 2.35% 43 51 0.40% 108 -0.4 VBet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Haeji Kang 0.09% 1111 501 133
Hannah Darling 0.01% 10000 401 91
Hannah Screen 0.17% 588 126 123
Helen Briem 0.50% 200 51 129
Hinako Shibuno 0.17% 588 251 50
Hira Naveed 0.05% 2000 501 72
Hye-Jin Choi 6.75% 15 17 0.90% 10 -0.9 Bet365: 16/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hyo Joo Kim 3.60% 28 21 2
Ilhee Lee 0.06% 1667 601 91
In Gee Chun 0.36% 278 176 21
Ina Yoon 0.90% 111 101 38
Ingrid Lindblad 0.21% 476 151 16
Jenny Bae 0.20% 500 176 50
Jenny Shin 1.87% 53 91 0.80% 28 -0.8 Betfred: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jin Hee Im 2.26% 44 34 38
Jing Yan 0.17% 588 351 62
Jiwon Jeon 0.13% 769 401 91
Johanna Wrigley 0.01% 10000 35
Julia Lopez Ramirez 0.43% 233 151 3
Kajsa Arwefjall 0.04% 2500 751 33
Karis Davidson 0.30% 333 226 21
Kelsey Bennett 0.03% 3333 301 91
Kelsey Macdonald 0.00% 10000 1501 123
Kim Metraux 0.01% 10000 1001 129
Kirsten Rudgeley 0.11% 909 251 91
Kristen Gillman 0.31% 323 151 81
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.00% 10000 1001 63
Kylie Henry 0.00% 10000 1251 123
Laura Fuenfstueck 0.01% 10000 351 91
Lauren Coughlin 0.49% 204 91 10
Lauren Walsh 0.08% 1250 251 117
Lee-Anne Pace 0.09% 1111 176 81
Leona Maguire 1.02% 98 76 16
Lindy Duncan 0.72% 139 101 10
Lisa Pettersson 0.03% 3333 501 46
Liz Young 0.00% 10000 1251 91
Lorna Mcclymont 0.00% 10000 501 129
Lottie Woad 8.25% 12 19 3.20% 1 36 Bresbet: 18/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lucy Li 0.67% 149 151 38
Luna Sobron Galmes 0.04% 2500 176 91
Maha Haddioui 0.01% 10000 1001 120
Maja Stark 0.53% 189 126 117
Manon De Roey 0.42% 238 176 133
Maria Hernandez 0.01% 10000 1001 123
Marta Martin 0.01% 10000 1001 123
Mary Liu 0.23% 435 501 15
Megan Khang 2.06% 49 31 33
Mi Hyang Lee 1.25% 80 67 8
Mimi Rhodes 0.09% 1111 201 91
Minami Katsu 0.36% 278 201 28
Minjee Lee 10.84% 9.2 11 1.90% 21 -1.9 Ladbrokes: 10/1, 5pl, 1/4
Miranda Wang 0.34% 294 176 28
Miyu Yamashita 2.54% 39 23 10
Moa Folke 0.01% 10000 501 65
Momoka Kobori 0.01% 10000 501 81
Morgane Metraux 0.12% 833 601 57
Moriya Jutanugarn 0.06% 1667 501 133
Nanna Koerstz Madsen 2.17% 46 101 1.20% 6 -1.2 William Hill: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Narin An 0.65% 154 141 72
Nastasia Nadaud 0.17% 588 201 46
Nataliya Guseva 0.08% 1250 351 72
Nelly Korda 4.66% 21 13 5
Noora Komulainen 0.02% 5000 501 108
Nuria Iturrioz 0.02% 5000 401 57
Pajaree Anannarukarn 0.56% 179 226 0.10% 108 -0.1 Bet365: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Pannarat Thanapolboonyaras 0.00% 10000 751 108
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.02% 5000 601 108
Paula Reto 0.25% 400 301 7
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard 0.45% 222 201 91
Perrine Delacour 0.73% 137 176 0.20% 72 -0.2 Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Pia Babnik 0.01% 10000 351 57
Pranavi Urs 0.01% 10000 401 91
Rio Takeda 2.05% 49 31 38
Robyn Choi 0.17% 588 301 133
Rosie Davies 0.00% 10000 1501 133
Saki Baba 0.19% 526 201 91
Sara Kouskova 0.04% 2500 251 81
Sarah Schmelzel 1.36% 74 67 28
Sei Young Kim 0.74% 135 86 3
Shannon Tan 0.32% 313 86 72
Smilla Tarning Soenderby 0.02% 5000 401 133
Sofie Bringner 0.00% 10000 1251 141
Soo Bin Joo 0.08% 1250 401 16
Stephanie Kyriacou 1.82% 55 41 141
Trichat Cheenglab 0.01% 10000 401 108
Tvesa Malik 0.00% 10000 1251 133
Ursula Wikstrom 0.01% 10000 1001 133
Wei-Ling Hsu 0.38% 263 151 81
Weiwei Zhang 0.21% 476 251 46
Yan Liu 0.20% 500 401 72
Yealimi Noh 1.39% 72 41 91
Yuri Yoshida 0.70% 143 176 0.10% 38 -0.1 BetVictor: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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