Simulation Results: Saudi Ladies International

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aditi Ashok 0.66% 152 126 53
Agathe Sauzon 0.06% 1667 751 84
Akie Iwai 1.68% 60 29 47
Albane Valenzuela 2.81% 36 41 0.40% 33 -0.4 Boyle Sports: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Alessandra Fanali 0.06% 1667 351 33
Alexandra Forsterling 0.15% 667 301 39
Alice Hewson 0.66% 152 161 14
Aline Krauter 0.58% 172 201 0.10% 62 -0.1 Spreadex: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Amy Taylor 0.06% 1667 1501 92
Ana Belac 0.28% 357 301 74
Ana Pelaez Trivino 0.26% 385 181 58
Annabel Dimmock 0.28% 357 151 62
Annabell Fuller 0.17% 588 401 3
Anne Van Dam 0.21% 476 151 39
April Angurasaranee 0.04% 2500 751 97
Ariya Jutanugarn 1.66% 60 51 4
Arpichaya Yubol 0.52% 192 91 62
Ashley Lau 0.19% 526 141 39
Aunchisa Utama 0.06% 1667 1001 104
Brianna Navarrosa 0.57% 175 451 0.30% 47 -0.3 Spreadex: 450/1, 6pl, 1/5
Bronte Law 0.53% 189 121 62
Cara Gainer 0.38% 263 201 53
Carlota Ciganda 3.98% 25 29 0.60% 27 -0.6 Coral: 28/1, 6pl, 1/5
Caroline Hedwall 0.04% 2500 351 97
Casandra Alexander 0.09% 1111 226 92
Celine Herbin 0.15% 667 751 27
Charley Hull 16.53% 6 7.5 3.70% 8 -3.7 Paddy Power: 6.5/1, 6pl, 1/5
Chiara Noja 0.06% 1667 326 74
Chiara Tamburlini 0.40% 250 126 8
Chisato Iwai 0.96% 104 51 4
Chloe Williams 0.04% 2500 601 33
Danielle Kang 0.31% 323 276 104
Diksha Dagar 0.15% 667 226 74
Dongeun Lee 1.25% 80 126 0.50% 61 -0.5 Skybet: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dorthea Forbrigd 0.08% 1250 1001 92
Emily Kristine Pedersen 0.91% 110 81 21
Emma Spitz 0.25% 400 276 8
Esther Henseleit 2.22% 45 41 27
Fatima Fernandez Cano 0.30% 333 151 21
Gabriella Cowley 0.05% 2000 751 62
Gemma Dryburgh 0.91% 110 111 104
Georgia Hall 1.80% 56 67 0.30% 21 -0.3 QuinnBet: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hannah Screen 0.21% 476 301 53
Helen Briem 1.68% 60 23 74
Hira Naveed 0.18% 556 301 8
Ina Yoon 1.57% 64 29 4
Ines Laklalech 0.07% 1429 601 84
Jaehee Kim 0.66% 152 161 62
Jaravee Boonchant 0.38% 263 201 47
Jeeno Thitikul 9.38% 11 7 1
Jo-Eun Kim 0.00% 10000 2501 107
Johanna Wrigley 0.03% 3333 451 39
Jungmin Hong 0.54% 185 751 0.40% 74 -0.4 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kim Metraux 0.02% 5000 1251 101
Kirsten Rudgeley 0.13% 769 276 97
Klara Davidson Spilkova 0.05% 2000 376 101
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.00% 10000 2001 110
Laura Fuenfstueck 0.01% 10000 1001 33
Lauren Walsh 0.31% 323 161 84
Linn Grant 10.14% 9.9 10 0.20% 47 -0.2 Spreadex: 9/1, 6pl, 1/5
Liz Young 0.27% 370 351 74
Lora Assad 0.01% 10000 2001 112
Luna Sobron Galmes 0.42% 238 201 58
Maha Haddioui 0.02% 5000 1251 97
Manon De Roey 1.04% 96 61 62
Maria Fassi 0.17% 588 251 53
Maria Hernandez 0.04% 2500 751 108
Marianne Skarpnord 0.00% 10000 2501 74
Marta Martin 0.05% 2000 751 84
Marta Sanz Barrio 0.01% 10000 2501 53
Mimi Rhodes 0.09% 1111 376 33
Minsun7 Kim 0.71% 141 151 18
Moa Folke 0.09% 1111 601 14
Momoka Kobori 0.05% 2000 601 27
Morgane Metraux 0.61% 164 251 0.20% 39 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Moriya Jutanugarn 0.43% 233 176 84
Muni He 0.24% 417 351 8
Nanna Koerstz Madsen 2.65% 38 34 4
Nastasia Nadaud 0.40% 250 161 58
Nataliya Guseva 1.44% 69 34 21
Nicole Broch Estrup 0.55% 182 81 47
Nicole Garcia 0.14% 714 376 108
Noora Komulainen 0.03% 3333 1501 84
Nuria Iturrioz 0.15% 667 226 110
Olivia Cowan 0.99% 101 126 0.20% 13 -0.2 Spreadex: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
P.K. Kongkraphan 1.04% 96 201 0.50% 27 -0.5 Boyle Sports: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.02% 5000 751 33
Patty Tavatanakit 1.56% 64 26 21
Paula Reto 0.90% 111 151 0.20% 74 -0.2 QuinnBet: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard 0.30% 333 76 18
Pei-Ying Tsai 0.76% 132 251 0.40% 74 -0.4 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Peiyun Chien 0.52% 192 161 84
Perrine Delacour 0.67% 149 201 0.20% 62 -0.2 Spreadex: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Pia Babnik 0.11% 909 81 62
Pornanong Phatlum 0.44% 227 201 62
Pranavi Urs 0.23% 435 351 62
Rosie Davies 0.02% 5000 2001 84
Ruoning Yin 7.21% 14 9 62
Sara Kouskova 0.12% 833 426 39
Shannon Tan 0.46% 217 101 39
Shuying Li 0.28% 357 401 14
Somi Lee 2.46% 41 51 0.50% 2 2.875 Skybet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stephanie Kyriacou 1.10% 91 71 18
Trichat Cheenglab 0.36% 278 226 39
Tvesa Malik 0.00% 10000 1501 92
Ursula Wikstrom 0.03% 3333 1001 101
Wei-Ling Hsu 0.58% 172 151 47
Weiwei Zhang 0.69% 145 151 27
Wichanee Meechai 0.60% 167 141 92
Yan Liu 0.35% 286 301 14
Yu Liu 0.55% 182 161 74
Yuai Ji 0.38% 263 201 21

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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