Simulation Results: Saudi Ladies International

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aditi Ashok	0.73%	137	111		58
Akie Iwai	6.15%	16	21	1.50%	2	3	Ladbrokes: 20/1, 5pl, 1/4
Albane Valenzuela	0.08%	1250	201		73
Alessandra Fanali	0.07%	1429	251		39
Alessia Nobilio	0.00%	10000	551		120
Alice Hewson	0.21%	476	111		90
Alison Lee	0.13%	769	176		25
Amelia Garvey	0.04%	2500	201		39
Amy Yang	3.57%	28	51	1.60%	73	-1.6	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ana Pelaez Trivino	0.01%	10000	401		109
Andrea Lee	1.47%	68	36		90
Anna Foster	0.00%	10000	751		39
Anna Huang	0.12%	833	91		105
Annabell Fuller	0.00%	10000	601		118
Ariya Jutanugarn	2.47%	40	41		84
Arpichaya Yubol	0.20%	500	161		29
Auston Kim	1.77%	56	36		36
Avani Prashanth	0.00%	10000	601		39
Ayako Uehara	0.00%	10000	1001		97
Blanca Fernandez	0.00%	10000	1001		25
Bokyeom Park	0.23%	435	201		105
Brianna Navarrosa	0.01%	10000	401		73
Bronte Law	0.02%	5000	326		117
Cara Gainer	0.11%	909	151		66
Carlota Ciganda	2.08%	48	41		4
Carolina Lopez-Chacarra	0.05%	2000	301		29
Casandra Alexander	0.36%	278	81		2
Celine Boutier	2.25%	44	29		73
Celine Herbin	0.01%	10000	1001		66
Chaeeun2 Lee	0.03%	3333	301		36
Chanettee Wannasaen	0.58%	172	111		84
Charley Hull	20.82%	4.8	8	9.50%	1	41.5625	Spreadex: 7/1, 5pl, 1/4
Charlotte Laffar	0.00%	10000	1001		73
Chiara Tamburlini	1.01%	99	61		55
Chisato Iwai	8.97%	11	21	4.40%	9	-4.4	Star Sports: 20/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chloe Williams	0.01%	10000	551		90
Cholcheva Wongras	0.02%	5000	226		55
Daniela Darquea	0.04%	2500	401		97
Danielle Kang	0.02%	5000	301		111
Darcey Harry	0.06%	1667	201		90
Dasom Ma	0.42%	238	126		29
Diksha Dagar	0.00%	10000	551		66
Dongeun Lee	0.81%	123	56		29
Emma Spitz	0.11%	909	141		17
Esme Hamilton	0.00%	10000	1001		25
Esther Henseleit	1.42%	70	51		39
Gabriella Cowley	0.00%	10000	1001		64
Gurleen Kaur	0.10%	1000	226		84
Hannah Burke	0.00%	10000	751		118
Hannah Darling	0.00%	10000	401		111
Hannah Screen	0.00%	10000	751		66
Helen Briem	0.08%	1250	61		12
Hira Naveed	0.03%	3333	301		61
Hitaashee Bakshi	0.00%	10000	751		90
Hye-Jin Choi	3.26%	31	17		4
Hyejun Park	0.95%	105	51		9
Hyunjo Yoo	1.28%	78	46		39
Ina Yoon	2.81%	36	34		6
Ingrid Lindblad	0.73%	137	126		90
Jana Melichova	0.00%	10000	1001		63
Jiwon Ko	0.45%	222	91		9
Julia Lopez Ramirez	0.07%	1429	126		51
Jungmin Hong	1.45%	69	67		39
Kajsa Arwefjall	0.05%	2000	151		29
Kelsey Bennett	0.08%	1250	131		12
Kim Metraux	0.00%	10000	1001		73
Kirsten Rudgeley	0.10%	1000	101		66
Klara Davidson Spilkova	0.01%	10000	551		84
Kyorim Seo	0.49%	204	81		23
Laura Fuenfstueck	0.00%	10000	601		73
Lauren Walsh	0.04%	2500	176		25
Leonie Harm	0.01%	10000	401		17
Lina Belmati	0.00%	10000	2001		116
Lisa Pettersson	0.03%	3333	501		97
Luna Sobron Galmes	0.02%	5000	276		84
Lydia Hall	0.03%	3333	301		73
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard	0.02%	5000	501		97
Maha Haddioui	0.00%	10000	1001		48
Manon De Roey	0.57%	175	111		29
Marianne Skarpnord	0.00%	10000	1501		97
Marta Sanz Barrio	0.00%	10000	1001		97
Mary Liu	0.13%	769	251		39
Mimi Rhodes	0.30%	333	56		6
Minsol Kim	0.33%	303	101		17
Minsun7 Kim	0.56%	179	141		29
Moa Folke	0.14%	714	276		62
Momoka Kobori	0.00%	10000	751		111
Muni He	0.06%	1667	351		16
Nanna Koerstz Madsen	2.49%	40	36		36
Nasa Hataoka	7.18%	14	12		6
Nastasia Nadaud	0.37%	270	86		73
Nataliya Guseva	0.68%	147	51		97
Noora Komulainen	0.00%	10000	1001		105
Nuria Iturrioz	0.01%	10000	301		23
Olivia Cowan	0.47%	213	111		51
P.K. Kongkraphan	1.01%	99	141	0.30%	58	-0.3	Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Patricia Isabel Schmidt	0.00%	10000	1501		66
Patty Tavatanakit	1.49%	67	51		12
Paula Reto	0.36%	278	161		111
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard	0.45%	222	126		51
Perrine Delacour	0.48%	208	81
Pia Babnik	0.01%	10000	301		97
Pranavi Urs	0.01%	10000	501		60
Rio Takeda	2.43%	41	23		17
Ruixin Liu	0.95%	105	141	0.20%	64	-0.2	Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sara Kouskova	0.00%	10000	401		51
Shannon Tan	0.16%	625	76		12
Shihyun Kim	0.06%	1667	226		55
Shinsil Bang	1.15%	87	71		39
Shuying Li	0.46%	217	151		84
Smilla Tarning Soenderby	0.05%	2000	451		90
Sohyun Bae	0.41%	244	126		17
Somi Lee	6.41%	16	15		73
Trichat Cheenglab	0.09%	1111	176		48
Virginia Elena Carta	0.00%	10000	1001		66
Yan Liu	0.80%	125	101		17
Yani Tseng	0.19%	526	251		73
Ying Xu	1.00%	100	151	0.30%	109	-0.3	Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuai Ji	0.01%	10000	751		48
Yunji Jeong	0.22%	455	111		105

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aditi Ashok	0.27%	370	81		72
Akie Iwai	6.35%	16	29	3.00%	26	-3	Bet365: 28/1, 5pl, 1/5
Albane Valenzuela	0.08%	1250	111		95
Alessandra Fanali	0.49%	204	126		72
Alessia Nobilio	0.01%	10000	301		113
Alice Hewson	0.90%	111	71		81
Alison Lee	0.10%	1000	101		41
Amelia Garvey	0.04%	2500	111		58
Amy Yang	4.45%	22	51	2.50%	72	-2.5	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
Ana Pelaez Trivino	0.01%	10000	151		95
Andrea Lee	0.42%	238	41		95
Anna Foster	0.11%	909	351		41
Anna Huang	0.08%	1250	71		41
Annabell Fuller	0.00%	10000	226		118
Ariya Jutanugarn	0.62%	161	41		95
Arpichaya Yubol	0.11%	909	101		13
Auston Kim	0.48%	208	41		58
Avani Prashanth	0.01%	10000	301		26
Ayako Uehara	0.03%	3333	351		95
Blanca Fernandez	0.01%	10000	351		26
Bokyeom Park	0.11%	909	101		107
Brianna Navarrosa	0.02%	5000	201		107
Bronte Law	0.01%	10000	176		113
Cara Gainer	0.07%	1429	126		81
Carlota Ciganda	0.54%	185	46		6
Carolina Lopez-Chacarra	0.04%	2500	126		6
Casandra Alexander	1.17%	85	67		6
Celine Boutier	0.57%	175	36		41
Celine Herbin	0.19%	526	351		41
Chaeeun2 Lee	0.40%	250	151		13
Chanettee Wannasaen	1.53%	65	67		81
Charley Hull	13.84%	7.2	17	8.50%	41	-8.5	Bet365: 16/1, 5pl, 1/5
Charlotte Laffar	0.00%	10000	351		72
Chiara Tamburlini	0.32%	313	51		58
Chisato Iwai	7.89%	13	26	4.20%	3	11.025	Bet365: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chloe Williams	0.02%	5000	301		26
Cholcheva Wongras	0.02%	5000	111		6
Daniela Darquea	0.36%	278	201		72
Danielle Kang	0.20%	500	151		81
Darcey Harry	0.06%	1667	111		95
Dasom Ma	0.18%	556	101		26
Diksha Dagar	0.08%	1250	201		26
Dongeun Lee	0.29%	345	51		58
Emma Spitz	0.08%	1250	101		41
Esme Hamilton	0.00%	10000	351		41
Esther Henseleit	0.41%	244	51		72
Gabriella Cowley	0.01%	10000	351		72
Ginnie Ding	0.00%	10000			81
Gurleen Kaur	0.65%	154	126		41
Hannah Burke	0.03%	3333	301		118
Hannah Darling	0.00%	10000	176		81
Hannah Screen	0.10%	1000	301		58
Helen Briem	0.05%	2000	56		13
Hira Naveed	0.38%	263	151		13
Hitaashee Bakshi	0.01%	10000	351		95
Hye-Jin Choi	4.09%	24	26	0.30%	1	2.8125	Spreadex: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hyejun Park	2.02%	50	46		6
Hyunjo Yoo	0.39%	256	46		13
Ina Yoon	3.82%	26	36	1.10%	13	-1.1	Bet365: 35/1, 5pl, 1/5
Ingrid Lindblad	1.72%	58	81	0.50%	72	-0.5	Boyle Sports: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jana Melichova	0.03%	3333	351		41
Jiwon Ko	1.33%	75	61		13
Julia Lopez Ramirez	0.53%	189	101		58
Jungmin Hong	2.64%	38	51	0.70%	41	-0.7	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
Kajsa Arwefjall	0.04%	2500	101		26
Kelsey Bennett	0.07%	1429	86		81
Kim Metraux	0.03%	3333	351		26
Kirsten Rudgeley	0.05%	2000	71		41
Klara Davidson Spilkova	0.02%	5000	201		81
Kyorim Seo	0.20%	500	56		81
Laura Fuenfstueck	0.01%	10000	226		58
Lauren Walsh	0.34%	294	101		6
Leonie Harm	0.01%	10000	201		13
Lina Belmati	0.00%	10000	601		113
Lisa Pettersson	0.03%	3333	201		95
Luna Sobron Galmes	0.32%	313	151		81
Lydia Hall	0.35%	286	126		41
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard	0.01%	10000	301		58
Maha Haddioui	0.07%	1429	351		58
Manon De Roey	1.57%	64	81	0.30%	4	2.25	Boyle Sports: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Marianne Skarpnord	0.03%	3333	401		107
Marta Sanz Barrio	0.00%	10000	351		107
Mary Liu	0.71%	141	151		58
Mimi Rhodes	0.13%	769	61		1
Minsol Kim	1.14%	88	81		26
Minsun7 Kim	1.47%	68	101	0.50%	13	-0.5	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Moa Folke	0.10%	1000	126		81
Momoka Kobori	0.07%	1429	301		107
Muni He	0.47%	213	161		26
Nanna Koerstz Madsen	0.62%	161	36		13
Nasa Hataoka	6.90%	14	21	2.20%	13	-2.2	Bet365: 20/1, 5pl, 1/5
Nastasia Nadaud	0.17%	588	61		26
Nataliya Guseva	1.70%	59	46		95
Noora Komulainen	0.07%	1429	351		113
Nuria Iturrioz	0.23%	435	151		41
Olivia Cowan	0.18%	556	81		41
P.K. Kongkraphan	0.31%	323	91		13
Patricia Isabel Schmidt	0.10%	1000	351		26
Patty Tavatanakit	2.66%	38	46	0.50%	4	2	Boyle Sports: 45/1, 6pl, 1/5
Paula Reto	1.14%	88	101	0.20%	113	-0.2	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard	1.36%	74	101	0.40%	58	-0.4	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Pia Babnik	0.17%	588	126		81
Pranavi Urs	0.15%	667	201		81
Rio Takeda	3.45%	29	31	0.20%	26	-0.2	Bet365: 30/1, 5pl, 1/5
Ruixin Liu	0.31%	323	91		26
Sara Kouskova	0.14%	714	201		58
Shannon Tan	0.80%	125	56		58
Shihyun Kim	0.05%	2000	101		72
Shinsil Bang	2.21%	45	61	0.60%	58	-0.6	Bet365: 60/1, 5pl, 1/5
Shuying Li	1.37%	73	101	0.40%	95	-0.4	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Smilla Tarning Soenderby	0.03%	3333	161		107
Sohyun Bae	1.25%	80	101	0.30%	26	-0.3	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Somi Lee	1.36%	74	23		41
Trichat Cheenglab	0.08%	1250	101		6
Virginia Elena Carta	0.02%	5000	351		95
Yan Liu	1.86%	54	81	0.60%	13	-0.6	Boyle Sports: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Yani Tseng	0.82%	122	126		41
Ying Xu	2.15%	47	91	1.10%	118	-1.1	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/5
Yuai Ji	0.25%	400	301		81
Yunji Jeong	0.11%	909	71		95

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Charley Hull	20.82%	4.8	8	9.50%	1	8.75	Spreadex: 7/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Chisato Iwai	8.97%	11	21	4.40%	9	-2	Star Sports: 20/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Amy Yang	3.57%	28	51	1.60%	73	-2	Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Charley Hull	13.84%	7.2	17	8.50%	41	-1	Bet365: 16/1, 5pl, 1/5
FRL: Chisato Iwai	7.89%	13	26	4.20%	3	2.625	Bet365: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL: Akie Iwai	6.35%	16	29	3.00%	26	-1	Bet365: 28/1, 5pl, 1/5
FRL: Amy Yang	4.45%	22	51	2.50%	95		Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/5
FRL: Nasa Hataoka	6.90%	14	21	2.20%	95		Bet365: 20/1, 5pl, 1/5
FRL: Ina Yoon	3.82%	26	36	1.10%	13		Bet365: 35/1, 5pl, 1/5

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.