Simulation Results: Women's New South Wales Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Abbie Teasdale 0.03% 3333 401 101
Agathe Sauzon 0.29% 345 151 112
Alessandra Fanali 0.40% 250 67 2
Alexandra Swayne 0.17% 588 401 43
Alice Hewson 3.47% 29 23 101
Amelia Garvey 0.38% 263 76 51
Amelia Mehmet Grohn 0.02% 5000 1001 96
Amy Chu 0.00% 10000 2001 106
Amy Taylor 0.49% 204 301 0.20% 46 -0.2 Skybet: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Walsh 0.01% 10000 1001 63
Anna Foster 0.19% 526 226 14
Anna Huang 0.99% 101 201 0.50% 22 -0.5 Skybet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Magnusson 0.65% 154 201 0.20% 30 -0.2 Spreadex: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Anna Zanusso 0.00% 10000 751 22
Annabel Wilson 0.15% 667 501 55
Annabell Fuller 1.71% 58 46 36
Annika Borrelli 0.09% 1111 751 85
Annika Rathbone 1.48% 68 301 1.20% 128 -1.2 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
April Angurasaranee 0.23% 435 161 46
Ariane Klotz 0.00% 10000 351 30
Ashley Lau 1.06% 94 21 30
Aunchisa Utama 0.32% 313 326 57
Avani Prashanth 2.67% 37 41 0.20% 36 -0.2 Skybet: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ayako Uehara 0.42% 238 226 30
Belinda Ji 0.01% 10000 1501 112
Billie-Jo Smith 0.00% 10000 251 71
Blanca Fernandez 0.49% 204 101 5
Brianna Navarrosa 4.81% 21 67 3.40% 71 -3.4 Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Caitlin Peirce 0.08% 1250 401 106
Camille Chevalier 0.08% 1250 751 106
Cara Gainer 4.39% 23 26 0.60% 19 -0.6 Spreadex: 25/1, 6pl, 1/5
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.12% 833 451 22
Celine Herbin 0.74% 135 111 118
Chizuru Ueda 0.01% 10000 2001 70
Cholcheva Wongras 4.80% 21 36 2.10% 14 -2.1 Bet365: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4
Claire Shin 0.19% 526 161 71
Daniela Darquea 2.02% 50 34 71
Danni Vasquez 0.04% 2500 2001 71
Darcey Harry 1.27% 79 176 0.70% 14 -0.7 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Diksha Dagar 0.65% 154 67 11
Dorthea Forbrigd 0.66% 152 151 36
Ela Anacona 0.12% 833 351 112
Eleanor Givens 0.10% 1000 601 130
Elena Moosmann 0.16% 625 276 106
Ella Scaysbrook 0.02% 5000 101 106
Ellinor Sudow 0.05% 2000 1001 119
Elmay Viking 0.00% 10000 2501 123
Emma Ash 0.00% 10000 3001 130
Emma Spitz 4.24% 24 19 36
Gabriella Cowley 0.18% 556 276 58
Ginnie Ding 0.01% 10000 1001 30
Godiva Kim 0.01% 10000 1001 126
Grace Rho 0.01% 10000 1001 22
Hanee Song 0.01% 10000 801 67
Hannah Burke 0.25% 400 226 85
Hannah Gregg 0.01% 10000 1001 119
Hannah Screen 1.40% 71 51 43
Helen Tamy Kreuzer 0.02% 5000 601 22
Hyojin Yang 1.38% 72 67 11
Ikeba Hinata 9.09% 11 151 8.50% 19 -8.5 QuinnBet: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jennifer Koga 0.00% 10000 2001 126
Jeongmin Cho 0.79% 127 101 46
Jess Whitting 0.28% 357 501 0.10% 85 -0.1 Skybet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jordan O'Brien 0.02% 5000 2001 106
Justice Bosio 0.25% 400 76 85
Kajsa Arwefjall 1.55% 65 34 36
Kathryn Norris 0.00% 10000 351 101
Kelsey Bennett 0.61% 164 36 96
Kim Metraux 0.13% 769 401 5
Kirsten Rudgeley 0.91% 110 34 2
Klara Davidson Spilkova 0.33% 303 126 22
Kristalle Blum 0.00% 10000 1501 71
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.02% 5000 751 63
Kylie Henry 0.09% 1111 351 36
Lara Thomsen 0.00% 10000 601 96
Laura Fuenfstueck 0.27% 370 226 14
Lauren Walsh 3.40% 29 26 43
Lily May Humphreys 0.02% 5000 601 112
Lisa Pettersson 0.27% 370 126 71
Luna Sobron Galmes 1.10% 91 51 101
Lydia Hall 0.27% 370 126 51
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 0.04% 2500 451 71
Madoka Kimura 0.00% 10000 91 71
Maha Haddioui 0.09% 1111 601 58
Manon De Roey 6.29% 16 9 9
Maria Hernandez 0.37% 270 141 71
Marianne Skarpnord 0.14% 714 501 71
Megan Dennis 0.00% 10000 351 129
Meghan MacLaren 0.06% 1667 351 58
Michaela Finn 0.34% 294 501 0.10% 71 -0.1 QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michele Thomson 0.01% 10000 1001 85
Michelle Bang 0.02% 5000 1001 96
Mimi Rhodes 0.74% 135 81 1
Mimi Thomsen 0.00% 10000 1001 119
Mina Yoon 0.44% 227 201 19
Moa Folke 1.29% 78 51 5
Momoka Kobori 0.41% 244 71 51
Munchin Keh 0.00% 10000 1001 123
Nastasia Nadaud 2.31% 43 26 85
Natacha Host Husted 0.15% 667 251 46
Nayeon Eum 0.00% 10000 1001
Noora Komulainen 0.36% 278 226 22
Nuria Iturrioz 0.49% 204 91 5
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.24% 417 141 85
Patricie Mackova 0.02% 5000 1001 85
Pattaraporn Mounchoo 0.07% 1429 751 69
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard 2.41% 41 19 30
Pia Babnik 0.98% 102 21 9
Polly Mack 2.01% 50 34 71
Pranavi Urs 0.79% 127 81 14
Rachel Lee 0.03% 3333 201 112
Rhianna Lewis 0.16% 625 1251 0.10% 67 -0.1 Bet365: 1250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Rosie Davies 0.08% 1250 501 66
Sanna Nuutinen 0.20% 500 501 85
Sara Kouskova 1.81% 55 41 4
Sarah Kemp 7.79% 13 19 2.70% 55 -2.7 Bet365: 18/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sarah Schober 0.33% 303 176 22
Sarah Yamaki Branch 0.00% 10000 1501 101
Saraporn Chamchoi 0.02% 5000 801 96
Shannon Tan 3.32% 30 19 11
Smilla Tarning Soenderby 0.36% 278 126 36
Soo Jin Lee 0.01% 10000 1001 119
Sophie Eppelstun 0.01% 10000 451 71
Steffi Vogel 0.11% 909 1001 112
Tatiana Wijaya 0.05% 2000 1001 51
Tina Mazarino 0.04% 2500 151 85
Trichat Cheenglab 1.82% 55 41 85
Tunrada Piddon 0.05% 2000 151 123
Ursula Wikstrom 0.58% 172 131 58
Verena Gimmy 0.02% 5000 1251 63
Wenyung Keh 0.21% 476 301 58
Winnie Ng 0.01% 10000 1251 46

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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