Simulation Results: MCB Ladies Classic - Mauritius

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Agathe Laisne 4.47% 22 15 5
Agathe Sauzon 0.20% 500 501 61
Aine Donegan 0.32% 313 126 50
Alessandra Fanali 3.10% 32 19 50
Alessia Nobilio 0.69% 145 151 32
Alexandra Forsterling 4.00% 25 17 5
Alexandra Swayne 0.16% 625 401 61
Alice Hewson 2.82% 35 26 5
Amaia Latorre 0.52% 192 251 0.10% 50 -0.1 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amalie Leth-Nissen 0.00% 10000 1251 119
Amelia Garvey 3.72% 27 19 21
Amy Lee 1.02% 98 301 0.70% 38 -0.7 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Taylor 0.28% 357 501 0.10% 76 -0.1 Spreadex: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ana Dawson 0.10% 1000 351 108
Ana Pelaez Trivino 1.43% 70 41 17
Andrea Grimberg Lignell 0.04% 2500 601 115
Anna Foster 1.29% 78 91 0.20% 21 -0.2 Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Morgan 2.88% 35 29 38
Anna Zanusso 1.62% 62 67 0.10% 4 0.775 QuinnBet: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Annabel Wilson 0.30% 333 301 104
Annabell Fuller 1.92% 52 41 66
Anne-Charlotte Mora 0.14% 714 351 104
Anne-Lise Caudal 0.01% 10000 751 88
April Angurasaranee 0.41% 244 81 38
Ariane Klotz 0.16% 625 251 110
Aunchisa Utama 0.75% 133 251 0.40% 101 -0.4 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ayako Uehara 0.35% 286 751 0.20% 38 -0.2 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Blanca Fernandez 0.65% 154 101 76
Bobbi Brown 0.02% 5000 176 112
Brianna Navarrosa 3.25% 31 23 12
Caitlyn Macnab 0.45% 222 111 21
Camille Chevalier 1.02% 98 86 21
Cara Gainer 4.24% 24 17 58
Cara Gorlei 0.07% 1429 501 12
Carolin Kauffmann 0.11% 909 501 76
Casandra Alexander 6.74% 15 6.5 2
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.20% 500 501 88
Celina Sattelkau 1.21% 83 41 5
Charlotte Heath 0.63% 159 141 61
Charlotte Liautier 0.05% 2000 301 38
Chloe Williams 1.57% 64 61 66
Corinne Viden 0.51% 196 141 27
Danielle Du Toit 0.09% 1111 151 71
Diksha Dagar 1.95% 51 34 21
Dorota Zalewska 0.17% 588 301 38
Dorthea Forbrigd 1.01% 99 86 38
Eleanor Givens 0.44% 227 351 0.20% 58 -0.2 Spreadex: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ellen Hume 0.01% 10000 601 17
Emie Peronnin 0.14% 714 501 117
Emma Falcher 0.61% 164 151 50
Emma Grechi 0.33% 303 401 0.10% 76 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Emma Spitz 2.98% 34 41 0.60% 88 -0.6 William Hill: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Esme Hamilton 1.58% 63 51 21
Fernanda Lira 0.24% 417 251 66
Gabriella Cowley 0.11% 909 501 104
Gabrielle Venter 0.21% 476 81 32
Ginger Delacretaz 0.00% 10000 120
Gudrun Bjorgvinsdottir 0.10% 1000 351 110
Hannah Burke 0.15% 667 601 71
Hannah Darling 0.02% 5000 501 118
Harang Lee 0.13% 769 501 66
Hester Sicking 0.00% 10000 1001 113
Hitaashee Bakshi 0.26% 385 251 58
Jana Melichova 0.53% 189 151 32
Jess Baker 0.12% 833 401 38
Justice Bosio 0.36% 278 161 38
Kaiyuree Moodley 0.01% 10000 601 115
Kajsa Arwefjall 4.03% 25 19 2
Katharina Muehlbauer 0.24% 417 251 76
Kiera Floyd 0.11% 909 161 97
Kim Metraux 0.10% 1000 501 11
Kirsten Rudgeley 3.11% 32 19 5
Klara Davidson Spilkova 0.58% 172 301 0.20% 88 -0.2 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.14% 714 351 12
Laura Beveridge 0.25% 400 226 101
Lee-Anne Pace 0.89% 112 86 50
Lianna Bailey 0.04% 2500 501 12
Lily May Humphreys 0.32% 313 276 27
Lisa Pettersson 2.37% 42 81 1.10% 17 -1.1 William Hill: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lois Lau 0.27% 370 226 50
Lorna Mcclymont 0.09% 1111 601 88
Louise Rydqvist 0.03% 3333 601 27
Luca Thompson 0.04% 2500 751 88
Lucie Malchirand 0.01% 10000 501 84
Lucie Vachova 0.13% 769 501 66
Luna Sobron Galmes 1.78% 56 67 0.30% 61 -0.3 William Hill: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 2.22% 45 67 0.70% 50 -0.7 Boyle Sports: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Madelene Stavnar 0.40% 250 226 88
Maha Haddioui 1.36% 74 111 0.50% 50 -0.5 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Marianne Skarpnord 0.07% 1429 601 12
Marta Martin 0.14% 714 501 104
Marta Sanz Barrio 0.09% 1111 601 88
Matilde Partele 0.00% 10000 1001 76
Meghan MacLaren 0.91% 110 46 88
Moa Folke 0.66% 152 101 17
Momoka Kobori 1.02% 98 81 38
Nadia Van Der Westhuizen 0.04% 2500 151 38
Nobuhle Dlamini 0.17% 588 251 61
Olivia Mehaffey 0.19% 526 401 84
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 1.00% 100 101 76
Patricie Mackova 0.26% 385 251 76
Pia Babnik 3.16% 32 15 27
Roberta Liti 2.09% 48 81 0.90% 27 -0.9 William Hill: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Romy Meekers 0.13% 769 601 32
Sara Kouskova 1.05% 95 101 0.10% 97 -0.1 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Smilla Tarning Soenderby 0.59% 169 111 1
Sofie Bringner 0.05% 2000 751 84
Sofie Kibsgaard Nielsen 1.47% 68 51 97
Stacy Bregman 0.03% 3333 1001 97
Symone Henriques 0.00% 10000 1001 71
Tereza Melecka 0.05% 2000 601 10
Thalia Martin 0.20% 500 351 32
Tiffany Arafi 0.05% 2000 601 84
Tina Mazarino 0.64% 156 301 0.30% 71 -0.3 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Trichat Cheenglab 1.56% 64 36 108
Tvesa Malik 0.07% 1429 751 38
Ursula Wikstrom 0.37% 270 226 71
Vanessa Bouvet 0.01% 10000 1001 101
Vanessa Knecht 0.40% 250 141 32
Vani Kapoor 0.12% 833 501 113

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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