Simulation Results: Aramco Korea Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Agathe Sauzon 0.20% 500 276 55
Alessandra Fanali 1.25% 80 61 60
Alessia Nobilio 0.24% 417 301 66
Alexandra Forsterling 0.29% 345 91 40
Alexandra Swayne 0.47% 213 276 0.10% 70 -0.1 Spreadex: 275/1, 6pl, 1/5
Alice Hewson 0.60% 167 61 33
Aline Krauter 1.58% 63 61 8
Amelia Garvey 1.02% 98 126 0.20% 88 -0.2 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Taylor 0.40% 250 276 70
Ana Pelaez Trivino 0.52% 192 67 79
Anna Foster 1.23% 81 251 0.80% 40 -0.8 QuinnBet: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Magnusson 0.25% 400 351 64
Anna Zanusso 0.95% 105 201 0.50% 70 -0.5 QuinnBet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Annabel Wilson 0.25% 400 501 0.10% 12 -0.1 QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Annabell Fuller 0.53% 189 101 88
Anne Van Dam 0.50% 200 56 22
April Angurasaranee 0.20% 500 226 26
Ariane Klotz 0.05% 2000 601 100
Aunchisa Utama 0.19% 526 276 26
Avani Prashanth 0.41% 244 151 70
Ayako Uehara 0.46% 217 326 0.20% 26 -0.2 Spreadex: 325/1, 6pl, 1/5
Billie-Jo Smith 0.02% 5000 751 102
Blanca Fernandez 0.93% 108 71 103
Brianna Navarrosa 1.52% 66 111 0.60% 68 -0.6 Spreadex: 110/1, 6pl, 1/5
Bronte Law 2.71% 37 19 40
Camille Chevalier 0.03% 3333 1501 70
Cara Gainer 1.96% 51 51 17
Carmen Alonso 0.01% 10000 1251 97
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.13% 769 601 60
Celine Herbin 0.43% 233 151 40
Charlotte Laffar 0.00% 10000 501 94
Chiara Noja 0.06% 1667 376 8
Chiara Tamburlini 2.69% 37 23 2
Chloe Williams 1.03% 97 81 33
Daniela Darquea 1.41% 71 91 0.30% 12 -0.3 Ladbrokes: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Danielle Du Toit 0.07% 1429 276 69
Danielle Kang 0.43% 233 276 0.10% 55 -0.1 Spreadex: 275/1, 6pl, 1/5
Darcey Harry 2.50% 40 67 1.00% 22 -1 Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Diksha Dagar 1.48% 68 36 52
Dorthea Forbrigd 1.08% 93 111 0.20% 4 1.225 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Eleanor Givens 0.12% 833 601 17
Elena Moosmann 0.11% 909 351 33
Ellinor Sudow 0.04% 2500 1501 83
Emma Spitz 1.64% 61 41 4
Ginnie Ding 0.40% 250 201 70
Hannah Burke 0.12% 833 326 64
Helen Briem 1.83% 55 13 33
Hyo Joo Kim 22.45% 4.5 4.25 1
Hyojin Yang 1.55% 65 31 52
Jo-Eun Kim 0.00% 10000 601 104
Johanna Wrigley 0.21% 476 226 12
Jung Won Choi 0.80% 125 81 17
Kajsa Arwefjall 1.34% 75 46 33
Kelsey Bennett 1.32% 76 36 8
Kim Metraux 0.18% 556 226 88
Kirsten Rudgeley 3.58% 28 41 1.20% 55 -1.2 Spreadex: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Klara Davidson Spilkova 0.41% 244 61
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.01% 10000 751 97
Laura Fuenfstueck 0.43% 233 151 17
Lauren Walsh 1.91% 52 41 26
Lee-Anne Pace 0.73% 137 81 4
Lisa Pettersson 0.11% 909 351 26
Liz Young 0.59% 169 176 94
Luna Sobron Galmes 0.62% 161 81 40
Lydia Hall 0.14% 714 301 22
Magdalena Simmermacher 0.01% 10000 1001 83
Maha Haddioui 0.15% 667 601 79
Maria Hernandez 0.51% 196 151 67
Marianne Skarpnord 0.26% 385 601 0.10% 40 -0.1 Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Marta Martin 0.42% 238 201 94
Marta Sanz Barrio 0.02% 5000 601 70
Megan Dennis 0.01% 10000 751 101
Michaela Finn 0.35% 286 501 0.20% 70 -0.2 QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mimi Rhodes 4.01% 25 21 40
Moa Folke 1.00% 100 61 22
Momoka Kobori 0.34% 294 111 88
Nastasia Nadaud 1.66% 60 41 12
Natacha Host Husted 0.08% 1250 501 40
Nobuhle Dlamini 0.05% 2000 401 79
Noora Komulainen 0.74% 135 226 0.30% 40 -0.3 Spreadex: 225/1, 6pl, 1/5
Nuria Iturrioz 0.44% 227 91 52
Olivia Cowan 3.40% 29 34 0.50% 17 -0.5 QuinnBet: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.14% 714 351 40
Perrine Delacour 5.07% 20 26 1.30% 4 1.05625 Bet365: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Pia Babnik 0.48% 208 46 33
Polly Mack 1.04% 96 71 8
Pranavi Urs 1.49% 67 56 40
Rosie Davies 0.06% 1667 601 83
Sanna Nuutinen 0.08% 1250 1001 26
Sara Kouskova 1.54% 65 41 83
Sarah Schober 0.21% 476 251 83
Seo Jin Park 0.49% 204 41 3
Shannon Tan 1.26% 79 36 12
Sieun Nam 0.00% 10000 201 97
Sofie Bringner 0.26% 385 326 55
Sung Hyun Park 1.37% 73 101 0.40% 40 -0.4 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Teresa Toscano 0.75% 133 151 0.10% 33 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tina Mazarino 0.25% 400 326 26
Trichat Cheenglab 0.23% 435 161 70
Tvesa Malik 0.03% 3333 751 88
Ursula Wikstrom 0.57% 175 226 0.10% 60 -0.1 Spreadex: 225/1, 6pl, 1/5
Vanessa Bouvet 0.01% 10000 2001 88
Verena Gimmy 0.01% 10000 1001 79
Yuai Ji 0.56% 179 101 60

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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