Simulation Results: Jabra Ladies Open

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Agathe Laisne	3.32%	30	15		21
Agathe Sauzon	0.26%	385	301		59
Aine Donegan	0.26%	385	251		21
Alessandra Fanali	1.52%	66	41		21
Alessia Nobilio	0.45%	222	226		68
Alexandra Forsterling	3.75%	27	19		9
Alexandra Swayne	0.16%	625	1001	0.10%	21	-0.1	Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Alice Kong	0.44%	227	61		5
Amaia Latorre	0.34%	294	401	0.10%	68	-0.1	Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Lee	0.95%	105	351	0.70%	43	-0.7	Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Taylor	0.18%	556	1001	0.10%	90	-0.1	Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ana Dawson	0.07%	1429	1001		28
Ana Pelaez Trivino	1.45%	69	41
Andrea Grimberg Lignell	0.02%	5000	2001		118
Anna Foster	1.09%	92	101	0.10%	43	-0.1	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Zanusso	2.13%	47	34		80
Annabel Wilson	0.06%	1667	1001		127
Annabell Fuller	0.81%	123	61		43
Anne-Charlotte Mora	0.07%	1429	751		107
Anne-Lise Caudal	0.02%	5000	1001		126
April Angurasaranee	0.37%	270	101		68
Ariane Klotz	0.13%	769	401		9
Aunchisa Utama	0.84%	119	151	0.20%	56	-0.2	Spreadex: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Avani Prashanth	0.34%	294	251		5
Ayako Uehara	0.29%	345	601	0.10%	9	-0.1	Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Blanca Fernandez	0.67%	149	151		28
Brianna Navarrosa	2.42%	41	23		36
Caitlyn Macnab	0.79%	127	131		43
Camille Chevalier	0.66%	152	161		80
Cara Gainer	4.22%	24	16		18
Carolin Kauffmann	0.12%	833	1001		59
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen	0.18%	556	601		101
Celina Sattelkau	1.67%	60	41		51
Celine Herbin	1.61%	62	67	0.10%	36	-0.1	Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Charlotte Heath	0.55%	182	251	0.20%	43	-0.2	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Charlotte Liautier	0.29%	345	351		90
Chiara Noja	1.52%	66	51		80
Constance Fouillet	0.23%	435	141		90
Constanza Guerrero	0.00%	10000	2001		121
Corinne Viden	0.29%	345	601	0.10%	43	-0.1	Spreadex: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Daniela Darquea	1.51%	66	111	0.60%	28	-0.6	Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Darcey Harry	1.00%	100	81		36
Deniz Sapmaz	0.00%	10000	1001		97
Diksha Dagar	1.63%	61	34		9
Dorota Zalewska	0.22%	455	601	0.10%	68	-0.1	Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dorthea Forbrigd	1.19%	84	111	0.30%	5	0.76875	Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Eleanor Givens	1.01%	99	301	0.70%	112	-0.7	Spreadex: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ellen Hume	0.17%	588	501		123
Emie Peronnin	0.02%	5000	1001		67
Emma Falcher	0.28%	357	301		107
Emma Grechi	0.18%	556	501		36
Emma Spitz	1.47%	68	61		90
Esme Hamilton	1.24%	81	46		59
Fernanda Lira	0.10%	1000	601		112
Gabriella Cowley	0.07%	1429	1001		112
Gemma Clews	0.60%	167	151
Georgia Hall	4.26%	23	19		28
Georgia Iziemgbe Oboh	0.04%	2500	2501		101
Ginnie Ding	0.16%	625	501		16
Gudrun Bjorgvinsdottir	0.05%	2000	1501		116
Hannah Burke	0.09%	1111	801		36
Hannah Darling	0.02%	5000	1001		68
Hannah Screen	1.22%	82	101	0.20%	9	-0.2	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Harang Lee	0.20%	500	401		80
Helen Briem	4.35%	23	13		1
Hitaashee Bakshi	0.17%	588	401		123
Jana Melichova	0.13%	769	301		116
Jess Baker	0.23%	435	451		80
Justice Bosio	0.47%	213	151		68
Kaiyuree Moodley	0.01%	10000	1251		107
Kajsa Arwefjall	3.42%	29	15		9
Katharina Muehlbauer	0.18%	556	601		101
Kelsey Bennett	2.86%	35	21		18
Kim Metraux	0.12%	833	401		68
Kirsten Rudgeley	2.11%	47	26		59
Klara Davidson Spilkova	0.51%	196	351	0.20%	65	-0.2	Spreadex: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kristyna Napoleaova	0.32%	313	451	0.10%	36	-0.1	Spreadex: 450/1, 5pl, 1/4
Laura Beveridge	0.11%	909	601		118
Laura Fuenfstueck	0.78%	128	101		28
Lee-Anne Pace	0.50%	200	201		127
Leonie Harm	1.75%	57	29		68
Lianna Bailey	0.12%	833	1001		97
Lily May Humphreys	0.27%	370	351		64
Liz Young	0.15%	667	751		59
Lois Lau	0.14%	714	351		5
Lorna Mcclymont	0.07%	1429	1001		107
Louise Depadt	0.00%	10000	101		90
Louise Rydqvist	0.16%	625	751		68
Luca Thompson	0.08%	1250	1001		101
Lucie Vachova	0.12%	833	1001		80
Luna Sobron Galmes	1.90%	53	51		28
Lydia Hall	0.40%	250	351	0.10%	2	4.325	Spreadex: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard	1.22%	82	81		68
Madelene Stavnar	0.14%	714	501		80
Maha Haddioui	1.35%	74	151	0.70%	21	-0.7	Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Manon Petitcolas	0.04%	2500	201		51
Margaux Brejo	0.04%	2500	751		107
Maria Hernandez	0.13%	769	1001		80
Maria Parra	0.09%	1111	1001		121
Marianne Skarpnord	0.30%	333	351		101
Marine Griffaut	0.02%	5000	601		118
Marta Martin	0.11%	909	1001		97
Marta Sanz Barrio	0.08%	1250	1001		127
Matilde Partele	0.04%	2500	1501		112
Meghan MacLaren	0.36%	278	81		36
Moa Folke	0.56%	179	176		21
Momoka Kobori	0.37%	270	176		68
Napat Lertsadwattana	1.03%	97	126	0.20%	28	-0.2	Spreadex: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Patricia Isabel Schmidt	0.98%	102	141	0.30%	51	-0.3	Unibet: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Patricie Mackova	0.29%	345	401		68
Pia Babnik	2.07%	48	19		65
Pranavi Urs	1.17%	85	111	0.30%	80	-0.3	Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Roberta Liti	2.20%	45	67	0.70%	28	-0.7	Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Romy Meekers	0.16%	625	751		51
Sanna Nuutinen	0.20%	500	451		123
Sara Byrne	0.26%	385	501	0.10%	2	6.2	Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sara Kouskova	1.51%	66	36		90
Sarah Schober	0.03%	3333	1001		18
Shannon Tan	4.97%	20	11		2
Smilla Tarning Soenderby	1.19%	84	56		21
Sofie Kibsgaard Nielsen	1.18%	85	71		16
Stacy Bregman	0.12%	833	1251		80
Stephanie Bunque	0.26%	385	601	0.10%	9	-0.1	Spreadex: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tereza Melecka	0.31%	323	351		56
Thalia Kirby	0.00%	10000	1251		127
Thalia Martin	0.25%	400	501	0.10%	101	-0.1	Spreadex: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Trichat Cheenglab	0.38%	263	141		43
Ursula Wikstrom	0.49%	204	226		51
Valentine Delon	3.21%	31	51	1.30%	56	-1.3	Ladbrokes: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Vanessa Bouvet	0.02%	5000	2001		90
Vanessa Knecht	0.24%	417	301
Whitney Hillier	0.01%	10000	601		97

					Result	P/L	E/W Play

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Valentine Delon	3.21%	31	51	1.30%	56	-2	Ladbrokes: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Roberta Liti	2.20%	45	67	0.70%	28	-2	Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Maha Haddioui	1.35%	74	151	0.70%	21	-2	Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.