Simulation Results: Women's Irish Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Agathe Sauzon 0.19% 526 301 37
Aine Donegan 0.05% 2000 201 81
Alessandra Fanali 1.62% 62 41 17
Alessia Nobilio 0.17% 588 301 103
Alexandra Swayne 0.11% 909 451 9
Alice Hewson 0.70% 143 101 12
Amaia Latorre 0.23% 435 451 68
Amelia Garvey 1.99% 50 34 3
Amy Taylor 0.14% 714 451 112
Amy Walsh 0.00% 10000 1501 103
Anna Abom 0.00% 10000 1001 81
Anna Dawson 0.00% 10000 1001 117
Anna Foster 1.27% 79 101 0.30% 12 -0.3 Skybet: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Anna Huang 1.11% 90 251 0.70% 94 -0.7 QuinnBet: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Magnusson 0.05% 2000 601 63
Anna Nordqvist 3.48% 29 36 0.70% 29 -0.7 Spreadex: 35/1, 6pl, 1/5
Anna Zanusso 0.14% 714 301 81
Annabel Wilson 0.08% 1250 401 117
Annabell Fuller 0.45% 222 111 103
Anne-Charlotte Mora 0.02% 5000 751 9
April Angurasaranee 0.30% 333 301 51
Ariane Klotz 0.12% 833 301 81
Aunchisa Utama 0.15% 667 351 94
Avani Prashanth 1.22% 82 126 0.40% 70 -0.4 Spreadex: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ayako Uehara 0.87% 115 176 0.30% 57 -0.3 Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Beth Coulter 0.04% 2500 201 94
Billie-Jo Smith 0.02% 5000 601 94
Blanca Fernandez 0.06% 1667 401 24
Brianna Navarrosa 0.88% 114 101 44
Bronte Law 2.32% 43 29 94
Camille Chevalier 0.09% 1111 601 70
Canice Screene 0.01% 10000 1001 37
Cara Gainer 1.65% 61 41 54
Carolin Kauffmann 0.10% 1000 301 81
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.04% 2500 751 12
Celina Sattelkau 0.41% 244 451 0.20% 51 -0.2 Spreadex: 450/1, 6pl, 1/5
Celine Herbin 0.54% 185 226 0.10% 9 -0.1 Spreadex: 225/1, 6pl, 1/5
Charley Hull 15.15% 6.6 5.5 4
Charlotte Laffar 0.00% 10000 1001 44
Chiara Noja 0.17% 588 176 37
Chiara Tamburlini 4.49% 22 19 5
Chloe Williams 0.36% 278 101 31
Danielle Du Toit 0.01% 10000 1001 130
Darcey Harry 2.37% 42 36 17
Diksha Dagar 1.46% 68 41 63
Dorota Zalewska 0.06% 1667 501 24
Dorthea Forbrigd 0.66% 152 126 81
Eleanor Givens 0.15% 667 501 94
Elena Moosmann 0.00% 10000 601 69
Ellinor Sudow 0.18% 556 301 70
Emie Peronnin 0.01% 10000 1001 112
Emily Penttila 0.11% 909 501 54
Emma Fleming 0.00% 10000 601 54
Emma Grechi 0.11% 909 601 70
Fatima Fernandez Cano 0.37% 270 126 5
Georgia Hall 5.27% 19 23 1.00% 37 -1 Bet365: 22/1, 5pl, 1/4
Georgia Oboh 0.02% 5000 70
Ginnie Ding 0.49% 204 176 103
Gudrun Bjorgvinsdottir 0.03% 3333 1501 44
Hannah Gregg 0.00% 10000 2001 128
Hannah Screen 2.26% 44 41 5
Harang Lee 0.01% 10000 1501 123
Helen Tamy Kreuzer 0.01% 10000 1001 81
Hitaashee Bakshi 0.06% 1667 601 130
Jess Baker 0.02% 5000 1001 66
Johanna Wrigley 0.27% 370 151 81
Kajsa Arwefjall 0.40% 250 141 12
Kelsey Bennett 0.81% 123 51 31
Kelsey Macdonald 0.00% 10000 1501 103
Kirsten Rudgeley 0.79% 127 67 5
Klara Davidson Spilkova 0.40% 250 81 37
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.01% 10000 601 70
Kylie Henry 0.03% 3333 1001 31
Laura Beveridge 0.05% 2000 751 17
Laura Fuenfstueck 0.35% 286 101 117
Lauren Walsh 2.26% 44 36 81
Lee-Anne Pace 1.93% 52 46
Leona Maguire 6.71% 15 15 48
Leonie Harm 0.27% 370 126 37
Lisa Pettersson 0.33% 303 251 24
Liz Young 0.16% 625 351 103
Lorna Mcclymont 0.19% 526 251 44
Lottie Woad 4.79% 21 17 1
Luna Sobron Galmes 2.05% 49 31 81
Lydia Hall 0.72% 139 126 94
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 0.57% 175 126 31
Madelene Sagstrom 3.63% 28 13 2
Magdalena Simmermacher 0.00% 10000 2001 57
Maha Haddioui 0.12% 833 401 24
Maria Hernandez 0.08% 1250 301 59
Marianne Skarpnord 0.03% 3333 1001 59
Marina Joyce Moreno 0.00% 10000 1001 123
Marta Martin 0.16% 625 301 81
Marta Sanz Barrio 0.02% 5000 1501 129
Mayka Hoogeboom 0.00% 10000 1501 70
Megan Dennis 0.00% 10000 1501 132
Meghan MacLaren 0.01% 10000 1001 21
Michaela Finn 0.03% 3333 1001 59
Mimi Rhodes 1.75% 57 29 31
Momoka Kobori 0.39% 256 151 31
Nastasia Nadaud 2.12% 47 41 24
Natacha Host Husted 0.07% 1429 751 48
Noora Komulainen 0.73% 137 101 81
Olivia Costello 0.00% 10000 751 112
Olivia Cowan 1.88% 53 71 0.50% 103 -0.5 PaddyPower: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Olivia Mehaffey 0.00% 10000 1001 123
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.34% 294 176 12
Patricie Mackova 0.16% 625 351 63
Perrine Delacour 5.55% 18 21 0.80% 29 -0.8 Spreadex: 20/1, 6pl, 1/5
Pia Babnik 0.72% 139 51 94
Polly Mack 1.07% 93 111 0.20% 21 -0.2 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Rebekah Gardner 0.00% 10000 1001 112
Roisin Scanlon 0.00% 10000 1001 117
Romy Meekers 0.06% 1667 751 123
Rosie Davies 0.04% 2500 601 94
Sanna Nuutinen 0.09% 1111 1501 123
Sara Byrne 0.40% 250 301 0.10% 70 -0.1 QuinnBet: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sarah Kemp 0.93% 108 111 112
Smilla Tarning Soenderby 0.27% 370 161 17
Sofie Bringner 0.02% 5000 601 81
Sofie Kibsgaard 0.48% 208 131 37
Stacy Lee Bregman 0.01% 10000 2001 59
Teresa Toscano 0.19% 526 401 50
Tereza Melecka 0.06% 1667 751 70
Thalia Martin 0.06% 1667 601 70
Tina Mazarino 0.09% 1111 601 117
Trichat Cheenglab 0.64% 156 111 51
Tvesa Malik 0.03% 3333 1001 103
Ursula Wikstrom 0.29% 345 151 70
Vanessa Bouvet 0.00% 10000 1501 66
Verena Gimmy 0.00% 10000 1501 103
Wenyung Keh 0.00% 10000 1001 117

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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