Simulation Results: Hulencourt Women's Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Agathe Sauzon 0.65% 154 151 7
Alessia Nobilio 0.37% 270 201 23
Alexandra Swayne 0.62% 161 201 0.10% 92 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Alice Hewson 1.54% 65 67 56
Amaia Latorre 0.52% 192 151 47
Amandeep Drall 0.03% 3333 1251 102
Amelia Garvey 2.30% 43 46 0.10% 3 0.5125 Ladbrokes: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Taylor 0.83% 120 201 0.30% 102 -0.3 Boyle Sports: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Amy Walsh 0.00% 10000 501 126
Anna Foster 1.83% 55 81 0.60% 64 -0.6 Ladbrokes: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Magnusson 0.35% 286 251 78
Anna Zanusso 1.53% 65 101 0.50% 61 -0.5 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Annabell Fuller 1.60% 63 46 78
Anne-Charlotte Mora 0.11% 909 251 43
Anne-Lise Caudal 0.02% 5000
Annika Borrelli 0.10% 1000 601 43
April Angurasaranee 1.32% 76 71 92
Ariane Klotz 0.13% 769 501 10
Audrey Lam 0.00% 10000 301 130
Aunchisa Utama 0.79% 127 101 78
Avani Prashanth 2.20% 45 61 0.60% 5 1.8 QuinnBet: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Billie-Jo Smith 0.05% 2000 501 32
Blanca Fernandez 0.45% 222 101 64
Brianna Navarrosa 2.35% 43 36 32
Camille Chevalier 0.18% 556 751 43
Canice Screene 0.08% 1250 401 78
Cara Gainer 3.46% 29 23 7
Carolin Kauffmann 0.28% 357 351 121
Carolina Perez-Tasso Rodriguez 0.00% 10000 132
Casandra Alexander 2.25% 44 17 29
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.09% 1111 1001 102
Celina Sattelkau 0.25% 400 401 29
Celine Herbin 0.60% 167 251 0.20% 48 -0.2 PaddyPower: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Celine Manche 0.43% 233 751 0.30% 78 -0.3 Boyle Sports: 750/1, 6pl, 1/5
Chiara Noja 0.80% 125 56 113
Clara Moyano Reigosa 0.00% 10000 1001 124
Daniela Darquea 4.63% 22 71 3.30% 32 -3.3 PaddyPower: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Danielle Du Toit 0.02% 5000 401 56
Darcey Harry 1.49% 67 67 1
Diane Denis 0.00% 10000 501 126
Diksha Dagar 2.77% 36 21 23
Dorthea Forbrigd 2.36% 42 41 32
Ela Anacona 0.00% 10000 1251 113
Eleanor Givens 0.51% 196 351 0.20% 113 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 350/1, 6pl, 1/5
Elena Moosmann 0.12% 833 301 60
Ellen Hume 0.01% 10000 401 92
Ellie Gower 0.04% 2500 751 78
Ellinor Sudow 0.03% 3333 1251 17
Emie Peronnin 0.01% 10000 751 17
Emily Penttila 0.02% 5000 501 92
Emma Grechi 0.46% 217 226 23
Emma Spitz 6.34% 16 13 7
Esme Hamilton 0.02% 5000 751 43
Florentyna Parker 0.08% 1250 1001 48
Georgia Oboh 0.02% 5000 1251 102
Ginnie Ding 0.73% 137 101 10
Gudrun Bjorgvinsdottir 0.04% 2500 501 64
Hannah Burke 0.51% 196 226 0.10% VBet: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hannah Gregg 0.00% 10000 1251 129
Harang Lee 0.06% 1667 751 113
Hayley Davis 0.07% 1429 351 109
Helen Briem 8.56% 12 5.5 4
Helen Tamy Kreuzer 0.06% 1667 501 113
Hitaashee Bakshi 1.36% 74 161 0.70% 120 -0.7 Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kaiyuree Moodley 0.00% 10000 501 109
Kajsa Arwefjall 1.69% 59 36 64
Katherine Hollern 0.01% 10000 1001 92
Kelsey Bennett 0.80% 125 51 10
Kim Metraux 0.15% 667 201 78
Kirsten Rudgeley 0.92% 109 96 78
Klara Davidson Spilkova 1.07% 93 36 32
Kylie Henry 0.16% 625 751 51
Laura Beveridge 0.10% 1000 301 32
Laura Fuenfstueck 0.74% 135 51 78
Lauren Taylor 0.01% 10000 1501 113
Lauren Walsh 4.12% 24 19 5
Leonie Harm 0.32% 313 251 29
Lianna Bailey 0.02% 5000 1001 56
Lily May Humphreys 0.13% 769 501 78
Liz Young 0.88% 114 201 0.40% 92 -0.4 Boyle Sports: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Lorna Mcclymont 0.82% 122 126 42
Louise Cuyvers 0.00% 10000 501 92
Louise Stahle 0.01% 10000 1501 78
Luna Sobron Galmes 2.09% 48 26 10
Lydia Hall 1.15% 87 126 0.40% 23 -0.4 Boyle Sports: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 1.05% 95 176 0.50% 17 -0.5 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Madelene Stavnar 0.09% 1111 301 23
Magdalena Simmermacher 0.01% 10000 1001 78
Maha Haddioui 0.64% 156 151 51
Maria Hernandez 0.48% 208 201 51
Marta Martin 0.63% 159 251 0.20% 32 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Marta Sanz Barrio 0.09% 1111 501 102
Mayka Hoogeboom 0.00% 10000 751 102
Megan Dennis 0.01% 10000 1251 61
Meghan MacLaren 0.02% 5000 1001 32
Michele Thomson 0.00% 10000 1501 78
Moa Folke 1.24% 81 51 32
Momoka Kobori 1.48% 68 67 92
Nastasia Nadaud 2.70% 37 23 2
Natacha Host Husted 0.15% 667 401 64
Natasha Fear 0.00% 10000 1251 113
Neha Tripathi 0.00% 10000
Nobuhle Dlamini 0.01% 10000 601 64
Noora Komulainen 1.88% 53 81 0.70% 17 -0.7 Boyle Sports: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Nuria Iturrioz 0.96% 104 61 32
Olivia Mehaffey 0.00% 10000 751 64
Pasqualle Coffa 0.00% 10000 2001 124
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 1.74% 57 41 64
Patricie Mackova 0.26% 385 201 15
Pia Babnik 0.85% 118 41 22
Rocio Tejedo 0.00% 10000 41 59
Romy Meekers 0.17% 588 351 64
Rosie Davies 0.08% 1250 501 64
Sara Byrne 0.71% 141 201 0.20% 15 -0.2 QuinnBet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shannon Tan 6.58% 15 10 10
Smilla Tarning Soenderby 0.72% 139 91 17
Sneha Singh 0.00% 10000 1001 92
Sofie Bringner 0.21% 476 276 121
Sofie Kibsgaard 0.91% 110 81 23
Sophie Bert 0.14% 714 401 109
Sophie Witt 0.01% 10000 1001 109
Teresa Toscano 0.82% 122 126 64
Tereza Melecka 0.11% 909 501 121
Thalia Martin 0.17% 588 401 64
Tiia Koivisto 0.09% 1111 1001 102
Tina Mazarino 0.54% 185 251 0.10% 64 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Tvesa Malik 0.08% 1250 751 48
Ursula Wikstrom 0.66% 152 226 0.20% 64 -0.2 VBet: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Vanessa Bouvet 0.00% 10000 1251 78
Vani Kapoor 0.06% 1667 501 92
Verena Gimmy 0.01% 10000 1001 63
Wenyung Keh 0.05% 2000 751 131

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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