Simulation Results: Hills Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Agathe Sauzon 0.51% 196 201 83
Alessandra Fanali 3.10% 32 19 99
Alessia Nobilio 0.38% 263 226 75
Alexandra Swayne 1.30% 77 131 0.50% 66 -0.5 Spreadex: 130/1, 6pl, 1/5
Alice Hewson 5.27% 19 21 0.50% 7 -0.5 Spreadex: 20/1, 6pl, 1/5
Amaia Latorre 0.71% 141 141 75
Amandeep Drall 0.08% 1250 1251 94
Amelia Garvey 3.67% 27 21 21
Amy Taylor 1.19% 84 251 0.80% 127 -0.8 PaddyPower: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Walsh 0.02% 5000 1251 88
Anais Meyssonnier 0.00% 10000 1251 124
Andrea Bergsdottir 0.16% 625 121 122
Andrea Grimberg Lignell 0.24% 417 46 66
Anna Foster 1.40% 71 76 0.10% 94 -0.1 Bet365: 75/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Magnusson 0.21% 476 301 14
Anna Zanusso 0.44% 227 251 75
Annabel Wilson 0.36% 278 276 62
Anne-Charlotte Mora 0.38% 263 301 75
Anne-Lise Caudal 0.02% 5000 1501 123
Annika Borrelli 0.36% 278 351 0.10% 83 -0.1 Spreadex: 350/1, 6pl, 1/5
April Angurasaranee 0.83% 120 176 0.30% 35 -0.3 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ariane Klotz 0.14% 714 176 41
Avani Prashanth 0.99% 101 91 104
Ayako Uehara 1.31% 76 111 0.40% 35 -0.4 Spreadex: 110/1, 6pl, 1/5
Billie-Jo Smith 0.09% 1111 401 94
Blanca Fernandez 0.53% 189 161 60
Camille Chevalier 0.41% 244 301 0.10% 14 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Canice Screene 0.07% 1429 751 41
Carolin Kauffmann 0.43% 233 251 94
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.86% 116 326 0.60% 60 -0.6 Spreadex: 325/1, 6pl, 1/5
Celina Sattelkau 0.62% 161 301 0.30% 14 -0.3 PaddyPower: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Celine Herbin 1.40% 71 101 0.40% 56 -0.4 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chiara Noja 0.88% 114 76 94
Chloe Williams 1.12% 89 91 14
Clara Moyano Reigosa 0.01% 10000 1251 65
Corinne Viden 0.03% 3333 201 66
Danielle Du Toit 0.10% 1000 451 83
Darcey Harry 4.27% 23 19 14
Do Yeon Park 0.00% 10000 1251 110
Dorota Zalewska 0.60% 167 201 0.10% 66 -0.1 Spreadex: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Dorthea Forbrigd 1.18% 85 101 0.20% 99 -0.2 Spreadex: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Eleanor Givens 0.39% 256 301 0.10% 51 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Elena Moosmann 0.08% 1250 351 129
Elice Fredriksson 0.00% 10000 176 23
Ellie Gower 0.03% 3333 2001 75
Ellinor Sudow 0.50% 200 176 88
Emie Peronnin 0.04% 2500 551 66
Emily Penttila 0.21% 476 301 51
Emma Grechi 0.48% 208 301 0.10% 41 -0.1 PaddyPower: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Esme Hamilton 0.32% 313 101 110
Ginnie Ding 1.09% 92 111 0.20% 35 -0.2 Spreadex: 110/1, 6pl, 1/5
Gudrun Bjorgvinsdottir 0.35% 286 751 0.20% 35 -0.2 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hannah Gregg 0.01% 10000 1251 124
Hannah Screen 1.90% 53 26 23
Harang Lee 0.04% 2500 1001 51
Havanna Torstensson 0.19% 526 101 110
Hayley Davis 0.09% 1111 601 62
Hitaashee Bakshi 0.05% 2000 451 41
Ingrid Lindblad 6.18% 16 11 5
Jess Baker 0.08% 1250 751 75
Johanna Wrigley 1.10% 91 81 118
Kaiyuree Moodley 0.02% 5000 751 23
Kajsa Arwefjall 3.77% 27 23 66
Kelsey Bennett 1.66% 60 46 14
Kelsey Macdonald 0.04% 2500 1251 88
Klara Davidson Spilkova 0.92% 109 56 47
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.29% 345 251 23
Kylie Henry 0.33% 303 551 0.10% 56 -0.1 Spreadex: 550/1, 6pl, 1/5
Laura Beveridge 0.62% 161 176 0.10% 118 -0.1 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lauren Horsford 0.01% 10000
Leonie Harm 0.86% 116 86 2
Lianna Bailey 0.02% 5000 1251 104
Linda Wessberg 0.17% 588 451 35
Linnea Johansson 0.87% 115 251 0.50% 59 -0.5 PaddyPower: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lisa Pettersson 1.18% 85 101 0.20% 2 2.4 VBet: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lorna Mcclymont 0.29% 345 201 23
Louisa Carlbom 0.03% 3333 226 99
Louise Rydqvist 0.06% 1667 111 23
Lucie Vachova 0.15% 667 301 88
Luna Sobron Galmes 1.87% 53 34 47
Lydia Hall 1.19% 84 81 23
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 1.54% 65 101 0.60% 11 -0.6 Spreadex: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Madelene Stavnar 0.23% 435 161 35
Maha Haddioui 0.65% 154 226 0.20% 41 -0.2 Spreadex: 225/1, 6pl, 1/5
Maria Hernandez 0.35% 286 226 54
Marianne Skarpnord 0.15% 667 451 88
Marta Martin 0.50% 200 176 54
Marta Sanz Barrio 0.30% 333 451 0.10% 14 -0.1 Spreadex: 450/1, 6pl, 1/5
Mayka Hoogeboom 0.03% 3333 1501 104
Megan Dennis 0.02% 5000 1251 66
Meghan MacLaren 0.24% 417 401 66
Meja Ortengren 0.50% 200 19 1
Michaela Finn 0.38% 263 601 0.20% 83 -0.2 Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michelle Forsland 0.00% 10000 1251 110
Mimi Rhodes 6.76% 15 9 13
Mirabel Ting 0.87% 115 21 23
Moa Folke 2.53% 40 29 23
Moa Fridell 0.01% 10000 601 124
Momoka Kobori 1.35% 74 67 8
Nastasia Nadaud 3.47% 29 21 5
Natacha Host Husted 0.20% 500 326 62
Nora Sundberg 0.13% 769 141 104
Olivia Mehaffey 0.02% 5000 1001 75
Pasqualle Coffa 0.00% 10000 2001 131
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.96% 104 81 66
Pia Babnik 1.79% 56 31 8
Pranavi Urs 1.84% 54 81 0.60% 21 -0.6 Spreadex: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ragga Kristinsdottir 0.05% 2000 111 127
Romy Meekers 0.07% 1429 401 23
Rosie Davies 0.23% 435 351 110
Sanna Nuutinen 0.20% 500 1001 0.10% 104 -0.1 Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sara Byrne 0.62% 161 251 0.20% 110 -0.2 PaddyPower: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sara Kouskova 1.27% 79 46 8
Sarah Kemp 2.04% 49 131 1.30% 23 -1.3 Spreadex: 130/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sarah Schober 0.23% 435 301 83
Smilla Tarning Soenderby 0.53% 189 101 11
Sneha Singh 0.03% 3333 2001 47
Sofie Bringner 0.45% 222 81 130
Sofie Kibsgaard 1.42% 70 41 41
Stacy Lee Bregman 0.11% 909 1251 110
Teresa Toscano 1.08% 93 251 0.70% 56 -0.7 PaddyPower: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tereza Melecka 0.52% 192 351 0.20% 118 -0.2 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Thalia Martin 0.59% 169 176 4
Tiffany Arafi 0.09% 1111 201 110
Tiia Koivisto 0.11% 909 1251 104
Tina Mazarino 0.50% 200 301 0.20% 47 -0.2 PaddyPower: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tvesa Malik 0.06% 1667 251 99
Ursula Wikstrom 0.44% 227 201 75
Vanessa Bouvet 0.04% 2500 1251 88
Vani Kapoor 1.37% 73 251 1.00% 132 -1 Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Verena Gimmy 0.02% 5000 1251 99
Whitney Hillier 0.04% 2500 451 23

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates