Simulation Results: German Masters

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Agathe Sauzon 0.56% 179 126 113
Alessia Nobilio 0.26% 385 251 33
Alexandra Forsterling 1.05% 95 36 39
Alexandra Swayne 0.35% 286 276 83
Alice Hewson 0.70% 143 91 10
Amaia Latorre 0.55% 182 226 0.10% 76 -0.1 Spreadex: 225/1, 6pl, 1/5
Amandeep Drall 0.06% 1667 1001 92
Amelia Garvey 2.43% 41 41 3
Amy Taylor 0.40% 250 301 0.10% 76 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Amy Walsh 0.00% 10000 1001 120
Anais Meyssonnier 0.00% 10000 1001 121
Anna Foster 1.07% 93 111 0.20% 4 2.1 Spreadex: 110/1, 6pl, 1/5
Anna Huang 1.69% 59 201 1.20% 14 -1.2 QuinnBet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Magnusson 0.18% 556 301 108
Annabel Wilson 0.23% 435 176 83
Anne-Charlotte Mora 0.08% 1250 451 64
Anne-Lise Caudal 0.01% 10000 1001 116
Anne-Sterre Den Dunnen 0.00% 10000 351 113
Annika Borrelli 0.07% 1429 751 58
Antonia Steiner 0.00% 10000 1001 128
April Angurasaranee 0.51% 196 111 76
Ariane Klotz 0.12% 833 226 19
Aunchisa Utama 0.73% 137 176 0.20% 83 -0.2 Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Avani Prashanth 1.47% 68 67 26
Ayako Uehara 0.84% 119 141 0.10% 10 -0.1 Spreadex: 140/1, 6pl, 1/5
Billie-Jo Smith 0.06% 1667 326 83
Blanca Fernandez 0.18% 556 226 62
Bronte Law 3.60% 28 14 10
Camille Chevalier 0.11% 909 451 19
Canice Screene 0.07% 1429 751 92
Carla Bernat 0.61% 164 31 14
Carolin Kauffmann 0.09% 1111 401 8
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.04% 2500 1001 39
Celina Sattelkau 0.57% 175 276 0.20% 19 -0.2 Spreadex: 275/1, 6pl, 1/5
Celine Herbin 0.88% 114 151 0.20% 33 -0.2 Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Charlotte Back 0.00% 10000 301 19
Chiara Noja 0.79% 127 46 103
Christin Eisenbeiss 0.00% 10000 751 108
Clara Moyano Reigosa 0.00% 10000 1001 118
Danielle Du Toit 0.03% 3333 501 76
Diksha Dagar 1.85% 54 26 8
Dorota Zalewska 0.21% 476 326 54
Dorthea Forbrigd 2.00% 50 61 0.40% 58 -0.4 Spreadex: 60/1, 6pl, 1/5
Eleanor Givens 0.36% 278 301 42
Elena Moosmann 0.05% 2000 301 125
Elina Nummenpaa 0.01% 10000 501 51
Ellie Gower 0.03% 3333 1001 92
Ellinor Sudow 0.20% 500 326 14
Emie Peronnin 0.04% 2500 351 65
Emily Penttila 0.14% 714 451 26
Emma Grechi 0.38% 263 276 92
Esme Hamilton 0.13% 769 201 83
Esther Henseleit 20.55% 4.9 4.2 10
Fernanda Lira 0.08% 1250 501 83
Florentyna Parker 0.10% 1000 751 46
Georgia Oboh 0.05% 2000 1251 26
Ginnie Ding 0.96% 104 91 46
Gudrun Bjorgvinsdottir 0.04% 2500 1001 42
Hannah Gregg 0.00% 10000 2001 130
Hannah Screen 4.40% 23 23 0.10% 19 -0.1 Spreadex: 22/1, 6pl, 1/5
Harang Lee 0.04% 2500 1001 92
Hayley Davis 0.05% 2000 751 103
Helen Briem 7.60% 13 6.5 2
Helen Tamy Kreuzer 0.04% 2500 751 92
Hitaashee Bakshi 0.33% 303 301 121
Jess Baker 0.11% 909 1001 116
Katherine Hollern 0.01% 10000 1001 76
Kelsey Bennett 1.08% 93 61 19
Kelsey Macdonald 0.00% 10000 1501 57
Kim Metraux 0.44% 227 126 33
Kimberley Sommer 0.00% 10000 1001 108
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.04% 2500 351 46
Laura Beveridge 0.09% 1111 351 65
Laura Fuenfstueck 1.23% 81 41 54
Lauren Walsh 4.35% 23 21 26
Lee-Anne Pace 1.72% 58 41 4
Leonie Harm 0.50% 200 67 26
Lianna Bailey 0.01% 10000 1001 108
Lily May Humphreys 0.05% 2000 751 92
Lisa Pettersson 0.57% 175 201 0.10% 33 -0.1 QuinnBet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lorna Mcclymont 0.29% 345 226 33
Louise Stahle 0.00% 10000 2501 65
Luna Sobron Galmes 2.94% 34 23 14
Lydia Hall 1.25% 80 76 42
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 0.91% 110 151 0.20% 14 -0.2 Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Madelene Stavnar 0.08% 1250 326 92
Magdalena Simmermacher 0.00% 10000 1501 124
Maria Hernandez 0.26% 385 176 76
Marianne Skarpnord 0.15% 667 451 126
Marta Sanz Barrio 0.04% 2500 1001 58
Mayka Hoogeboom 0.00% 10000 1001 92
Megan Dennis 0.00% 10000 1001 103
Meghan MacLaren 0.02% 5000 1001 65
Michele Thomson 0.01% 10000 2001 63
Moa Folke 0.93% 108 71 65
Momoka Kobori 1.06% 94 67 46
Morgane Metraux 5.06% 20 46 3.00% 33 -3 PaddyPower: 45/1, 6pl, 1/5
Nastasia Nadaud 3.63% 28 21 39
Natacha Host Husted 0.10% 1000 751 54
Neha Tripathi 0.00% 10000 1001 130
Nuria Iturrioz 1.40% 71 46 51
Olivia Mehaffey 0.01% 10000 1001
Pasqualle Coffa 0.00% 10000 1501 127
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.77% 130 81 46
Patricie Mackova 0.41% 244 226 51
Paula Schulz-Hansen 0.00% 10000 161 65
Pearl Jin 0.00% 10000 1001 65
Pia Babnik 1.36% 74 34 26
Romy Meekers 0.20% 500 326 83
Rosie Davies 0.15% 667 301 76
Sanna Nuutinen 0.29% 345 401 65
Sarah Schober 0.14% 714 601 113
Shannon Tan 4.34% 23 11 1
Smilla Tarning Soenderby 0.72% 139 91 108
Sneha Singh 0.01% 10000 1501 92
Sofie Bringner 0.07% 1429 301 103
Sofie Kibsgaard 0.90% 111 76 26
Sophie Witt 0.00% 10000 1501 65
Stacy Lee Bregman 0.03% 3333 1001 103
Tereza Kozeluhova 0.00% 10000 1501 118
Tereza Melecka 0.05% 2000 601 6
Thalia Martin 0.10% 1000 751 42
Tiia Koivisto 0.04% 2500 1001 83
Tina Mazarino 0.28% 357 276 61
Trichat Cheenglab 1.33% 75 51 65
Tvesa Malik 0.09% 1111 351 65
Ursula Wikstrom 0.25% 400 226 19
Vanessa Bouvet 0.01% 10000 1001 92
Vani Kapoor 0.08% 1250 1001 6
Verena Gimmy 0.00% 10000 1001 83
Vidhatri Urs 0.00% 10000 1001 129
Wenyung Keh 0.01% 10000 601 121

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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