Simulation Results: Ladies Open de France

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Agathe Sauzon 0.44% 227 301 0.10% 65 -0.1 Coral: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Alessia Nobilio 0.50% 200 201 5
Alexandra Forsterling 1.33% 75 46 9
Alexandra Swayne 0.22% 455 301 81
Amelia Garvey 1.29% 78 51 22
Amy Taylor 0.49% 204 161 46
Anna Foster 0.31% 323 351 55
Anna Huang 2.32% 43 34 1
Anna Magnusson 0.29% 345 301 70
Anna Zanusso 0.21% 476 601 62
Annabel Wilson 0.37% 270 301 46
Annabell Fuller 0.69% 145 151 69
Anne-Charlotte Mora 0.14% 714 251 46
Anne-Lise Caudal 0.00% 10000 1001 17
Ariane Klotz 0.09% 1111 501 26
Aunchisa Utama 0.20% 500 501 55
Avani Prashanth 0.26% 385 301 88
Ayako Uehara 0.54% 185 201 26
Billie-Jo Smith 0.07% 1429 501 55
Blanca Fernandez 0.16% 625 301 81
Brianna Navarrosa 0.99% 101 71 4
Camille Chevalier 0.39% 256 301 0.10% 14 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cara Gainer 3.19% 31 29 26
Carolin Kauffmann 0.25% 400 351 46
Casandra Alexander 3.32% 30 26 2
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.14% 714 601 55
Celine Boutier 14.54% 6.9 5 9
Celine Herbin 0.56% 179 301 0.20% 77 -0.2 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Charlotte Laffar 0.11% 909 501 26
Charlotte Liautier 0.07% 1429 251 62
Chiara Tamburlini 6.87% 15 7 77
Chloe Salort 0.02% 5000 1001 93
Chloe Williams 0.63% 159 151 93
Danielle Du Toit 0.04% 2500 1251 55
Darcey Harry 2.23% 45 34 22
Diksha Dagar 1.02% 98 41 46
Dorthea Forbrigd 0.60% 167 141 17
Eleanor Givens 0.24% 417 401 17
Emma Falcher 0.03% 3333 351 81
Emma Grechi 0.21% 476 401 77
Emma Spitz 2.46% 41 34 26
Esme Hamilton 0.14% 714 176 35
Ginnie Ding 0.25% 400 401 68
Giselle Zhao 0.00% 10000 201 35
Hannah Screen 1.20% 83 81 35
Helen Briem 2.07% 48 26 2
Jana Melichova 1.91% 52 67 0.40% 70 -0.4 Boyle Sports: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Johanna Wrigley 0.61% 164 131 14
Kajsa Arwefjall 1.95% 51 41 81
Kelsey Bennett 1.42% 70 67 22
Kelsey Macdonald 0.02% 5000 2001 93
Kim Metraux 0.68% 147 71 88
Kirsten Rudgeley 1.42% 70 34 5
Klara Davidson Spilkova 1.01% 99 86 9
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.20% 500 251 26
Laura Fuenfstueck 0.63% 159 67 42
Lauren Walsh 2.97% 34 21 26
Leonie Harm 1.08% 93 51 35
Lily Reitter 3.36% 30 151 2.70% 96 -2.7 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lisa Pettersson 1.07% 93 101 0.10% 35 -0.1 BetMGM: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Liz Young 0.28% 357 501 0.10% 42 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 500/1, 6pl, 1/5
Lorna Mcclymont 0.11% 909 401 81
Luna Sobron Galmes 1.35% 74 56 8
Lydia Hall 0.79% 127 151 0.10% 9 -0.1 BetMGM: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 1.77% 56 101 0.80% 26 -0.8 Boyle Sports: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Magdalena Simmermacher 0.02% 5000 1501 77
Maha Haddioui 0.53% 189 401 0.30% 35 -0.3 Boyle Sports: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Manon Petitcolas 0.03% 3333 1001 70
Maria Hernandez 0.21% 476 401 81
Marine Griffaut 0.03% 3333 1001 70
Marta Martin 0.53% 189 251 0.10% 26 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Megan Dennis 0.02% 5000 1501 88
Mimi Rhodes 4.42% 23 13 14
Moa Folke 2.41% 41 67 0.90% 42 -0.9 Boyle Sports: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Momoka Kobori 0.90% 111 101 65
Nastasia Nadaud 3.63% 28 17 9
Natacha Host Husted 0.18% 556 501
Noora Komulainen 0.76% 132 151 0.10% 22 -0.1 BetMGM: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.96% 104 86 46
Pia Babnik 1.59% 63 36 70
Pranavi Urs 0.62% 161 151 5
Romy Meekers 0.14% 714 501 46
Rosie Davies 0.07% 1429 1001 46
Sara Byrne 0.34% 294 201 42
Sara Kouskova 0.99% 101 81 55
Shannon Tan 4.34% 23 10 17
Smilla Tarning Soenderby 0.85% 118 131 0.10% 17 -0.1 QuinnBet: 130/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sofie Bringner 0.10% 1000 501 70
Sofie Kibsgaard 0.65% 154 126 35
Thalia Martin 0.63% 159 251 0.20% 46 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Tina Mazarino 0.18% 556 751 62
Tvesa Malik 0.06% 1667 751 81
Ursula Wikstrom 0.44% 227 151 70
Vanessa Bouvet 0.03% 3333 2001 67
Verena Gimmy 0.08% 1250 751 92
Virginia Elena Carta 0.22% 455 201 88

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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