Simulation Results: Dutch Ladies Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Agathe Sauzon 0.41% 244 201 108
Alejandra Llaneza 0.04% 2500 601 56
Alessandra Fanali 1.57% 64 46 71
Alessia Nobilio 0.42% 238 251 4
Alexandra Forsterling 0.94% 106 61 38
Alexandra Swayne 0.59% 169 251 0.20% 56 -0.2 Ladbrokes: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amaia Latorre 0.41% 244 176 32
Amelia Garvey 0.96% 104 126 0.20% 25 -0.2 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Taylor 0.64% 156 251 0.20% 44 -0.2 Ladbrokes: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ana Pelaez Trivino 0.64% 156 101 25
Anna Foster 1.68% 60 176 1.10% 12 -1.1 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Huang 3.07% 33 67 1.60% 71 -1.6 Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Magnusson 0.27% 370 301 25
Anna Zanusso 1.04% 96 161 0.40% 100 -0.4 Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Annabel Wilson 0.99% 101 176 0.40% 38 -0.4 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Annabell Fuller 0.50% 200 101 44
Anne Van Dam 1.56% 64 23 2
Anne-Charlotte Mora 0.17% 588 251 61
April Angurasaranee 0.74% 135 111 25
Ariane Klotz 0.07% 1429 751 102
Aunchisa Utama 0.54% 185 151 12
Avani Prashanth 0.42% 238 151 19
Ayako Uehara 1.04% 96 176 0.50% 4 5.09375 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Billie-Jo Smith 0.02% 5000 751 71
Blanca Fernandez 0.44% 227 101 38
Brianna Navarrosa 0.99% 101 101 2
Bronte Law 2.88% 35 21 56
Camille Chevalier 0.06% 1667 1251 82
Canice Screene 0.09% 1111 501 32
Carolin Kauffmann 0.23% 435 276 82
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.24% 417 501 108
Celina Sattelkau 0.42% 238 226 71
Celine Herbin 1.22% 82 101 0.20% 108 -0.2 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chiara Noja 0.75% 133 41
Chloe Williams 1.89% 53 51 71
Daniela Darquea 3.57% 28 46 1.40% 44 -1.4 Bet365: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Darcey Harry 3.61% 28 41 1.20% 90 -1.2 Bet365: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Diksha Dagar 2.02% 50 34 9
Dorota Zalewska 0.04% 2500 501 19
Dorthea Forbrigd 2.87% 35 31 61
Ela Anacona 0.07% 1429 501 119
Eleanor Givens 0.52% 192 251 0.10% 82 -0.1 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Elena Moosmann 0.28% 357 201 116
Ellie Gower 0.02% 5000 501 108
Ellinor Sudow 0.06% 1667 1001 124
Emma Grechi 0.11% 909 351 44
Emma Spitz 3.44% 29 21 38
Esme Hamilton 0.05% 2000 501 82
Florentyna Parker 0.11% 909 501 100
Georgia Oboh 0.02% 5000 1001 90
Ginnie Ding 0.51% 196 201 9
Gudrun Bjorgvinsdottir 0.01% 10000 751 53
Hannah Burke 0.24% 417 301 19
Hannah Screen 0.55% 182 91 12
Harang Lee 0.02% 5000 1001 66
Helen Tamy Kreuzer 0.14% 714 501 90
Hester Sicking 0.01% 10000 501 71
Hitaashee Bakshi 0.78% 128 501 0.60% 12 -0.6 Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jess Baker 0.10% 1000 501 67
Johanna Wrigley 0.96% 104 81 53
Kaiyuree Moodley 0.03% 3333 201 90
Kajsa Arwefjall 2.03% 49 34 32
Kelsey Bennett 3.11% 32 19 102
Kiera Floyd 3.11% 32 29 44
Kim Metraux 0.29% 345 201 19
Kirsten Rudgeley 2.22% 45 34 90
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.02% 5000 601 90
Kylie Henry 0.40% 250 276 119
Laura Fuenfstueck 1.11% 90 41 19
Lauren Holmey 0.06% 1667 276 108
Lauren Taylor 0.03% 3333 1001 119
Lauren Walsh 2.56% 39 31 8
Leonie Harm 0.23% 435 301 124
Lianna Bailey 0.02% 5000 82
Lily May Humphreys 0.02% 5000 601 38
Linda Wessberg 0.11% 909 276 102
Lisa Pettersson 0.43% 233 161 44
Liz Young 0.72% 139 131 61
Lorna Mcclymont 0.07% 1429 201 32
Louise Stahle 0.00% 10000 1001 71
Luna Sobron Galmes 1.08% 93 67 4
Lydia Hall 0.70% 143 176 0.10% 32 -0.1 Skybet: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 0.29% 345 501 0.10% 53 -0.1 QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Madelene Stavnar 0.58% 172 126 90
Magdalena Simmermacher 0.01% 10000 1001 82
Maha Haddioui 0.28% 357 601 0.10% 12 -0.1 Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maria Hernandez 0.51% 196 126 82
Marianne Skarpnord 0.43% 233 501 0.20% 102 -0.2 QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Marine Griffaut 0.07% 1429 501 68
Marta Martin 0.42% 238 161 70
Mayka Hoogeboom 0.15% 667 401 108
Megan Dennis 0.02% 5000 1001 108
Meghan MacLaren 0.28% 357 501 0.10% 129 -0.1 Unibet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michele Thomson 0.12% 833 1001 71
Mimi Rhodes 4.05% 25 17 1
Mireia Prat 0.07% 1429 401 61
Moa Folke 2.21% 45 51 0.30% 82 -0.3 Unibet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Momoka Kobori 0.43% 233 131 4
Nastasia Nadaud 2.73% 37 23 25
Nobuhle Dlamini 0.13% 769 501 130
Noora Komulainen 0.82% 122 176 0.30% 25 -0.3 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nuria Iturrioz 0.86% 116 67 12
Pasqualle Coffa 0.01% 10000 1501 116
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.40% 250 201 25
Patricie Mackova 0.60% 167 126 90
Perrine Delacour 8.36% 12 13 0.70% 9 -0.7 QuinnBet: 12/1, 5pl, 1/4
Pia Babnik 1.00% 100 36 130
Pranavi Urs 1.69% 59 51 130
Romy Meekers 0.10% 1000 501 71
Rosanne Boere 0.00% 10000 351 56
Rosie Davies 0.11% 909 601 69
Sanna Nuutinen 0.42% 238 601 0.30% 44 -0.3 Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sara Byrne 0.84% 119 151 0.20% 71 -0.2 QuinnBet: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sara Kouskova 1.34% 75 41 38
Sarah Schober 0.28% 357 251 127
Smilla Tarning Soenderby 1.00% 100 71 90
Sneha Singh 0.02% 5000 751
Sofie Bringner 0.48% 208 251 0.10% 61 -0.1 William Hill: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sofie Kibsgaard 0.18% 556 201 19
Sophie Witt 0.02% 5000 601 102
Stacy Lee Bregman 0.06% 1667 751 44
Tereza Kozeluhova 0.02% 5000 1001 119
Tereza Melecka 0.04% 2500 351 116
Thalia Martin 0.15% 667 501 44
Tiia Koivisto 0.13% 769 751 90
Tina Mazarino 0.66% 152 176 0.10% 56 -0.1 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Trichat Cheenglab 0.43% 233 151 12
Tvesa Malik 0.05% 2000 601 71
Ursula Wikstrom 0.53% 189 176 32
Verena Gimmy 0.03% 3333 751 119
Wenyung Keh 0.21% 476 601 102
Zhen Bontan 0.01% 10000 1001 126

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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