Simulation Results: Czech Ladies Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Agathe Sauzon 0.86% 116 91 87
Alessandra Fanali 1.93% 52 26 13
Alessia Nobilio 0.53% 189 151 107
Alexandra Forsterling 1.83% 55 23 80
Alexandra Swayne 0.57% 175 201 0.10% 46 -0.1 QuinnBet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amaia Latorre 0.71% 141 141 87
Amandeep Drall 0.03% 3333 1001 46
Amelia Garvey 2.67% 37 29 40
Amy Taylor 0.45% 222 201 57
Amy Walsh 0.00% 10000 1001 129
Anais Meyssonnier 0.01% 10000 1001 87
Anna Huang 0.93% 108 151 0.30% 17 -0.3 QuinnBet: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Anna Magnusson 0.26% 385 201 72
Anna Zanusso 0.63% 159 141 72
Annabell Fuller 0.93% 108 61 31
Anne-Charlotte Mora 0.17% 588 301 107
Annika Kohoutek 0.06% 1667 1001 125
Ariane Klotz 0.30% 333 126 96
Aunchisa Utama 0.54% 185 176 31
Avani Prashanth 2.63% 38 34 107
Billie-Jo Smith 0.13% 769 351 72
Blanca Fernandez 0.32% 313 151 119
Brianna Navarrosa 1.78% 56 51 17
Camille Chevalier 0.18% 556 351 40
Canice Screene 0.09% 1111 601 72
Carmen Alonso 0.03% 3333 1001 116
Carolin Kauffmann 0.14% 714 451 65
Casandra Alexander 1.89% 53 23 1
Celina Sattelkau 0.44% 227 451 0.20% 26 -0.2 Spreadex: 450/1, 6pl, 1/5
Celine Herbin 0.70% 143 151 17
Charlotte Laffar 0.03% 3333 601 116
Chiara Noja 0.34% 294 81 17
Chloe Williams 1.60% 63 41 57
Clara Moyano Reigosa 0.01% 10000 1001 107
Daniela Darquea 3.78% 26 67 2.30% 31 -2.3 Betway: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Danielle Du Toit 0.04% 2500 451 96
Darcey Harry 3.11% 32 34 0.20% 4 0.256 Spreadex: 33/1, 6pl, 1/5
Diksha Dagar 2.91% 34 19 46
Dorota Zalewska 0.09% 1111 351 17
Dorthea Forbrigd 2.13% 47 51 0.20% 17 -0.2 QuinnBet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Eleanor Givens 0.26% 385 301 40
Ellie Gower 0.05% 2000 1001 116
Ellinor Sudow 0.21% 476 501 31
Emie Peronnin 0.11% 909 501 87
Emily Penttila 0.06% 1667 601 13
Emma Grechi 0.74% 135 176 0.20% 96 -0.2 Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Emma Spitz 6.64% 15 10 17
Esme Hamilton 0.07% 1429 601 2
Eva Kozeluhova 0.00% 10000 1001 131
Florentyna Parker 0.15% 667 501 54
Georgia Oboh 0.04% 2500 2001 26
Gudrun Bjorgvinsdottir 0.08% 1250 751 96
Hannah Gregg 0.01% 10000 1501 123
Hannah Screen 4.10% 24 19 9
Harang Lee 0.05% 2000 1001 26
Hayley Davis 0.06% 1667 601 80
Helen Tamy Kreuzer 0.06% 1667 601 96
Hester Sicking 0.00% 10000 1001 96
Hitaashee Bakshi 0.55% 182 251 0.20% 62 -0.2 QuinnBet: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jess Baker 0.06% 1667 751 46
Johanna Wrigley 1.00% 100 71 26
Kajsa Arwefjall 1.08% 93 46 72
Katherine Hollern 0.03% 3333 1001 87
Kelsey Bennett 1.50% 67 36 46
Kelsey Macdonald 0.00% 10000 1001 128
Kiera Floyd 1.16% 86 26 107
Kim Metraux 0.28% 357 176 4
Kirsten Rudgeley 0.76% 132 111 9
Klara Davidson Spilkova 1.51% 66 36 40
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.06% 1667 351 123
Kylie Henry 0.22% 455 501 119
Laura Beveridge 0.32% 313 251 119
Laura Fuenfstueck 0.95% 105 61 4
Lauren Walsh 3.78% 26 15 31
Leonie Harm 0.46% 217 101 9
Lianna Bailey 0.04% 2500 1001 70
Lily May Humphreys 0.13% 769 601 72
Liz Young 0.70% 143 161 0.10% 80 -0.1 Spreadex: 160/1, 6pl, 1/5
Lorna Mcclymont 0.65% 154 161 107
Louise Stahle 0.03% 3333 2001 132
Luna Sobron Galmes 2.60% 38 21 2
Lydia Hall 1.59% 63 67 0.10% 17 -0.1 Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 1.08% 93 101 0.10% 46 -0.1 QuinnBet: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Madelene Stavnar 0.17% 588 201 80
Magdalena Simmermacher 0.02% 5000 1501 129
Maha Haddioui 0.56% 179 151 80
Maria Hernandez 0.67% 149 201 0.20% 62 -0.2 Spreadex: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Marianne Skarpnord 0.32% 313 401 0.10% 57 -0.1 Spreadex: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Marta Martin 0.76% 132 101
Marta Sanz Barrio 0.07% 1429 601 68
Mayka Hoogeboom 0.01% 10000 1001 96
Megan Dennis 0.02% 5000 1001 96
Meghan MacLaren 0.05% 2000 601 80
Michaela Finn 0.22% 455 401 70
Michele Thomson 0.01% 10000 1501 96
Moa Folke 1.07% 93 46 54
Momoka Kobori 0.85% 118 67 31
Natalie Saint Germain 0.12% 833 251 9
Nobuhle Dlamini 0.03% 3333 1001 107
Noora Komulainen 1.26% 79 56 17
Nuria Iturrioz 1.38% 72 41 4
Olivia Mehaffey 0.01% 10000 751 65
Pasqualle Coffa 0.00% 10000 2501 119
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.80% 125 76 72
Patricie Mackova 0.80% 125 111 62
Perrine Delacour 6.59% 15 13 4
Pia Babnik 2.31% 43 34 13
Romy Meekers 0.15% 667 401 26
Rosie Davies 0.16% 625 351 31
Sanna Nuutinen 0.64% 156 401 0.40% 46 -0.4 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sara Byrne 1.15% 87 101 0.20% 40 -0.2 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sara Kouskova 6.04% 17 12 13
Sarah Schober 0.13% 769 601 54
Sideri Vanova 0.00% 10000 1001 125
Sneha Singh 0.00% 10000 1501 65
Sofia Barroso Sa 0.58% 172 141 40
Sofia Cherif Essakali 0.03% 3333 151 96
Sofie Kibsgaard 0.81% 123 81 31
Sophie Witt 0.01% 10000 1001 87
Stacy Lee Bregman 0.06% 1667 1001 87
Tereza Kozeluhova 0.00% 10000 1001 107
Tereza Melecka 0.13% 769 751 57
Thalia Martin 0.16% 625 501 87
Tiia Koivisto 0.08% 1250 1001 107
Trichat Cheenglab 1.53% 65 51 31
Tvesa Malik 0.17% 588 501 46
Ursula Wikstrom 0.94% 106 111 68
Vanessa Bouvet 0.01% 10000 1501 57
Vani Kapoor 0.12% 833 751 80
Verena Gimmy 0.01% 10000 1001 87
Veronika Kedronova 0.01% 10000 151 72
Wenyung Keh 0.04% 2500 601 125

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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