Simulation Results: Czech Ladies Open

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Agathe Laisne	1.94%	52	23		63
Agathe Sauzon	0.33%	303	301		70
Aine Donegan	0.48%	208	161		53
Alessandra Fanali	1.88%	53	46		24
Alessia Nobilio	0.48%	208	226		49
Alexandra Forsterling	3.86%	26	17		12
Alexandra Swayne	0.31%	323	351		53
Alice Hewson	2.47%	40	23		43
Amaia Latorre	0.27%	370	1001	0.20%	10	-0.2	Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amelia Garvey	1.42%	70	34		6
Amy Lee	0.74%	135	301	0.40%	120	-0.4	Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Taylor	0.34%	294	401	0.10%	85	-0.1	Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ana Dawson	0.09%	1111	601		92
Andrea Lignell	0.02%	5000	1001		92
Anna Andrysova	0.09%	1111	351		70
Anna Morgan	1.97%	51	41		24
Anna Zanusso	1.27%	79	61		4
Annabell Fuller	1.12%	89	46		92
Annika Borrelli	0.34%	294	226		59
Annika Kohoutek	0.03%	3333	2501		126
April Angurasaranee	0.38%	263	181		120
Ariane Klotz	0.27%	370	226		36
Aunchisa Utama	1.03%	97	71		117
Avani Prashanth	0.95%	105	51		92
Ayako Uehara	0.51%	196	226	0.10%	113	-0.1	Bet365: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Belinda Ji	0.09%	1111	601		70
Blanca Fernandez	0.91%	110	101		24
Brianna Navarrosa	1.39%	72	34		92
Caitlyn Macnab	0.67%	149	91		53
Caley McGinty	2.55%	39	34		24
Camille Chevalier	0.58%	172	201	0.10%	42	-0.1	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cara Gorlei	0.18%	556	401		113
Carmen Alonso	0.03%	3333	1001		125
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen	0.33%	303	401	0.10%	24	-0.1	Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Celina Sattelkau	1.81%	55	31		70
Celine Herbin	2.74%	36	36		70
Charlotte Heath	1.04%	96	161	0.40%	12	-0.4	Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Charlotte Liautier	0.23%	435	501		63
Chiara Noja	0.82%	122	91		107
Corinne Viden	0.18%	556	501		92
Daniela Darquea	2.48%	40	71	1.10%	5	9.075	Betway: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Danielle Buitendag	0.01%	10000	1001		132
Darcey Harry	1.04%	96	81		70
Diksha Dagar	3.76%	27	15		12
Dorota Zalewska	0.55%	182	251	0.20%	70	-0.2	Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dorthea Forbrigd	3.12%	32	29		63
Eleanor Givens	0.46%	217	301	0.10%	36	-0.1	Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ellen Hume	0.10%	1000	601		53
Ellie Gower	0.00%	10000	1001		107
Emma Falcher	0.12%	833	451		62
Emma Grechi	0.23%	435	601	0.10%	70	-0.1	Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Emma Spitz	2.49%	40	41	0.10%	6	-0.1	William Hill: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Esme Hamilton	1.17%	85	51		12
Fernanda Lira	0.16%	625	501		107
Gemma Clews	0.93%	108	126	0.10%	63	-0.1	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Georgia Iziemgbe Oboh	0.16%	625	401		63
Ginnie Ding	0.32%	313	181		12
Hannah Burke	0.15%	667	551		92
Hannah Gregg	0.01%	10000	1001		131
Hannah Karg	0.04%	2500	1001		92
Hannah Screen	2.57%	39	34		59
Harang Lee	0.45%	222	161		107
Hitaashee Bakshi	0.08%	1250	601		128
Hyeonji Kang	0.09%	1111	551		70
Jana Melichova	0.09%	1111	301		36
Jess Baker	0.28%	357	301		85
Jessica Hall	0.19%	526			70
Justice Bosio	0.85%	118	101		2
Kajsa Arwefjall	2.44%	41	19		85
Katerina Smolikova	0.00%	10000	1001		130
Katharina Muehlbauer	0.21%	476	751	0.10%	53	-0.1	Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kelsey MacDonald	0.13%	769	751		120
Kirsten Rudgeley	2.73%	37	19		24
Kristyna Napoleaova	0.43%	233	201		70
Laura Beveridge	0.13%	769	551		107
Lee-Anne Pace	1.74%	57	81	0.50%	24	-0.5	Spreadex: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Leonie Harm	2.03%	49	29		63
Lianna Bailey	0.10%	1000	751		92
Lily May Humphreys	0.48%	208	201		92
Lisa Pettersson	1.67%	60	51		2
Liz Young	0.50%	200	351	0.20%	12	-0.2	Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lois Lau	0.53%	189	176		85
Louise Rydqvist	0.19%	526	1001	0.10%	24	-0.1	Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Luca Thompson	0.05%	2000	751		43
Lucie Vachova	0.12%	833	501		43
Luna Sobron Galmes	1.66%	60	46		36
Lydia Hall	2.13%	47	67	0.60%	43	-0.6	Spreadex: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard	1.40%	71	61		63
Madelene Stavnar	0.09%	1111	751		120
Magdalena Simmermacher	0.08%	1250	551		85
Maha Haddioui	0.84%	119	176	0.30%	49	-0.3	Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maria Eidhagen-Harrouch	0.01%	10000	1001		92
Maria Parra	0.03%	3333	2001		107
Marianne Skarpnord	0.41%	244	251		24
Marta Martin	0.21%	476	401		12
Marta Sanz Barrio	0.06%	1667	751		117
Meghan MacLaren	0.82%	122	67		85
Michaela Vavrova	0.08%	1250	601		12
Moa Folke	1.17%	85	67		10
Momoka Kobori	0.28%	357	176		24
Nadia Van Der Westhuizen	0.04%	2500	451		127
Napat Lertsadwattana	0.90%	111	151	0.20%	49	-0.2	William Hill: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Natalie Saint Germain	0.04%	2500	176		113
Nobuhle Dlamini	0.10%	1000	751		92
Noora Komulainen	0.65%	154	101		1
Olivia Mehaffey	0.05%	2000	1251		20
Patricia Isabel Schmidt	0.70%	143	201	0.20%	53	-0.2	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Patricie Mackova	0.36%	278	401	0.10%	43	-0.1	Ladbrokes: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Pia Babnik	1.70%	59	26		6
Pranavi Urs	2.14%	47	61	0.50%	24	-0.5	Ladbrokes: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ridhima Dilawari	0.08%	1250	751		92
Roberta Liti	2.31%	43	56	0.50%	6	-0.5	Bet365: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
Romy Meekers	0.37%	270	301		43
Sana Tufail	0.00%	10000	1001		120
Sanna Nuutinen	0.13%	769	401		70
Sara Byrne	1.04%	96	101	0.10%	36	-0.1	Boyle Sports: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sara Kouskova	1.78%	56	31		20
Sarah Kemp	2.12%	47	56	0.30%	70	-0.3	Spreadex: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sarah Schober	0.26%	385	601	0.10%	20	-0.1	Bet365: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sarah Uebelhart	0.00%	10000	501		70
Sofie Kibsgaard	1.09%	92	67		113
Sophie Witt	0.32%	313	201		128
Stephanie Bunque	0.41%	244	351	0.10%	117	-0.1	Spreadex: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tereza Melecka	0.43%	233	251		92
Tereza Zapletal Kozeluhova	0.05%	2000	601		61
Thalia Martin	0.31%	323	401	0.10%	85	-0.1	Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tina Mazarino	0.17%	588	401		92
Trichat Cheenglab	0.53%	189	71		20
Ursula Wikstrom	0.80%	125	176	0.20%	36	-0.2	Spreadex: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Vanessa Knecht	0.17%	588	376		24
Vani Kapoor	0.01%	10000	1001		49
Verena Gimmy	0.14%	714	751		70

					Result	P/L	E/W Play

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Daniela Darquea	2.48%	40	71	1.10%	5	16.5	Betway: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Lydia Hall	2.13%	47	67	0.60%	43	-2	Spreadex: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Roberta Liti	2.31%	43	56	0.50%	6	-2	Bet365: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.