Simulation Results: Women's British Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
A Lim Kim 1.49% 67 91 0.40% 4 4.3 Betfred: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Akie Iwai 1.18% 85 56 40
Albane Valenzuela 0.27% 370 401 72
Alessandra Fanali 0.11% 909 401 106
Alexa Pano 0.04% 2500 751 33
Alexandra Forsterling 0.02% 5000 1001 72
Alice Hewson 0.11% 909 501 119
Aline Krauter 0.18% 556 351 126
Allisen Corpuz 0.50% 200 201 72
Amelia Garvey 0.07% 1429 251 72
Amy Yang 0.46% 217 326 0.20% 50 -0.2 Spreadex: 325/1, 6pl, 1/5
Andrea Lee 1.68% 60 61 11
Angel Yin 2.73% 37 31 40
Anna Foster 0.07% 1429 401 132
Anna Huang 0.04% 2500 751 119
Anna Nordqvist 0.15% 667 601 30
Ariya Jutanugarn 1.95% 51 29 23
Arpichaya Yubol 0.20% 500 401 58
Ashleigh Buhai 0.23% 435 226 50
Auston Kim 0.38% 263 121 84
Ayaka Furue 1.23% 81 61 33
Brianna Do 0.02% 5000 1001 132
Bronte Law 0.10% 1000 601 50
Brooke M. Henderson 1.24% 81 101 0.30% 72 -0.3 Spreadex: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Brooke Matthews 0.18% 556 751 46
Cara Gainer 0.14% 714 451 93
Carla Bernat 0.03% 3333 801 58
Carlota Ciganda 0.64% 156 111 136
Casandra Alexander 0.20% 500 276 40
Cassie Porter 0.11% 909 351 119
Celine Boutier 2.21% 45 34 23
Chanettee Wannasaen 0.45% 222 126 84
Charley Hull 2.56% 39 46 0.40% 2 2.05 Bet365: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chiara Tamburlini 0.21% 476 251 13
Chisato Iwai 0.81% 123 91 58
Darcey Harry 0.12% 833 176 40
Dasom Ma 0.34% 294 451 0.10% 69 -0.1 Spreadex: 450/1, 6pl, 1/5
Dewi Weber 0.19% 526 751 0.10% 84 -0.1 Betfred: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Diksha Dagar 0.05% 2000 601 46
Dongeun Lee 0.40% 250 141 106
Elizabeth Szokol 0.19% 526 451 106
Emma Spitz 0.13% 769 451 55
Eri Okayama 0.08% 1250 201 84
Esther Henseleit 1.89% 53 71 0.50% 23 -0.5 Betfred: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gabriela Ruffels 0.53% 189 141 72
Gaby Lopez 0.87% 115 141 0.20% 93 -0.2 Spreadex: 140/1, 6pl, 1/5
Gemma Dryburgh 0.20% 500 401 72
Georgia Hall 0.51% 196 126 19
Grace Kim 0.62% 161 126 67
Haeji Kang 0.02% 5000 1001 129
Haeran Ryu 0.97% 103 51 23
Hannah Green 0.44% 227 131 136
Helen Briem 0.23% 435 126 93
Hinako Shibuno 0.11% 909 601 72
Hira Naveed 0.04% 2500 751 93
Hye-Jin Choi 4.18% 24 34 1.30% 106 -1.3 Spreadex: 33/1, 6pl, 1/5
Hyo Joo Kim 3.30% 30 31 0.10% 13 -0.1 Betfred: 30/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ilhee Lee 0.03% 3333 751 46
In Gee Chun 0.44% 227 111 39
Ina Yoon 0.87% 115 161 0.30% 93 -0.3 Spreadex: 160/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ingrid Lindblad 0.39% 256 151 93
Jeeno Thitikul 5.27% 19 12 30
Jeneath Wong 0.02% 5000 1251 71
Jennifer Kupcho 1.24% 81 81 102
Jenny Bae 0.17% 588 351 136
Jenny Shin 0.87% 115 151 0.20% 23 -0.2 Betfred: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jin Hee Im 1.26% 79 71 23
Jin Young Ko 1.24% 81 51 106
Jiyai Shin 0.19% 526 121 72
Julia Lopez Ramirez 0.58% 172 111 136
Jungmin Hong 0.53% 189 126 106
Karis Davidson 0.31% 323 451 0.10% 126 -0.1 Spreadex: 450/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kirsten Rudgeley 0.10% 1000 501 141
Kristen Gillman 0.22% 455 401 55
Laura Fuenfstueck 0.01% 10000 601 67
Lauren Coughlin 1.10% 91 71 13
Lauren Walsh 0.07% 1429 601 72
Leona Maguire 0.77% 130 56 63
Lilia Vu 0.10% 1000 226 106
Lindy Duncan 0.94% 106 176 0.40% 46 -0.4 Betfred: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Linn Grant 0.63% 159 101 19
Linnea Strom 0.03% 3333 1001 136
Liz Young 0.02% 5000 2001 129
Lottie Woad 8.64% 12 8 8
Lucy Li 0.48% 208 276 0.10% 84 -0.1 Spreadex: 275/1, 6pl, 1/5
Lydia Hall 0.01% 10000 1001 72
Lydia Ko 1.15% 87 36 36
Madelene Sagstrom 0.48% 208 101 40
Maja Stark 0.19% 526 226 119
Manon De Roey 0.26% 385 401 55
Mao Saigo 0.77% 130 51 11
Maria Hernandez 0.00% 10000 1251 129
Marta Martin 0.01% 10000 1501 141
Mary Liu 0.34% 294 401 0.10% 58 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Megan Khang 1.88% 53 67 0.40% 6 -0.4 William Hill: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Meja Ortengren 0.00% 10000 1001 106
Mi Hyang Lee 1.09% 92 101 0.10% 50 -0.1 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mimi Rhodes 0.09% 1111 301 19
Minami Katsu 0.36% 278 226 2
Minjee Lee 4.27% 23 17 13
Miranda Wang 0.32% 313 301 102
Miyu Yamashita 2.54% 39 29 1
Momoka Kobori 0.02% 5000 751 106
Morgane Metraux 0.11% 909 1001 23
Moriya Jutanugarn 0.04% 2500 1010 119
Nanna Koerstz Madsen 1.61% 62 61 72
Narin An 0.34% 294 301 30
Nasa Hataoka 0.97% 103 91 33
Nastasia Nadaud 0.15% 667 551 93
Nataliya Guseva 0.09% 1111 751 106
Nelly Korda 5.68% 18 12 36
Olivia Cowan 0.07% 1429 751 84
Pajaree Anannarukarn 0.30% 333 401 0.10% 13 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Patty Tavatanakit 0.30% 333 151 63
Paula Martin Sampedro 0.02% 5000 551 8
Paula Reto 0.23% 435 276 132
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard 0.24% 417 401 69
Peiyun Chien 0.18% 556 451 119
Perrine Delacour 0.38% 263 326 0.10% 63 -0.1 Spreadex: 325/1, 6pl, 1/5
Rio Takeda 1.25% 80 56 4
Rose Zhang 0.43% 233 161 84
Ruoning Yin 1.19% 84 36 106
Saki Baba 0.11% 909 751 106
Sara Kouskova 0.05% 2000 751 119
Sarah Schmelzel 0.81% 123 126 36
Sayaka Takahashi 0.26% 385 141 84
Sei Young Kim 1.05% 95 71 13
Shannon Tan 0.21% 476 226 40
Shiho Kuwaki 0.24% 417 101 102
Shinsil Bang 1.23% 81 101 0.20% 84 -0.2 Betway: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shuri Sakuma 0.36% 278 176 102
Somi Lee 1.84% 54 41 106
Soo Bin Joo 0.13% 769 401 93
Sophia Popov 0.02% 5000 801 144
Sora Kamiya 0.12% 833 2541 0.10% 93 -0.1 10Bet: 2540/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stacy Lewis 0.03% 3333 1251 50
Stephanie Kyriacou 0.56% 179 101 8
Wei-Ling Hsu 0.26% 385 451 6
Weiwei Zhang 0.16% 625 451 126
Yan Liu 0.12% 833 751 19
Yani Tseng 0.01% 10000 2501 63
Yealimi Noh 0.69% 145 91 132
Yuka Saso 0.06% 1667 601 141
Yuri Yoshida 0.49% 204 301 0.20% 58 -0.2 Betfred: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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