Simulation Results: Australian Women's Classic

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Abbie Teasdale 0.00% 10000 251 86
Agathe Sauzon 0.47% 213 126 86
Alessandra Fanali 0.51% 196 76 44
Alessia Nobilio 1.58% 63 126 0.80% 44 -0.8 Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Alexandra Swayne 0.45% 222 301 0.10% 107 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Alice Hewson 3.83% 26 23 21
Amelia Garvey 0.92% 109 81 60
Amelia Mehmet Grohn 0.05% 2000 1001 93
Amy Chu 0.01% 10000 1501 123
Amy Taylor 0.61% 164 251 0.20% 53 -0.2 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Amy Walsh 0.06% 1667 1501 119
Ana Pelaez Trivino 2.01% 50 34 16
Anna Foster 0.23% 435 251 53
Anna Huang 0.39% 256 401 0.10% 16 -0.1 Skybet: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Anna Magnusson 0.80% 125 276 0.40% 21 -0.4 Spreadex: 275/1, 6pl, 1/5
Anna Zanusso 0.03% 3333 501 119
Annabel Wilson 0.50% 200 351 0.20% 77 -0.2 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Annabell Fuller 2.82% 35 51 0.90% 44 -0.9 Unibet: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5
Annalese McKee 0.00% 10000 1001 126
April Angurasaranee 0.34% 294 176 44
Ariane Klotz 0.03% 3333 301 126
Aunchisa Utama 0.56% 179 251 0.20% 77 -0.2 William Hill: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Avani Prashanth 1.77% 56 76 0.50% 13 -0.5 Spreadex: 75/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ayako Uehara 0.90% 111 161 0.30% 71 -0.3 Spreadex: 160/1, 6pl, 1/5
Belinda Ji 0.07% 1429 1001 107
Billie-Jo Smith 0.10% 1000 176 129
Blanca Fernandez 1.73% 58 111 0.80% 60 -0.8 Paddy Power: 110/1, 6pl, 1/5
Brianna Navarrosa 2.51% 40 111 1.60% 10 -1.6 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Camille Chevalier 0.06% 1667 751 53
Cara Gainer 2.45% 41 51 0.50% 2 2.25 Spreadex: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5
Cecilie Finne-Ipsen 0.42% 238 351 0.10% 65 -0.1 Spreadex: 350/1, 6pl, 1/5
Celine Herbin 1.63% 61 81 0.40% 100 -0.4 Ladbrokes: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chiara Noja 0.47% 213 101 86
Chizuru Ueda 0.00% 10000 1501 100
Cholcheva Wongras 0.49% 204 67 3
Claire Shin 0.41% 244 151 53
Daniela Darquea 2.04% 49 51 0.10% 21 -0.1 Unibet: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5
Danni Vasquez 0.32% 313 1501 0.30% 100 -0.3 Skybet: 1500/1, 6pl, 1/5
Darcey Harry 0.03% 3333 501 6
Diksha Dagar 1.18% 85 51 93
Dorthea Forbrigd 0.86% 116 151 0.20% 41 -0.2 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Eleanor Givens 0.28% 357 501 0.10% 100 -0.1 QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Elena Moosmann 0.37% 270 201 77
Ellinor Sudow 0.25% 400 751 0.10% 123 -0.1 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Elmay Viking 0.00% 10000 2001 119
Emma Ash 0.00% 10000 2501 132
Emma Spitz 3.02% 33 29 6
Gabriella Cowley 0.46% 217 201 86
Ginnie Ding 0.02% 5000 601 115
Godiva Kim 0.21% 476 601 107
Grace Kim 4.45% 22 15 6
Grace Rho 0.00% 10000 501 93
Hanee Song 0.11% 909 601 115
Hannah Burke 0.27% 370 301 31
Hannah Gregg 0.02% 5000 1001 75
Hannah Screen 1.56% 64 67 0.10% 27 -0.1 Unibet: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Helen Tamy Kreuzer 0.03% 3333 751 60
Hyojin Yang 2.96% 34 41 0.50% 53 -0.5 Unibet: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ikeba Hinata 0.46% 217 401 0.20% 10 -0.2 Ladbrokes: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jennifer Koga 0.00% 10000 1501 107
Jeongmin Cho 0.60% 167 151 27
Jess Whitting 0.15% 667 601 53
Jordan O'Brien 0.47% 213 1501 0.40% 115 -0.4 Skybet: 1500/1, 6pl, 1/5
Justice Bosio 2.27% 44 51 0.30% 93 -0.3 QuinnBet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kajsa Arwefjall 0.76% 132 101 4
Kathryn Norris 0.00% 10000 351 107
Kelsey Bennett 1.00% 100 51 41
Kim Metraux 0.32% 313 351 100
Kirsten Rudgeley 0.91% 110 34 31
Klara Davidson Spilkova 0.62% 161 126 77
Kristyna Napoleaova 0.02% 5000 751 71
Kylie Henry 0.14% 714 501 44
Laura Fuenfstueck 0.46% 217 161 77
Lauren Walsh 2.35% 43 34 16
Lily May Humphreys 0.07% 1429 451 126
Lisa Pettersson 0.58% 172 131 44
Liyana Azizan Durisic 0.02% 5000 126 44
Liz Young 1.34% 75 91 0.20% 44 -0.2 Spreadex: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
Luna Sobron Galmes 1.88% 53 36 86
Lydia Hall 0.57% 175 101 41
Maddison Hinson-Tolchard 0.15% 667 376 107
Magdalena Simmermacher 0.04% 2500 1001 71
Maha Haddioui 0.21% 476 376 77
Manon De Roey 2.94% 34 15 1
Maria Hernandez 0.37% 270 176 21
Marianne Skarpnord 0.13% 769 501 31
Marta Martin 0.62% 161 126 13
Megan Dennis 0.01% 10000 351 123
Meghan MacLaren 0.12% 833 276 65
Michaela Finn 0.86% 116 301 0.50% 93 -0.5 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michele Thomson 0.01% 10000 1501 44
Michelle Bang 0.00% 10000 1001 86
Mimi Rhodes 1.50% 67 67 77
Mina Yoon 1.51% 66 151 0.90% 86 -0.9 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Moa Folke 1.49% 67 67 27
Momoka Kobori 0.88% 114 67 60
Munchin Keh 0.01% 10000 1001 129
Nastasia Nadaud 1.60% 63 29 16
Natacha Host Husted 0.33% 303 251 60
Nayeon Eum 0.01% 10000 751 100
Noora Komulainen 0.37% 270 301 31
Nuria Iturrioz 0.79% 127 71 93
Patricia Isabel Schmidt 0.59% 169 101 119
Pattaraporn Mounchoo 0.00% 10000 65
Pauline Roussin-Bouchard 2.82% 35 17 31
Perrine Delacour 3.35% 30 41 0.90% 31 -0.9 Spreadex: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Pia Babnik 0.72% 139 31 16
Polly Mack 2.36% 42 34 31
Pranavi Urs 1.34% 75 71 65
Rachel Lee 0.19% 526 251 71
Rhianna Lewis 0.01% 10000 1501 31
Rosie Davies 0.25% 400 301 100
Sanna Nuutinen 0.42% 238 501 0.20% 77 -0.2 QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sara Kouskova 1.11% 90 81 6
Sarah Kemp 3.95% 25 34 1.00% 4 3.625 QuinnBet: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sarah Schober 0.36% 278 251 13
Sarah Yamaki Branch 0.00% 10000 1001 107
Saraporn Chamchoi 0.26% 385 115
Shannon Tan 3.36% 30 17 31
Shyla Singh 0.00% 10000 301 107
Smilla Tarning Soenderby 0.07% 1429 351 10
Sophie Eppelstun 0.00% 10000 351 77
Steffi Vogel 0.29% 345 1501 0.20% 65 -0.2 QuinnBet: 1500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stephanie Bunque 0.04% 2500 1501 31
Tatiana Wijaya 0.01% 10000 1001 70
Tina Mazarino 0.02% 5000 151 53
Trichat Cheenglab 1.52% 66 51 21
Ursula Wikstrom 0.38% 263 181 21
Vanessa Bouvet 0.00% 10000 1501 131
Verena Gimmy 0.03% 3333 1001 93
Wenyung Keh 0.01% 10000 601 27
Winnie Ng 0.00% 10000 2001 76

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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