Simulation Results: Japan Golf Tour Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aguri Iwasaki 1.69% 59 36 6
Brad Kennedy 0.82% 122 86 24
Chisato Takamiya 0.00% 10000 1501 120
Daichi Sakuda 0.04% 2500 751 107
Daijiro Izumida 0.40% 250 176 66
Daisuke Kataoka 0.08% 1250 351 58
Eric Sugimoto 0.07% 1429 751 113
Fumihiro Ebine 0.06% 1667 751 77
Genki Okada 0.18% 556 501 113
Genzo Tokimatsu 0.31% 323 276 77
Guntaek Koh 0.24% 417 81 68
Gyumin Lee 0.23% 435 201 45
Haruto Uchiyama 0.17% 588 501 120
Hideto Kobukuro 0.06% 1667 601 107
Hideto Tanihara 0.26% 385 176 77
Hiroshi Iwata 2.65% 38 29 20
Hirotaro Naito 0.37% 270 226 58
Hyun-Woo Ryu 0.99% 101 101 39
Itsuki Kurokawa 0.02% 5000 751 77
Jbe Kruger 0.15% 667 251 103
Jigen Serizawa 0.25% 400 251 124
Justin De Los Santos 0.34% 294 351 0.10% 11 -0.1 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Juvic Pagunsan 0.20% 500 226 68
Katsuyuki Sakurai 0.01% 10000 1251 129
Kazuki Higa 4.36% 23 17 11
Kazuki Yasumori 0.38% 263 226 27
Kazumasa Matsuda 0.22% 455 351 113
Keigo Kaneoka 0.11% 909 401 77
Keisuke Sato 0.04% 2500 501 77
Kento Yamawaki 0.10% 1000 601 94
Kodai Ichihara 0.36% 278 251 45
Kohei Okada 1.44% 69 46 107
Koichi Kitamura 0.08% 1250 751 124
Kosei Takeyama 0.09% 1111 601 34
Koshiro Maeda 0.50% 200 226 0.10% 77 -0.1 Bet365: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kosuke Sunagawa 0.17% 588 501 39
Kosuke Suzuki 1.43% 70 67 6
Kota Kaneko 3.49% 29 19 3
Kunihiro Kamii 0.68% 147 151 54
Lloyd Jefferson Go 0.07% 1429 401 65
Masahiro Kawamura 0.37% 270 67 68
Masaki Matsumoto 0.01% 10000 1001 86
Masashi Hidaka 0.11% 909 401 54
Masashi Nakamura 0.04% 2500 751 103
Masato Sumiuchi 0.01% 10000 501 68
Masato Takada 0.01% 10000 94
Michael Hendry 0.61% 164 67 62
Miki Yamaji 0.00% 10000 127
Mikiya Akutsu 1.03% 97 67 6
Mikumu Horikawa 3.33% 30 23 2
Minato Oshima 0.04% 2500 1001 94
Minwook Gwon 0.02% 5000 103
Naoyuki Kataoka 1.71% 58 41 86
Nicklaus Chiam 0.01% 10000 113
Noriyuki Kurogi 0.05% 2000 501 68
Ren Yonezawa 2.69% 37 17 3
Riki Kawamoto 2.34% 43 21 24
Ryo Ishikawa 1.92% 52 51 16
Ryo Katsumata 1.19% 84 101 0.20% 14 -0.2 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryoma Iwai 0.17% 588 251 86
Ryosuke Kinoshita 5.91% 17 17 68
Ryuichi Oiwa 1.91% 52 67 0.40% 86 -0.4 Spreadex: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ryuji Nozawa 0.07% 1429 751 94
Ryunosuke Furukawa 0.32% 313 301 6
Ryutaro Nagano 0.81% 123 67 34
Sanghyun Park 0.32% 313 126 129
Satoshi Hara 0.05% 2000 1251 27
Satoshi Kodaira 0.54% 185 81 107
Sejung Hiramoto 0.34% 294 401 0.10% 48 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shaun Norris 3.30% 30 19 20
Shintaro Ban 0.23% 435 501 48
Shota Matsumoto 0.14% 714 601 48
Shota Seki 0.09% 1111 401 39
Shota Ueki 0.20% 500 401 77
Shotaro Matsuoka 0.03% 3333 1001 20
Shotaro Tanaka 0.41% 244 67 39
Shu Fukuzumi 0.01% 10000 1501 39
Shugo Imahira 4.62% 22 19 27
Shun Murayama 0.01% 10000 2501 113
Shun Niimura 0.04% 2500 1001 86
Shunya Takeyasu 1.04% 96 67 124
Souta Toriumi 0.01% 10000 1001 107
Steve Sugimoto 0.10% 1000 301 67
Suguru Shimoke 0.81% 123 91 27
Sung-Po Yu 0.75% 133 176 0.20% 129 -0.2 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taichi Kimura 0.06% 1667 401 48
Taichi Nabetani 0.87% 115 81 24
Taiga Nagano 1.68% 60 51 37
Taiga Semikawa 3.10% 32 21 1
Taiga Sugihara 1.14% 88 61
Taihei Sato 2.11% 47 23 107
Taiki Yoshida 1.00% 100 67 34
Taiko Nishiyama 0.20% 500 226 20
Taisei Shimizu 3.06% 33 23 127
Taisei Yamada 0.11% 909 601 94
Takahiro Hataji 0.21% 476 251 103
Takanori Konishi 1.07% 93 67 64
Takara Oshima 0.50% 200 251 0.10% 48 -0.1 Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Takashi Ogiso 1.46% 68 34 6
Takumi Murakami 0.03% 3333 1001 27
Tatsunori Shogenji 3.87% 26 17 39
Tatsuya Kodai 0.14% 714 401 45
Terumichi Kakazu 0.32% 313 251 94
Todd Baek 0.17% 588 301 27
Tomoharu Otsuki 1.24% 81 51 11
Tomohiro Ishizaka 0.81% 123 61 16
Tomohiro Kondo 0.09% 1111 401 120
Tomoyasu Sugiyama 0.27% 370 301 113
Tomoyo Ikemura 1.40% 71 51 37
Toru Taniguchi 0.01% 10000 1001 77
Toshiki Bando 0.02% 5000 1501 94
Tsubasa Ukita 0.15% 667 501 120
Yamato Hatta 0.28% 357 301 54
Yasuki Hiramoto 0.04% 2500 1001 94
Yosuke Asaji 1.19% 84 51 16
Yosuke Tsukada 0.55% 182 151 48
Young-Han Song 3.46% 29 19 27
Yujiro Ohori 0.61% 164 176 58
Yuki Furukawa 0.30% 333 151 58
Yuki Inamori 1.94% 52 36 5
Yuki Kitagawa 0.02% 5000 1001 94
Yuki Moriyama 0.13% 769 501 86
Yuki Shino 0.39% 256 201 54
Yusaku Hosono 1.94% 52 34 16
Yusaku Miyazato 0.81% 123 201 0.30% 14 -0.3 Unibet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yusuke Sakamoto 1.28% 78 81 62
Yuta Ikeda 0.29% 345 251 86
Yuta Kawakami 0.10% 1000 601 68
Yuta Kinoshita 0.15% 667 601 68
Yuta Uetake 0.09% 1111 501 113
Yuto Katsumata 0.11% 909 601 86
Yuwa Kosaihira 0.50% 200 141 68

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates