Simulation Results: Token Homemate Cup

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aguri Iwasaki 0.73% 137 81 8
Atomu Shigenaga 0.32% 313 176 76
Brad Kennedy 1.39% 72 41 66
Daichi Sakuda 0.05% 2000 251 51
Daijiro Izumida 0.65% 154 251 0.30% 15 -0.3 Skybet: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Fumihiro Ebine 0.08% 1250 201 37
Gen Nagai 0.01% 10000 501 96
Genki Okada 0.15% 667 401 37
Genzo Tokimatsu 0.00% 10000 69
Gunma Tamura 0.00% 10000 76
Guntaek Koh 1.17% 85 41 69
Gyumin Lee 0.35% 286 176 117
Haruto Uchiyama 0.07% 1429 301 61
Hideto Kobukuro 0.16% 625 751 54
Hideto Tanihara 0.70% 143 101 28
Hikaru Teranishi 0.01% 10000 124
Hiroki Izumida 0.00% 10000 1001 117
Hiroshi Iwata 1.59% 63 67 0.10% 12 -0.1 Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hirotaro Naito 0.56% 179 401 0.30% 54 -0.3 Skybet: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Hyun-Woo Ryu 1.10% 91 91 54
Itsuki Kurokawa 0.02% 5000 1001 37
Jbe Kruger 0.30% 333 201 88
Jigen Serizawa 0.10% 1000 251 15
Jiho Yang 0.32% 313 251 88
Justin De Los Santos 0.99% 101 141 0.30% 28 -0.3 Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Juvic Pagunsan 1.08% 93 101 0.10% 76 -0.1 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Katsuyuki Sakurai 0.18% 556 1001 0.10% 124 -0.1 Spreadex: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kazuki Higa 4.49% 22 10 69
Kazumasa Matsuda 0.11% 909 751 54
Kazuya Osawa 0.01% 10000 1001 65
Keigo Kaneoka 0.03% 3333 1001 103
Kengo Aoshima 0.00% 10000 1001 128
Kento Yamawaki 0.17% 588 301 15
Kenya Nakayama 0.15% 667 751 96
Kodai Ichihara 0.22% 455 401 69
Kohei Kinoshita 0.09% 1111 501 37
Kohei Okada 1.08% 93 91 54
Koichi Kitamura 0.09% 1111 401 76
Kosei Takeyama 0.14% 714 601 37
Koshiro Maeda 1.00% 100 126 0.20% 51 -0.2 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kosuke Sunagawa 0.90% 111 351 0.60% 111 -0.6 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kosuke Suzuki 1.07% 93 161 0.50% 12 -0.5 Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kota Kaneko 2.55% 39 29 20
Kunihiro Kamii 0.70% 143 201 0.20% 54 -0.2 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Masahiro Kuramoto 0.00% 10000 1001 117
Masaki Matsumoto 0.01% 10000 1501 103
Masashi Hidaka 0.07% 1429 751 76
Masashi Nakamura 0.09% 1111 114
Mason Izumikawa 0.00% 10000 1001 114
Michael Hendry 0.73% 137 41 54
Mikiya Akutsu 1.61% 62 56 37
Mikumu Horikawa 2.27% 44 29 8
Minato Oshima 0.10% 1000 1001 96
Naoyuki Kataoka 1.38% 72 61 3
Nicklaus Chiam 0.01% 10000 1001 76
Noriyuki Kurogi 0.08% 1250 501 20
Ren Yonezawa 1.17% 85 51 2
Riki Kawamoto 1.48% 68 34 76
Ryo Ishikawa 1.93% 52 26 20
Ryo Katsumata 1.09% 92 126 0.30% 61 -0.3 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryo Kouzuma 0.00% 10000 130
Ryoma Iwai 0.35% 286 401 0.10% 103 -0.1 Skybet: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ryosuke Kinoshita 4.40% 23 17 8
Ryuichi Arai 0.01% 10000 751 127
Ryuichi Oiwa 1.07% 93 111 0.20% 28 -0.2 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryuji Nozawa 0.07% 1429 401 28
Ryunosuke Furukawa 0.32% 313 301 37
Ryutaro Nagano 1.41% 71 46 51
Sanghee Lee 2.14% 47 56 0.40% 37 -0.4 Bet365: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
Satoshi Hara 0.38% 263 301 67
Satoshi Kodaira 1.79% 56 51 37
Sejung Hiramoto 0.42% 238 151 88
Shintaro Ban 0.26% 385 276 88
Shota Matsumoto 0.06% 1667 501 61
Shota Nakagawa 0.01% 10000 751 131
Shota Ueki 0.37% 270 301 76
Shugo Imahira 5.56% 18 12 96
Shun Murayama 0.01% 10000 1501 117
Shun Niimura 0.58% 172 151 124
Shunta Maeawakura 0.01% 10000 129
Shunya Takeyasu 1.69% 59 51 12
Souta Toriumi 0.01% 10000 501 96
Suguru Shimoke 0.69% 145 101 20
Sung-Po Yu 0.40% 250 276 28
Tadahiro Takayama 0.09% 1111 501 96
Taichi Nabetani 2.61% 38 41 0.20% 20 -0.2 Bet365: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taichiro Ideriha 0.86% 116 126 0.10% 3 1.109375 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taiga Nagano 0.89% 112 101 7
Taiga Sugihara 0.56% 179 126 37
Taihei Sato 1.35% 74 34 37
Taiki Yoshida 1.35% 74 101 0.40% 3 3.5 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taisei Shimizu 3.74% 27 13 132
Taisei Yamada 0.32% 313 176 103
Takahiro Hataji 0.74% 135 71 88
Takanori Konishi 0.65% 154 176 0.10% 28 -0.1 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Takara Oshima 0.30% 333 126 69
Takashi Ogiso 1.62% 62 41 103
Tatsunori Shogenji 1.39% 72 51 1
Tatsuya Kodai 0.40% 250 201 88
Tatuaki Mizuta 0.14% 714 601 67
Terumichi Kakazu 0.95% 105 126 0.20% 103 -0.2 Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Todd Baek 0.82% 122 151 0.20% 76 -0.2 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tomoharu Otsuki 1.84% 54 51 96
Tomohiro Ishizaka 1.45% 69 51 8
Tomohiro Kondo 0.31% 323 351 111
Tomoki Mitsuda 0.01% 10000 751 20
Tomoyasu Sugiyama 1.08% 93 176 0.50% 76 -0.5 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tomoyo Ikemura 1.47% 68 41 3
Toru Nakajima 0.01% 10000 1001 117
Toru Taniguchi 0.01% 10000 1001 88
Toshiki Bando 0.26% 385 1001 0.20% 114 -0.2 Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tsubasa Ukita 0.48% 208 251 0.10% 76 -0.1 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Wataru Ishikawa 0.00% 10000 1001 20
Yamato Hatta 0.14% 714 401 20
Yosuke Asaji 0.82% 122 201 0.30% 28 -0.3 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yosuke Tsukada 0.99% 101 151 0.30% 37 -0.3 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Young-Han Song 3.98% 25 34 1.10% 37 -1.1 Spreadex: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yujiro Ohori 0.74% 135 126 103
Yuki Furukawa 0.17% 588 301 15
Yuki Inamori 2.61% 38 76 1.30% 28 -1.3 Bet365: 75/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuki Kitagawa 0.05% 2000 501 76
Yuki Moriyama 0.07% 1429 601 88
Yuki Shino 0.43% 233 301 0.10% 69 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yusaku Hosono 1.39% 72 41 37
Yusaku Miyazato 0.44% 227 176 122
Yusuke Sakamoto 1.07% 93 61 28
Yuta Kawakami 0.05% 2000 251 69
Yuta Kinoshita 0.17% 588 401 103
Yuta Sugiura 1.45% 69 41 111
Yuta Uetake 0.25% 400 351 122
Yuto Katsumata 0.16% 625 401 15
Yuwa Kosaihira 0.46% 217 151 61

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates