Simulation Results: Taiheiyo Masters

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aguri Iwasaki 0.77% 130 67 59
Akio Mizukami 0.00% 10000 1501 85
Brad Kennedy 0.81% 123 91 43
Daijiro Izumida 0.75% 133 71 30
Fumihiro Ebine 0.03% 3333 1251 80
Genzo Tokimatsu 0.28% 357 751 0.10% 30 -0.1 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Guntaek Koh 0.47% 213 151 62
Hideto Tanihara 0.36% 278 101 14
Hiroshi Iwata 1.59% 63 46 7
Hirotaro Naito 0.29% 345 351 80
Hyun-Woo Ryu 0.59% 169 111 53
Jbe Kruger 0.15% 667 501 68
Jiho Yang 0.07% 1429 401 82
Jinichiro Kozuma 0.79% 127 56 43
Justin De Los Santos 0.67% 149 101 39
Kaito Sato 0.16% 625 351 53
Katsumasa Miyamoto 0.08% 1250 501 70
Kazuki Higa 3.68% 27 13 5
Kazuki Yasumori 0.63% 159 101 62
Kazuma Manabe 0.01% 10000 1001 74
Keiichiro Fukabori 0.01% 10000 1501 65
Kodai Ichihara 0.19% 526 351 43
Kohei Okada 1.21% 83 67 53
Koshiro Maeda 0.39% 256 151 59
Kosuke Suzuki 0.36% 278 301 56
Kota Kaneko 3.76% 27 21 1
Kunihiro Kamii 0.39% 256 301 0.10% 70 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michael Hendry 0.37% 270 226 24
Mikiya Akutsu 0.51% 196 91 37
Mikumu Horikawa 4.18% 24 21 7
Naoki Kaminaga 0.00% 10000 1251 74
Naoto Nakanishi 0.12% 833 601 74
Naoyuki Kataoka 1.51% 66 46 37
Noriyuki Kurogi 0.09% 1111 501 30
Ren Yonezawa 2.61% 38 51 0.70% 14 -0.7 Star Sports: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Riki Kawamoto 2.97% 34 19 74
Rintaro Nakano 0.08% 1250 501 49
Ryo Ishikawa 4.91% 20 15 30
Ryo Katsumata 2.11% 47 34 14
Ryosuke Kinoshita 3.72% 27 26 7
Ryuichi Oiwa 1.38% 72 91 0.30% 70 -0.3 BetMGM: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryunosuke Furukawa 0.83% 120 71 24
Ryutaro Nagano 1.57% 64 61 14
Sanghee Lee 0.58% 172 56 2
Satoshi Kodaira 0.88% 114 67 4
Sejung Hiramoto 0.89% 112 101 49
Shu Fukuzumi 0.87% 115 67 39
Shugo Imahira 4.92% 20 15 21
Shunya Takeyasu 0.25% 400 351 56
Suguru Shimoke 1.63% 61 36 70
Taichi Nabetani 0.86% 116 91 30
Taichiro Ideriha 0.54% 185 81 39
Taiga Nagano 0.85% 118 91 14
Taiga Semikawa 5.97% 17 19 0.70% 30 -0.7 Boyle Sports: 18/1, 6pl, 1/5
Taiga Sugihara 0.27% 370 351 86
Taihei Sato 3.17% 32 34 0.20% 5 0.2625 Star Sports: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taiki Yoshida 3.60% 28 26 3
Taisei Nagasaki 0.05% 2000 151 65
Taisei Shimizu 1.67% 60 81 0.40% 43 -0.4 Boyle Sports: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Taisei Yamada 0.18% 556 401 21
Takahiro Hataji 0.22% 455 351 24
Takanori Konishi 0.29% 345 301 10
Takashi Ogiso 2.98% 34 29 10
Tatsunori Shogenji 3.35% 30 41 0.90% 49 -0.9 Boyle Sports: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Tatsuya Kodai 0.26% 385 151 62
Terumichi Kakazu 0.40% 250 176 82
Todd Baek 0.39% 256 141 74
Tomoharu Otsuki 1.69% 59 46 43
Tomohiro Ishizaka 1.46% 68 71 0.10% 10 -0.1 PaddyPower: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tomohiro Kondo 0.05% 2000 751 74
Tomoyasu Sugiyama 0.26% 385 301 59
Tomoyo Ikemura 1.98% 51 41 24
Toru Taniguchi 0.00% 10000 2001 87
Tsubasa Ukita 0.07% 1429 501 84
Yosuke Tsukada 0.32% 313 351 39
Young-Han Song 3.50% 29 41 1.10% 21 -1.1 Star Sports: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yujiro Ohori 0.64% 156 151 14
Yuki Inamori 1.10% 91 71 43
Yuki Shino 0.13% 769 1001 24
Yusaku Hosono 2.93% 34 34 14
Yusaku Miyazato 0.32% 313 301 56
Yushi Ito 0.09% 1111 501 10
Yusuke Sakamoto 0.72% 139 76 30
Yuta Ikeda 0.17% 588 251 49
Yuta Kinoshita 0.10% 1000 501 69
Yuta Sugiura 2.40% 42 34 67
Yuwa Kosaihira 1.64% 61 51 24

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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