Simulation Results: ISPS Handa Summer Golf Battle Tournament

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aguri Iwasaki 1.29% 78 56 27
Atsuya Ohishi 0.02% 5000 123
Brad Kennedy 1.07% 93 91 65
Chan Kim 3.35% 30 17 106
Daichi Sakuda 0.09% 1111 1251 117
Daijiro Izumida 0.60% 167 176 12
Denzel Ieremia 0.37% 270 61 56
Fumihiro Ebine 0.07% 1429 751 106
Genki Okada 0.39% 256 176 106
Genzo Tokimatsu 0.79% 127 201 0.30% 117 -0.3 Spreadex: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Guntaek Koh 0.28% 357 176 48
Gyumin Lee 0.52% 192 301 0.20% 65 -0.2 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Haruto Uchiyama 0.14% 714 1001 59
Hideto Kobukuro 0.09% 1111 1001 123
Hideto Tanihara 0.41% 244 126 132
Hiroki Tanaka 0.16% 625 301 81
Hiroshi Iwata 1.31% 76 51 3
Hirotaro Naito 0.31% 323 501 0.10% 27 -0.1 Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hyun-Woo Ryu 0.64% 156 111 48
Itsuki Kurokawa 0.05% 2000 1251 48
Jbe Kruger 0.13% 769 301 27
Jigen Serizawa 0.21% 476 751 0.10% 98 -0.1 Spreadex: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jiho Yang 0.19% 526 161
John Oda 0.05% 2000 1501 42
Justin De Los Santos 0.92% 109 61 106
Kaito Onishi 0.80% 125 111 123
Katsuyuki Sakurai 0.00% 10000 2501 64
Kazuki Higa 4.60% 22 13 117
Kazuki Yasumori 0.43% 233 401 0.20% 7 -0.2 Spreadex: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kazumasa Matsuda 0.11% 909 751 106
Keigo Kaneoka 0.16% 625 601 81
Keisuke Sato 0.06% 1667 1251 63
Kento Yamawaki 0.09% 1111 2501 0.10% 129 -0.1 Bet365: 2500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kodai Ichihara 0.36% 278 251 117
Kohei Okada 2.08% 48 41 65
Koichi Kitamura 0.04% 2500 2001 65
Koki Shiomi 0.01% 10000 2001 81
Kosei Takeyama 0.15% 667 1001 0.10% 123 -0.1 Spreadex: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Koshiro Maeda 0.22% 455 501 42
Kosuke Sunagawa 0.43% 233 351 0.10% 27 -0.1 Spreadex: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kosuke Suzuki 0.82% 122 101 81
Kota Kaneko 4.09% 24 15 3
Kouki Tomimoto 0.02% 5000 1501 65
Kunihiro Kamii 0.40% 250 501 0.20% 65 -0.2 Spreadex: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lloyd Jefferson Go 0.04% 2500 751 123
Masaki Matsumoto 0.05% 2000 1501 98
Masashi Hidaka 0.11% 909 1001 65
Masashi Nakamura 0.01% 10000 2001 132
Michael Hendry 0.28% 357 151 81
Mikiya Akutsu 0.63% 159 86 53
Mikumu Horikawa 2.77% 36 17 37
Minato Oshima 0.04% 2500 2001 54
Nanase Wada 0.02% 5000 2001 140
Naoto Nakanishi 0.08% 1250 401 81
Naoyuki Kataoka 1.57% 64 31 42
Nicklaus Chiam 0.09% 1111 301 42
Norihiro Kaneko 0.01% 10000 1501 106
Noriyuki Kurogi 0.11% 909 1001 12
Ren Yonezawa 3.36% 30 14 22
Riki Kawamoto 3.08% 32 17 117
Ryo Ishikawa 1.41% 71 51 37
Ryo Katsumata 1.06% 94 126 0.30% 65 -0.3 Spreadex: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryoma Iwai 0.40% 250 401 0.20% 37 -0.2 Spreadex: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryosuke Kinoshita 2.40% 42 31 20
Ryota Wakahara 0.14% 714 251 81
Ryuichi Oiwa 1.85% 54 71 0.40% 2 3.3 Spreadex: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryuji Nozawa 0.14% 714 1251 0.10% 56 -0.1 Spreadex: 1250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryunosuke Furukawa 1.80% 56 36 20
Ryutaro Nagano 1.39% 72 101 0.40% 22 -0.4 Spreadex: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sanghee Lee 0.62% 161 67 81
Satoshi Hara 0.29% 345 176 27
Satoshi Kodaira 0.50% 200 141 1
Satoshi Nakayama 0.00% 10000 2001 142
Seinosuke Fukui 0.00% 10000 1501 132
Sejung Hiramoto 0.36% 278 226 98
Shinji Tomimura 0.03% 3333 1251 132
Shintaro Ban 0.57% 175 201 0.10% 65 -0.1 Spreadex: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shintaro Kai 0.00% 10000 1501 130
Shiso Go 0.01% 10000 1501 81
Shota Matsumoto 0.13% 769 751 81
Shota Ueki 0.17% 588 1501 0.10% 65 -0.1 Bet365: 1500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shota Yoshimoto 0.05% 2000 751 81
Shotaro Matsuoka 0.33% 303 751 0.20% 81 -0.2 Spreadex: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shotaro Tanaka 0.36% 278 276 12
Shugo Imahira 2.43% 41 26 81
Shun Murayama 0.00% 10000 2501 132
Shun Niimura 0.02% 5000 2501 22
Shunya Takeyasu 0.38% 263 301 106
Sota Furukawa 0.00% 10000 2001 143
Souta Toriumi 0.02% 5000 2001 117
Steve Sugimoto 0.21% 476 751 0.10% 81 -0.1 Spreadex: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Suguru Shimoke 1.01% 99 81 7
Sung-Po Yu 0.24% 417 351 140
Tadahiro Takayama 0.02% 5000 2001 56
Taichi Kho 1.10% 91 41 65
Taichi Kimura 0.06% 1667 1251 27
Taichi Nabetani 0.62% 161 301 0.30% 22 -0.3 Spreadex: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taichiro Ideriha 0.31% 323 351 42
Taiga Nagano 1.76% 57 41 130
Taiga Semikawa 3.06% 33 19 7
Taiga Sugihara 0.46% 217 251 0.10% 106 -0.1 Spreadex: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taihei Sato 0.90% 111 56 65
Taiki Yoshida 1.34% 75 67 27
Taiko Nishiyama 0.46% 217 301 0.10% 98 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taisei Shimizu 1.53% 65 41 27
Taisei Yamada 0.18% 556 1001 0.10% 55 -0.1 Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Takahiro Hataji 0.26% 385 501 0.10% 7 -0.1 Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Takanori Konishi 0.76% 132 151 0.10% 7 -0.1 Spreadex: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Takara Oshima 0.35% 286 301 59
Takashi Ogiso 1.35% 74 71 5
Takumi Kanaya 5.09% 20 11 106
Takumi Murakami 0.12% 833 751 138
Tatsunori Shogenji 3.72% 27 17 37
Tatsuya Kodai 0.25% 400 601 0.10% 42 -0.1 Spreadex: 600/1, 5pl, 1/4
Terumichi Kakazu 0.45% 222 251 0.10% 16 -0.1 Spreadex: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Todd Baek 0.27% 370 351 106
Tomoharu Otsuki 1.35% 74 51 16
Tomohiro Ishizaka 1.31% 76 41 81
Tomohiro Kondo 0.06% 1667 501 138
Tomoyasu Sugiyama 0.37% 270 251 37
Tomoyo Ikemura 2.38% 42 26 65
Toshiki Bando 0.11% 909 751 65
Tsubasa Ukita 0.11% 909 751 98
Yamato Hatta 0.20% 500 601 59
Yoshinori Fujimoto 0.05% 2000 601 16
Yosuke Asaji 0.60% 167 151 98
Yosuke Tsukada 0.50% 200 226 0.10% 65 -0.1 Spreadex: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Young-Han Song 1.18% 85 56 5
Yujiro Ohori 0.86% 116 161 0.20% 16 -0.2 Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuki Furukawa 0.19% 526 601 65
Yuki Inamori 1.31% 76 71 123
Yuki Kitagawa 0.05% 2000 1501 98
Yuki Moriyama 0.15% 667 401 106
Yuki Shino 0.06% 1667 1001 48
Yusaku Hosono 1.22% 82 56 27
Yusaku Miyazato 0.36% 278 251 98
Yusuke Sakamoto 0.61% 164 226 0.20% 81 -0.2 Spreadex: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuta Ikeda 0.07% 1429 751 12
Yuta Kawakami 0.43% 233 251 81
Yuta Kinoshita 0.19% 526 751 0.10% 59 -0.1 Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuta Sugiura 1.45% 69 26 27
Yuta Uetake 0.09% 1111 1001 22
Yuto Katsumata 0.42% 238 301 0.10% 132 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuwa Kosaihira 1.06% 94 61 48

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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