Simulation Results: Mizuno Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aguri Iwasaki 1.25% 80 61 27
Brad Kennedy 0.95% 105 91 50
Daichi Sakuda 0.05% 2000 751 82
Daijiro Izumida 0.59% 169 141 124
Fumihiro Ebine 0.05% 2000 601 103
Genki Okada 0.18% 556 276 95
Genzo Tokimatsu 0.51% 196 251 0.10% 95 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Gyumin Lee 0.17% 588 226 50
Haruto Uchiyama 0.06% 1667 501 37
Hideto Kobukuro 0.12% 833 501 115
Hiroshi Iwata 2.82% 35 26 115
Hirotaro Naito 0.24% 417 251 30
Hyun-Woo Ryu 1.13% 88 81 82
Itsuki Kurokawa 0.02% 5000 1501 43
Jbe Kruger 0.31% 323 101 115
Jigen Serizawa 0.09% 1111 501 50
Jiho Yang 0.17% 588 201 110
Junpei Idogawa 0.00% 10000 751 59
Justin De Los Santos 0.47% 213 201 115
Juvic Pagunsan 0.40% 250 151 122
Kaito Onishi 1.07% 93 46 5
Katsuyuki Sakurai 0.01% 10000 1251 103
Kazuki Higa 4.20% 24 17 5
Kazuki Yasuura 0.02% 5000 1251 60
Kazumasa Matsuda 0.15% 667 351 68
Keigo Kaneoka 0.09% 1111 751 30
Keishou Nakano 0.00% 10000 1001 130
Keisuke Sato 0.03% 3333 82
Kento Yamawaki 0.08% 1250 501 68
Kenya Nakayama 0.07% 1429 751 110
Kinjiro Kato 0.01% 10000 1001 68
Kodai Ichihara 0.38% 263 301 95
Kohei Okada 1.22% 82 51 60
Koichi Kitamura 0.13% 769 601 103
Koki Kamei 0.00% 10000 1251 115
Kosei Takeyama 0.08% 1250 501 62
Koshiro Maeda 0.40% 250 276 30
Kosuke Sunagawa 0.20% 500 501 68
Kosuke Suzuki 1.39% 72 67 37
Kota Kaneko 4.03% 25 17 17
Kunihiro Kamii 0.56% 179 141 57
Lloyd Jefferson Go 0.09% 1111 65
Mao Ishizaki 0.02% 5000 751 82
Masaki Matsumoto 0.01% 10000 1501 95
Masanori Kobayashi 0.00% 10000 1501 82
Masashi Hidaka 0.10% 1000 301 103
Masashi Nakamura 0.03% 3333 751
Michael Hendry 0.83% 120 41 30
Mikiya Akutsu 0.64% 156 151 1
Mikumu Horikawa 3.74% 27 21 30
Minato Oshima 0.03% 3333 1001 95
Naoyuki Kataoka 1.50% 67 61 17
Nicklaus Chiam 0.01% 10000 1001 82
Noriyuki Kurogi 0.11% 909 401 128
Ren Yonezawa 1.73% 58 29 4
Riki Kawamoto 2.19% 46 26 2
Rikuto Sumie 0.05% 2000 1251 124
Ryo Ishikawa 2.14% 47 36 82
Ryo Katsumata 0.79% 127 151 0.10% 13 -0.1 QuinnBet: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryoma Iwai 0.09% 1111 501 22
Ryosuke Kinoshita 5.19% 19 15 5
Ryuichi Oiwa 2.30% 43 46 0.10% 50 -0.1 Bet365: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryuji Nozawa 0.03% 3333 751 62
Ryunosuke Furukawa 0.34% 294 201 82
Ryuta Suzuki 0.00% 10000 1001 122
Ryutaro Nagano 0.74% 135 101 13
Satoshi Hara 0.04% 2500 1251 95
Satoshi Kodaira 0.64% 156 67 103
Scott Vincent 4.19% 24 15 5
Seiji Hokaiwado 0.01% 10000 751 128
Sejung Hiramoto 0.21% 476 501 37
Senichiro Tanikawa 0.00% 10000 1251 110
Shaun Norris 4.17% 24 11 50
Shintaro Ban 0.16% 625 751 37
Shota Matsumoto 0.12% 833 751 82
Shota Ueki 0.12% 833 601 46
Shugo Imahira 2.92% 34 21 13
Shun Murayama 0.00% 10000 2001 68
Shun Niimura 0.02% 5000 751 68
Shunya Takeyasu 1.24% 81 56 43
Souta Toriumi 0.01% 10000 1001 82
Suguru Shimoke 0.53% 189 126 22
Sung-Po Yu 0.39% 256 251 37
Taichi Nabetani 0.82% 122 81 27
Taichi Teshima 0.04% 2500 1001 110
Taiga Mishima 0.06% 1667 501 68
Taiga Nagano 1.33% 75 71 5
Taiga Semikawa 2.74% 36 26 30
Taiga Sugihara 0.83% 120 61 5
Taihei Sato 2.11% 47 34 5
Taiki Yoshida 1.11% 90 67 27
Taisei Shimizu 3.01% 33 29 13
Taisei Yamada 0.09% 1111 501 95
Takanori Konishi 1.21% 83 51 82
Takara Oshima 0.43% 233 251 50
Takashi Ogiso 1.31% 76 41 22
Takaya Ozaki 0.01% 10000 751 68
Tatsunori Shogenji 3.61% 28 17 17
Tatsuya Kodai 0.18% 556 401 82
Terumichi Kakazu 0.22% 455 276 43
Todd Baek 0.19% 526 401 103
Tomoharu Otsuki 1.21% 83 67 50
Tomohiro Ishizaka 0.95% 105 51 37
Tomohiro Kondo 0.15% 667 351 131
Tomoyasu Sugiyama 0.23% 435 251 68
Tomoyo Ikemura 2.09% 48 56 0.30% 103 -0.3 VBet: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
Toshiki Bando 0.03% 3333 1001 115
Toshinori Muto 0.08% 1250 351 66
Toyokazu Fujishima 0.00% 10000 751 68
Tsubasa Ukita 0.24% 417 251 127
Yamato Hatta 0.16% 625 301 46
Yohei Haga 0.00% 10000 1501 68
Yosuke Asaji 1.13% 88 51 17
Yosuke Tsukada 0.58% 172 151 82
Young-Han Song 2.25% 44 41 2
Yujiro Ohori 0.74% 135 151 0.10% 68 -0.1 Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuki Furukawa 0.05% 2000 751 22
Yuki Inamori 1.91% 52 41 57
Yuki Kitagawa 0.02% 5000 1001 115
Yuki Moriyama 0.08% 1250 251 68
Yuki Shino 0.35% 286 201 30
Yusaku Hosono 1.36% 74 81 0.10% 17 -0.1 QuinnBet: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yusaku Miyazato 0.66% 152 201 0.20% 22 -0.2 Spreadex: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yusuke Minamoto 0.02% 5000 1501 110
Yusuke Sakamoto 1.40% 71 81 0.20% 62 -0.2 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuta Ikeda 0.26% 385 401 46
Yuta Kawakami 0.08% 1250 751 68
Yuta Kinoshita 0.10% 1000 751 46
Yuta Sugiura 2.33% 43 21 5
Yuta Uetake 0.15% 667 501 124
Yuto Katsumata 0.15% 667 501 67
Yuwa Kosaihira 0.83% 120 81 95

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates