Simulation Results: KBC Augusta

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aguri Iwasaki 1.18% 85 61 25
Atomu Shigenaga 0.07% 1429 301 113
Brad Kennedy 1.12% 89 126 0.30% 23 -0.3 Spreadex: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Daichi Sakuda 0.03% 3333 1501 88
Daijiro Izumida 0.79% 127 101 31
Daisuke Kataoka 0.25% 400 301 56
Fumihiro Ebine 0.10% 1000 601 88
Genki Okada 0.34% 294 251 72
Gensai Yamada 0.00% 10000 501 107
Genzo Tokimatsu 0.57% 175 301 0.20% 65 -0.2 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Guntaek Koh 0.33% 303 151 72
Gyumin Lee 0.46% 217 401 0.20% 65 -0.2 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Haruka Hachikawa 0.01% 10000 2001 72
Haruo Fujishima 0.01% 10000 1501 62
Haruto Uchiyama 0.08% 1250 601 64
Hideto Kobukuro 0.06% 1667 1001 136
Hideto Tanihara 0.36% 278 201 101
Hiroshi Iwata 1.89% 53 36 19
Hirotaro Naito 0.32% 313 351 80
Hiroto Nanba 0.01% 10000 751 121
Hiyori Minote 0.00% 10000 601 136
Hyun-Woo Ryu 0.88% 114 151 0.20% 88 -0.2 Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Itsuki Kurokawa 0.06% 1667 601 88
Jbe Kruger 0.33% 303 201 38
Jigen Serizawa 0.17% 588 301 113
Jinichiro Kozuma 1.55% 65 23 72
Justin De Los Santos 0.82% 122 91 65
Katsuyuki Sakurai 0.00% 10000 1501 131
Kazuki Higa 3.13% 32 19 80
Kazuki Yasumori 0.71% 141 226 0.30% 107 -0.3 Bet365: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kazumasa Matsuda 0.07% 1429 1001 101
Kazuya Koura 0.08% 1250 751 88
Keigo Kaneoka 0.12% 833 301 31
Keisuke Sato 0.05% 2000 751 107
Kensei Hirata 3.71% 27 13 31
Kenshin Kuga 0.00% 10000 751 131
Kento Yamawaki 0.06% 1667 2001 88
Kodai Ichihara 0.35% 286 301 25
Kohei Kinoshita 0.15% 667 401 113
Kohei Okada 1.19% 84 51 65
Koichi Kitamura 0.06% 1667 1501 88
Kosei Takeyama 0.15% 667 301 51
Koshin Nagasaki 0.00% 10000 751 131
Koshiro Maeda 0.32% 313 401 0.10% 9 -0.1 Spreadex: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kosuke Sunagawa 0.56% 179 226 0.10% 48 -0.1 Spreadex: 225/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kosuke Suzuki 0.90% 111 151 0.20% 80 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kota Kaneko 4.99% 20 13 13
Koumei Oda 0.05% 2000 601 52
Kunihiro Kamii 0.46% 217 601 0.30% 142 -0.3 Spreadex: 600/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kunihiro Nakashima 0.09% 1111 201 52
Kyohei Terunuma 0.01% 10000 751 139
Kyoichiro Yoshinaga 0.00% 10000 751 139
Leo Maruo 0.27% 370 141 80
Lloyd Jefferson Go 0.02% 5000 1501 130
Masaki Matsumoto 0.04% 2500 2001 63
Masashi Hidaka 0.14% 714 351 72
Masashi Nakamura 0.00% 10000 2501 126
Masatsugu Morofuji 0.01% 10000 1251 126
Masayuki Yamashita 0.13% 769 1251 0.10% 52 -0.1 Spreadex: 1250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Michael Hendry 0.27% 370 151 72
Mikiya Akutsu 0.92% 109 101 5
Mikumu Horikawa 3.17% 32 23 23
Minato Oshima 0.05% 2000 1251 88
Naoki Fujimoto 0.00% 10000 1501 136
Naoyuki Kataoka 1.02% 98 67 25
Nicklaus Chiam 0.12% 833 301 121
Noriyuki Kurogi 0.27% 370 501 0.10% 101 -0.1 Spreadex: 500/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ren Yonezawa 2.73% 37 19 3
Riki Kawamoto 2.07% 48 21 5
Rito Hirohashi 0.00% 10000 601 126
Ryo Ishikawa 1.35% 74 61 19
Ryo Katsumata 1.00% 100 151 0.30% Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ryoma Iwai 0.44% 227 351 0.20% 88 -0.2 Spreadex: 350/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ryosuke Kinoshita 2.90% 34 36 0.10% 38 -0.1 Spreadex: 35/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ryuichi Oiwa 2.69% 37 34 38
Ryuichi Sakamoto 0.01% 10000 751 80
Ryuji Nozawa 0.09% 1111 1001 107
Ryunosuke Furukawa 2.03% 49 201 1.50% 19 -1.5 Boyle Sports: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ryutaro Nagano 1.48% 68 71 0.10% 9 -0.1 Bresbet: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sanghee Lee 0.73% 137 91 121
Satoshi Hara 0.38% 263 161 44
Satoshi Kodaira 0.85% 118 51 61
Scott Vincent 5.24% 19 11 3
Sejung Hiramoto 0.36% 278 301 131
Shintaro Ban 0.53% 189 151 60
Shori Ishizuka 0.00% 10000 1251 9
Shota Matsumoto 0.18% 556 601 72
Shota Ueki 0.16% 625 2001 0.10% 80 -0.1 Bet365: 2000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shun Murayama 0.00% 10000 2501 126
Shun Niimura 0.05% 2000 751 72
Shunya Takeyasu 0.38% 263 351 0.10% 17 -0.1 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Souta Toriumi 0.02% 5000 2501 80
Suguru Shimoke 1.41% 71 67 31
Sung-Po Yu 0.08% 1250 501 88
Taichi Nabetani 1.07% 93 51 58
Taichi Teshima 0.01% 10000 751 107
Taichiro Ideriha 0.27% 370 151 38
Taiga Nagano 1.01% 99 71 88
Taiga Semikawa 4.05% 25 13 5
Taiga Sugihara 0.41% 244 176 59
Taiga Yamamoto 0.06% 1667 301 65
Taihei Sato 0.90% 111 86 101
Taiki Yoshida 1.23% 81 71 38
Taiko Nishiyama 0.37% 270 126 25
Taisei Shimizu 2.03% 49 34 31
Taisei Yamada 0.13% 769 751 44
Takahiro Hataji 0.30% 333 81 44
Takanori Konishi 1.31% 76 81 0.10% 117 -0.1 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Takara Oshima 0.26% 385 351 101
Takashi Ogiso 1.78% 56 41 13
Takeji Gushi 0.00% 10000 2001 121
Tatsunori Shogenji 3.04% 33 23 13
Tatsuya Kodai 0.28% 357 501 0.10% 121 -0.1 Spreadex: 500/1, 6pl, 1/5
Terumichi Kakazu 0.56% 179 176 52
Todd Baek 0.23% 435 301 65
Tomoharu Otsuki 1.49% 67 51 142
Tomohiro Ishizaka 1.25% 80 46 44
Tomohiro Kondo 0.03% 3333 501 48
Tomoyasu Sugiyama 0.46% 217 176 107
Tomoyo Ikemura 1.96% 51 36 5
Toshiki Bando 0.08% 1250 751 13
Tsubasa Ukita 0.13% 769 751 117
Wataru Ishikawa 0.01% 10000 1501 117
Yamato Hatta 0.23% 435 601 0.10% 117 -0.1 Spreadex: 600/1, 6pl, 1/5
Yoshiya Yamasaki 0.00% 10000 139
Yosuke Asaji 0.73% 137 151 0.10% 113 -0.1 Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Yosuke Tsukada 0.51% 196 251 0.10% 25 -0.1 Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Young-Han Song 2.31% 43 29 31
Yujiro Ohori 1.02% 98 111 0.10% 80 -0.1 Bresbet: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuki Furukawa 0.17% 588 401 57
Yuki Inamori 1.33% 75 86 0.20% 9 -0.2 Spreadex: 85/1, 6pl, 1/5
Yuki Kitagawa 0.06% 1667 1501 131
Yuki Moriyama 0.09% 1111 501 17
Yuki Shino 0.12% 833 601 88
Yusaku Hosono 1.43% 70 71 25
Yusaku Miyazato 0.45% 222 126 38
Yusuke Sakamoto 0.61% 164 226 0.20% 2 4.4 Spreadex: 225/1, 6pl, 1/5
Yuta Ikeda 0.24% 417 201 88
Yuta Kawakami 0.38% 263 401 0.10% 65 -0.1 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuta Kinoshita 0.21% 476 501 101
Yuta Sugiura 1.61% 62 23 19
Yuta Uetake 0.18% 556 501 31
Yuto Katsumata 0.31% 323 301 48
Yuwa Kosaihira 0.80% 125 71 1

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates