Simulation Results: Hana Bank Invitational

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aguri Iwasaki 2.26% 44 46 0.10% 36 -0.1 Spreadex: 45/1, 5pl, 1/4
Bae-Jong Park 0.01% 10000 751 133
Baekjun Kim 0.77% 130 51 5
Beomjun Choi 0.00% 10000 401 79
Bio Kim 0.63% 159 34 13
Brad Kennedy 1.01% 99 81 109
Changwoo Lee 0.13% 769 401 79
Chanmin Jung 0.16% 625 251 109
Chan-Woo Kim 0.09% 1111 133
Daihan Lee 0.37% 270 201 56
Daijiro Izumida 0.20% 500 226 79
Donghwan Lee 0.10% 1000 601 51
Dongkyu Jang 0.05% 2000 601 126
Dongmin Kim 0.35% 286 151 45
Dongmin Lee 0.22% 455 301 116
Dong-Seop Maeng 0.02% 5000 1251 75
Dongwoo Wee 0.01% 10000 751 138
Doyeob Mun 0.67% 149 81 29
Doyeon Hwang 0.29% 345 111 36
Eunshin Park 0.41% 244 151 45
Galam Jeon 0.28% 357 176 124
Guntaek Koh 0.48% 208 86 102
Gyumin Lee 0.26% 385 176 29
Hanmil Jung 0.35% 286 201 22
Heemin Chang 0.14% 714 276 110
Hiroshi Iwata 2.53% 40 36 22
Hirotaro Naito 0.29% 345 301 102
Hongtaek Kim 0.61% 164 61 22
Hyungjoon Lee 0.20% 500 101 17
Hyun-Woo Ryu 0.67% 149 101 13
Jaehyun Chung 0.03% 3333 501 72
Jaewoong Eom 0.18% 556 126
Jeongmin Park 0.01% 10000 1251 116
Jeongwoo Ham 0.65% 154 51 79
Jiho Yang 0.30% 333 101 79
Jin-Ho Choi 0.44% 227 67 3
Jinjae Byun 0.10% 1000 601 126
Jiwon Moon 0.00% 10000 1501 92
Junggon Hwang 0.48% 208 71 13
Junghwan Lee 1.01% 99 76 56
Junhyung An 0.01% 10000 2501 63
Junseok Lee 0.02% 5000 751 116
Justin De Los Santos 0.72% 139 251 0.30% 5 2.08125 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Juvic Pagunsan 0.37% 270 276 136
K.T. Kim 0.04% 2500 201 125
Kazuki Higa 4.62% 22 19 17
Kodai Ichihara 0.36% 278 401 0.10% 68 -0.1 Spreadex: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kohei Okada 0.90% 111 81 79
Koichi Kitamura 0.07% 1429 1251 79
Koshiro Maeda 0.39% 256 301 0.10% 102 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kosuke Suzuki 1.70% 59 51 17
Kota Kaneko 4.22% 24 19 79
Kunihiro Kamii 0.64% 156 251 0.20% 74 -0.2 Star Sports: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kyongjun Moon 0.14% 714 251 13
Kyungnam Kang 1.04% 96 61 69
Kyungnam Park 0.08% 1250 201 102
Masashi Hidaka 0.13% 769 751 79
Michael Hendry 0.56% 179 91 79
Mikiya Akutsu 1.53% 65 61 29
Mikumu Horikawa 4.08% 25 21 9
Minato Oshima 0.05% 2000 1501 63
Minchel Choi 0.27% 370 176 56
Mingyu Cho 0.19% 526 276 109
Minhyuk Song 0.29% 345 67 109
Minjun Kim 0.15% 667 251 72
Minkyu Kim 1.02% 98 76 63
Minsu Kim 0.25% 400 126 69
Naoyuki Kataoka 1.16% 86 67 102
Peter Jung 0.00% 10000 1501 79
Richard T. Lee 2.01% 50 21 4
Ryo Katsumata 1.38% 72 101 0.40% 126 -0.4 Spreadex: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryosuke Kinoshita 4.27% 23 23 92
Ryutaro Nagano 1.03% 97 111 0.10% 29 -0.1 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sanghee Lee 1.48% 68 51 92
Sanghyun Park 0.59% 169 176 92
Sangmoon Bae 0.44% 227 151 79
Sang-Yeop Lee 0.05% 2000 1251 102
Satoshi Kodaira 0.63% 159 111 29
Sejung Hiramoto 0.36% 278 401 0.10% 56 -0.1 VBet: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Seonghyeon An 0.01% 10000 2001 135
Seonghyeon Jeon 0.24% 417 401 36
Seuk-Hyun Baek 0.02% 5000 2001 131
Seungbin Choi 0.29% 345 111 79
Seunghyuk Kim 0.11% 909 201 63
Seungsu Han 0.80% 125 76 92
Shaun Norris 3.72% 27 21 1
Shugo Imahira 3.60% 28 26 45
Shun Niimura 0.04% 2500 1501 92
Shunya Takeyasu 0.77% 130 101 116
Simon Lee 0.01% 10000 751 116
Songgyu Yoo 0.22% 455 126 92
Soomin Lee 0.40% 250 251 116
Suguru Shimoke 0.93% 108 101 92
Sukwoan Ko 0.04% 2500 1501 92
Sung-Ho Lee 0.08% 1250 77
Sungyeol Kwon 0.14% 714 301 36
Taehee Lee 0.54% 185 67 45
Taehoon Kim 0.02% 5000 751 22
Taehoon Ok 1.31% 76 23 5
Taeyoung Kang 0.25% 400 201 109
Taichi Nabetani 0.98% 102 101 22
Taiga Nagano 1.40% 71 67 36
Taiga Sugihara 1.09% 92 61 131
Taihei Sato 1.21% 83 46 17
Taiki Yoshida 1.14% 88 81 45
Taisei Yamada 0.12% 833 751 102
Takahiro Hataji 0.25% 400 351 71
Takanori Konishi 0.92% 109 126 0.10% 92 -0.1 Spreadex: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Takara Oshima 0.30% 333 276 45
Takashi Ogiso 1.96% 51 36 29
Tatsunori Shogenji 3.00% 33 26 36
Terumichi Kakazu 0.25% 400 301 36
Todd Baek 0.28% 357 251 22
Tomoharu Otsuki 1.42% 70 56 22
Tomohiro Ishizaka 0.84% 119 61 29
Tomoyasu Sugiyama 0.26% 385 401 136
Tomoyo Ikemura 1.22% 82 67 51
Tsubasa Ukita 0.13% 769 601 116
Woo-Hyun Kim 0.14% 714 51
Wooyoung Cho 0.94% 106 61 51
Yamato Hatta 0.27% 370 301 126
Yeongsu Kim 0.26% 385 276 56
Yetaek Lim 0.13% 769 151 51
Yeunsub Kim 0.02% 5000 751 109
Yonggu Shin 0.52% 192 151 5
Yongjun Bae 0.67% 149 61 36
Yoon Chung 0.00% 10000 2001 126
Yosuke Asaji 1.55% 65 61 125
Yosuke Tsukada 0.33% 303 201 36
Younggyu Park 0.06% 1667 501 76
Young-Han Song 2.60% 38 23 9
Yujiro Ohori 0.58% 172 201 0.10% 9 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuki Furukawa 0.18% 556 251 142
Yuki Inamori 2.14% 47 36 133
Yuki Moriyama 0.17% 588 601 116
Yuki Shino 0.35% 286 251 137
Yunseok Kang 0.21% 476 201 109
Yusaku Hosono 2.17% 46 46 9
Yusaku Miyazato 0.66% 152 101 56
Yusuke Sakamoto 1.03% 97 126 0.20% 2 3.025 Spreadex: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuta Kinoshita 0.08% 1250 751 69
Yuwa Kosaihira 0.65% 154 126 56

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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